Published forecasts: 2026-10-27

Last published snapshot for this Pacific day. These records were published at the time; no reconstructed forecasts are added.

Compared with the previous available closed day, 2026-10-26. Dates may be more than one day apart.

2026-10-26: race records · chamber records · file hashes
2026-10-27: race records · chamber records · file hashes

Chambers

Stored party-control bounds; unavailable values stay unavailable. The linked downloads retain model versions and run identifiers.

Chambers
Chamber / product	Earlier	Later
governors · election_day	D 74%–74%; R 26%–26%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T03:03:13Z	D 74%–74%; R 26%–26%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T11:43:53Z
governors · nowcast	D 69%–69%; R 31%–31%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T03:03:13Z	D 69%–69%; R 31%–31%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T11:43:53Z
house · election_day	D 88%–88%; R 12%–12%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	D 88%–88%; R 12%–12%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z
senate · election_day	D 62%–68%; R 32%–38%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T03:03:13Z	D 62%–68%; R 32%–38%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T08:53:32Z
senate · nowcast	D 64%–69%; R 31%–36%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T03:03:13Z	D 65%–69%; R 31%–35%; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-27T08:53:32Z

Races

Changes refer to the displayed, rounded percentages. Exact probabilities are in the downloads. Candidate changes are separate rows. A poll appearing between runs is not proof it caused a move. Poll arrivals, money and candidate events are not captured by these forecast files; the model and correction record provides other context.

Races
Race and subject	Earlier chance / run time	Later chance / run time	Change	Context
US-TX-22 · house · election_day · Marquette Greene-Scott	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-4 · house · election_day · Valerie Foushee	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OR · senate · election_day · Jeff Merkley	98% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	98% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 5f30175e-0228-47dd-bb2f-2bc2a0413100 → dedfa022-1333-4a44-8370-b3700719a477
US-VA · senate · election_day · Mark Warner	95% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	95% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 0d89bdde-2ef4-4f91-b6a8-ecc2a5cdfbc8 → 5abdaff6-897d-4116-ae6f-66a556aaba7d
US-OH-4 · house · election_day · Joshua Kolasinski	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WA-3 · house · election_day · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	50% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	50% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-14 · house · election_day · LaKesha Womack	5% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	5% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OK-5 · house · election_day · Jena Nelson	4% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	4% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MN-7 · house · election_day · Erik Osberg	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MT · senate · election_day · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	1% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 00f13fc0-6a61-4d9c-878f-76268987b0d1 → cbe1a821-343c-4309-a5c2-cf369baebb62
US-MT · senate · nowcast · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	1% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 35a08a3a-c097-40e3-b003-a68e1de3617c → e38c19a5-f66b-4bb5-a3e8-b879444aa155
US-CA-20 · house · election_day · Sandra Van Scotter	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AL-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Sneed	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-1 · house · election_day · Don Davis	86% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	86% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-7 · house · election_day · Brian Poindexter	86% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	86% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OK-2 · house · election_day · Brandon Wade	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-12 · house · election_day · Alma Adams	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TN · governor · election_day · Jerri Green	2% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	2% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f0e2acdb-0962-4c69-b78b-6db9d73f55d4 → 0884fa67-7364-4017-8d84-2c5ce2471d69
US-TN · governor · nowcast · Jerri Green	2% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	2% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers cad49b16-5f0e-49b6-8b33-37906577b889 → f9ec3e17-28de-458d-8378-ed4b228cbc66
US-ID-2 · house · election_day · Ellie Gilbreath	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AZ-4 · house · election_day · Greg Stanton	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-9 · house · election_day · Richard Ojeda	11% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	11% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IA-2 · house · election_day · Lindsay James	52% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	52% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-38 · house · election_day · Melissa McDonough	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-LA-3 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-5 · house · election_day · Gregory Meeks	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AR-4 · house · election_day · James Russell	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL · senate · election_day · Angie Nixon	12% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	12% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6833ff76-ee55-40eb-a9ac-bd29cd5d9108 → ffe4c637-4672-4b6a-945e-b79ec5393892
US-FL · senate · nowcast · Angie Nixon	9% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	9% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ecbe438f-24d2-4fe3-af99-6ed178271f74 → 05789998-6a40-4f2c-9c1a-0e4c3210dded
US-MN-5 · house · election_day · Ilhan Omar	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-28 · house · election_day · Henry Cuellar	78% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	78% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NV-2 · house · election_day · Teresa Benitez-Thompson	42% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	42% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-4 · house · election_day · Jason Pearce	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX · governor · election_day · Gina Hinojosa	25% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	25% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6bb9baf5-08bd-4978-b53b-36199259ae64 → a689f964-d3ba-4978-a1d4-1bbc84d97d9f
US-TX · governor · nowcast · Gina Hinojosa	26% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	26% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a6e7560f-fe07-4ea4-a106-3f97e23a9093 → 22b0c456-68b4-4d2a-8d14-fb4974eeaf5f
US-MA-8 · house · election_day · Stephen Lynch	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-13 · house · election_day · Paul Barringer	3% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	3% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-7 · house · election_day · Claire Valdez	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-ND-AL · house · election_day · Trygve Hammer	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-9 · house · election_day · Daniel Biss	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-2 · house · election_day · Benjamin Ambrose	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MD-6 · house · election_day · April McClain Delaney	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AL-7 · house · election_day · Terri Sewell	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-33 · house · election_day · Pete Aguilar	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-24 · house · election_day · Oliver Gilbert	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-2 · house · election_day · Elaine Luria	65% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	65% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-4 · house · election_day · LaShonda Holloway	6% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	6% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-10 · house · election_day · Christina Hines	49% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	49% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MN-2 · house · election_day · Matt Little	90% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	90% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-8 · house · election_day · Jennifer Jenkins	3% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	3% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-51 · house · election_day · Sara Jacobs	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-16 · house · election_day · Sam Liccardo	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OR-6 · house · election_day · Andrea Salinas	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-10 · house · election_day · Suhas Subramanyam	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-28 · house · election_day · Judy Chu	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-4 · house · election_day · Patty Garcia	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OR-3 · house · election_day · Maxine Dexter	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NM · governor · election_day · Deb Haaland	92% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	92% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f6a9bfc5-d5a2-4b66-abc0-f5a9a90a1642 → 0029db2c-f461-4d34-9304-6f644242949f
US-NM · governor · nowcast · Deb Haaland	91% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	91% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9ba18166-2930-4ab3-a258-40516b4aa28a → 3740f3f0-0c0a-4e80-804b-e78e878aaa20
US-TX-29 · house · election_day · Sylvia Garcia	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OR-5 · house · election_day · Janelle Bynum	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-3 · house · election_day · Maura Keller	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-5 · house · election_day · Michael Masuda	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-21 · house · election_day · Blake Gendebien	27% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	27% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-15 · house · election_day · Kevin Mullin	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-27 · house · election_day · Eliott Rodriguez	16% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	16% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MO-1 · house · election_day · Wesley Bell	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KY-1 · house · election_day · John "Drew" Williams	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SC-3 · house · election_day · Eunice Lehmacher	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-14 · house · election_day · Shawn Harris	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-ID · senate · election_day · Todd Achilles	3% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	3% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 698a495b-1df8-4ab0-b510-55882f493bbc → 55557c79-63eb-4b9b-8596-9db2f18f5d41
US-ID · senate · nowcast · Todd Achilles	2% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	2% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 868b04e0-fcd7-411c-8929-586841b2d5c4 → 72902000-4124-45d8-ac6f-1b2a1e577772
US-TN-2 · house · election_day · Michaela Barnett	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CO-7 · house · election_day · Brittany Pettersen	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-8 · house · election_day · Paige Cognetti	58% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	58% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KS-2 · house · election_day · Don Coover	3% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	3% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-14 · house · election_day · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH · governor · election_day · Amy Acton	73% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	73% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 033025e5-ae6a-4846-ab20-f20e3a5f021c → 44d7cda2-a62d-42ae-9684-5cddddab0a70
US-OH · governor · nowcast · Amy Acton	78% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	78% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6f4d27a0-6500-4337-a3c5-5c8e324203ff → 32e90005-ae2f-4964-a7f9-0f0ce1417e34
US-AR · governor · election_day · Fredrick Love	3% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	3% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3f32f161-0592-4545-8791-7d7e452407c1 → 2f9fa9eb-a299-4cce-a909-3825427cbc2b
US-AR · governor · nowcast · Fredrick Love	6% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	6% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b693f502-3411-4477-bab2-7dfccf9c3d4b → aee93709-9c98-4b8d-b08b-a16a21a7ba3e
US-MO-6 · house · election_day · Josh Smead	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KS · senate · election_day · Adam Hamilton	40% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	40% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers bb32dcc6-5806-4228-b730-321be73abdd1 → 8dc06679-a7e5-45a9-9ef9-fa4d359e7acf
US-KS · senate · nowcast · Adam Hamilton	56% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	56% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 1131f07d-fe88-4f98-9a64-84fe11e1c4bd → df6eb51f-29e7-484d-9436-b2407e882ba0
US-ME · senate · election_day · Troy Jackson	52% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	55% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Displayed 52% → 55%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ca99fb1a-9364-4508-893e-0906f509b782 → 612552cd-2af2-4265-8fc0-9d7daf819f0b
US-ME · senate · nowcast · Troy Jackson	63% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	68% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Displayed 63% → 68%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 15ddb386-72ba-4791-9d71-578f14c565a9 → eb4eac87-92ee-4ee8-bca7-fc35735e4cf7
US-CA-13 · house · election_day · Adam Gray	98% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	98% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-17 · house · election_day · Casey Shepard	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-11 · house · election_day · Bill Foster	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-28 · house · election_day · Phil Ehr	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MO-5 · house · election_day · Emanuel Cleaver	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-22 · house · election_day · John Mannion	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MD · governor · election_day · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ccea6cd5-d2bc-4455-807e-15b515c32a3f → 990b2b8f-cccc-4c30-9d69-89a7cde68413
US-MD · governor · nowcast · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9ab8ea96-c8ef-4e7e-ba9a-be1c1a4cf88a → 1119574c-d939-4ff0-9851-1ea5d1fc7d28
US-CO-5 · house · election_day · Jessica Killin	45% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	45% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-2 · house · election_day · Amanda Green	6% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	6% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MA-3 · house · election_day · Lori Trahan	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-3 · house · election_day · Joyce Beatty	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NH · governor · election_day · Cinde Warmington	7% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	7% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6b7c3dad-8aae-444d-9548-2e148b32a1f1 → 82c33a40-d96d-489e-a711-5259ba283843
US-NH · governor · nowcast · Cinde Warmington	4% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	4% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 49040899-5ea2-4b74-b38a-1c872afa106b → b2113a5c-937a-420d-9be2-a4adc565dae7
US-NC-7 · house · election_day · Kimberly Hardy	7% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	7% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WV · senate · election_day · Rachel Fetty Anderson	1% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	1% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3452df02-44f6-48a2-b7b4-7ea3d63909a6 → e62f3e3d-0e26-46b9-8748-83cc37c3e395
US-OK · senate · election_day · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	1% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	1% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 1f0136d8-9406-41bf-b73f-8ead5b842b82 → 4afd2f6f-8c71-4560-ab72-87d1d6a279c8
US-OK · senate · nowcast · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	<1% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	<1% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a039ee3d-d786-4aae-966a-a8e75eb99fc5 → 7636c8c1-7f0e-41cc-ba5c-c4325ac8c33e
US-CA-32 · house · election_day · Brad Sherman	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NE · senate · election_day · Dan Osborn	47% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	47% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers e0ad2fe6-17cb-4d7f-a892-42440cc1dfe0 → 72b92be1-fdbb-45b6-a771-b6d9a7e694b4
US-NE · senate · nowcast · Dan Osborn	47% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	47% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b2e1bd2f-12ad-4d65-8644-8fc2aa3553f6 → 6360cb9f-db35-49c4-8c4e-45154e0fed89
US-TN-1 · house · election_day · Kristi Burke	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-12 · house · election_day · Angela Rodriguez Prilliman	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MS-4 · house · election_day · Jeffrey Hulum III	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OK-1 · house · election_day · John Croisant	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WA-2 · house · election_day · Rick Larsen	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SC-7 · house · election_day · John Vincent	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OK-3 · house · election_day · Suzie Byrd	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-ID · governor · election_day · Terri Pickens	<1% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	<1% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 5e0c3927-dde0-4564-a891-1ab79a5f4c29 → d013760c-bbc9-46f3-8c1b-818120c83daf
US-ID · governor · nowcast · Terri Pickens	1% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	1% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ef0bba1e-268e-49df-a022-28fc3ba0fb01 → 14129609-fe18-4414-bca5-c60e36324bb0
US-TX-8 · house · election_day · Laura Jones	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-1 · house · election_day · Amanda Hollowell	6% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	6% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-UT-1 · house · election_day · Ben McAdams	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL · senate · election_day · Juliana Stratton	98% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	98% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers de509180-872f-4ca5-b319-bbbd398b5651 → 93d6bfeb-c3d8-44c4-9bf3-f84e4aa7392b
US-IL · senate · nowcast · Juliana Stratton	97% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	97% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 1042ff25-db8f-42f6-8c4d-46dd71d1e94a → d107a751-0c4a-4160-b3b7-4e257da1a013
US-ME-1 · house · election_day · Chellie Pingree	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-2 · house · election_day · Brendan Boyle	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH · senate · election_day · Sherrod Brown	76% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	76% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7df5867a-dab8-4392-8888-acb9ee6d1a16 → a0d097e8-52ee-4e72-a85f-6084cbd7b4ee
US-OH · senate · nowcast · Sherrod Brown	78% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	78% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 38d1d8ad-bc8f-4982-a189-87adf8de459e → df1a4f36-3b78-4118-a533-30824a526863
US-CA-23 · house · election_day · Tessa Lynn Hodge	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WA-7 · house · election_day · Pramila Jayapal	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MN-6 · house · election_day · Doug Chapin	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-1 · house · election_day · Chris Gallant	15% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	15% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AZ-7 · house · election_day · Adelita Grijalva	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CT-3 · house · election_day · Rosa DeLauro	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-4 · house · election_day · Madeleine Dean	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-23 · house · election_day · Aaron Gies	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ-6 · house · election_day · Frank Pallone	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-2 · house · election_day · Shaun Finnie	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-UT-2 · house · election_day · Peter Crosby	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KY-5 · house · election_day · Ned Pillersdorf	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-16 · house · election_day · Kelly Kirschner	22% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	22% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-5 · house · election_day · Mike Quigley	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MS-3 · house · election_day · Michael Chiaradio	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-15 · house · election_day · Don Leonard	37% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	37% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MA-4 · house · election_day · Jake Auchincloss	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-LA-4 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-11 · house · election_day · James Pericola	7% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	7% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-14 · house · election_day · Thurman Bartie	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-ME-2 · house · election_day · Matthew Dunlap	43% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	43% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IA · governor · election_day · Rob Sand	85% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	85% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers bcc1d577-4b27-4b08-822b-fa1d05f829b0 → cd30a45a-eaa7-4aa7-9539-4d1ab12dff5a
US-IA · governor · nowcast · Rob Sand	93% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	93% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a67d4ec6-7c24-4ec3-9a3b-a73fed12f743 → 5fe7e798-fb3f-4086-b6c9-d2bc33c75978
US-PA-10 · house · election_day · Janelle Stelson	68% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	68% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-RI · governor · election_day · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c1bcd250-6b08-49fa-bb0b-5fcf39742bdb → 0e66db4d-101d-4c3a-aa96-2078f2dfea46
US-RI · governor · nowcast · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ae2df92c-7d26-445f-86c1-6ab82dba5609 → d769e756-0b82-44a7-8528-bc537ae1713a
US-FL-6 · house · election_day · Eric Yonce	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CT · governor · election_day · Ned Lamont	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9b50caf2-26e7-4b48-baf6-89f0cbde4630 → 5db3f76a-6201-4ad3-83b2-a6c0c4469b7d
US-CT · governor · nowcast · Ned Lamont	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ca262c33-f04e-4b65-8a20-2cddad3959e9 → 70700b4e-fd18-409d-a277-13b9adbb97e0
US-AL · senate · election_day · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	2% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 8a882710-9c08-426f-bc15-92561104df35 → 5cb58d06-e18b-4b66-b594-155c9ef1c212
US-AL · senate · nowcast · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	2% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ff8bceff-7765-4edf-8127-1f88510bbbb7 → 44024a62-008d-4b38-9bc5-0b0d8bc07ac9
US-FL-5 · house · election_day · Rachel Grage	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AL-4 · house · election_day · Amanda Pusczek	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MN · senate · election_day · Peggy Flanagan	89% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	89% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a3a4f117-0e8e-4f31-b8a3-3df8ab66ba39 → be24199e-ad31-4e82-8f06-17d1e5172c33
US-MN · senate · nowcast · Peggy Flanagan	77% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	77% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b3209e06-d033-4738-bb78-3b30f1632286 → 75b9892f-9d0f-4b4f-a9b4-49cb46403409
US-TN-7 · house · election_day · Darden Copeland	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-15 · house · election_day · Robert People	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-43 · house · election_day · Maxine Waters	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CO · governor · election_day · Phil Weiser	98% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	98% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers be80b7d5-9e3b-4cc2-b541-f55052a4c0f0 → b29a744e-fce7-4117-bc23-dd16db23c52a
US-WI-6 · house · election_day · Brad Smith	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MD-7 · house · election_day · Kweisi Mfume	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Morrison	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-32 · house · election_day · Dan Barrios	5% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	5% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TN-4 · house · election_day · Victoria Broderick	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MD-2 · house · election_day · Johnny Olszewski	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TN-8 · house · election_day · Heidi Kuhn	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NE-3 · house · election_day · Becky Stille	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MS · senate · election_day · Scott Colom	9% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	9% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a1ff1712-839d-419f-b4bc-96b016156a95 → c40ac16e-164e-4f39-986e-4346dae53a65
US-MS · senate · nowcast · Scott Colom	18% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	18% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers bc6f351d-eb6a-49e8-8094-cbbe27cdab5a → 5480f20d-9451-414d-8f60-f084155c16ef
US-NM-3 · house · election_day · Teresa Leger Fernández	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ-2 · house · election_day · Zack Mullock	4% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	4% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KY-2 · house · election_day · Megan Wingfield	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-14 · house · election_day · Lauren Underwood	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-34 · house · election_day · Vicente Gonzalez	74% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	74% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX · senate · election_day · James Talarico	62% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	62% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3e6a66b6-0a0b-4fb0-b868-e60d656b5d1c → 0ac15434-efb2-4070-84a2-24b99d41a716
US-TX · senate · nowcast · James Talarico	69% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	69% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 35163f8a-49e1-499b-b335-f163494996b8 → 9b005038-d989-4097-b493-d0215c931a6d
US-OH-13 · house · election_day · Emilia Sykes	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL · governor · election_day · David Jolly	20% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	20% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9475ff35-0a8d-4d86-83dd-1ac6c10fb16e → fd9178f2-1c75-4f8b-882b-a79f87cce9f3
US-FL · governor · nowcast · David Jolly	17% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	17% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9bde3220-65be-4da8-b962-3badf1d63b8f → 3a2103dd-b284-422b-aafd-5736203f3bd1
US-MI-13 · house · election_day · Donavan McKinney	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ-12 · house · election_day · Adam Hamawy	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SC-6 · house · election_day · Jim Clyburn	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-9 · house · election_day · Marcy Kaptur	82% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	82% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WI-3 · house · election_day · Rebecca Cooke	58% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	58% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NE-2 · house · election_day · Denise Powell	89% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	89% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-3 · house · election_day · Bobby Scott	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-6 · house · election_day · Beth Macy	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-22 · house · election_day · Randy Villegas	47% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	47% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-8 · house · election_day · Vanessa Enoch	4% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	4% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AZ · governor · election_day · Katie Hobbs	95% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	95% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 434ef38d-8b1c-4c71-8442-5c61b2fa1fab → 34c5b342-317d-4526-9117-5d412ded9a03
US-AZ · governor · nowcast · Katie Hobbs	94% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	94% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6bf641d2-472b-405c-b1de-c9849988b127 → 0a70fc82-811c-462c-9f7d-e36df507aad2
US-VT · governor · election_day · Amanda Janoo	7% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	7% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7bbdbc6d-0a99-4094-bf42-541cce4add28 → 6732d89c-709a-409f-94c0-f674c19a5698
US-VT · governor · nowcast · Amanda Janoo	15% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	15% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 2db38d77-d3d4-494b-958f-5d2c491aea56 → fc3afe69-70ca-4770-957f-7ea86f76c00e
US-MI-6 · house · election_day · Debbie Dingell	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-7 · house · election_day · William Lawrence	60% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	60% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Thompson	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WA-5 · house · election_day · Carmela Conroy	3% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	3% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-LA · senate · election_day · Jamie Davis	12% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	12% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 82ad2e11-dab1-4c0a-849f-c508e4867002 → eb0f2c74-bf82-4227-8539-ee4db9d1da8f
US-LA · senate · nowcast · Jamie Davis	16% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	16% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7d825080-8f37-44fb-9f3c-afe2b8c76908 → c1c4c5a9-5c13-4b54-bc39-a973310850b3
US-NE · governor · election_day · Lynne Walz	22% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	22% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9b06c8fa-2daa-4f9f-95ee-8eac251eb8ba → de6c74fb-06f3-4360-a096-dfcbd19ef67e
US-NE · governor · nowcast · Lynne Walz	29% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	29% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ab2df919-2049-4761-8371-e2a7a0b211ae → c9b4768f-2973-4b1c-a685-a01f37a8c9c6
US-TX-1 · house · election_day · Yolanda Prince	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-39 · house · election_day · Mark Takano	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-35 · house · election_day · Johnny Garcia	47% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	47% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-9 · house · election_day · Rachel Wallace	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-11 · house · election_day · Jamie Ager	88% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	88% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MT-2 · house · election_day · Brian Miller	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-5 · house · election_day · Chuck Hubbard	6% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	6% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-3 · house · election_day · Hillary Scholten	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-11 · house · election_day · Chris Harden	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-13 · house · election_day · Mark Nair	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KS · governor · election_day · Cindy Holscher	36% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	36% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f5a66604-d243-4bb2-a413-38c22cf3856c → ba3a3d12-f364-498c-b8d4-4b9a1b6c0c3f
US-KS · governor · nowcast · Cindy Holscher	29% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	29% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 40b1254d-ffb5-4c93-b228-9be8d2273d5f → f6dbaae0-05d5-4471-823f-e196f84ee48f
US-AL-6 · house · election_day · Maurice Mercer	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NE-1 · house · election_day · Chris Backemeyer	18% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	18% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WI-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Beck	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-HI · governor · election_day · Josh Green	99% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	99% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7359cfc4-a853-42c0-8a1c-24ddc1a6c6ce → 789afe89-8e34-4c38-bbfa-f60722476427
US-FL-21 · house · election_day · James Martin	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-25 · house · election_day · Dione Sims	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WA-4 · house · election_day · John Duresky	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-48 · house · election_day · Marni von Wilpert	87% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	87% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-9 · house · election_day · Darren Soto	45% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	45% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-2 · house · election_day · Patrick Halpin	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-2 · house · election_day · Jared Huffman	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IN-8 · house · election_day · Mary Allen	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-RI-2 · house · election_day · Seth Magaziner	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-1 · house · election_day · Greg Landsman	93% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	93% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WY · senate · election_day · James W. Byrd	<1% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	<1% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 5528ed84-e3cd-4bee-8947-591b61003092 → 794587cb-658a-4c49-9591-601d0e6398b0
US-CA-18 · house · election_day · Zoe Lofgren	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-47 · house · election_day · Dave Min	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-UT-4 · house · election_day · Jonny Larsen	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-13 · house · election_day · Nikki Budzinski	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC · senate · election_day · Roy Cooper	96% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	96% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9319ad9f-35c8-4392-a152-dcfe10b2e3ba → e93b3b78-d239-4e22-90e6-f464d7f4487e
US-NC · senate · nowcast · Roy Cooper	97% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	97% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c10d03ee-2e12-46ab-9674-6c88ee3a3518 → 41057278-75e1-4834-8f35-06f03daf5c42
US-NV-1 · house · election_day · Dina Titus	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-4 · house · election_day · Laura Gillen	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ-4 · house · election_day · Rachel Peace	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OR · governor · election_day · Tina Kotek	81% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	81% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers e9ea2789-ade9-4be4-ba2f-a93d233a72b4 → e9ccb1c3-11e8-4bbd-95ee-58106642243a
US-OR · governor · nowcast · Tina Kotek	57% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	57% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3192f12d-e399-42fe-bf9e-336777f62b30 → 04d10a01-30f4-43bd-8b14-be428f5cdf39
US-SC · governor · election_day · Jermaine Johnson	5% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	5% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 363bb2b6-a16e-4854-bb4e-ec649c80da46 → b5c30704-7870-4a98-a70d-afc9d2f39100
US-SC · governor · nowcast · Jermaine Johnson	3% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	3% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3e68bf9a-3373-4dd8-883f-a2d9b83a147c → c790ecc6-a679-4fc5-90a6-93c9ad9b94bd
US-MN-8 · house · election_day · Trina Swanson	3% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	3% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-6 · house · election_day · Lucy McBath	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SD · senate · election_day · Brian Bengs	6% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	6% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers cca43723-5dca-487d-a57e-d13d8b03cac7 → fdca875f-b150-43da-8abe-db492b85d11f
US-SD · senate · nowcast · Brian Bengs	5% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	5% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 97c68bd7-d510-4980-97e5-a90fe53e83e1 → 9442f9c1-edf1-4b12-967b-a615138c184d
US-ID-1 · house · election_day · Kaylee Peterson	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-2 · house · election_day · Jennifer Mazzuckelli	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-1 · house · election_day · Gay Valimont	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-31 · house · election_day · Gil Cisneros	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-HI-2 · house · election_day · Jill Tokuda	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-8 · house · election_day · Don Beyer	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CO-1 · house · election_day · Melat Kiros	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-11 · house · election_day · Nancy Mannion	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AR · senate · election_day · Hallie Shoffner	5% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	5% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 76df536a-aa67-45cb-97bb-14578be9e6d7 → 40f46a98-28b9-4b3d-b40b-5dd17dce67dc
US-AR · senate · nowcast · Hallie Shoffner	13% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	13% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b2a15090-b241-4897-a5b3-51ca024d9e6f → b7b05809-ed9c-4046-b9bd-c68c4ea7a537
US-PA-15 · house · election_day · Ray Bilger	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AZ-5 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Lee	4% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	4% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-2 · house · election_day · Deborah Ross	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MN-4 · house · election_day · Betty McCollum	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-3 · house · election_day · Ami Bera	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-6 · house · election_day · Cyril Jefferson	4% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	4% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IA-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Trone Garriott	76% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	76% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-DE-AL · house · election_day · Sarah McBride	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OR-4 · house · election_day · Val Hoyle	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-17 · house · election_day · Chris Deluzio	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-5 · house · election_day · Nikema Williams	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NM-1 · house · election_day · Melanie Stansbury	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-41 · house · election_day · Linda Sánchez	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-38 · house · election_day · Hilda Solis	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-LA-1 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-14 · house · election_day · Kathy Castor	86% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	86% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MD-8 · house · election_day · Jamie Raskin	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-14 · house · election_day · Maria Jukic	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-12 · house · election_day · Micah Lasher	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-21 · house · election_day · Jim Costa	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ-9 · house · election_day · Nellie Pou	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AL-1 · house · election_day · Clyde Jones	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-18 · house · election_day · Pat Ryan	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-1 · house · election_day · Bob Harvie	29% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	29% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-6 · house · election_day · Grace Meng	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA · governor · election_day · Xavier Becerra	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 16d0cd67-1f51-4360-a9fa-c80e6ba5c15f → d1932443-cabb-4427-9b95-125826533294
US-CA · governor · nowcast · Xavier Becerra	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 19d5195c-7283-46d0-93b6-355e23a4d5b1 → ab9f0add-10cd-4988-978b-9053663df7bc
US-WI-4 · house · election_day · Gwen Moore	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AL · governor · election_day · Doug Jones	2% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	2% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 186d4474-74f5-4d9c-bdd3-e3eac421f869 → 344cb982-0880-49e6-91dd-ee687daeadee
US-AL · governor · nowcast · Doug Jones	2% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	2% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 1fc40fc6-9629-4611-baf9-a02a721504a2 → 0037e452-ef9d-4871-8959-753e3a45be97
US-FL-25 · house · election_day · Jared Moskowitz	78% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	78% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-24 · house · election_day · Kevin Burge	4% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	4% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-3 · house · election_day · Delia Ramirez	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-10 · house · election_day · Pamela DeLancy	4% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	4% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-26 · house · election_day · Nicole Locklin	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MO-4 · house · election_day · Jordan Herrera	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-7 · house · election_day · Bob Brooks	70% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	70% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-7 · house · election_day · Eugene Vindman	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-12 · house · election_day · Julie Fortier	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OK · governor · election_day · Cyndi Munson	17% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	17% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 5ccc4598-c956-4ebe-844b-3e8959cb3664 → c89c9f42-1293-490d-8a6f-6fd63c473ec3
US-OK · governor · nowcast · Cyndi Munson	29% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	29% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ccc3695d-afdf-4272-9fb6-aee8393dc8dd → 1725096f-29b3-41c2-994a-b2e905e1a6d2
US-TN-3 · house · election_day · Anna Golladay	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI · governor · election_day · Jocelyn Benson	93% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	93% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 8a112fc3-a159-4e93-96c9-ad202555b347 → 60372798-751e-4846-93f5-537bc3a6c6e9
US-MI · governor · nowcast · Jocelyn Benson	94% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	94% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 56f4277f-5600-4ad1-8ab7-20e8a56b8fcb → 8929845f-0780-4eb6-b8c0-3a9f769c59b5
US-MA · senate · election_day · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 34a707e0-c963-4de8-a0f0-f2f4a110a7b2 → 56df51d8-cad9-4ac0-a4d2-e9fd15195802
US-MA · senate · nowcast · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 354c5166-447a-4227-9898-13b54ca130a4 → f15a7bdf-f116-4763-8fed-708ea8ef59fb
US-IL-7 · house · election_day · La Shawn Ford	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-11 · house · election_day · Shontel Brown	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-5 · house · election_day · Tom Perriello	17% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	17% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-1 · house · election_day · Jonathan Jackson	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Jones	24% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	24% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-23 · house · election_day · Lois Frankel	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AK · governor · election_day · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	89% 2026-10-27T03:02:03Z	89% 2026-10-28T00:09:44Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a8a199d9-d290-48a9-ae57-b22154b0635a → f7097882-3863-4bec-ae64-8fa83d256c7c
US-AK · governor · nowcast · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	90% 2026-10-27T03:02:03Z	90% 2026-10-28T00:09:44Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5712c2a9-d006-48d0-a547-73610516b46a → 748a74ad-a17f-4296-be5a-b591020a474c
US-MI-5 · house · election_day · Christian Vukasovich	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NH-1 · house · election_day · Stefany Shaheen	84% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	84% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-11 · house · election_day · James Walkinshaw	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-22 · house · election_day · Pia Dandiya	62% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	62% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-18 · house · election_day · Curtis Gibson	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AK-AL · house · election_day · Bill Hill	36% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	36% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-1 · house · election_day · Mike McGuire	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-RI-1 · house · election_day · Gabe Amo	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MO-8 · house · election_day · Christopher Reichard	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ · senate · election_day · Cory Booker	94% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	94% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 365e4faf-81a7-4d91-9449-560d1668ae5f → e0cddbbd-a2a3-4d67-960d-ea4f413d55a3
US-PA-12 · house · election_day · Summer Lee	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KY-4 · house · election_day · Melissa Claire Strange	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-3 · house · election_day · Tom Suozzi	95% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	95% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IN-7 · house · election_day · André Carson	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IA · senate · election_day · Josh Turek	49% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	49% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 002336a6-3421-4ade-b8a8-0d5dc44d18d9 → b146feb0-fd49-4275-a961-c0e645339417
US-IA · senate · nowcast · Josh Turek	52% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	52% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers bbc890de-f863-43fa-836e-d4754798ca5f → 86287173-e1f5-432e-88bd-a72d23b9c111
US-NY-13 · house · election_day · Darializa Avila Chevalier	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-36 · house · election_day · Rhonda Hart	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-23 · house · election_day · Katy Padilla Stout	21% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	21% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-7 · house · election_day · Lizzie Fletcher	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IA-4 · house · election_day · Dave Dawson	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CO · senate · election_day · John Hickenlooper	97% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	97% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3fa8cc57-2c00-465d-ac39-fc07bcffbdfb → 17a4ca5f-1f3e-4a49-93a4-57bc9045d3da
US-AL-3 · house · election_day · Lee McInnis	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-36 · house · election_day · Ted Lieu	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MT-1 · house · election_day · Sam Forstag	41% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	41% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MD-5 · house · election_day · Adrian Boafo	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-19 · house · election_day · Jimmy Panetta	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-33 · house · election_day · Colin Allred	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-20 · house · election_day · Paul Tonko	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-2 · house · election_day · Sanford Bishop	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-3 · house · election_day · Raymond Smith Jr.	24% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	24% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-52 · house · election_day · Juan Vargas	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Beck	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-LA-5 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OR-1 · house · election_day · Suzanne Bonamici	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NM · senate · election_day · Ben Ray Luján	97% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	97% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 39489a2c-b0c1-4374-b875-02aaead2fd9b → df60ea57-b5aa-4606-8406-803b2bcc4861
US-NM · senate · nowcast · Ben Ray Luján	96% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	96% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b68a8fc2-3256-4313-bec5-7112424ac547 → 99a88e95-2b40-4430-8067-e87747f79177
US-NC-10 · house · election_day · Ashley Bell	3% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	3% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-12 · house · election_day · Jerrad Christian	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MO-2 · house · election_day · Fred Wellman	46% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	46% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-16 · house · election_day · Justin Wagner	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-26 · house · election_day · Jacqui Irwin	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WA-10 · house · election_day · Marilyn Strickland	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KS-4 · house · election_day · Katy Tyndell	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CO-8 · house · election_day · Manny Rutinel	67% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	67% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-4 · house · election_day · Sean McCann	45% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	45% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-30 · house · election_day · Laura Friedman	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-5 · house · election_day · Chelsey Hockett	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MO-3 · house · election_day · Bethany Mann	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SD · governor · election_day · Dan Ahlers	2% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	2% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 641cff5b-15e6-4f44-b739-9140bcd3659b → 30a98116-8b27-459e-9a6d-6090b92b966a
US-SD · governor · nowcast · Dan Ahlers	3% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	3% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers d2dd6e29-14e4-4e15-8968-56c1d3ee826f → c2ed833f-0e55-48f6-999d-33ecc45c4ee8
US-AR-3 · house · election_day · Robb Ryerse	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-17 · house · election_day · Ro Khanna	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-9 · house · election_day · Ray Pooley	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-11 · house · election_day · Claire Reynolds	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SC · senate · election_day · Annie Andrews	22% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	22% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c1ecb769-352e-4c03-a4d3-f428723ec20d → 58d552a0-e173-4607-a1fa-885d2e24364b
US-SC · senate · nowcast · Annie Andrews	31% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	31% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ee06b907-5088-486f-b329-c8785e475c08 → dfd4af11-a48a-4e57-8fa9-e72db02e3338
US-IL-15 · house · election_day · Jennifer Todd	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-9 · house · election_day · Yvette Clarke	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA · senate · election_day · Jon Ossoff	94% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	94% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 17d45ac0-7446-4dda-9c99-e846bc3ad2a3 → 4338b7cd-a039-4985-bf86-7360ad9b9936
US-GA · senate · nowcast · Jon Ossoff	94% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	94% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 045035a3-c92a-4ab7-bdc3-8432fe2774fe → 79d15d39-550e-48ae-8054-4a6352d08a80
US-NY-19 · house · election_day · Josh Riley	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-4 · house · election_day · Jennifer McClellan	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MS-1 · house · election_day · Cliff Johnson	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-DE · senate · election_day · Chris Coons	99% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	99% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f4b5a082-605c-4324-879f-fb8db8155506 → 8aa3bb8a-abca-4746-a216-0ba91d029052
US-IL · governor · election_day · JB Pritzker	98% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	98% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a1e2c512-3097-4832-af3e-382b9bedffb8 → 97b07a87-1af9-46b3-bc2c-6cf345a28000
US-IL · governor · nowcast · JB Pritzker	99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b1eaf5b2-8299-456f-b4dd-44cab6a5cb4b → 2129901d-40ca-4d98-b9cc-0bbbe402e601
US-WA-6 · house · election_day · Emily Randall	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-19 · house · election_day · Victor Arias	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SC-1 · house · election_day · Nancy Lacore	37% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	37% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-10 · house · election_day · Kristina Knickerbocker	9% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	9% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-3 · house · election_day · Seth Harp	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-RI · senate · election_day · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b0a682f6-e2f8-45c4-b7c5-8ea6ab1deab4 → ec5e0c33-262c-4bfb-9a79-54ec5893aabc
US-RI · senate · nowcast · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 15dd402c-972d-4c6f-bb34-c43dbdd3e5a0 → 0de20371-70dd-4e09-823e-c8d366e9ce81
US-CA-44 · house · election_day · Nanette Barragán	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NH · senate · election_day · Chris Pappas	91% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	91% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a1b1dd13-a085-43e7-b374-fd2ec1c08d85 → aa20db6f-518d-4067-89a2-0b315fe3ddd9
US-NH · senate · nowcast · Chris Pappas	88% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	87% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Displayed 88% → 87%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers aea1d5a3-e175-4dac-a1fd-d6a677804d0c → bf728639-f24a-4d4b-b930-c45cecd49ee5
US-AZ-9 · house · election_day · Danielle Sterbinsky	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-17 · house · election_day · Cait Conley	51% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	51% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-21 · house · election_day · Kristin Hook	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MA-6 · house · election_day · Dan Koh	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-17 · house · election_day · Eric Sorensen	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NM-2 · house · election_day · Gabe Vasquez	84% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	84% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-9 · house · election_day · Joy Powers	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IN-1 · house · election_day · Frank Mrvan	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-8 · house · election_day · Hakeem Jeffries	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AR-1 · house · election_day · Terri Yarbrough	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KY-6 · house · election_day · Zach Dembo	57% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	57% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-12 · house · election_day · Rashida Tlaib	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TN-6 · house · election_day · Mike Croley	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-5 · house · election_day · Mary Gay Scanlon	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NV · governor · election_day · Aaron Ford	38% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	38% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 8279f8d0-56c3-4bb1-a095-7367b391ff79 → 2353c73e-e2e7-4b94-83a7-7d7c3dd75a82
US-NV · governor · nowcast · Aaron Ford	32% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	32% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 88f5931a-08a7-45be-9e3e-4c46462d5d40 → 0ba45b0c-7f1a-4a68-b2f3-0b896e7d590d
US-SC-4 · house · election_day · Courtney McClain	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IN-5 · house · election_day · J.D. Ford	16% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	16% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-35 · house · election_day · Norma Torres	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-24 · house · election_day · Alissa Ellman	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-LA-6 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AZ-1 · house · election_day · Amish Shah	72% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	72% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WV-1 · house · election_day · Vince George	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ-3 · house · election_day · Herb Conaway	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IN-2 · house · election_day · Jamee Decio	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-27 · house · election_day · George Whitesides	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-37 · house · election_day · Greg Casar	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-49 · house · election_day · Mike Levin	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TN-5 · house · election_day · Chaz Molder	13% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	13% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-12 · house · election_day · Ceretta Smith	3% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	3% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AZ-6 · house · election_day · JoAnna Mendoza	67% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	67% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SC-2 · house · election_day · Zyon Khalifa	5% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	5% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-20 · house · election_day · Joaquin Castro	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WA-1 · house · election_day · Suzan DelBene	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-13 · house · election_day · Beth Farnham	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AK · senate · election_day · Mary Peltola	57% 2026-10-27T03:02:03Z	57% 2026-10-28T00:09:44Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 343940f3-df69-4e7c-825a-a245cf5c12cc → 9de18298-6fa2-48ed-9aae-505cff5d1362
US-AK · senate · nowcast · Mary Peltola	57% 2026-10-27T03:02:03Z	57% 2026-10-28T00:09:44Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 007a993c-d67b-4149-b918-85e639a79e1d → 28ec3efe-c170-4073-b299-93b88ef75541
US-NJ-7 · house · election_day · Rebecca Bennett	70% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	70% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TN · senate · election_day · Marquita Bradshaw	1% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	1% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 716956b9-6fd0-4bb5-a235-57053b1137ba → 350d6ede-0ef0-46ce-9924-002fe255aa2b
US-TN · senate · nowcast · Marquita Bradshaw	1% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	1% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3feb1cb3-bf63-4d75-8aa9-fab6bb7aa060 → 651cc8c5-af2b-42d0-829d-8b50ee984c0e
US-CA-9 · house · election_day · Josh Harder	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-LA-2 · house · election_day · Troy A. Carter Sr.	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NC-8 · house · election_day · Colby Watson	3% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	3% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-26 · house · election_day · Steven Shook	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-9 · house · election_day · Leticia Gutierrez	5% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	5% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SC-5 · house · election_day · Mallory Dittmer	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-SD-AL · house · election_day · Nicole Gronli	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-8 · house · election_day · Melissa Bean	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VA-1 · house · election_day · Shannon Taylor	57% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	57% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-15 · house · election_day · Bobby Pulido	61% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	61% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AL-2 · house · election_day · Shomari Figures	42% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	42% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MN-1 · house · election_day · Jake Johnson	29% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	29% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KS-3 · house · election_day · Sharice Davids	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CT-2 · house · election_day · Joe Courtney	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NV-4 · house · election_day · Steven Horsford	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-16 · house · election_day · George Latimer	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MD-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Elfreth	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-12 · house · election_day · Kimberly Overman	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IN-6 · house · election_day · Cynthia Wirth	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-6 · house · election_day · Chrissy Houlahan	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MO-7 · house · election_day · Missi Hesketh	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WI-7 · house · election_day · Fred Clark	5% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	5% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MA-9 · house · election_day · Bill Keating	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KY-3 · house · election_day · Morgan McGarvey	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-HI-1 · house · election_day · Ed Case	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-16 · house · election_day · Veronica Escobar	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MD-1 · house · election_day · Dan Schwartz	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-15 · house · election_day · Ritchie Torres	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ-5 · house · election_day · Josh Gottheimer	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-UT-3 · house · election_day · Kent Udell	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-20 · house · election_day · Debbie Wasserman Schultz	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-45 · house · election_day · Derek Tran	98% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	98% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-30 · house · election_day · Frederick Haynes III	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-25 · house · election_day · Joseph Morelle	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CT-5 · house · election_day · Jahana Hayes	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-8 · house · election_day · Kelly Esti	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-27 · house · election_day · Tanya Lloyd	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CO-3 · house · election_day · Dwayne Romero	25% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	25% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IA-1 · house · election_day · Christina Bohannan	76% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	76% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-10 · house · election_day · Caitlin Rourk	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-13 · house · election_day · Leela Gray	28% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	28% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-5 · house · election_day · Brian Shaver	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-VT-AL · house · election_day · Becca Balint	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MS-2 · house · election_day · Bennie Thompson	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KS-1 · house · election_day · Lauren Reinhold	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-25 · house · election_day · Raul Ruiz	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-16 · house · election_day · Paul Nolley	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-50 · house · election_day · Scott Peters	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-17 · house · election_day · Matthew Montavon	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI · senate · election_day · Abdul El-Sayed	68% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	68% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers eb0c1f21-ed20-4639-9d30-7468f2690f5c → 06214e4f-4b99-4282-8c33-6dea1d27736b
US-MI · senate · nowcast · Abdul El-Sayed	70% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	70% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c2be1ef4-0c17-44c8-b25e-d148325769ee → 49f872ea-8b00-4761-827a-c1f723dccb4a
US-CA-46 · house · election_day · Lou Correa	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA · governor · election_day · Keisha Lance Bottoms	57% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	57% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 1650f460-1b97-4a9f-a1f6-e75fcac196c2 → 20a6fe98-f977-4db2-9a62-350aeafb2ec2
US-GA · governor · nowcast · Keisha Lance Bottoms	43% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	43% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 0836126c-f021-47fd-a6fe-474383a020d8 → 9f921396-6e17-4fff-89cb-0d6b15da9bda
US-WY-AL · house · election_day · Lisa F. Kinney	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NH-2 · house · election_day · Maggie Goodlander	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-13 · house · election_day · Jasmine Clark	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CO-2 · house · election_day · Joe Neguse	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ-1 · house · election_day · Donald Norcross	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-6 · house · election_day · Sean Casten	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MA · governor · election_day · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c6b97653-29a7-49b2-8a08-8665f6de3e22 → d1613774-2f67-4f6b-9609-95141300cbb6
US-MA · governor · nowcast · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 81e08a9a-d4e7-4d92-a96b-eb6a2ed35dff → 99edc74f-5efa-4ce4-a214-1fa5e421a06e
US-NV-3 · house · election_day · Susie Lee	98% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	98% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WA-9 · house · election_day · Adam Smith	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-10 · house · election_day · Mark DeSaulnier	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-KY · senate · election_day · Charles Booker	7% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	7% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 25dc6612-360e-47f3-8455-60a7ccc8d8d4 → 798e081e-ad11-4dde-aa0e-2e99a502c458
US-KY · senate · nowcast · Charles Booker	8% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	8% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b7bc65f2-dd5e-44bf-b02c-8781373dad2b → a97880e3-e985-4776-afb0-e8c7055e01c8
US-WI-8 · house · election_day · Rick Crosson	3% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	3% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WI · governor · election_day · David Crowley	75% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	75% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers df634ae9-d4b7-41e4-be87-c83f44dc52b1 → 68a32ab0-52c6-4231-8e7b-012a8590aa4c
US-WI · governor · nowcast · David Crowley	78% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	78% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 2345e4da-54cb-4ef7-a508-e238678b51d9 → a4495792-e3de-43b9-b781-8fcce8db39b5
US-GA-4 · house · election_day · Hank Johnson	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY · governor · election_day · Kathy Hochul	98% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	98% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers dc9ac197-c304-44ff-9199-8f7f286874a2 → f48b2826-c555-4550-a475-8522458cc847
US-NY · governor · nowcast · Kathy Hochul	98% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	98% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 495b74e6-c555-44b3-b571-f431f7e0f091 → a5f9beb4-fd0b-4e15-8eca-aeada19a211d
US-CO-6 · house · election_day · Jason Crow	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-1 · house · election_day · Callie Barr	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA-14 · house · election_day · Alan Bradstock	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-ME · governor · election_day · Hannah Pingree	98% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	98% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers dc62663a-f96d-4569-8a41-a70fdf753b18 → 76eedac9-bc76-43c5-a817-52a27fb3ea2c
US-ME · governor · nowcast · Hannah Pingree	98% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	98% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 5984f29d-553a-4409-befc-d20003a418ed → 977e43b3-f125-4995-a304-1730f8f2a2b9
US-CT-1 · house · election_day · Luke Bronin	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-24 · house · election_day · Salud Carbajal	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-9 · house · election_day · Caitlyn Gegen	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OK-4 · house · election_day · Mitchell Jacob	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-OH-6 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Kirtley	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-31 · house · election_day · Justin Early	2% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	2% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WY · governor · election_day · Kenneth Casner	<1% 2026-10-27T03:02:00Z	<1% 2026-10-27T08:50:10Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 77ddd5df-6d55-451f-9888-8d5191be36cf → e22f6e06-7938-42ec-94e8-c877e36706fe
US-TX-3 · house · election_day · Evan Hunt	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CO-4 · house · election_day · Eileen Laubacher	6% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	6% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IN-9 · house · election_day · Brad Meyer	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-6 · house · election_day · Danny Minton	1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AZ-2 · house · election_day · Jonathan Nez	22% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	22% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-GA-7 · house · election_day · Anthony Kozycki	6% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	6% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-PA · governor · election_day · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b5f4280d-e7c4-42cf-bc86-2fe519b2e0b9 → f5d7493b-b206-4f72-9d48-4d68d7c7ad43
US-PA · governor · nowcast · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	>99% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers eec8dd45-f49c-4079-a3e2-dc2155834f69 → 65128a13-23a7-46c9-993c-7ad79ac7eab3
US-NJ-10 · house · election_day · LaMonica McIver	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MD-4 · house · election_day · Glenn Ivey	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NJ-11 · house · election_day · Analilia Mejia	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IL-10 · house · election_day · Brad Schneider	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-IN-4 · house · election_day · Drew Cox	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WI-1 · house · election_day · Mitchell Berman	23% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	23% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-10 · house · election_day · Brad Lander	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-6 · house · election_day · Richard Pan	77% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	77% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-19 · house · election_day · Kyle Rable	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WV-2 · house · election_day · Ace Parsi	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TN-9 · house · election_day · Justin J. Pearson	7% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	7% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-11 · house · election_day · Jeremy Moss	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-FL-7 · house · election_day · Bale Dalton	73% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	73% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MN · governor · election_day · Amy Klobuchar	95% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	95% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6acd20b8-089b-4b5e-9fe9-881cf8961c80 → fc876ea5-05aa-4542-9e4d-f0ab2e7862a3
US-MN · governor · nowcast · Amy Klobuchar	95% 2026-10-27T02:46:22Z	95% 2026-10-27T08:35:40Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9be3697d-0edc-400a-8549-2c29f99d2331 → 5d0c963c-aa8b-423a-90e5-54e5e4b19fe6
US-IL-2 · house · election_day · Donna Miller	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-42 · house · election_day · Robert Garcia	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CA-8 · house · election_day · John Garamendi	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-TX-18 · house · election_day · Christian Menefee	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-MI-8 · house · election_day · Kristen McDonald Rivet	99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-11 · house · election_day · Michael DeCillis	<1% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	<1% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-WA-8 · house · election_day · Kim Schrier	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-AZ-8 · house · election_day · Bernadette Greene-Placentia	4% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	4% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-NY-26 · house · election_day · Tim Kennedy	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848
US-CT-4 · house · election_day · Jim Himes	>99% 2026-10-27T05:28:56Z	>99% 2026-10-27T11:57:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52f87f17-651e-4ce8-9e1a-912ba043b705 → 026c5520-20ed-48a2-bbcd-52ceff5df848