Published forecasts: 2026-10-23
Last published snapshot for this Pacific day. These records were published at the time; no reconstructed forecasts are added.
Compared with the previous available closed day, 2026-10-22. Dates may be more than one day apart.
- 2026-10-22: race records · chamber records · file hashes
- 2026-10-23: race records · chamber records · file hashes
Chambers
Stored party-control bounds; unavailable values stay unavailable. The linked downloads retain model versions and run identifiers.
| Chamber / product | Earlier | Later |
|---|---|---|
| governors · election_day | D 70%–70%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-22T15:43:56Z | D 70%–70%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-23T19:44:18Z |
| governors · nowcast | D 67%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-22T15:43:56Z | D 67%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-23T19:44:18Z |
| house · election_day | D 82%–82%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | D 83%–83%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-23T23:02:09Z |
| senate · election_day | D 53%–62%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-22T11:03:09Z | D 53%–61%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-23T22:42:06Z |
| senate · nowcast | D 60%–66%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-22T11:03:09Z | D 52%–59%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-23T22:42:06Z |
Races
Changes refer to the displayed, rounded percentages. Exact probabilities are in the downloads. Candidate changes are separate rows. A poll appearing between runs is not proof it caused a move. Poll arrivals, money and candidate events are not captured by these forecast files; the model and correction record provides other context.
| Race and subject | Earlier chance / run time | Later chance / run time | Change | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-LA-6 · house · election_day · Democratic Party | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | Not in this snapshot Unavailable | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → Unavailable |
| US-TX-22 · house · election_day · Marquette Greene-Scott | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-4 · house · election_day · Valerie Foushee | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OR · senate · election_day · Jeff Merkley | 98% 2026-10-22T11:02:19Z | 99% 2026-10-23T10:37:40Z | Displayed 98% → 99% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers546672db-5258-424d-ad53-c87429461588 → 9799cfd8-1f1d-45ea-8fbd-2db14edc8911 |
| US-VA · senate · election_day · Mark Warner | 97% 2026-10-21T08:52:55Z | 93% 2026-10-23T18:20:00Z | Displayed 97% → 93% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersbeecd379-3d44-42d8-abf6-27032956599c → ce3ea00b-bc27-4616-8f1e-6d28db3c4cb2 |
| US-VA · senate · nowcast · Mark Warner | 98% 2026-10-21T08:52:55Z | Not in this snapshot Unavailable | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers23facab9-21e7-4d57-a617-4f21887f142e → Unavailable |
| US-OH-4 · house · election_day · Joshua Kolasinski | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WA-3 · house · election_day · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 43% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 45% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 43% → 45% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-14 · house · election_day · LaKesha Womack | 9% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 7% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 9% → 7% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OK-5 · house · election_day · Jena Nelson | 5% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 5% → 4% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MN-7 · house · election_day · Erik Osberg | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MT · senate · election_day · Seth Bodnar | 1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 1% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers4120a8b6-d156-445f-b5a1-77efbb745080 → 6e2da200-572b-4377-9c59-a37bc65b748e |
| US-MT · senate · nowcast · Seth Bodnar | 1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 1% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers921a1f46-c510-43de-800b-750f2f5a0d0f → 73fecace-89be-46a8-871e-a2a9be9ddc0c |
| US-CA-20 · house · election_day · Sandra Van Scotter | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AL-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Sneed | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-1 · house · election_day · Don Davis | 83% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 85% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 83% → 85% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-7 · house · election_day · Brian Poindexter | 86% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 86% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OK-2 · house · election_day · Brandon Wade | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-12 · house · election_day · Alma Adams | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TN · governor · election_day · Jerri Green | 1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 2% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 1% → 2% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersed8dfb59-bc41-4e97-8208-a61086eda4a8 → b7488fda-6939-4e8b-a891-3f2ad6707088 |
| US-TN · governor · nowcast · Jerri Green | 1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 1% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersacb44782-45db-4332-9d1e-87b57d880bf6 → 22e5dc01-d887-4f55-b67b-7ebc58686410 |
| US-ID-2 · house · election_day · Ellie Gilbreath | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AZ-4 · house · election_day · Greg Stanton | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-9 · house · election_day · Richard Ojeda | 12% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 11% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 12% → 11% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IA-2 · house · election_day · Lindsay James | 49% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 49% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-38 · house · election_day · Melissa McDonough | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-LA-3 · house · election_day · Democratic Party | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-5 · house · election_day · Gregory Meeks | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AR-4 · house · election_day · James Russell | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL · senate · election_day · Angie Nixon | 12% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 12% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers7e9a2c9f-cbc8-40ab-996c-93d1b39919bc → bd0ea61c-9e84-40e4-b20f-7287e93d3f81 |
| US-FL · senate · nowcast · Angie Nixon | 10% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 10% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers7d93ddd2-2b5b-4dbc-a07e-a7cecfdeaf27 → 88d94cf2-f5e6-4380-9021-0970f8bea18c |
| US-MN-5 · house · election_day · Ilhan Omar | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-28 · house · election_day · Henry Cuellar | 72% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 71% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 72% → 71% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NV-2 · house · election_day · Teresa Benitez-Thompson | 40% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 42% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 40% → 42% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-4 · house · election_day · Jason Pearce | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX · governor · election_day · Gina Hinojosa | 24% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 22% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 24% → 22% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers020fd7b9-3d69-4128-be7b-fb897d721ff9 → c72a20b8-c68c-432f-9ac2-233b1e9bbbee |
| US-TX · governor · nowcast · Gina Hinojosa | 28% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 27% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 28% → 27% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersf8f32402-cae8-4c0f-9096-c957a97c6dbc → d7f138fc-65b2-4ec3-8984-ae63627b453c |
| US-MA-8 · house · election_day · Stephen Lynch | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-13 · house · election_day · Paul Barringer | 3% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 3% → 2% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-7 · house · election_day · Claire Valdez | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-ND-AL · house · election_day · Trygve Hammer | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-9 · house · election_day · Daniel Biss | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-2 · house · election_day · Benjamin Ambrose | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MD-6 · house · election_day · April McClain Delaney | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AL-7 · house · election_day · Terri Sewell | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-33 · house · election_day · Pete Aguilar | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-24 · house · election_day · Oliver Gilbert | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-2 · house · election_day · Elaine Luria | 56% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 61% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 56% → 61% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-4 · house · election_day · LaShonda Holloway | 7% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 5% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 7% → 5% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-10 · house · election_day · Christina Hines | 44% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 44% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MN-2 · house · election_day · Matt Little | 89% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 89% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-8 · house · election_day · Jennifer Jenkins | 3% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 3% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-51 · house · election_day · Sara Jacobs | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-16 · house · election_day · Sam Liccardo | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OR-6 · house · election_day · Andrea Salinas | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-10 · house · election_day · Suhas Subramanyam | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-28 · house · election_day · Judy Chu | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-4 · house · election_day · Patty Garcia | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OR-3 · house · election_day · Maxine Dexter | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NM · governor · election_day · Deb Haaland | 91% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 91% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierscf95b826-1928-4825-827a-1cae4c109712 → 2216f58e-3b1a-4344-8996-5cde1a13df95 |
| US-NM · governor · nowcast · Deb Haaland | 92% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 91% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 92% → 91% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersd3bd42f5-2972-492c-833b-1642fcc160c8 → 9ae3f14d-37d4-41c9-987f-09ba5ef3723a |
| US-TX-29 · house · election_day · Sylvia Garcia | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OR-5 · house · election_day · Janelle Bynum | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-3 · house · election_day · Maura Keller | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-5 · house · election_day · Michael Masuda | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-21 · house · election_day · Blake Gendebien | 26% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 27% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 26% → 27% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-15 · house · election_day · Kevin Mullin | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-27 · house · election_day · Eliott Rodriguez | 15% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 15% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MO-1 · house · election_day · Wesley Bell | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KY-1 · house · election_day · John "Drew" Williams | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SC-3 · house · election_day · Eunice Lehmacher | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-14 · house · election_day · Shawn Harris | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-ID · senate · election_day · Todd Achilles | 3% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 3% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers2fa4e987-72f9-4b13-a663-24189f0fc117 → 2870070d-cf9f-41af-bc60-447c3550b138 |
| US-ID · senate · nowcast · Todd Achilles | 2% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 2% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers224d93f2-0bb5-4f7c-b70b-52e762efd1a2 → 98d76abd-d7ce-4b99-8e5e-7b42731d8436 |
| US-TN-2 · house · election_day · Michaela Barnett | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CO-7 · house · election_day · Brittany Pettersen | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-8 · house · election_day · Paige Cognetti | 47% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 49% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 47% → 49% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KS-2 · house · election_day · Don Coover | 3% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 3% → 2% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-14 · house · election_day · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH · governor · election_day · Amy Acton | 71% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 72% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 71% → 72% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers721d6d59-bfc2-47af-a309-29792bc89e55 → 351086ac-3c05-4af9-9a10-398677c5c0f3 |
| US-OH · governor · nowcast · Amy Acton | 76% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 76% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers839f257f-2644-4d44-9658-c46fefdb4718 → 4d1c4baa-41e4-4834-a7b0-471053dfdb8f |
| US-AR · governor · election_day · Fredrick Love | 4% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 4% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers6c7e7659-5a1b-497d-9a65-eb238085e33f → b914f99a-b742-4573-a22d-7fb861fbbd42 |
| US-AR · governor · nowcast · Fredrick Love | 7% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 7% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers34cce3fc-8b60-4533-8b2d-f8f9812e0a9a → 2f33a460-d504-414b-8972-d09623826a90 |
| US-MO-6 · house · election_day · Josh Smead | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KS · senate · election_day · Adam Hamilton | 37% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 40% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 37% → 40% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierscbe64703-f00c-48e5-b08b-05da71e95ce5 → f7b4b5cb-62b1-4cf2-b549-f35768492282 |
| US-KS · senate · nowcast · Adam Hamilton | 53% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 53% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersb31d5c5c-8408-4439-a86a-bb4600f72519 → 1d487307-c93d-4b35-a8c4-70521c205b37 |
| US-ME · senate · election_day · Troy Jackson | 39% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 54% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 39% → 54% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers91cdee12-bca3-418b-8567-ce109d198cee → d90c7f88-9398-4a49-8d17-32e7e8f9b2a2 |
| US-ME · senate · nowcast · Troy Jackson | 67% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 65% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 67% → 65% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers4d3efd90-767f-4155-822d-6a59dc582fcf → 1c393652-0e17-4e61-b32b-5e2220904973 |
| US-CA-13 · house · election_day · Adam Gray | 91% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 97% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 91% → 97% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-17 · house · election_day · Casey Shepard | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-11 · house · election_day · Bill Foster | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-28 · house · election_day · Phil Ehr | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MO-5 · house · election_day · Emanuel Cleaver | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-22 · house · election_day · John Mannion | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MD · governor · election_day · Wes Moore | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers58167b0e-91f1-4763-ad4f-ecb8b7723e2a → e3f4cc16-2199-4d2f-9fb9-d05f1e7489b1 |
| US-MD · governor · nowcast · Wes Moore | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers23eb51aa-bc46-4479-8a30-9bbbc50652b6 → beef5da4-f092-449a-99c9-e92bb0e8cd30 |
| US-CO-5 · house · election_day · Jessica Killin | 34% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 28% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 34% → 28% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-2 · house · election_day · Amanda Green | 5% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 5% → 4% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MA-3 · house · election_day · Lori Trahan | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-3 · house · election_day · Joyce Beatty | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NH · governor · election_day · Cinde Warmington | 7% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 7% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers48f91960-060a-44bf-ab3a-c8cb3e08a95f → 54945e03-8075-4f93-9525-902352d9a762 |
| US-NH · governor · nowcast · Cinde Warmington | 4% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 4% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierseb156ddb-dac2-49ea-9f31-f34d5d8e8e3d → c21770ad-cbef-483f-b9cc-e25ced730150 |
| US-NC-7 · house · election_day · Kimberly Hardy | 8% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 6% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 8% → 6% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WV · senate · election_day · Rachel Fetty Anderson | 1% 2026-10-22T11:02:19Z | <1% 2026-10-23T10:37:40Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersee5a0b87-ac2c-41d9-981d-0e4512d0dd36 → ea594de8-e610-43e5-adb9-c186ffa98510 |
| US-OK · senate · election_day · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas | 1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 1% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers5814ac84-38c0-45a1-863f-928dd02047d5 → 421cd9ad-e408-4c34-b97d-4a7c76e11824 |
| US-OK · senate · nowcast · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas | <1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | <1% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers1aa0d534-549a-4cea-8cbe-d51036133918 → 4e56b063-fb5b-4b87-b7ac-160f390a9ffc |
| US-CA-32 · house · election_day · Brad Sherman | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NE · senate · election_day · Dan Osborn | 48% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 48% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers0de9bf76-8313-4d9b-96df-dad449dd62d2 → 72a8c030-2736-49d0-80aa-0e91f1576cde |
| US-NE · senate · nowcast · Dan Osborn | 48% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 48% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersfd6a4000-601c-48b3-9b80-e258c19be627 → 3cb141d1-4494-4420-9aea-54f0f305be35 |
| US-TN-1 · house · election_day · Kristi Burke | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-12 · house · election_day · Angela Rodriguez Prilliman | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MS-4 · house · election_day · Jeffrey Hulum III | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OK-1 · house · election_day · John Croisant | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WA-2 · house · election_day · Rick Larsen | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SC-7 · house · election_day · John Vincent | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OK-3 · house · election_day · Suzie Byrd | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-ID · governor · election_day · Terri Pickens | <1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | <1% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers540e0df6-c19e-4c02-8084-7386a625389e → da4e019d-7fe4-4537-a1e7-66ae7cb2202e |
| US-ID · governor · nowcast · Terri Pickens | 1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 1% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierse274a9e0-0370-444d-a756-c6b7b2f038f9 → 0af90242-fd07-4b3a-82b5-d54953b3859b |
| US-TX-8 · house · election_day · Laura Jones | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-1 · house · election_day · Amanda Hollowell | 6% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 5% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 6% → 5% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-UT-1 · house · election_day · Ben McAdams | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL · senate · election_day · Juliana Stratton | 96% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 97% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 96% → 97% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers9802cb1f-9063-4ba6-abe9-c0135e53fbf8 → d252dc81-061a-49aa-99f9-222b044df47d |
| US-IL · senate · nowcast · Juliana Stratton | 95% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 95% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers523f8d65-9889-45c8-b037-9200280ec198 → a079e9cc-7bd8-4214-9c1f-22187128a157 |
| US-ME-1 · house · election_day · Chellie Pingree | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-2 · house · election_day · Brendan Boyle | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH · senate · election_day · Sherrod Brown | 74% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 75% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 74% → 75% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers89434f9a-eff9-4bb0-8f8e-44f5592d2d6e → d6dd6514-f89b-4782-9fc1-e5eecf71448d |
| US-OH · senate · nowcast · Sherrod Brown | 79% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 79% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersad62d324-60e9-4e00-9bec-8467396d879f → 4f74586f-a1ae-4b73-9749-249dec9e1a79 |
| US-CA-23 · house · election_day · Tessa Lynn Hodge | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WA-7 · house · election_day · Pramila Jayapal | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MN-6 · house · election_day · Doug Chapin | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-1 · house · election_day · Chris Gallant | 15% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 13% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 15% → 13% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AZ-7 · house · election_day · Adelita Grijalva | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CT-3 · house · election_day · Rosa DeLauro | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-4 · house · election_day · Madeleine Dean | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-23 · house · election_day · Aaron Gies | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NJ-6 · house · election_day · Frank Pallone | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-2 · house · election_day · Shaun Finnie | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-UT-2 · house · election_day · Peter Crosby | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KY-5 · house · election_day · Ned Pillersdorf | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-16 · house · election_day · Kelly Kirschner | 25% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 20% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 25% → 20% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-5 · house · election_day · Mike Quigley | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MS-3 · house · election_day · Michael Chiaradio | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-15 · house · election_day · Don Leonard | 36% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 35% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 36% → 35% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MA-4 · house · election_day · Jake Auchincloss | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-LA-4 · house · election_day · Democratic Party | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-11 · house · election_day · James Pericola | 6% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 5% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 6% → 5% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-14 · house · election_day · Thurman Bartie | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-ME-2 · house · election_day · Matthew Dunlap | 30% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 31% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 30% → 31% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IA · governor · election_day · Rob Sand | 85% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 85% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersf9f8d8b2-042e-4dd4-b906-0c5c90ffc564 → 6f094bb7-d204-486d-b26c-30bf31e97dfc |
| US-IA · governor · nowcast · Rob Sand | 93% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 93% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersdf180868-e3b0-433b-a0c4-f871bcf68074 → d997f3b4-6781-4aec-a76f-e608d6f8b67f |
| US-PA-10 · house · election_day · Janelle Stelson | 68% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 70% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 68% → 70% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-RI · governor · election_day · Helena Foulkes | 99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersfabf629e-bd76-4348-ad92-97cb250726ba → b4e17194-c80c-406f-9779-83dc2249213b |
| US-RI · governor · nowcast · Helena Foulkes | 99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers0a2da597-5184-4714-a66e-e16d0f4ed423 → 3ffdfc76-e294-4de4-9e38-1f6db267fe01 |
| US-FL-6 · house · election_day · Eric Yonce | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CT · governor · election_day · Ned Lamont | 99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers56b4ed5e-76e4-477b-8ac0-deb846d15d7e → 55c6e6c9-000e-4751-aa4b-b4b22ab8853a |
| US-CT · governor · nowcast · Ned Lamont | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersb938e24a-a62c-4382-b551-22a9c5348d50 → a8523871-af72-4b30-9c66-5d6f81e2fefb |
| US-AL · senate · election_day · Everett Wess | 2% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 2% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers345b3b6c-748e-42ee-8e31-11fcd827b246 → 9c3fa43a-f7cb-4466-9b7a-e94dcf772c47 |
| US-AL · senate · nowcast · Everett Wess | 2% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 2% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers2746e0db-d0cf-4dca-9335-41050de91523 → 86d01473-70c5-441c-8cfa-e1270d182f5c |
| US-FL-5 · house · election_day · Rachel Grage | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AL-4 · house · election_day · Amanda Pusczek | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MN · senate · election_day · Peggy Flanagan | 86% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 87% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 86% → 87% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersb023cec7-363d-4d4c-a01e-37db3c5bacc8 → f2f084bb-99af-430b-8b03-17b81aed03a3 |
| US-MN · senate · nowcast · Peggy Flanagan | 78% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 77% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 78% → 77% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierse910d76b-1e6b-4e0c-bb80-83e0519b02cd → e3b2a1b6-ee84-4930-9826-432af9602191 |
| US-TN-7 · house · election_day · Darden Copeland | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-15 · house · election_day · Robert People | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-43 · house · election_day · Maxine Waters | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CO · governor · election_day · Phil Weiser | 97% 2026-10-22T15:43:56Z | 97% 2026-10-23T10:37:40Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers9c8cc626-3439-4743-8975-5b8b31cbaa53 → def738bf-fa4d-4bbf-bc3b-21b610927f7d |
| US-WI-6 · house · election_day · Brad Smith | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MD-7 · house · election_day · Kweisi Mfume | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Morrison | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-32 · house · election_day · Dan Barrios | 5% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 5% → 4% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TN-4 · house · election_day · Victoria Broderick | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MD-2 · house · election_day · Johnny Olszewski | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TN-8 · house · election_day · Heidi Kuhn | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NE-3 · house · election_day · Becky Stille | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MS · senate · election_day · Scott Colom | 11% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 10% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 11% → 10% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers75285516-9750-40cb-8f19-68782d80f63f → 859b4360-706e-4361-8419-3d01d8190415 |
| US-MS · senate · nowcast · Scott Colom | 19% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 19% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers90d05c13-1b19-4980-8f2b-33a39d46609e → 8c38b2d3-802f-4622-b07c-ddd66dfc4512 |
| US-NM-3 · house · election_day · Teresa Leger Fernández | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NJ-2 · house · election_day · Zack Mullock | 6% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 6% → 4% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KY-2 · house · election_day · Megan Wingfield | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-14 · house · election_day · Lauren Underwood | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-34 · house · election_day · Vicente Gonzalez | 63% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 65% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 63% → 65% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX · senate · election_day · James Talarico | 59% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 57% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 59% → 57% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers23b0f382-7850-42fd-83cd-7528b513cd8b → 6771553d-40cd-4250-b044-65088c8fbd35 |
| US-TX · senate · nowcast · James Talarico | 70% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 70% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers38b5ef19-faef-42f2-9e08-c332664a2189 → 30e6765b-dbe6-4332-af64-da5a42cdcb58 |
| US-OH-13 · house · election_day · Emilia Sykes | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL · governor · election_day · David Jolly | 19% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 22% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 19% → 22% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers0ea0299e-2417-4f72-b74f-c32a3cc94768 → 3e7e5faf-f812-4ef4-833e-2a6a5e8f4185 |
| US-FL · governor · nowcast · David Jolly | 18% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 18% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers2a1bcdcd-501b-4129-af3f-e6642354fb17 → 2b158746-f201-4d5a-b726-f8ba4768a6c2 |
| US-MI-13 · house · election_day · Donavan McKinney | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NJ-12 · house · election_day · Adam Hamawy | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SC-6 · house · election_day · Jim Clyburn | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-9 · house · election_day · Marcy Kaptur | 67% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 71% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 67% → 71% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WI-3 · house · election_day · Rebecca Cooke | 51% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 53% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 51% → 53% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NE-2 · house · election_day · Denise Powell | 89% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 88% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 89% → 88% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-3 · house · election_day · Bobby Scott | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-6 · house · election_day · Beth Macy | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-22 · house · election_day · Randy Villegas | 49% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 46% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 49% → 46% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-8 · house · election_day · Vanessa Enoch | 5% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 3% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 5% → 3% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AZ · governor · election_day · Katie Hobbs | 93% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 93% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers3345b6b2-e709-4934-ba76-1a9d94f7969c → 8b047a85-ddb0-4d47-89b9-6bcaa4e73d53 |
| US-AZ · governor · nowcast · Katie Hobbs | 93% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 93% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers3ec21244-d482-4742-92b0-ab191f6f91c9 → 2b28db04-840d-41ba-a8cd-14a5c6031734 |
| US-VT · governor · election_day · Amanda Janoo | 9% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 7% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 9% → 7% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers3fe7592d-2412-49c8-979a-84801e708b42 → f0269637-f156-4c2e-a21d-def12619e39b |
| US-VT · governor · nowcast · Amanda Janoo | 14% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 14% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersc729dc3f-2e3f-43c7-8351-5214b5e087ba → e26957e5-c9d7-4fee-8bd8-735cff1e4e04 |
| US-MI-6 · house · election_day · Debbie Dingell | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-7 · house · election_day · William Lawrence | 47% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 41% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 47% → 41% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Thompson | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WA-5 · house · election_day · Carmela Conroy | 5% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 5% → 4% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-LA · senate · election_day · Jamie Davis | 4% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 12% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 4% → 12% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers5d9d3f38-c8c3-4d50-ad25-d4cf3db2b68a → c5602227-2e99-4e5b-a48d-42b4f67308be |
| US-LA · senate · nowcast · Jamie Davis | 9% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 15% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 9% → 15% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersd9fce762-6921-46e7-8a24-0d9e2e0a86a6 → 9389cfcf-8bc8-400e-892c-e4ee10c4d03d |
| US-NE · governor · election_day · Lynne Walz | 19% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 21% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 19% → 21% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers9c17000c-9e3b-466d-8539-44432bd9b416 → ed07e21c-2a75-4b63-8d94-b4c219238c22 |
| US-NE · governor · nowcast · Lynne Walz | 24% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 24% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers8938701e-4621-4327-baeb-4b35f05b434d → e0f96ecb-fb0e-47a2-96a0-80f50145be3b |
| US-TX-1 · house · election_day · Yolanda Prince | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-39 · house · election_day · Mark Takano | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-35 · house · election_day · Johnny Garcia | 44% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 43% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 44% → 43% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-9 · house · election_day · Rachel Wallace | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-11 · house · election_day · Jamie Ager | 83% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 87% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 83% → 87% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MT-2 · house · election_day · Brian Miller | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-5 · house · election_day · Chuck Hubbard | 5% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 5% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-3 · house · election_day · Hillary Scholten | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-11 · house · election_day · Chris Harden | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-13 · house · election_day · Mark Nair | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KS · governor · election_day · Cindy Holscher | 31% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 36% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 31% → 36% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers2fcfb29e-8570-433e-97ca-984ed85ecf9a → c6a5a9f9-8bbc-45e1-9513-19adddd3750c |
| US-KS · governor · nowcast · Cindy Holscher | 26% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 26% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers5b64b737-5f9d-4dac-81ce-db72e21b21d5 → 0c838a02-78a0-4ae4-b06a-a5a02244a46f |
| US-AL-6 · house · election_day · Maurice Mercer | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NE-1 · house · election_day · Chris Backemeyer | 13% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 12% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 13% → 12% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WI-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Beck | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-HI · governor · election_day · Josh Green | 99% 2026-10-22T11:02:19Z | >99% 2026-10-23T10:37:40Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersa830f58c-f271-4500-8dad-526b1b60ca4f → 1e51c87b-66c3-4167-b1a9-9325478542a0 |
| US-FL-21 · house · election_day · James Martin | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-25 · house · election_day · Dione Sims | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WA-4 · house · election_day · John Duresky | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-48 · house · election_day · Marni von Wilpert | 83% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 85% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 83% → 85% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-9 · house · election_day · Darren Soto | 43% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 42% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 43% → 42% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-2 · house · election_day · Patrick Halpin | 3% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 3% → 2% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-2 · house · election_day · Jared Huffman | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IN-8 · house · election_day · Mary Allen | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-RI-2 · house · election_day · Seth Magaziner | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-1 · house · election_day · Greg Landsman | 87% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 91% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 87% → 91% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WY · senate · election_day · James W. Byrd | <1% 2026-10-22T11:02:19Z | <1% 2026-10-23T10:37:40Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierseb8d4980-9b1f-4feb-bbe1-507a9d4eff43 → 425cb796-b80e-4c6d-a50b-4658e8bf081c |
| US-CA-18 · house · election_day · Zoe Lofgren | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-47 · house · election_day · Dave Min | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-UT-4 · house · election_day · Jonny Larsen | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-13 · house · election_day · Nikki Budzinski | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC · senate · election_day · Roy Cooper | 96% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 96% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers871e4964-3921-41c4-9016-3a5fb7e8dc70 → 7491218e-0c15-44a8-a893-f3a591ee0b8b |
| US-NC · senate · nowcast · Roy Cooper | 97% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 97% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers9abe7489-9b2a-4598-b74d-2222a34ee090 → 41a3b3b2-9c62-439c-90ca-8fed1059ed5a |
| US-NV-1 · house · election_day · Dina Titus | 97% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 98% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 97% → 98% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-4 · house · election_day · Laura Gillen | 96% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 98% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 96% → 98% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NJ-4 · house · election_day · Rachel Peace | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OR · governor · election_day · Tina Kotek | 77% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 78% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 77% → 78% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersa2701a50-8987-4b11-b75e-8dba349f9d42 → d11c9f00-61f3-4032-9508-78f878625414 |
| US-OR · governor · nowcast · Tina Kotek | 57% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 57% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersd894b724-46d4-4d52-94a6-e362e3f41752 → 127bb6c1-a03c-435e-b1c2-1b8aa465fb06 |
| US-SC · governor · election_day · Jermaine Johnson | 16% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 5% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 16% → 5% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers7bb0a48d-a660-496c-b8ea-bb14ba44b700 → 7f8f6de2-2c00-4d21-a793-fcf296920bc0 |
| US-SC · governor · nowcast · Jermaine Johnson | 11% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 3% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 11% → 3% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers0990db9a-4d6a-4050-ac75-cb71c485f436 → b099d0a7-f52d-4119-9751-156287135060 |
| US-MN-8 · house · election_day · Trina Swanson | 3% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 3% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-6 · house · election_day · Lucy McBath | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SD · senate · election_day · Brian Bengs | 15% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 8% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 15% → 8% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersf178d703-a0cd-477f-bb59-f9e71cc9ec86 → 03f688ed-bd52-48e2-a261-fef57a741210 |
| US-SD · senate · nowcast · Brian Bengs | 13% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 6% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 13% → 6% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers24770f90-d75f-4f22-8ab1-3eebdb6fa70a → 292b5b23-7b3d-4554-bd4e-420a6e9b957c |
| US-ID-1 · house · election_day · Kaylee Peterson | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-2 · house · election_day · Jennifer Mazzuckelli | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-1 · house · election_day · Gay Valimont | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-31 · house · election_day · Gil Cisneros | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-HI-2 · house · election_day · Jill Tokuda | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-8 · house · election_day · Don Beyer | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CO-1 · house · election_day · Melat Kiros | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-11 · house · election_day · Nancy Mannion | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AR · senate · election_day · Hallie Shoffner | 2% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 2% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierse774dac5-e8cd-4073-bcfc-1ece607781ac → 257004e4-a530-4d04-992c-a5f2835b5977 |
| US-AR · senate · nowcast · Hallie Shoffner | 4% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 4% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers7ae531f0-ab69-4e3e-9382-51db918a36a5 → 6774146e-58a9-48ac-894b-4b7db0470e17 |
| US-PA-15 · house · election_day · Ray Bilger | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AZ-5 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Lee | 4% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-2 · house · election_day · Deborah Ross | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MN-4 · house · election_day · Betty McCollum | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-3 · house · election_day · Ami Bera | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-6 · house · election_day · Cyril Jefferson | 4% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 3% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 4% → 3% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IA-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Trone Garriott | 52% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 54% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 52% → 54% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-DE-AL · house · election_day · Sarah McBride | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OR-4 · house · election_day · Val Hoyle | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-17 · house · election_day · Chris Deluzio | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-5 · house · election_day · Nikema Williams | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NM-1 · house · election_day · Melanie Stansbury | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | Not in this snapshot Unavailable | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → Unavailable |
| US-NM-1 · house · election_day · Melanie Stansbury | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-41 · house · election_day · Linda Sánchez | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-38 · house · election_day · Hilda Solis | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-LA-1 · house · election_day · Democratic Party | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-14 · house · election_day · Kathy Castor | 84% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 84% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MD-8 · house · election_day · Jamie Raskin | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-14 · house · election_day · Maria Jukic | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-12 · house · election_day · Micah Lasher | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-21 · house · election_day · Jim Costa | 97% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 98% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 97% → 98% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NJ-9 · house · election_day · Nellie Pou | 98% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 98% → 99% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AL-1 · house · election_day · Clyde Jones | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-18 · house · election_day · Pat Ryan | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-1 · house · election_day · Bob Harvie | 28% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 27% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 28% → 27% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-6 · house · election_day · Grace Meng | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA · governor · election_day · Xavier Becerra | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers548d13dd-3c6e-4eed-b3e5-b774c0c4da91 → 5816673e-fd3c-4f9b-9de5-f3b16b971441 |
| US-CA · governor · nowcast · Xavier Becerra | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers608a2949-37ec-4cd8-a8df-25b9573031e5 → bcad26de-b2a5-4233-924c-b0e4da2ead78 |
| US-WI-4 · house · election_day · Gwen Moore | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AL · governor · election_day · Doug Jones | 2% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 2% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersda007566-8b00-46e2-9247-fc3b60e4b268 → 87f83a60-c47a-46e6-805d-610a095d2b68 |
| US-AL · governor · nowcast · Doug Jones | 2% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 2% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers33769a0a-3c6d-47cc-ad7d-3dd0ba766286 → a3602035-870b-4eaf-94ea-e117aac589db |
| US-FL-25 · house · election_day · Jared Moskowitz | 82% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 83% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 82% → 83% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-24 · house · election_day · Kevin Burge | 4% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 3% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 4% → 3% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-3 · house · election_day · Delia Ramirez | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-10 · house · election_day · Pamela DeLancy | 3% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 3% → 4% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-26 · house · election_day · Nicole Locklin | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MO-4 · house · election_day · Jordan Herrera | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-7 · house · election_day · Bob Brooks | 68% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 67% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 68% → 67% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-7 · house · election_day · Eugene Vindman | 97% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 98% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 97% → 98% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-12 · house · election_day · Julie Fortier | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OK · governor · election_day · Cyndi Munson | 18% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 17% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 18% → 17% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers59c49001-541e-4ca5-8336-01f204a0b8c8 → 8659c478-fda0-49af-94ef-38a063929bc1 |
| US-OK · governor · nowcast · Cyndi Munson | 28% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 28% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers7e8137e1-402f-4ac1-936c-e2cd436a681e → 324b9cbd-f081-4f8b-a081-853292833e1f |
| US-TN-3 · house · election_day · Anna Golladay | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI · governor · election_day · Jocelyn Benson | 92% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 93% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 92% → 93% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersdbf82660-3b6f-4336-93e0-1dcdb3df6e49 → c9e8bd43-b6f8-4702-8c85-895957c284a6 |
| US-MI · governor · nowcast · Jocelyn Benson | 93% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 93% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers1810b836-dc69-4e0a-b32a-3d7784a83bee → 97630305-98f0-47d4-9af0-4b6bfe3215d9 |
| US-MA · senate · election_day · Ed Markey | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers5db59cc3-a49a-43be-ac3f-8d67f8b36d8e → e95a4ee2-d370-4ea6-aac0-ea6162813eb0 |
| US-MA · senate · nowcast · Ed Markey | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers27681ed4-06bb-41ce-849e-562dc3185e3d → 1eaa4745-2c5f-4504-a97c-ad082f32b04e |
| US-IL-7 · house · election_day · La Shawn Ford | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-11 · house · election_day · Shontel Brown | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-11 · house · election_day · Shontel Brown | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | Not in this snapshot Unavailable | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → Unavailable |
| US-VA-5 · house · election_day · Tom Perriello | 17% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 15% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 17% → 15% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-1 · house · election_day · Jonathan Jackson | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Jones | 26% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 24% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 26% → 24% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-23 · house · election_day · Lois Frankel | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AK · governor · election_day · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 89% 2026-10-22T11:02:21Z | 89% 2026-10-23T22:42:08Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers77a6dd70-d3f4-48a1-a376-a4f89b954952 → 28d954fd-fd9a-447c-88df-a05006a01e49 |
| US-AK · governor · nowcast · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 90% 2026-10-22T11:02:21Z | 90% 2026-10-23T22:42:08Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers5ff12053-f7d8-43b5-985b-40e974a4103f → d3e8cdd0-d0b1-40b4-b91f-03a931920f80 |
| US-MI-5 · house · election_day · Christian Vukasovich | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NH-1 · house · election_day · Stefany Shaheen | 87% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 89% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 87% → 89% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-11 · house · election_day · James Walkinshaw | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-22 · house · election_day · Pia Dandiya | 46% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 47% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 46% → 47% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-18 · house · election_day · Curtis Gibson | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AK-AL · house · election_day · Bill Hill | 36% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 36% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-1 · house · election_day · Mike McGuire | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-RI-1 · house · election_day · Gabe Amo | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MO-8 · house · election_day · Christopher Reichard | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MO-8 · house · election_day · Christopher Riechard | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | Not in this snapshot Unavailable | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → Unavailable |
| US-NJ · senate · election_day · Cory Booker | 94% 2026-10-22T11:02:19Z | 94% 2026-10-23T10:37:40Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers8f18cd34-e0c2-41db-8e33-3ba49f63ca67 → b7747f69-31af-4da6-a41b-9be8768ea395 |
| US-PA-12 · house · election_day · Summer Lee | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KY-4 · house · election_day · Melissa Claire Strange | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-3 · house · election_day · Tom Suozzi | 93% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 94% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 93% → 94% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IN-7 · house · election_day · André Carson | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IA · senate · election_day · Josh Turek | 51% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 54% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 51% → 54% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers2ac38b7f-8985-45f1-8f84-a2cf45ba5519 → c61d917a-5073-4b4b-8b0f-262cd9077efb |
| US-IA · senate · nowcast · Josh Turek | 55% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 55% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers09d182a6-c0bd-4266-b807-cecf76ec5c72 → ed50617c-12d4-4ed7-867f-9e6ae31a1b1c |
| US-NY-13 · house · election_day · Darializa Avila Chevalier | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-36 · house · election_day · Rhonda Hart | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-23 · house · election_day · Katy Padilla Stout | 19% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 17% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 19% → 17% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-7 · house · election_day · Lizzie Fletcher | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IA-4 · house · election_day · Dave Dawson | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 1% → 2% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CO · senate · election_day · John Hickenlooper | 98% 2026-10-22T11:02:19Z | 98% 2026-10-23T10:37:40Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers7c919c9d-969e-4694-aaae-026ef1794e96 → 29778625-617b-4e3b-95bd-fc8f433bf766 |
| US-AL-3 · house · election_day · Lee McInnis | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-36 · house · election_day · Ted Lieu | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MT-1 · house · election_day · Sam Forstag | 37% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 38% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 37% → 38% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MD-5 · house · election_day · Adrian Boafo | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-19 · house · election_day · Jimmy Panetta | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-33 · house · election_day · Colin Allred | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-20 · house · election_day · Paul Tonko | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-2 · house · election_day · Sanford Bishop | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-3 · house · election_day · Raymond Smith Jr. | 19% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 16% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 19% → 16% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-52 · house · election_day · Juan Vargas | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Beck | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-LA-5 · house · election_day · Democratic Party | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OR-1 · house · election_day · Suzanne Bonamici | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NM · senate · election_day · Ben Ray Luján | 94% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 94% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers31336d0c-c1a6-4b13-bede-e3853f2b40d0 → 45a7162b-6404-41d5-98e1-f6500b24dc48 |
| US-NM · senate · nowcast · Ben Ray Luján | 93% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 93% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierscbba6775-7627-49cf-bcab-38408dc81035 → aabf7bbd-e9a5-4a74-89ba-61dc684acf52 |
| US-NC-10 · house · election_day · Ashley Bell | 3% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 3% → 2% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-12 · house · election_day · Jerrad Christian | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MO-2 · house · election_day · Fred Wellman | 42% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 44% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 42% → 44% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-16 · house · election_day · Justin Wagner | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-26 · house · election_day · Jacqui Irwin | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WA-10 · house · election_day · Marilyn Strickland | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KS-4 · house · election_day · Katy Tyndell | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CO-8 · house · election_day · Manny Rutinel | 59% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 62% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 59% → 62% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-4 · house · election_day · Sean McCann | 33% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 34% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 33% → 34% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-30 · house · election_day · Laura Friedman | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-5 · house · election_day · Chelsey Hockett | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MO-3 · house · election_day · Bethany Mann | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SD · governor · election_day · Dan Ahlers | 2% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 2% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers4f9ecb9f-16ab-4e64-8363-16ceabad8d3d → 57657f16-f49d-482f-a831-1f1cd04691bd |
| US-SD · governor · nowcast · Dan Ahlers | 4% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 4% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers6cb7fb26-0e80-4f7d-a5d6-f057da845331 → 35a3301e-560c-4088-a449-31e8ef5840c2 |
| US-AR-3 · house · election_day · Robb Ryerse | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-17 · house · election_day · Ro Khanna | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-9 · house · election_day · Ray Pooley | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-11 · house · election_day · Claire Reynolds | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SC · senate · election_day · Annie Andrews | 20% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 19% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 20% → 19% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers0e066a0d-9298-4d1a-8aa3-a9b1dc55bd8c → 52738085-7259-43a6-b175-bb1a1126a943 |
| US-SC · senate · nowcast · Annie Andrews | 27% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 27% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers872a7c2f-7956-460e-8351-be8a6bacd1b4 → 5e54384b-7137-491e-9f3f-1901faf33fe2 |
| US-IL-15 · house · election_day · Jennifer Todd | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-9 · house · election_day · Yvette Clarke | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA · senate · election_day · Jon Ossoff | 93% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 93% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersbf557c1e-6e3b-4352-aac7-d0e42d3dd0be → 546379f3-801a-4064-8c18-fdda166c8f71 |
| US-GA · senate · nowcast · Jon Ossoff | 93% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 94% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 93% → 94% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers7cbbaacf-11af-4e6a-93cc-587741a1c5bf → 78b31dd6-0039-475f-8f77-415923226c7f |
| US-NY-19 · house · election_day · Josh Riley | 98% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 98% → 99% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-4 · house · election_day · Jennifer McClellan | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MS-1 · house · election_day · Cliff Johnson | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-DE · senate · election_day · Chris Coons | 99% 2026-10-22T11:02:19Z | 99% 2026-10-23T10:37:40Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers2dc5a208-7ac3-48b8-8753-806cea3e231e → a786ee0f-9b6e-44e2-b2b4-bc5cac6bdc79 |
| US-IL · governor · election_day · JB Pritzker | 97% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 97% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers970a46d8-d230-4c0e-9672-bf51297a249c → 89c6da72-6f25-4845-8203-88fef2525332 |
| US-IL · governor · nowcast · JB Pritzker | 98% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 98% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers11cc19cf-f120-483b-a442-b3b7a174d497 → 72780637-35be-483a-833e-e9f58dc87c6b |
| US-WA-6 · house · election_day · Emily Randall | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-19 · house · election_day · Victor Arias | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SC-1 · house · election_day · Nancy Lacore | 30% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 31% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 30% → 31% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-10 · house · election_day · Kristina Knickerbocker | 8% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 7% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 8% → 7% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-3 · house · election_day · Seth Harp | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-RI · senate · election_day · Jack Reed | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers8bef0e27-0da2-422d-a15c-c51aa95ff431 → 5f740be1-9654-4af4-a251-e37e2bdd20d8 |
| US-RI · senate · nowcast · Jack Reed | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers28dc4704-8fa7-4a17-9dc2-f254beaebb88 → de4ce6bd-e549-4880-84a7-6af05872ce28 |
| US-CA-44 · house · election_day · Nanette Barragán | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NH · senate · election_day · Chris Pappas | 88% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 90% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 88% → 90% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers87ec1afa-a1b5-4795-b0b4-54742b7ed3d8 → 36fd8f92-7b0c-4f86-8a3f-6a758fb1fa47 |
| US-NH · senate · nowcast · Chris Pappas | 86% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 87% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 86% → 87% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers029db657-994b-49ac-8c2d-081ca5a49a02 → 83656abb-12a3-45fe-b0b4-c57d088cc53e |
| US-AZ-9 · house · election_day · Danielle Sterbinsky | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-17 · house · election_day · Cait Conley | 51% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 51% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-21 · house · election_day · Kristin Hook | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MA-6 · house · election_day · Dan Koh | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-17 · house · election_day · Eric Sorensen | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NM-2 · house · election_day · Gabe Vasquez | 77% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 82% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 77% → 82% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-9 · house · election_day · Joy Powers | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IN-1 · house · election_day · Frank Mrvan | 98% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 98% → 99% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-8 · house · election_day · Hakeem Jeffries | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AR-1 · house · election_day · Terri Yarbrough | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KY-6 · house · election_day · Zach Dembo | 57% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 55% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 57% → 55% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-12 · house · election_day · Rashida Tlaib | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TN-6 · house · election_day · Mike Croley | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-5 · house · election_day · Mary Gay Scanlon | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NV · governor · election_day · Aaron Ford | 37% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 36% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 37% → 36% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers9ed4a530-ed8c-44b9-b92c-225aecaf83b4 → bafa0bb0-5b82-4149-bcec-41a05a9197d4 |
| US-NV · governor · nowcast · Aaron Ford | 29% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 30% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 29% → 30% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersa645aae0-d7d9-4408-b68a-39c451e10e46 → 272e03e6-4624-44ec-8768-e6f6afe60045 |
| US-SC-4 · house · election_day · Courtney McClain | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IN-5 · house · election_day · J.D. Ford | 17% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 15% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 17% → 15% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-35 · house · election_day · Norma Torres | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-24 · house · election_day · Alissa Ellman | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-LA-6 · house · election_day · Democratic Party | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AZ-1 · house · election_day · Amish Shah | 67% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 69% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 67% → 69% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WV-1 · house · election_day · Vince George | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NJ-3 · house · election_day · Herb Conaway | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IN-2 · house · election_day · Jamee Decio | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-27 · house · election_day · George Whitesides | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-37 · house · election_day · Greg Casar | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-49 · house · election_day · Mike Levin | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TN-5 · house · election_day · Chaz Molder | 12% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 12% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-12 · house · election_day · Ceretta Smith | 4% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 4% → 2% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AZ-6 · house · election_day · JoAnna Mendoza | 59% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 60% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 59% → 60% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SC-2 · house · election_day · Zyon Khalifa | 6% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 6% → 4% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-20 · house · election_day · Joaquin Castro | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WA-1 · house · election_day · Suzan DelBene | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-13 · house · election_day · Beth Farnham | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AK · senate · election_day · Mary Peltola | 47% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 61% 2026-10-23T22:42:08Z | Displayed 47% → 61% | Model version changed; causal attribution unavailableRun identifiersd345b5b5-457e-4b60-808a-2c90d9d0fa64 → 3c503f49-ce68-4473-ad02-62fa15cb3816 |
| US-AK · senate · nowcast · Mary Peltola | 69% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 62% 2026-10-23T22:42:08Z | Displayed 69% → 62% | Model version changed; causal attribution unavailableRun identifiers2ca93cce-cf79-45ef-8ff5-78ad4fc42eff → 9c2a2d69-883b-4bb5-a56d-43fcf1c25478 |
| US-NJ-7 · house · election_day · Rebecca Bennett | 70% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 68% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 70% → 68% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TN · senate · election_day · Marquita Bradshaw | 1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 1% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers8a0bffed-3034-44b5-9992-ed60e9bd1b36 → d9c06c11-b671-4813-a146-eb551ba86acf |
| US-TN · senate · nowcast · Marquita Bradshaw | 1% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 1% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierse3a459fb-f3f9-455d-a13c-52c990497a9e → 94850aae-a151-4db4-9bdb-946cedda2c0d |
| US-CA-9 · house · election_day · Josh Harder | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-LA-2 · house · election_day · Troy A. Carter Sr. | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NC-8 · house · election_day · Colby Watson | 3% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 3% → 2% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-26 · house · election_day · Steven Shook | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-9 · house · election_day · Leticia Gutierrez | 6% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 6% → 4% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SC-5 · house · election_day · Mallory Dittmer | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-SD-AL · house · election_day · Nicole Gronli | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-8 · house · election_day · Melissa Bean | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VA-1 · house · election_day · Shannon Taylor | 49% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 52% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 49% → 52% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-15 · house · election_day · Bobby Pulido | 46% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 50% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 46% → 50% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AL-2 · house · election_day · Shomari Figures | 37% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 37% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MN-1 · house · election_day · Jake Johnson | 28% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 26% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 28% → 26% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KS-3 · house · election_day · Sharice Davids | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CT-2 · house · election_day · Joe Courtney | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NV-4 · house · election_day · Steven Horsford | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-16 · house · election_day · George Latimer | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MD-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Elfreth | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-12 · house · election_day · Kimberly Overman | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IN-6 · house · election_day · Cynthia Wirth | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-6 · house · election_day · Chrissy Houlahan | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MO-7 · house · election_day · Missi Hesketh | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WI-7 · house · election_day · Fred Clark | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 4% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 4% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MA-9 · house · election_day · Bill Keating | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KY-3 · house · election_day · Morgan McGarvey | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-HI-1 · house · election_day · Ed Case | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-16 · house · election_day · Veronica Escobar | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MD-1 · house · election_day · Dan Schwartz | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-15 · house · election_day · Ritchie Torres | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NJ-5 · house · election_day · Josh Gottheimer | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-UT-3 · house · election_day · Kent Udell | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-20 · house · election_day · Debbie Wasserman Schultz | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-45 · house · election_day · Derek Tran | 97% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 98% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 97% → 98% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-30 · house · election_day · Frederick Haynes III | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-25 · house · election_day · Joseph Morelle | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CT-5 · house · election_day · Jahana Hayes | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-8 · house · election_day · Kelly Esti | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-27 · house · election_day · Tanya Lloyd | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CO-3 · house · election_day · Dwayne Romero | 24% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 23% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 24% → 23% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IA-1 · house · election_day · Christina Bohannan | 82% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 84% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 82% → 84% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-10 · house · election_day · Caitlin Rourk | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-13 · house · election_day · Leela Gray | 27% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 26% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 27% → 26% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-5 · house · election_day · Brian Shaver | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-VT-AL · house · election_day · Becca Balint | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MS-2 · house · election_day · Bennie Thompson | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KS-1 · house · election_day · Lauren Reinhold | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-25 · house · election_day · Raul Ruiz | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-16 · house · election_day · Paul Nolley | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-50 · house · election_day · Scott Peters | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-17 · house · election_day · Matthew Montavon | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI · senate · election_day · Abdul El-Sayed | 69% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 70% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 69% → 70% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersb0fef408-265d-4189-b8d5-81ce028eb02a → 70c6060c-f756-4033-91e5-de0735833246 |
| US-MI · senate · nowcast · Abdul El-Sayed | 71% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 72% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 71% → 72% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifierscd1a5b26-b56f-4e40-8d49-e4230d6c6df1 → b5e29354-3e68-4a74-94d3-eeed9b74f287 |
| US-CA-46 · house · election_day · Lou Correa | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA · governor · election_day · Keisha Lance Bottoms | 57% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 57% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers1b246d2c-2655-4b6d-b519-a47efdba39a0 → db0855cf-d8bc-4af1-a641-5a6aaa48f2dc |
| US-GA · governor · nowcast · Keisha Lance Bottoms | 45% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 45% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers9f23b545-55f2-433d-9c4c-8d495ae907b8 → 1db01f59-d49b-4de9-a862-9d07bff1c247 |
| US-WY-AL · house · election_day · Lisa F. Kinney | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NH-2 · house · election_day · Maggie Goodlander | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-13 · house · election_day · Jasmine Clark | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CO-2 · house · election_day · Joe Neguse | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NJ-1 · house · election_day · Donald Norcross | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-6 · house · election_day · Sean Casten | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MA · governor · election_day · Maura Healey | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers843a6362-aab1-4e9c-95e0-52637f8df63b → 766b0dc8-273a-409d-a35d-1a2f6a887cf5 |
| US-MA · governor · nowcast · Maura Healey | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersa8a6500e-b683-4128-9f61-a134a56818bf → a5d5d522-bb63-40ca-bc22-225f4297bae4 |
| US-NV-3 · house · election_day · Susie Lee | 95% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 98% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 95% → 98% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WA-9 · house · election_day · Adam Smith | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-10 · house · election_day · Mark DeSaulnier | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-KY · senate · election_day · Charles Booker | 7% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 8% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 7% → 8% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers012fd423-4505-411c-8533-2413613eb9d9 → b0f8c633-d4bc-4c1e-b478-532160d6f1d0 |
| US-KY · senate · nowcast · Charles Booker | 9% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 9% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers931181f6-84b8-4c44-8a47-e6dbca72a734 → 131758bb-ab57-41ed-82b4-0094df092554 |
| US-WI-8 · house · election_day · Rick Crosson | 4% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 2% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 4% → 2% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WI · governor · election_day · David Crowley | 73% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 74% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 73% → 74% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersa5f0a35e-7992-4951-ba31-988d67832e6f → bf277807-9bc8-461e-8262-1cee45440de8 |
| US-WI · governor · nowcast · David Crowley | 78% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 77% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Displayed 78% → 77% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers2c432e8d-ad79-4b76-b5b5-253efc0a1fe7 → 8b76a5c6-5c02-45db-815c-59a4bd193d59 |
| US-GA-4 · house · election_day · Hank Johnson | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | Not in this snapshot Unavailable | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → Unavailable |
| US-GA-4 · house · election_day · Hank Johnson | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY · governor · election_day · Kathy Hochul | 98% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 98% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersfcd4cf0f-30a3-4f24-b16f-4c521f77bc7e → 612a5275-145c-48f0-ac5d-6cf3a9296ef1 |
| US-NY · governor · nowcast · Kathy Hochul | 98% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 98% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers89f3481e-96e3-40fa-865c-1e35fe265314 → cb83e484-19d7-4d50-bc31-47616723a0f5 |
| US-CO-6 · house · election_day · Jason Crow | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-1 · house · election_day · Callie Barr | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA-14 · house · election_day · Alan Bradstock | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-ME · governor · election_day · Hannah Pingree | 97% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 97% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersd323cb0c-7b8e-4fd3-a8dd-5cea730b8a2a → 27a73f2a-25cc-410a-964c-f3ef4484135b |
| US-ME · governor · nowcast · Hannah Pingree | 98% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 98% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers2b51e9fd-129a-4e3c-af20-34dab0a6bf5a → 4531a4fc-f305-44f9-af71-85cee7e722ff |
| US-CT-1 · house · election_day · Luke Bronin | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-24 · house · election_day · Salud Carbajal | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-9 · house · election_day · Caitlyn Gegan | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | Not in this snapshot Unavailable | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → Unavailable |
| US-GA-9 · house · election_day · Caitlyn Gegen | Not in prior snapshot Unavailable | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Not comparable | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersUnavailable → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OK-4 · house · election_day · Mitchell Jacob | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-OH-6 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Kirtley | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-31 · house · election_day · Justin Early | 2% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 2% → 1% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WY · governor · election_day · Kenneth Casner | <1% 2026-10-22T11:02:19Z | <1% 2026-10-23T10:37:40Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers71e53956-1381-4c7e-ae7f-c5835c5da063 → 60b75f13-e302-483f-8469-8c1367739c05 |
| US-TX-3 · house · election_day · Evan Hunt | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CO-4 · house · election_day · Eileen Laubacher | 6% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 6% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IN-9 · house · election_day · Brad Meyer | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-6 · house · election_day · Danny Minton | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AZ-2 · house · election_day · Jonathan Nez | 22% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 20% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 22% → 20% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-GA-7 · house · election_day · Anthony Kozycki | 7% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 5% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 7% → 5% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-PA · governor · election_day · Josh Shapiro | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiersfd2428bd-106f-469e-b788-43740afbe88d → 9e108e3a-6952-4e87-aa81-fbeade8dc765 |
| US-PA · governor · nowcast · Josh Shapiro | >99% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | >99% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers6dea6efa-c33f-437c-a56b-a04091da38e7 → 163632c5-e2d6-4e86-bd3c-a4c16ae0715b |
| US-NJ-10 · house · election_day · LaMonica McIver | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MD-4 · house · election_day · Glenn Ivey | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NJ-11 · house · election_day · Analilia Mejia | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IL-10 · house · election_day · Brad Schneider | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-IN-4 · house · election_day · Drew Cox | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WI-1 · house · election_day · Mitchell Berman | 22% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 20% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 22% → 20% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-10 · house · election_day · Brad Lander | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-6 · house · election_day · Richard Pan | 50% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 50% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-19 · house · election_day · Kyle Rable | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WV-2 · house · election_day · Ace Parsi | <1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TN-9 · house · election_day · Justin J. Pearson | 8% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 6% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 8% → 6% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-11 · house · election_day · Jeremy Moss | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-FL-7 · house · election_day · Bale Dalton | 65% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 68% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 65% → 68% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MN · governor · election_day · Amy Klobuchar | 94% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 94% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers5dc81488-9e41-4df2-ad08-ec5221ec8546 → 43f1e59b-6108-4dce-9cde-06f00203cd69 |
| US-MN · governor · nowcast · Amy Klobuchar | 95% 2026-10-22T09:42:48Z | 95% 2026-10-23T11:41:39Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers56d87762-c813-475c-80ce-9f81ce22e745 → b6335bf8-df1f-42f8-92f0-31605dbc4453 |
| US-IL-2 · house · election_day · Donna Miller | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-42 · house · election_day · Robert Garcia | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CA-8 · house · election_day · John Garamendi | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-TX-18 · house · election_day · Christian Menefee | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-MI-8 · house · election_day · Kristen McDonald Rivet | 98% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed 98% → 99% | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-11 · house · election_day · Michael DeCillis | 1% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | <1% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-WA-8 · house · election_day · Kim Schrier | 99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-AZ-8 · house · election_day · Bernadette Greene-Placentia | 3% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | 3% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-NY-26 · house · election_day · Tim Kennedy | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |
| US-CT-4 · house · election_day · Jim Himes | >99% 2026-10-23T05:38:43Z | >99% 2026-10-23T23:02:10Z | Unchanged at displayed precision | Cause not established by these snapshotsRun identifiers807bec31-65b8-4368-bda8-988b6fa45828 → a0ffdffb-2926-4a67-a069-aa0af8a948d8 |