Published forecasts: 2026-11-01

Last published snapshot for this Pacific day. These records were published at the time; no reconstructed forecasts are added.

Compared with the previous available closed day, 2026-10-31. Dates may be more than one day apart.

2026-10-31: race records · chamber records · file hashes
2026-11-01: race records · chamber records · file hashes

Chambers

Stored party-control bounds; unavailable values stay unavailable. The linked downloads retain model versions and run identifiers.

Chambers
Chamber / product	Earlier	Later
governors · election_day	D 77%–77%; R 13%–13%; neither 10%; 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	D 77%–77%; R 13%–13%; neither 9%; 2026-11-02T02:33:21Z
governors · nowcast	D 72%–72%; R 17%–17%; neither 11%; 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	D 74%–74%; R 16%–16%; neither 10%; 2026-11-02T02:33:21Z
house · election_day	D 88%–88%; R 11%–11%; neither <1%; 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	D 87%–87%; R 12%–12%; neither 1%; 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z
senate · election_day	D 70%–74%; R 26%–30%; neither Unavailable; 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	D 70%–75%; R 25%–30%; neither Unavailable; 2026-11-02T02:33:21Z
senate · nowcast	D 71%–74%; R 26%–29%; neither Unavailable; 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	D 72%–75%; R 25%–28%; neither Unavailable; 2026-11-02T02:33:21Z

Races

Changes refer to the displayed, rounded percentages. Exact probabilities are in the downloads. Candidate changes are separate rows. A poll appearing between runs is not proof it caused a move. Poll arrivals, money and candidate events are not captured by these forecast files; the model and correction record provides other context.

Races
Race and subject	Earlier chance / run time	Later chance / run time	Change	Context
US-TX-22 · house · election_day · Marquette Greene-Scott	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-4 · house · election_day · Valerie Foushee	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OR · senate · election_day · Jeff Merkley	98% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	98% 2026-11-02T02:35:16Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f15ad3fc-b8f7-4652-9007-e6b4c8f5eeea → f3d6dac4-692d-42f9-ab02-e0c4aec1dc24
US-VA · senate · election_day · Mark Warner	97% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	96% 2026-11-02T02:35:16Z	Displayed 97% → 96%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2681234d-a59e-43df-9669-caf814dc595f → 7865cd81-4a53-454f-9d5d-502320482455
US-OH-4 · house · election_day · Joshua Kolasinski	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WA-3 · house · election_day · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	53% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	52% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 53% → 52%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-14 · house · election_day · LaKesha Womack	6% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	6% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OK-5 · house · election_day · Jena Nelson	4% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	3% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 4% → 3%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MN-7 · house · election_day · Erik Osberg	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MT · senate · election_day · Seth Bodnar	3% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	3% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 159c959d-394e-4f30-beea-d7be9a93b8d0 → cae16c7e-7245-41e1-b56c-3ab64b0dbbd4
US-MT · senate · nowcast · Seth Bodnar	2% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	3% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 2% → 3%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f0bd6d2e-e11f-4d22-aa29-9d2bfc5fd4af → 317ec63e-b0fe-41bf-af96-8260bffe756e
US-CA-20 · house · election_day · Sandra Van Scotter	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AL-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Sneed	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-1 · house · election_day · Don Davis	86% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	85% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 86% → 85%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-7 · house · election_day · Brian Poindexter	85% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	85% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OK-2 · house · election_day · Brandon Wade	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-12 · house · election_day · Alma Adams	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TN · governor · election_day · Jerri Green	3% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 3% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 69b49afb-5aa4-487a-8531-9877df7f495b → d007218a-5e0d-4e2f-9c1c-3f2f21435547
US-TN · governor · nowcast · Jerri Green	4% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	2% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 4% → 2%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 019cb99f-0e38-47c4-8206-6b4f9d450aa8 → 1f37110f-da55-4fea-ade7-fea333a9a9d3
US-ID-2 · house · election_day · Ellie Gilbreath	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AZ-4 · house · election_day · Greg Stanton	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-9 · house · election_day · Richard Ojeda	14% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	12% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 14% → 12%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IA-2 · house · election_day · Lindsay James	49% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	48% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 49% → 48%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-38 · house · election_day · Melissa McDonough	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-LA-3 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-5 · house · election_day · Gregory Meeks	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AR-4 · house · election_day · James Russell	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL · senate · election_day · Angie Nixon	13% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	14% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 13% → 14%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5db0358b-1d88-44ba-abdc-0592b0886e70 → fa337bb7-48f9-4d3e-a86f-cdc38ae310ee
US-FL · senate · nowcast · Angie Nixon	10% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	11% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 10% → 11%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 43ddb40c-126f-4412-8e27-f10d98456013 → d51b789d-c86e-4264-9b7a-b435a9f975e3
US-MN-5 · house · election_day · Ilhan Omar	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-28 · house · election_day · Henry Cuellar	77% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	76% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 77% → 76%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NV-2 · house · election_day · Teresa Benitez-Thompson	42% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	39% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 42% → 39%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-4 · house · election_day · Jason Pearce	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX · governor · election_day · Gina Hinojosa	26% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	27% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 26% → 27%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2f47ff27-0652-44ad-bf46-a1c97635c75b → eeff0fe9-7638-42aa-b741-55ae0975ae55
US-TX · governor · nowcast · Gina Hinojosa	28% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	30% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 28% → 30%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2ad5d300-023e-4d5e-83df-e9406294acfc → 9e50a4a1-f154-4d53-bb1c-df2e34765bf1
US-MA-8 · house · election_day · Stephen Lynch	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-13 · house · election_day · Paul Barringer	7% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	7% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-7 · house · election_day · Claire Valdez	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-ND-AL · house · election_day · Trygve Hammer	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-9 · house · election_day · Daniel Biss	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-2 · house · election_day · Benjamin Ambrose	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MD-6 · house · election_day · April McClain Delaney	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AL-7 · house · election_day · Terri Sewell	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-33 · house · election_day · Pete Aguilar	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-24 · house · election_day · Oliver Gilbert	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-2 · house · election_day · Elaine Luria	63% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	62% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 63% → 62%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-4 · house · election_day · LaShonda Holloway	4% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	4% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-10 · house · election_day · Christina Hines	50% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	48% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 50% → 48%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MN-2 · house · election_day · Matt Little	93% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	92% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 93% → 92%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-8 · house · election_day · Jennifer Jenkins	3% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	3% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-51 · house · election_day · Sara Jacobs	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-16 · house · election_day · Sam Liccardo	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OR-6 · house · election_day · Andrea Salinas	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-10 · house · election_day · Suhas Subramanyam	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-28 · house · election_day · Judy Chu	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-4 · house · election_day · Patty Garcia	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OR-3 · house · election_day · Maxine Dexter	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NM · governor · election_day · Deb Haaland	92% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	92% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a74f3b35-488f-48b2-9552-5b43c83f1072 → efb7ac4d-6091-4ec9-94f2-b7fe186fb590
US-NM · governor · nowcast · Deb Haaland	92% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	91% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 92% → 91%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7b397f5c-ecb8-4c60-b51a-884b83161a51 → c5351416-56fb-4d57-8819-c7ba8debbfff
US-TX-29 · house · election_day · Sylvia Garcia	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OR-5 · house · election_day · Janelle Bynum	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-3 · house · election_day · Maura Keller	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-5 · house · election_day · Michael Masuda	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-21 · house · election_day · Blake Gendebien	26% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	25% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 26% → 25%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-15 · house · election_day · Kevin Mullin	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-27 · house · election_day · Eliott Rodriguez	16% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	14% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 16% → 14%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MO-1 · house · election_day · Wesley Bell	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KY-1 · house · election_day · John "Drew" Williams	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SC-3 · house · election_day · Eunice Lehmacher	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-14 · house · election_day · Shawn Harris	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-ID · senate · election_day · Todd Achilles	3% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	3% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a0bf55f5-ebcb-4ce6-b84e-2db80ddc831c → b6e0cbfd-ff9d-4459-bfba-3399537e26a8
US-ID · senate · nowcast · Todd Achilles	2% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	3% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 2% → 3%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b57d1906-8691-480f-92fd-7e69b13cc13b → 7ec843ca-adba-4a87-b4a1-2ffdb8768fc6
US-TN-2 · house · election_day · Michaela Barnett	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CO-7 · house · election_day · Brittany Pettersen	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-8 · house · election_day · Paige Cognetti	57% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	55% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 57% → 55%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KS-2 · house · election_day · Don Coover	3% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	3% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-14 · house · election_day · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH · governor · election_day · Amy Acton	74% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	77% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 74% → 77%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers faef2eaa-46e6-441b-9566-71890040dcff → 40f5ec2d-2918-4770-a84d-5a0acb79a5f3
US-OH · governor · nowcast · Amy Acton	77% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	79% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 77% → 79%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers bfeb5413-c8f8-4968-b859-be718dfb6c01 → 97cd8e3d-8428-4217-8e6f-a72e712dcd63
US-AR · governor · election_day · Fredrick Love	3% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	3% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4e928d9f-7be6-43ad-ac69-26779fa1a289 → ff11a99e-f681-4c4b-9ff0-ab497fda0669
US-AR · governor · nowcast · Fredrick Love	6% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	6% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 34b5aabd-0547-4e63-87c5-964c65ebcb34 → 0e9da144-0698-4fb2-ba6f-52a833cfb903
US-MO-6 · house · election_day · Josh Smead	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KS · senate · election_day · Adam Hamilton	54% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	53% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 54% → 53%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6214746d-c4d2-4a78-a1bc-febbe796d089 → c21ca813-718d-42d3-a246-26693e5ecc2a
US-KS · senate · nowcast · Adam Hamilton	68% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	66% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 68% → 66%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 97dad89c-a5ac-49c5-adf0-b55c6c3fff3e → 0d08f1a8-55b5-4c53-b63f-e887bfe02f04
US-ME · senate · election_day · Troy Jackson	62% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	66% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 62% → 66%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 052f34ba-b76a-48f1-a063-2152a39c9a88 → 56bf6783-c710-45f2-91b2-e4b21b504e21
US-ME · senate · nowcast · Troy Jackson	72% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	74% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 72% → 74%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 88e77c2c-1d97-4a1a-b727-ead25969014a → 65271b14-f399-47dc-877c-13284100f09b
US-CA-13 · house · election_day · Adam Gray	98% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	98% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-17 · house · election_day · Casey Shepard	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 1% → 2%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-11 · house · election_day · Bill Foster	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-28 · house · election_day · Phil Ehr	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MO-5 · house · election_day · Emanuel Cleaver	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-22 · house · election_day · John Mannion	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MD · governor · election_day · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4de53f20-80f5-40bb-b99b-d65f9c0f3946 → f34319ed-824e-4d07-80be-8a1790e6aa9d
US-MD · governor · nowcast · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9c1914ca-7cd6-4b6d-8cf0-a6ffc7d5dc0a → d998715d-528b-42f7-8af9-cb90a3746fcc
US-CO-5 · house · election_day · Jessica Killin	45% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	42% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 45% → 42%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-2 · house · election_day · Amanda Green	7% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	6% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 7% → 6%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MA-3 · house · election_day · Lori Trahan	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-3 · house · election_day · Joyce Beatty	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NH · governor · election_day · Cinde Warmington	7% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	7% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2b50fb0a-b810-42c6-a3fc-f25af30f97af → 1b12addc-4bb6-4db8-bae7-3dd03e92a98d
US-NH · governor · nowcast · Cinde Warmington	4% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	4% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 35a652ea-8ac7-4def-bab5-d5013a4b927f → 6bd210cf-e5f1-42a2-bc8c-71b35a727a44
US-NC-7 · house · election_day · Kimberly Hardy	6% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	6% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WV · senate · election_day · Rachel Fetty Anderson	1% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:35:16Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 97304abd-c1c5-47af-9e79-068303aba167 → 642db652-dfa1-436a-843f-9c012e3bd403
US-OK · senate · election_day · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	1% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 28593b61-70d6-4f1f-84aa-38c45a7d0a8b → d40373a3-cd16-4e10-af41-7d045dc4fc5f
US-OK · senate · nowcast · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	<1% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	<1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 84698e01-112d-4564-ad7b-c18e8b8aa5c5 → 9a5c5465-6450-4d22-a63c-e73091229e4a
US-CA-32 · house · election_day · Brad Sherman	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NE · senate · election_day · Dan Osborn	42% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	43% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 42% → 43%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b10a6084-c514-4697-ae1d-662ff2e28534 → 8954e691-179f-4c75-99a6-e4245383264c
US-NE · senate · nowcast · Dan Osborn	42% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	43% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 42% → 43%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1ce014f1-b23b-415b-b98c-3c95758d3b52 → 4256d4c7-63eb-4722-898e-5a4f01910733
US-TN-1 · house · election_day · Kristi Burke	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-12 · house · election_day · Angela Rodriguez Prilliman	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MS-4 · house · election_day · Jeffrey Hulum III	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OK-1 · house · election_day · John Croisant	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WA-2 · house · election_day · Rick Larsen	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SC-7 · house · election_day · John Vincent	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OK-3 · house · election_day · Suzie Byrd	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-ID · governor · election_day · Terri Pickens	<1% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	<1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ac6112cb-580b-44b2-81c2-645dbd522fbb → 64e4dd1b-467d-444b-9c13-c64acec6faa2
US-ID · governor · nowcast · Terri Pickens	1% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3eb4593e-1b7a-4770-b104-85227f4c1c57 → 67dbacef-2018-4752-b93b-b56080494309
US-TX-8 · house · election_day · Laura Jones	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-1 · house · election_day · Amanda Hollowell	7% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	7% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-UT-1 · house · election_day · Ben McAdams	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL · senate · election_day · Juliana Stratton	98% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	98% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 44742e2c-4fbd-4292-844e-d0846c97b9c4 → 619fb66e-5b3c-4bf0-bc61-807356575a7b
US-IL · senate · nowcast · Juliana Stratton	97% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	96% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 97% → 96%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d74d384e-3d3f-4401-bfbf-0e899e595e63 → 767f7636-feee-47de-9352-d0428694590f
US-ME-1 · house · election_day · Chellie Pingree	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-2 · house · election_day · Brendan Boyle	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH · senate · election_day · Sherrod Brown	74% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	73% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 74% → 73%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e075aeb8-58eb-49a0-bb8d-f2a132aabb42 → 75cf6cae-6d6b-4dec-b973-9e615c1fd835
US-OH · senate · nowcast · Sherrod Brown	77% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	75% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 77% → 75%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 79ac7377-65fe-4c9e-ab8a-b5e7a63c187f → 0029954d-5c1c-4376-9ee4-2320476af9b9
US-CA-23 · house · election_day · Tessa Lynn Hodge	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WA-7 · house · election_day · Pramila Jayapal	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MN-6 · house · election_day · Doug Chapin	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-1 · house · election_day · Chris Gallant	14% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	13% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 14% → 13%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AZ-7 · house · election_day · Adelita Grijalva	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CT-3 · house · election_day · Rosa DeLauro	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-4 · house · election_day · Madeleine Dean	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-23 · house · election_day · Aaron Gies	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ-6 · house · election_day · Frank Pallone	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-2 · house · election_day · Shaun Finnie	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-UT-2 · house · election_day · Peter Crosby	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KY-5 · house · election_day · Ned Pillersdorf	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-16 · house · election_day · Kelly Kirschner	23% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	21% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 23% → 21%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-5 · house · election_day · Mike Quigley	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MS-3 · house · election_day · Michael Chiaradio	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-15 · house · election_day · Don Leonard	40% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	38% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 40% → 38%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MA-4 · house · election_day · Jake Auchincloss	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-LA-4 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-11 · house · election_day · James Pericola	8% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	7% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 8% → 7%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-14 · house · election_day · Thurman Bartie	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-ME-2 · house · election_day · Matthew Dunlap	44% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	42% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 44% → 42%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IA · governor · election_day · Rob Sand	85% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	86% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 85% → 86%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 398517ba-ede0-4cda-a718-bee17fd5131a → b9ac6b46-38ac-4616-8f41-ebe99538ddc0
US-IA · governor · nowcast · Rob Sand	92% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	92% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 649bdc4a-283c-48d4-8a4a-33444f4affc4 → 7609c249-f164-4893-91f3-0936e06fecf5
US-PA-10 · house · election_day · Janelle Stelson	68% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	67% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 68% → 67%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-RI · governor · election_day · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f33f5dea-7856-4658-acda-1184e690dbb6 → d509e560-afb6-4e24-a715-989b3899a5d7
US-RI · governor · nowcast · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers eb7501bc-6c0b-442a-bc94-622046610d0e → 04c34a27-78e7-4dc5-85d1-004e7e0ec4fe
US-FL-6 · house · election_day · Eric Yonce	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CT · governor · election_day · Ned Lamont	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 0d48f0af-1355-4ca0-a5cc-0af8291a1c38 → fba516b0-b2f7-4da7-8272-045a2f970584
US-CT · governor · nowcast · Ned Lamont	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d9106da9-3969-4f75-a6d6-af2494274a8f → 6bc0fe1c-932a-4831-8dbc-07b13d36029d
US-AL · senate · election_day · Everett Wess	1% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3dc37c82-b316-4141-8be5-ef185adf0222 → 13be0902-1509-4e18-b8d8-5bde148192c4
US-AL · senate · nowcast · Everett Wess	1% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d1f4256d-821c-4e78-a475-9fb088f637cc → 2ad8a0d6-85b2-49d7-8287-6f5544adf18d
US-FL-5 · house · election_day · Rachel Grage	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AL-4 · house · election_day · Amanda Pusczek	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MN · senate · election_day · Peggy Flanagan	91% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	91% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 708a9b06-0a0a-4aa8-9df3-7a88d90aa8c3 → 84f19532-1139-4521-9e14-a179c5ca1322
US-MN · senate · nowcast · Peggy Flanagan	82% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	82% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e556b509-00c7-4031-8373-1ecdbf649a99 → 8a809c58-5cc7-4610-a98d-78fed5b2f535
US-TN-7 · house · election_day · Darden Copeland	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-15 · house · election_day · Robert People	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-43 · house · election_day · Maxine Waters	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CO · governor · election_day · Phil Weiser	97% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	97% 2026-11-02T01:35:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 58ea5398-9243-428b-a601-f3aaf93a7197 → 37774e6b-a58d-49f5-8ca8-e4ee4a98e931
US-CO · governor · nowcast · Phil Weiser	Not in prior snapshot Unavailable	97% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Not comparable	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers Unavailable → a02b91e0-b0d3-4a57-9eae-598e0a606005
US-WI-6 · house · election_day · Brad Smith	3% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	3% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MD-7 · house · election_day · Kweisi Mfume	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Morrison	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-32 · house · election_day · Dan Barrios	6% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	6% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TN-4 · house · election_day · Victoria Broderick	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MD-2 · house · election_day · Johnny Olszewski	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TN-8 · house · election_day · Heidi Kuhn	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NE-3 · house · election_day · Becky Stille	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MS · senate · election_day · Scott Colom	7% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	7% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d0246d25-bddd-4f4c-a94a-d153bc6582df → 566d774c-8e48-4c70-9089-4c14764c9a3e
US-MS · senate · nowcast · Scott Colom	17% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	17% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c3569ef1-af19-4493-b6a0-b1e13f9da9d3 → 0c0d2269-c384-4b68-bec3-8af9217cd801
US-NM-3 · house · election_day · Teresa Leger Fernández	99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ-2 · house · election_day · Zack Mullock	4% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	4% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KY-2 · house · election_day · Megan Wingfield	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-14 · house · election_day · Lauren Underwood	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-34 · house · election_day · Vicente Gonzalez	75% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	74% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 75% → 74%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX · senate · election_day · James Talarico	67% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	68% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 67% → 68%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a999d2b9-c887-4da4-aabc-ae469a7572fe → 3c5a921b-6790-42da-9fe3-6c6b5916aec3
US-TX · senate · nowcast · James Talarico	73% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	74% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 73% → 74%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e93dd58a-42eb-4cc3-93f6-0411b7970ef2 → acee381a-da9b-44e1-b2ff-5d309287ef75
US-OH-13 · house · election_day · Emilia Sykes	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL · governor · election_day · David Jolly	22% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	23% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 22% → 23%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b98c2886-fd18-4cdd-9fc0-5dfa2680fd24 → 7dcc096b-5d80-4cae-b77e-34d449caa628
US-FL · governor · nowcast · David Jolly	18% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	19% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 18% → 19%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f9eb4ba3-9f0e-4bf5-ba7b-4f8ef5eeee89 → 83d8380e-96b9-45f4-9541-b1632e272cab
US-MI-13 · house · election_day · Donavan McKinney	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ-12 · house · election_day · Adam Hamawy	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SC-6 · house · election_day · Jim Clyburn	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-9 · house · election_day · Marcy Kaptur	84% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	84% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WI-3 · house · election_day · Rebecca Cooke	59% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	56% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 59% → 56%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NE-2 · house · election_day · Denise Powell	91% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	91% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-3 · house · election_day · Bobby Scott	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-6 · house · election_day · Beth Macy	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-22 · house · election_day · Randy Villegas	46% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	46% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-8 · house · election_day · Vanessa Enoch	5% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	5% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AZ · governor · election_day · Katie Hobbs	96% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	97% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 96% → 97%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 36c85ba1-9a14-4d75-894b-b1aa01ecb755 → 7ff5540a-5e5b-445d-99e5-7f4f1b44ecc0
US-AZ · governor · nowcast · Katie Hobbs	95% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	96% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 95% → 96%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 88ea6ff3-5e0c-4958-8460-25903178905e → fe07edb3-0c8c-448a-b72b-5e1da4c4026f
US-VT · governor · election_day · Amanda Janoo	9% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	9% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c6b811b4-d530-4eb3-b8d9-436fbd13f94b → 52440813-ea3a-4df3-96d1-37dcd3a3ca4f
US-VT · governor · nowcast · Amanda Janoo	18% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	18% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d67b46f6-9a84-4e66-a3ce-47057ae01878 → afe0e87d-bbee-4940-9563-09490ea92abd
US-MI-6 · house · election_day · Debbie Dingell	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-7 · house · election_day · William Lawrence	62% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	60% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 62% → 60%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Thompson	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WA-5 · house · election_day · Carmela Conroy	6% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	6% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-LA · senate · election_day · Jamie Davis	12% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	12% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d0454c13-84e0-48e3-987d-c87fe48d4009 → c235d5b9-d23a-43cb-a6dc-490a6a1507d2
US-LA · senate · nowcast · Jamie Davis	21% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	21% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 829b8787-c9fb-4338-8a4c-b2c636ca2e46 → 302c8c03-759c-48f3-9c94-c19883b192a7
US-NE · governor · election_day · Lynne Walz	14% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	15% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 14% → 15%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 29b31f2e-f16b-482f-a539-ceadd9d15da2 → 904af5c3-6713-4dc6-a877-884ca131a9ce
US-NE · governor · nowcast · Lynne Walz	20% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	21% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 20% → 21%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 808fe1d3-de24-4851-b575-3d2d03517a94 → 31b058fe-6f0f-4eba-8194-6871b55b4452
US-TX-1 · house · election_day · Yolanda Prince	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-39 · house · election_day · Mark Takano	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-35 · house · election_day · Johnny Garcia	48% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	47% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 48% → 47%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-9 · house · election_day · Rachel Wallace	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-11 · house · election_day · Jamie Ager	88% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	88% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MT-2 · house · election_day · Brian Miller	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-5 · house · election_day · Chuck Hubbard	7% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	8% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 7% → 8%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-3 · house · election_day · Hillary Scholten	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-11 · house · election_day · Chris Harden	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-13 · house · election_day · Mark Nair	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KS · governor · election_day · Cindy Holscher	37% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	39% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 37% → 39%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e98cc007-86c6-4288-b6cb-cdbc576c008a → 28c561d7-f7c6-4611-b2ff-0781e25a686d
US-KS · governor · nowcast · Cindy Holscher	32% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	34% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 32% → 34%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 985dfcde-748f-4c54-a86c-34f8c9b20519 → 5b1da0a2-b396-450c-8e4e-094e3d95da67
US-AL-6 · house · election_day · Maurice Mercer	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NE-1 · house · election_day · Chris Backemeyer	17% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	15% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 17% → 15%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WI-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Beck	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-HI · governor · election_day · Josh Green	99% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:35:16Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b15941f1-9c38-4144-b0f9-d5aae8617b65 → 669e0dbf-c99a-4633-a9c8-c620b911ff37
US-FL-21 · house · election_day · James Martin	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-25 · house · election_day · Dione Sims	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WA-4 · house · election_day · John Duresky	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-48 · house · election_day · Marni von Wilpert	85% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	85% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-9 · house · election_day · Darren Soto	46% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	43% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 46% → 43%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-2 · house · election_day · Patrick Halpin	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-2 · house · election_day · Jared Huffman	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IN-8 · house · election_day · Mary Allen	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-RI-2 · house · election_day · Seth Magaziner	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-1 · house · election_day · Greg Landsman	95% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	90% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 95% → 90%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WY · senate · election_day · James W. Byrd	<1% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:35:16Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c8ed5e3f-a617-4d75-b9e7-8f990c43ca65 → 4d9ce86b-32ef-47c6-ae16-e4fdc1d1d7d0
US-CA-18 · house · election_day · Zoe Lofgren	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-47 · house · election_day · Dave Min	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-UT-4 · house · election_day · Jonny Larsen	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-13 · house · election_day · Nikki Budzinski	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC · senate · election_day · Roy Cooper	96% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	97% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 96% → 97%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 143ec9b6-ca67-47b1-acb7-e95bd5fc5544 → 9f1cefdf-75be-4ee5-8569-c61a258e5a37
US-NC · senate · nowcast · Roy Cooper	97% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	97% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4baed0da-444a-4ca3-b668-33525d937b55 → 1042dfb6-6d91-43f6-9f3f-70b1d1764924
US-NV-1 · house · election_day · Dina Titus	98% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	98% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-4 · house · election_day · Laura Gillen	98% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	98% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ-4 · house · election_day · Rachel Peace	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OR · governor · election_day · Tina Kotek	84% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	84% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e202e335-b881-49d1-80e2-af1f8ca8677d → 74c74d45-1c90-4fe3-9795-4530825f0492
US-OR · governor · nowcast · Tina Kotek	57% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	56% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 57% → 56%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a22ec36b-7b18-4abf-9f40-4c896399992e → 94ea737d-e205-4723-8324-e459454baaf1
US-SC · governor · election_day · Jermaine Johnson	4% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	4% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 94373052-3256-461c-8475-ec1adacbb238 → 6e4cb41a-0b4e-4f7b-b641-a27a4fbc0e9a
US-SC · governor · nowcast · Jermaine Johnson	3% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	3% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers bde4d525-a667-4f28-ad55-a214c2db2e7e → 132d6fdf-8659-4dab-b720-d98dbc2bac98
US-MN-8 · house · election_day · Trina Swanson	4% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	4% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-6 · house · election_day · Lucy McBath	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SD · senate · election_day · Brian Bengs	8% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	8% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 85394842-030c-4ffc-b607-4ceadf06569d → 2a07f6e9-843d-4c4a-a935-96fffb148f0f
US-SD · senate · nowcast · Brian Bengs	7% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	7% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5642324b-0d30-441e-90b2-4f69fc9d492d → a7038885-8aa7-4ce4-a7b6-f35fcc89c71f
US-ID-1 · house · election_day · Kaylee Peterson	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-2 · house · election_day · Jennifer Mazzuckelli	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-1 · house · election_day · Gay Valimont	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-31 · house · election_day · Gil Cisneros	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-HI-2 · house · election_day · Jill Tokuda	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-8 · house · election_day · Don Beyer	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CO-1 · house · election_day · Melat Kiros	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-11 · house · election_day · Nancy Mannion	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AR · senate · election_day · Hallie Shoffner	5% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	5% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3c1e922c-c000-4234-9246-c3e63b4a0814 → 06791585-1c5c-4bc6-a613-14d8e02129e9
US-AR · senate · nowcast · Hallie Shoffner	13% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	13% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e66a0f9c-a2e1-40f4-95f4-df72dcfa203e → 49b3f8dd-7b8e-4a10-b989-55eaedc2f227
US-PA-15 · house · election_day · Ray Bilger	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AZ-5 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Lee	4% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	4% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-2 · house · election_day · Deborah Ross	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MN-4 · house · election_day · Betty McCollum	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-3 · house · election_day · Ami Bera	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-6 · house · election_day · Cyril Jefferson	4% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	4% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IA-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Trone Garriott	73% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	76% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 73% → 76%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-DE-AL · house · election_day · Sarah McBride	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OR-4 · house · election_day · Val Hoyle	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-17 · house · election_day · Chris Deluzio	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-5 · house · election_day · Nikema Williams	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NM-1 · house · election_day · Melanie Stansbury	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-41 · house · election_day · Linda Sánchez	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-38 · house · election_day · Hilda Solis	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-LA-1 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-14 · house · election_day · Kathy Castor	85% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	85% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MD-8 · house · election_day · Jamie Raskin	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-14 · house · election_day · Maria Jukic	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-12 · house · election_day · Micah Lasher	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-21 · house · election_day · Jim Costa	99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ-9 · house · election_day · Nellie Pou	99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AL-1 · house · election_day · Clyde Jones	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-18 · house · election_day · Pat Ryan	99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-1 · house · election_day · Bob Harvie	30% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	28% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 30% → 28%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-6 · house · election_day · Grace Meng	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA · governor · election_day · Xavier Becerra	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a6e76bf0-8ad3-4cbc-88a3-4369e3b3e4eb → 13114afd-eb3d-4273-afdc-fb6814f65434
US-CA · governor · nowcast · Xavier Becerra	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 135a1e94-31c5-4059-85c3-2dcc5fe9499d → 1dfa4170-8663-4dc9-aa87-61f857fa101c
US-WI-4 · house · election_day · Gwen Moore	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AL · governor · election_day · Doug Jones	3% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	3% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 24ffdf28-14df-4c37-a4eb-1de6260e0bbe → cf50c44c-8e62-4205-ad13-a453bff72546
US-AL · governor · nowcast · Doug Jones	4% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	4% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7468c84d-2f1f-4b6a-b662-633a3f5bd596 → d3c03fee-b741-490e-8b43-80ed7e7a23b3
US-FL-25 · house · election_day · Jared Moskowitz	81% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	80% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 81% → 80%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-24 · house · election_day · Kevin Burge	4% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	4% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-3 · house · election_day · Delia Ramirez	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-10 · house · election_day · Pamela DeLancy	3% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	3% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-26 · house · election_day · Nicole Locklin	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MO-4 · house · election_day · Jordan Herrera	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-7 · house · election_day · Bob Brooks	71% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	71% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-7 · house · election_day · Eugene Vindman	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-12 · house · election_day · Julie Fortier	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OK · governor · election_day · Cyndi Munson	16% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	16% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e3f0d6be-f4f6-4da7-b7c9-158dd6e93ba1 → d3c8c1c5-4d6e-4c43-bba2-f11c9acc3c02
US-OK · governor · nowcast · Cyndi Munson	29% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	29% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 669371ef-c5d5-44f0-86de-5b66b88d493e → 890521c7-f38c-4ff2-b64e-2aba65e57c4a
US-TN-3 · house · election_day · Anna Golladay	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI · governor · election_day · Jocelyn Benson	94% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	94% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 30e5c734-3c1d-46a2-ae6f-1ff154fc81c9 → 97b31873-3d82-410c-9b2c-081751e8d1c8
US-MI · governor · nowcast · Jocelyn Benson	94% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	94% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2a7711fe-7eb8-4ac2-8b01-0b0787db04b9 → 401e3a13-b59f-492a-9ea5-53fe917e5e02
US-MA · senate · election_day · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d49a52ce-b586-4052-b943-0ed6590715ca → 8b7aef6a-6f24-4017-9bfe-9b5c873daaa7
US-MA · senate · nowcast · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6396db50-ec4f-4ea6-8e32-8c099e50c262 → d80861e0-cd4a-45a0-8e23-172459063e4b
US-IL-7 · house · election_day · La Shawn Ford	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-11 · house · election_day · Shontel Brown	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-5 · house · election_day · Tom Perriello	18% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	17% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 18% → 17%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-1 · house · election_day · Jonathan Jackson	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Jones	23% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	23% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-23 · house · election_day · Lois Frankel	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AK · governor · election_day · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	89% 2026-11-01T01:35:32Z	89% 2026-11-02T02:35:19Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers cfd40e96-6393-40d3-acbe-d21125fadcb5 → 13c6ec0f-80e6-4676-b8ee-6fa4ecf02e16
US-AK · governor · nowcast · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	91% 2026-11-01T01:35:32Z	91% 2026-11-02T02:35:19Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f5d9ba55-f2f9-487e-85cf-8470dc2b3dae → 927247ea-5637-4638-a21b-c44070be2370
US-MI-5 · house · election_day · Christian Vukasovich	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NH-1 · house · election_day · Stefany Shaheen	84% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	84% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-11 · house · election_day · James Walkinshaw	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-22 · house · election_day · Pia Dandiya	59% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	57% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 59% → 57%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-18 · house · election_day · Curtis Gibson	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AK-AL · house · election_day · Bill Hill	30% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	30% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-1 · house · election_day · Mike McGuire	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-RI-1 · house · election_day · Gabe Amo	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MO-8 · house · election_day · Christopher Reichard	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ · senate · election_day · Cory Booker	95% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	94% 2026-11-02T02:35:16Z	Displayed 95% → 94%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers bd66d081-3222-4d7b-a416-57f35c9e7643 → 1025346d-0a99-45f4-a647-ff04fa98a988
US-PA-12 · house · election_day · Summer Lee	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KY-4 · house · election_day · Melissa Claire Strange	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-3 · house · election_day · Tom Suozzi	97% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	96% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 97% → 96%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IN-7 · house · election_day · André Carson	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IA · senate · election_day · Josh Turek	47% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	48% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 47% → 48%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 48b202bc-6831-4068-bae5-315cebe4a27a → fbd54b84-a227-44f0-9801-1f28a6837190
US-IA · senate · nowcast · Josh Turek	51% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	52% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 51% → 52%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 07c1bb27-f8ce-422f-aed8-591a834f96bb → ea26e41e-947b-4538-95ea-9b88111feb15
US-NY-13 · house · election_day · Darializa Avila Chevalier	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-36 · house · election_day · Rhonda Hart	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-23 · house · election_day · Katy Padilla Stout	24% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	22% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 24% → 22%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-7 · house · election_day · Lizzie Fletcher	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IA-4 · house · election_day · Dave Dawson	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CO · senate · election_day · John Hickenlooper	98% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	98% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9abdaa0c-875e-42e8-8ffa-1d297f01ad10 → 0fb22dd5-1143-4204-97e7-eb3153caead6
US-CO · senate · nowcast · John Hickenlooper	Not in prior snapshot Unavailable	95% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Not comparable	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers Unavailable → f237f5db-4cf7-46cc-9cb2-c0800072f4fe
US-AL-3 · house · election_day · Lee McInnis	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-36 · house · election_day · Ted Lieu	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MT-1 · house · election_day · Sam Forstag	43% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	45% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 43% → 45%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MD-5 · house · election_day · Adrian Boafo	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-19 · house · election_day · Jimmy Panetta	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-33 · house · election_day · Colin Allred	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-20 · house · election_day · Paul Tonko	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-2 · house · election_day · Sanford Bishop	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-3 · house · election_day · Raymond Smith Jr.	22% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	20% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 22% → 20%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-52 · house · election_day · Juan Vargas	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Beck	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-LA-5 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OR-1 · house · election_day · Suzanne Bonamici	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NM · senate · election_day · Ben Ray Luján	97% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	97% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers dfbcbcc7-73ab-4336-9dba-9e4310123457 → e4a5b8bf-9c28-4645-9a20-d6bc69e5b14a
US-NM · senate · nowcast · Ben Ray Luján	96% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	96% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f43e88dc-c9a6-4936-98c9-c35dd5e88d91 → 95b816fc-0f4d-40f8-a9cc-0f6d1a23df05
US-NC-10 · house · election_day · Ashley Bell	3% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	3% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-12 · house · election_day · Jerrad Christian	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MO-2 · house · election_day · Fred Wellman	45% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	44% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 45% → 44%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-16 · house · election_day · Justin Wagner	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-26 · house · election_day · Jacqui Irwin	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WA-10 · house · election_day · Marilyn Strickland	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KS-4 · house · election_day · Katy Tyndell	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CO-8 · house · election_day · Manny Rutinel	66% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	65% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 66% → 65%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-4 · house · election_day · Sean McCann	43% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	41% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 43% → 41%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-30 · house · election_day · Laura Friedman	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-5 · house · election_day · Chelsey Hockett	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MO-3 · house · election_day · Bethany Mann	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SD · governor · election_day · Dan Ahlers	1% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers dfafca05-2447-4842-81b3-bb1b15c914d3 → 626c5b77-68a6-4cec-ad28-d83bf108d35c
US-SD · governor · nowcast · Dan Ahlers	3% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	3% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3b2a3b3a-6b3e-40b8-99b5-5fb78933d9f9 → a097bec0-f0f6-4377-b3ca-bf7df7a28e86
US-AR-3 · house · election_day · Robb Ryerse	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-17 · house · election_day · Ro Khanna	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-9 · house · election_day · Ray Pooley	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-11 · house · election_day · Claire Reynolds	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SC · senate · election_day · Annie Andrews	28% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	28% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3bc626dc-b386-479c-ace5-61a2167634ea → 97ac56cb-108f-4ec9-be22-b0d2b5bdd6e3
US-SC · senate · nowcast · Annie Andrews	35% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	35% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 75464475-c0a3-4702-b9eb-07d2bc5b78a6 → 5b8ae3f2-fd7b-4903-8d4d-fd0756a4da62
US-IL-15 · house · election_day · Jennifer Todd	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-9 · house · election_day · Yvette Clarke	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA · senate · election_day · Jon Ossoff	96% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	96% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f1a0aaea-018d-4745-a1bd-095cf93630a7 → d0d0c936-0441-4cd5-aa68-2569aabb22e5
US-GA · senate · nowcast · Jon Ossoff	95% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	94% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 95% → 94%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 853ec677-5cdd-461f-a3d3-88cabd705efd → fd10bd58-a300-46e0-8a32-8d99d46574f0
US-NY-19 · house · election_day · Josh Riley	99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-4 · house · election_day · Jennifer McClellan	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MS-1 · house · election_day · Cliff Johnson	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-DE · senate · election_day · Chris Coons	99% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:35:16Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6de36052-0598-4ffc-8859-aaba00e3e706 → 1bec515d-0b7e-4ede-899c-a308b8107dc3
US-IL · governor · election_day · JB Pritzker	99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5c55cc5d-a1ee-4dd2-87cc-5c3585802457 → abafdd4f-798e-4370-a12c-594c1e9bf520
US-IL · governor · nowcast · JB Pritzker	99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f0c8d6a2-57bf-49f7-9c8c-0db16281c647 → 1fb4d3fa-8c8b-4fa1-ab52-ceb64aecdb36
US-WA-6 · house · election_day · Emily Randall	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-19 · house · election_day · Victor Arias	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SC-1 · house · election_day · Nancy Lacore	36% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	34% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 36% → 34%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-10 · house · election_day · Kristina Knickerbocker	9% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	8% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 9% → 8%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-3 · house · election_day · Seth Harp	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-RI · senate · election_day · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 38ef31fd-4e16-43d9-8811-65fa8f7417f4 → 782d015d-1ab2-4c0b-bf5e-6132a3ca00c0
US-RI · senate · nowcast · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52a172f4-5602-427d-83ed-afb6b714fcef → 1f1f60d8-504d-410d-a49a-e59db067372d
US-CA-44 · house · election_day · Nanette Barragán	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NH · senate · election_day · Chris Pappas	92% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	93% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 92% → 93%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 220ec89a-0d05-4e83-b719-74f72f45b6e5 → 9a62d6bb-196f-462c-9c36-dd6c0abbaeb1
US-NH · senate · nowcast · Chris Pappas	88% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	88% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c4a1e665-7d38-4447-b594-961ce8d00bf8 → 341b7bea-3953-40cc-bab7-7d72078fd37f
US-AZ-9 · house · election_day · Danielle Sterbinsky	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-17 · house · election_day · Cait Conley	49% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	47% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 49% → 47%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-21 · house · election_day · Kristin Hook	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MA-6 · house · election_day · Dan Koh	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-17 · house · election_day · Eric Sorensen	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NM-2 · house · election_day · Gabe Vasquez	82% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	82% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-9 · house · election_day · Joy Powers	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IN-1 · house · election_day · Frank Mrvan	99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-8 · house · election_day · Hakeem Jeffries	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AR-1 · house · election_day · Terri Yarbrough	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KY-6 · house · election_day · Zach Dembo	59% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	56% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 59% → 56%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-12 · house · election_day · Rashida Tlaib	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TN-6 · house · election_day · Mike Croley	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-5 · house · election_day · Mary Gay Scanlon	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NV · governor · election_day · Aaron Ford	46% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	46% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7b1abb75-aaa6-47f1-af85-6fcb7662c740 → 06654391-b5c1-4853-b855-6a46c08208f0
US-NV · governor · nowcast · Aaron Ford	43% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	42% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 43% → 42%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6824b098-546e-4240-9e59-64822e49895f → 4d91af24-3705-4002-9b83-9d1d8653ab88
US-SC-4 · house · election_day · Courtney McClain	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IN-5 · house · election_day · J.D. Ford	22% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	20% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 22% → 20%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-35 · house · election_day · Norma Torres	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-24 · house · election_day · Alissa Ellman	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-LA-6 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AZ-1 · house · election_day · Amish Shah	69% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	69% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WV-1 · house · election_day · Vince George	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ-3 · house · election_day · Herb Conaway	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IN-2 · house · election_day · Jamee Decio	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-27 · house · election_day · George Whitesides	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-37 · house · election_day · Greg Casar	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-49 · house · election_day · Mike Levin	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TN-5 · house · election_day · Chaz Molder	11% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	10% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 11% → 10%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-12 · house · election_day · Ceretta Smith	3% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 3% → 2%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AZ-6 · house · election_day · JoAnna Mendoza	66% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	64% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 66% → 64%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SC-2 · house · election_day · Zyon Khalifa	5% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	5% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-20 · house · election_day · Joaquin Castro	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WA-1 · house · election_day · Suzan DelBene	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-13 · house · election_day · Beth Farnham	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AK · senate · election_day · Mary Peltola	57% 2026-11-01T01:35:32Z	57% 2026-11-02T02:35:19Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1ab61f4a-2f1d-4382-b1a9-32fb39df02fb → 8bad5d7c-0677-4733-b7e2-e02870d2e451
US-AK · senate · nowcast · Mary Peltola	58% 2026-11-01T01:35:32Z	58% 2026-11-02T02:35:19Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c64c4d86-81e0-40f8-bc8a-0e227ae6d864 → 434f82fc-a879-4428-a0bd-c8fc58fc31ee
US-NJ-7 · house · election_day · Rebecca Bennett	69% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	68% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 69% → 68%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TN · senate · election_day · Marquita Bradshaw	1% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f57f1630-2d22-4d22-8733-617b8949a730 → 6cbe5c90-ccd4-46f6-bd4c-8258bf019d29
US-TN · senate · nowcast · Marquita Bradshaw	1% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	1% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2dc6060a-4901-477e-bb05-2dd6a2529fe8 → f55e59a9-ab7a-4b02-a0df-fbba779f4dbf
US-CA-9 · house · election_day · Josh Harder	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-LA-2 · house · election_day · Troy A. Carter Sr.	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NC-8 · house · election_day · Colby Watson	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-26 · house · election_day · Steven Shook	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-9 · house · election_day · Leticia Gutierrez	5% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	5% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SC-5 · house · election_day · Mallory Dittmer	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-SD-AL · house · election_day · Nicole Gronli	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-8 · house · election_day · Melissa Bean	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VA-1 · house · election_day · Shannon Taylor	56% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	55% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 56% → 55%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-15 · house · election_day · Bobby Pulido	64% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	63% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 64% → 63%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AL-2 · house · election_day · Shomari Figures	40% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	36% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 40% → 36%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MN-1 · house · election_day · Jake Johnson	28% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	26% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 28% → 26%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KS-3 · house · election_day · Sharice Davids	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CT-2 · house · election_day · Joe Courtney	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NV-4 · house · election_day · Steven Horsford	99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-16 · house · election_day · George Latimer	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MD-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Elfreth	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-12 · house · election_day · Kimberly Overman	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IN-6 · house · election_day · Cynthia Wirth	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-6 · house · election_day · Chrissy Houlahan	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MO-7 · house · election_day · Missi Hesketh	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WI-7 · house · election_day · Fred Clark	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MA-9 · house · election_day · Bill Keating	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KY-3 · house · election_day · Morgan McGarvey	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-HI-1 · house · election_day · Ed Case	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-16 · house · election_day · Veronica Escobar	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MD-1 · house · election_day · Dan Schwartz	3% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	3% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-15 · house · election_day · Ritchie Torres	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ-5 · house · election_day · Josh Gottheimer	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-UT-3 · house · election_day · Kent Udell	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-20 · house · election_day · Debbie Wasserman Schultz	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-45 · house · election_day · Derek Tran	98% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	98% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-30 · house · election_day · Frederick Haynes III	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-25 · house · election_day · Joseph Morelle	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CT-5 · house · election_day · Jahana Hayes	99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-8 · house · election_day · Kelly Esti	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-27 · house · election_day · Tanya Lloyd	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CO-3 · house · election_day · Dwayne Romero	25% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	23% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 25% → 23%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IA-1 · house · election_day · Christina Bohannan	74% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	74% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-10 · house · election_day · Caitlin Rourk	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 1% → 2%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-13 · house · election_day · Leela Gray	29% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	27% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 29% → 27%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-5 · house · election_day · Brian Shaver	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-VT-AL · house · election_day · Becca Balint	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MS-2 · house · election_day · Bennie Thompson	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KS-1 · house · election_day · Lauren Reinhold	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-25 · house · election_day · Raul Ruiz	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-16 · house · election_day · Paul Nolley	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-50 · house · election_day · Scott Peters	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-17 · house · election_day · Matthew Montavon	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI · senate · election_day · Abdul El-Sayed	80% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	80% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 382318ce-606b-4e7e-ad1a-6f2cd57c6049 → 87c6fe9c-6c82-464f-909d-31ff40c157a7
US-MI · senate · nowcast · Abdul El-Sayed	81% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	82% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 81% → 82%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 94eb2cbc-83f7-4e2e-aac9-24778e7432eb → 6adfd6d9-efbb-478b-a5a9-ff5723ed602c
US-CA-46 · house · election_day · Lou Correa	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA · governor · election_day · Keisha Lance Bottoms	61% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	62% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 61% → 62%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9147031e-6c9c-4b94-aa96-45c169c84213 → 90bb6e5d-614d-4b7f-a0df-633cf7dc9d31
US-GA · governor · nowcast · Keisha Lance Bottoms	49% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	49% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 33b1d562-d775-4521-b5a8-ee7166052908 → fba9ae07-9ba1-4c30-88c0-d1e1786db65e
US-WY-AL · house · election_day · Lisa F. Kinney	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NH-2 · house · election_day · Maggie Goodlander	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-13 · house · election_day · Jasmine Clark	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CO-2 · house · election_day · Joe Neguse	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ-1 · house · election_day · Donald Norcross	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-6 · house · election_day · Sean Casten	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MA · governor · election_day · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers faeed26d-f65b-44d3-a9c3-5ab34c147bd4 → d7b77fa9-aff0-45b0-9469-ed4ac01b6571
US-MA · governor · nowcast · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 46e0c3f6-34fe-4562-ad95-3618b0687eed → ffb3e497-246c-4c5f-b4ea-c4fb2368ae73
US-NV-3 · house · election_day · Susie Lee	98% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	98% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WA-9 · house · election_day · Adam Smith	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-10 · house · election_day · Mark DeSaulnier	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-KY · senate · election_day · Charles Booker	6% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	7% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Displayed 6% → 7%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 94ac791b-d8ca-40aa-8ff3-197492170d73 → 5a6193c9-a11a-49da-aad2-8f767e58ea2f
US-KY · senate · nowcast · Charles Booker	8% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	8% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 50457641-1fe3-470e-a0ee-57f3619b5ebe → c3bd248a-3298-4ef0-b1f7-1a78658f44f6
US-WI-8 · house · election_day · Rick Crosson	3% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	3% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WI · governor · election_day · David Crowley	78% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	78% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9d5bfbd4-093c-417b-9f02-bf422f758581 → a637ceb6-2bfc-4f3a-b598-078b5933e8ce
US-WI · governor · nowcast · David Crowley	80% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	80% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 0efa048b-2673-4914-bf71-9a52d4c4ffeb → c0c91015-fe19-4ec9-aaed-51508d01b488
US-GA-4 · house · election_day · Hank Johnson	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY · governor · election_day · Kathy Hochul	99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4e306eac-8471-4ddf-afc2-b644aeaf3df4 → 845c37a9-e893-49a6-b8df-98e8ad2418a4
US-NY · governor · nowcast · Kathy Hochul	99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers db546235-0e1a-4e8b-91e3-fa4f59bfcf33 → 029c059e-bc09-4d9e-8f1c-b17d4da4d6b4
US-CO-6 · house · election_day · Jason Crow	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-1 · house · election_day · Callie Barr	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA-14 · house · election_day · Alan Bradstock	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-ME · governor · election_day · Hannah Pingree	98% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	98% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7dfb53bb-afb4-4a59-8643-31e771295d48 → a717c0a8-9d6f-4f57-bbd5-d26da3eb3658
US-ME · governor · nowcast · Hannah Pingree	98% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	98% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 920a140d-35dc-46ab-a83d-3c051669c34d → 853a9bfd-1ec1-4891-bba8-24d28f3fedde
US-CT-1 · house · election_day · Luke Bronin	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-24 · house · election_day · Salud Carbajal	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-9 · house · election_day · Caitlyn Gegen	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OK-4 · house · election_day · Mitchell Jacob	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-OH-6 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Kirtley	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-31 · house · election_day · Justin Early	2% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	2% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WY · governor · election_day · Kenneth Casner	<1% 2026-11-01T01:35:29Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:35:16Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 16dda2ec-b12b-4f3e-96e1-ba6fa10b8abe → aac01878-fdfe-4ab1-ba89-84c54076ebf2
US-TX-3 · house · election_day · Evan Hunt	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CO-4 · house · election_day · Eileen Laubacher	6% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	6% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IN-9 · house · election_day · Brad Meyer	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-6 · house · election_day · Danny Minton	1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AZ-2 · house · election_day · Jonathan Nez	23% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	22% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 23% → 22%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-GA-7 · house · election_day · Anthony Kozycki	6% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	6% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-PA · governor · election_day · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 193f8d1b-0321-4743-b355-fd096f29c9c7 → 5af0e7f0-925d-4d28-8ebb-199109fa4c88
US-PA · governor · nowcast · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	>99% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 556bf576-64d2-44bf-8402-b5662e0de93e → d498b2de-f6c2-4d8e-97b7-9d716f640514
US-NJ-10 · house · election_day · LaMonica McIver	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MD-4 · house · election_day · Glenn Ivey	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NJ-11 · house · election_day · Analilia Mejia	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IL-10 · house · election_day · Brad Schneider	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-IN-4 · house · election_day · Drew Cox	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WI-1 · house · election_day · Mitchell Berman	23% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	21% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 23% → 21%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-10 · house · election_day · Brad Lander	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-6 · house · election_day · Richard Pan	87% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	88% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 87% → 88%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-19 · house · election_day · Kyle Rable	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WV-2 · house · election_day · Ace Parsi	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TN-9 · house · election_day · Justin J. Pearson	8% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	7% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Displayed 8% → 7%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-11 · house · election_day · Jeremy Moss	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-FL-7 · house · election_day · Bale Dalton	71% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	71% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MN · governor · election_day · Amy Klobuchar	97% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	97% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 34a56049-f5bc-4f82-a3b2-eaee04a20b94 → a5659c3a-f397-46a6-9a86-85a82d27db80
US-MN · governor · nowcast · Amy Klobuchar	97% 2026-11-01T01:11:23Z	97% 2026-11-02T01:26:36Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 06762962-b379-458c-9c54-0c2025e648f3 → b5168987-19d7-4d9a-934b-0380418f6782
US-IL-2 · house · election_day · Donna Miller	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-42 · house · election_day · Robert Garcia	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CA-8 · house · election_day · John Garamendi	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-TX-18 · house · election_day · Christian Menefee	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-MI-8 · house · election_day · Kristen McDonald Rivet	99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-11 · house · election_day · Michael DeCillis	<1% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	<1% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-WA-8 · house · election_day · Kim Schrier	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-AZ-8 · house · election_day · Bernadette Greene-Placentia	4% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	4% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-NY-26 · house · election_day · Tim Kennedy	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40
US-CT-4 · house · election_day · Jim Himes	>99% 2026-10-31T07:04:08Z	>99% 2026-11-02T02:59:29Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 144e8fa6-63d4-4116-8ae3-3ad2ca88df07 → 6811e72f-6fb0-4430-b574-22d6e31e2f40