FutureBallot

Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

About FutureBallot

Election forecasts you can inspect

FutureBallot is an independent election-forecasting project. It publishes probability forecasts for the 2026 Senate, House and governor races, with the methods, sources and test results behind every number.

Contact

Questions, corrections and press: contact@futureballot.com.

Corrections

If you find an error in a forecast, a poll record or anything else on the site, email the address above with the page and what is wrong. Every confirmed error is recorded in the public log of everything that has gone wrong, with what was fixed and when. Forecasts already published are never edited in place: a correction produces a new forecast, and the change is shown on what changed.

How the forecasts are made

The methodology explains the models and every adjustment between the polls and a published number. The accuracy record shows how the same methods did on past elections, including the misses; 2026 is their first live test. The forecasts themselves can be downloaded.

Money

The site is free to read and carries no advertising. It is not yet taking payments; the support page says how to help in the meantime.

Privacy