Published forecasts: 2026-10-18

Last published snapshot for this Pacific day. These records were published at the time; no reconstructed forecasts are added.

Compared with the previous available closed day, 2026-10-17. Dates may be more than one day apart.

2026-10-17: race records · chamber records · file hashes
2026-10-18: race records · chamber records · file hashes

Chambers

Stored party-control bounds; unavailable values stay unavailable. The linked downloads retain model versions and run identifiers.

Chambers
Chamber / product	Earlier	Later
governors · election_day	D 69%–69%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	D 69%–69%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z
governors · nowcast	D 68%–68%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	D 68%–68%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z
house · election_day	D 80%–80%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	D 80%–80%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z
senate · election_day	D 53%–63%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	D 53%–63%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z
senate · nowcast	D 61%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	D 61%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z

Races

Changes refer to the displayed, rounded percentages. Exact probabilities are in the downloads. Candidate changes are separate rows. A poll appearing between runs is not proof it caused a move. Poll arrivals, money and candidate events are not captured by these forecast files; the model and correction record provides other context.

Races
Race and subject	Earlier chance / run time	Later chance / run time	Change	Context
US-LA-6 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-22 · house · election_day · Marquette Greene-Scott	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-4 · house · election_day · Valerie Foushee	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OR · senate · election_day · Jeff Merkley	98% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	98% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1f8e354f-f7a8-4765-858c-4ca915e6ba94 → 7fa1cb88-8f28-4263-94e7-0145c97a1096
US-VA · senate · election_day · Mark Warner	98% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	98% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c5385201-8644-425a-8e94-9fa06024ef1f → 2ee6c55c-5129-4838-b1fc-a08f40d0affb
US-VA · senate · nowcast · Mark Warner	98% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	98% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a748e307-b791-49e3-af16-59db5e2b7d87 → 49ced070-ba7c-4d94-a307-57d40d7483fb
US-OH-4 · house · election_day · Joshua Kolasinski	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WA-3 · house · election_day · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	35% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	35% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-14 · house · election_day · LaKesha Womack	8% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	8% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OK-5 · house · election_day · Jena Nelson	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	6% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MN-7 · house · election_day · Erik Osberg	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MT · senate · election_day · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3d54757d-098c-4389-bb84-72ac8a2dc585 → 7d22f580-5d42-43df-994e-87fd2881ad03
US-MT · senate · nowcast · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers bbc9f527-6bbc-4a0c-aece-818aad26b182 → 7c78986d-5596-4a2c-8eda-e933fcb13f13
US-CA-20 · house · election_day · Sandra Van Scotter	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AL-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Sneed	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-1 · house · election_day · Don Davis	82% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	82% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-7 · house · election_day · Brian Poindexter	70% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	70% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OK-2 · house · election_day · Brandon Wade	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-12 · house · election_day · Alma Adams	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TN · governor · election_day · Jerri Green	1% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	2% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 1% → 2%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 98c3648e-c8e5-46e3-b544-8c7eb8211879 → aa223958-3d7f-451f-a2af-e3f981f03ae6
US-TN · governor · nowcast · Jerri Green	1% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	1% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a7b49d23-cfb0-4546-b0d9-071ccc904ce3 → 51126504-6cfb-43fb-b01d-192d8a5a8c1e
US-ID-2 · house · election_day · Ellie Gilbreath	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AZ-4 · house · election_day · Greg Stanton	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-9 · house · election_day · Richard Ojeda	14% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	14% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IA-2 · house · election_day · Lindsay James	48% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	48% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-38 · house · election_day · Melissa McDonough	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-5 · house · election_day · Gregory Meeks	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AR-4 · house · election_day · James Russell	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL · senate · election_day · Angie Nixon	12% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	12% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 995b24ff-c168-4458-ac92-8b7c0a395645 → 79f46d99-712d-44cf-91bd-419ca371c0f1
US-FL · senate · nowcast · Angie Nixon	9% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	9% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a9c58595-9f66-4b2f-9e35-152d6ff7795d → 47c06abe-2bc1-4b1a-8734-eb007fec7209
US-MN-5 · house · election_day · Ilhan Omar	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-28 · house · election_day · Henry Cuellar	73% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	73% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NV-2 · house · election_day · Teresa Benitez-Thompson	32% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	32% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-4 · house · election_day · Jason Pearce	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX · governor · election_day · Gina Hinojosa	25% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	29% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 25% → 29%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 07146b52-17e0-42df-8e17-cd2ff1bef305 → e361859f-20f8-4992-a274-3d147946ea5a
US-TX · governor · nowcast · Gina Hinojosa	23% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	34% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 23% → 34%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7d94d828-e105-4b0a-b805-9655ec5fe1f5 → 62a778dd-9c09-4537-a74e-9101cd0c285b
US-MA-8 · house · election_day · Stephen Lynch	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-13 · house · election_day · Paul Barringer	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	4% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-7 · house · election_day · Claire Valdez	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-ND-AL · house · election_day · Trygve Hammer	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-9 · house · election_day · Daniel Biss	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-2 · house · election_day · Benjamin Ambrose	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MD-6 · house · election_day · April McClain Delaney	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AL-7 · house · election_day · Terri Sewell	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-33 · house · election_day · Pete Aguilar	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-24 · house · election_day · Oliver Gilbert	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-2 · house · election_day · Elaine Luria	60% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	60% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-4 · house · election_day · LaShonda Holloway	8% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	8% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-10 · house · election_day · Christina Hines	49% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	49% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MN-2 · house · election_day · Matt Little	87% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	87% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-8 · house · election_day · Jennifer Jenkins	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	6% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-51 · house · election_day · Sara Jacobs	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-16 · house · election_day · Sam Liccardo	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OR-6 · house · election_day · Andrea Salinas	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-10 · house · election_day · Suhas Subramanyam	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-28 · house · election_day · Judy Chu	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-4 · house · election_day · Patty Garcia	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OR-3 · house · election_day · Maxine Dexter	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NM · governor · election_day · Deb Haaland	84% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	90% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 84% → 90%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 874ce148-d7e9-4c0b-b910-e51b1f5eb622 → 47004740-73e0-4cad-8f75-79ad17f4dc21
US-NM · governor · nowcast · Deb Haaland	87% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	92% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 87% → 92%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers d0780a05-5cea-4858-9cc2-4bcce7f244ab → 86c28b5e-1177-41c1-be6b-10f8b4415fc4
US-TX-29 · house · election_day · Sylvia Garcia	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OR-5 · house · election_day · Janelle Bynum	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-3 · house · election_day · Maura Keller	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-5 · house · election_day · Michael Masuda	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-21 · house · election_day · Blake Gendebien	26% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	26% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-15 · house · election_day · Kevin Mullin	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-27 · house · election_day · Eliott Rodriguez	15% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	15% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MO-1 · house · election_day · Wesley Bell	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KY-1 · house · election_day · John "Drew" Williams	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SC-3 · house · election_day · Eunice Lehmacher	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-14 · house · election_day · Shawn Harris	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-ID · senate · election_day · Todd Achilles	12% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	12% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e8f83ef1-a640-4780-81ed-18ed8685e4be → d0c58cff-46f9-4c9b-a5a4-e377cae20dc7
US-ID · senate · nowcast · Todd Achilles	11% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	11% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 85c455bd-02cc-4d44-8326-16f66b8f7867 → c594e8cd-9fb6-4b46-a71e-a3631c2401c4
US-TN-2 · house · election_day · Michaela Barnett	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CO-7 · house · election_day · Brittany Pettersen	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-8 · house · election_day · Paige Cognetti	45% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	45% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KS-2 · house · election_day · Don Coover	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-14 · house · election_day · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH · governor · election_day · Amy Acton	60% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	69% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 60% → 69%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 86e10353-bf46-4ee0-9de1-d9360fd5fc37 → e280d005-be9a-483d-99ce-fe02a0300826
US-OH · governor · nowcast · Amy Acton	61% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	74% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 61% → 74%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 43acf3c5-7f59-4960-ba5b-46ba3af7b784 → 1784923b-5926-4407-bf99-f11a5269e99d
US-AR · governor · election_day · Fredrick Love	16% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	9% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 16% → 9%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 41da386c-f0a6-449e-9eb0-d9e1b328f9fa → 88c811ff-306d-474d-a7f7-1fed109b8893
US-AR · governor · nowcast · Fredrick Love	15% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	19% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 15% → 19%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 4c7f9918-063a-43a1-b9a9-6a7c83555d45 → 71b82c71-70c1-4d2a-be33-5675015456fb
US-MO-6 · house · election_day · Josh Smead	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KS · senate · election_day · Adam Hamilton	37% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	37% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7c1b5f41-ce1c-40bd-8084-7162d9d488bb → adfa6d5f-9b41-4f0f-99e1-4931892f8f04
US-KS · senate · nowcast · Adam Hamilton	54% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	54% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7e4eb92d-e5df-4921-8576-64d03031f95f → 45a639d6-07bb-4c57-b720-b7ced33ff001
US-ME · senate · election_day · Troy Jackson	40% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	41% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 40% → 41%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers cefe2545-8d91-498a-8ed7-41968ff67486 → 8e9506dc-0181-4ee9-ab3a-32d3f613dcc6
US-ME · senate · nowcast · Troy Jackson	67% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	68% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 67% → 68%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 28773830-19a7-4703-939d-f2b422d86f6e → 43aac14f-cd56-4a29-a710-587dada38de6
US-CA-13 · house · election_day · Adam Gray	92% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	92% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-17 · house · election_day · Casey Shepard	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-11 · house · election_day · Bill Foster	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-28 · house · election_day · Phil Ehr	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MO-5 · house · election_day · Emanuel Cleaver	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-22 · house · election_day · John Mannion	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MD · governor · election_day · Wes Moore	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 35b6b61b-9e08-4064-88ce-32afcbea9f40 → 927e5688-98e0-4de9-928f-111b186406f2
US-MD · governor · nowcast · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6520b4b5-47cd-4cb1-8007-0f825a120814 → 445abf32-a185-4775-ae79-568401582a59
US-CO-5 · house · election_day · Jessica Killin	39% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	38% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 39% → 38%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-2 · house · election_day · Amanda Green	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	6% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MA-3 · house · election_day · Lori Trahan	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-3 · house · election_day · Joyce Beatty	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NH · governor · election_day · Cinde Warmington	4% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	7% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 4% → 7%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers d24cffce-2ec8-45b6-b873-3b671a66d89e → f61c46e3-8d22-4d8c-9992-faa7980e3ef3
US-NH · governor · nowcast · Cinde Warmington	2% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	4% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 2% → 4%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 4daec154-e94c-4add-a372-93df62a43095 → 340aaaff-1892-4f2d-a7f3-2140735befc5
US-NC-7 · house · election_day · Kimberly Hardy	9% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	9% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WV · senate · election_day · Rachel Fetty Anderson	1% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	1% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 50a6bfe2-9326-4897-b5af-eb164eacbd87 → 2702273f-ff38-46ff-a879-6330bdb3a489
US-OK · senate · election_day · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7b541d12-02f5-4ebb-be2c-becff4b1a651 → b5489e1f-ba29-4cf1-b738-a26b376e2f42
US-OK · senate · nowcast · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	<1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 964c763f-afcd-45fb-b7f3-720884a83de8 → 5817f3e5-aae7-4ef1-b94e-0a64ba1cd376
US-CA-32 · house · election_day · Brad Sherman	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NE · senate · election_day · Dan Osborn	46% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	46% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 27a234be-3c04-48a9-8e77-e53b66628c30 → 71e59dbd-5c8c-4a23-8b83-fe21a5607218
US-NE · senate · nowcast · Dan Osborn	46% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	45% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 46% → 45%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3be69dd1-f6ee-4b04-81f9-1ec0fb458171 → 31ae2bdf-2ae5-4331-a34f-5ea718928a87
US-TN-1 · house · election_day · Kristi Burke	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-12 · house · election_day · Angela Rodriguez Prilliman	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MS-4 · house · election_day · Jeffrey Hulum III	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OK-1 · house · election_day · John Croisant	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WA-2 · house · election_day · Rick Larsen	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SC-7 · house · election_day · John Vincent	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OK-3 · house · election_day · Suzie Byrd	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-ID · governor · election_day · Terri Pickens	2% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	1% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers aac5f683-4493-4db4-81da-f1b3d50019e9 → 0a822e50-2671-4c2f-b0ec-9039f49f3057
US-ID · governor · nowcast · Terri Pickens	2% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	2% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 2b0d90c2-56cb-4b7f-8013-49d13f289125 → 49dd2f67-4c4b-40ec-88c1-ac798799e89d
US-TX-8 · house · election_day · Laura Jones	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-1 · house · election_day · Amanda Hollowell	7% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	7% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-UT-1 · house · election_day · Ben McAdams	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL · senate · election_day · Juliana Stratton	95% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	95% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d25ebc7d-6918-4602-a055-a43fad8a7aad → 45630731-7daf-4b2f-abc7-63d4cdc7d225
US-IL · senate · nowcast · Juliana Stratton	93% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	93% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a1ee22b2-8950-4c45-8819-5a75d4dc94b6 → 47bbe62c-4203-49ca-adca-560bd14d13cf
US-ME-1 · house · election_day · Chellie Pingree	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-2 · house · election_day · Brendan Boyle	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH · senate · election_day · Sherrod Brown	72% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	72% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 592b32b2-bb70-4c60-a6b5-d397131e206d → 8ffeb608-71a0-45ad-9708-45eeda4f12ba
US-OH · senate · nowcast · Sherrod Brown	77% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	77% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 80fe4bff-0d64-487c-b670-ff6f6f048164 → 0b8d00f0-dd56-47a3-acfa-5845dac80d7e
US-CA-23 · house · election_day · Tessa Lynn Hodge	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WA-7 · house · election_day · Pramila Jayapal	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MN-6 · house · election_day · Doug Chapin	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-1 · house · election_day · Chris Gallant	17% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	17% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AZ-7 · house · election_day · Adelita Grijalva	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CT-3 · house · election_day · Rosa DeLauro	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-4 · house · election_day · Madeleine Dean	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-23 · house · election_day · Aaron Gies	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ-6 · house · election_day · Frank Pallone	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-2 · house · election_day · Shaun Finnie	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-UT-2 · house · election_day · Peter Crosby	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	5% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KY-5 · house · election_day · Ned Pillersdorf	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-16 · house · election_day · Kelly Kirschner	28% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	28% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-5 · house · election_day · Mike Quigley	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MS-3 · house · election_day · Michael Chiaradio	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-15 · house · election_day · Don Leonard	31% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	31% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MA-4 · house · election_day · Jake Auchincloss	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-11 · house · election_day · James Pericola	16% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	15% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 16% → 15%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-14 · house · election_day · Thurman Bartie	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-ME-2 · house · election_day · Matthew Dunlap	29% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	31% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 29% → 31%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IA · governor · election_day · Rob Sand	86% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	85% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 86% → 85%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers d193b35f-9dfb-44ff-80e5-7dcb3c8e9583 → 75e8025b-9737-428b-ade8-1f6eca84549b
US-IA · governor · nowcast · Rob Sand	89% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	93% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 89% → 93%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9d82bdc9-8480-441f-9f47-d263b093f222 → 27f7d716-0680-45e0-841d-d88b033284bf
US-PA-10 · house · election_day · Janelle Stelson	65% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	67% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 65% → 67%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-RI · governor · election_day · Helena Foulkes	98% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 98% → 99%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ab74ffbe-9798-4f5f-8089-bf5b53a3bd6b → 1dea9587-d2a6-4c31-a5dd-43fc63c47ff8
US-RI · governor · nowcast · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers dfadfe3d-821f-42b4-9a4c-23564d76bdd4 → b23323c0-fdcf-4d46-9740-f590353d4f9c
US-FL-6 · house · election_day · Eric Yonce	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CT · governor · election_day · Ned Lamont	98% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 98% → 99%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers fa317cf5-cc83-4113-8f9d-eb6cde97f7b7 → 04313511-1a3b-4f3d-90b5-fc4ec4f54d6b
US-CT · governor · nowcast · Ned Lamont	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers dbd8606e-41c8-4db2-ad2b-fe3924a4a2a5 → e1e2a33e-426c-4e09-b023-a1606019cadc
US-AL · senate · election_day · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 26e519ca-d68e-4d8b-a44a-e9f453c4e6d8 → 5864057b-9fa3-4533-953f-298406f622b2
US-AL · senate · nowcast · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 28512998-8f6d-4f45-9221-e39b3cb518af → e9c5a68e-f692-4f15-b11e-a0a183a8e658
US-FL-5 · house · election_day · Rachel Grage	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AL-4 · house · election_day · Amanda Pusczek	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MN · senate · election_day · Peggy Flanagan	86% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	86% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f278f1c7-9be4-4d0b-a7dd-a1c821ff0aec → dc5f7624-e869-404c-897a-7099f36b7c59
US-MN · senate · nowcast · Peggy Flanagan	78% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	78% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1da12339-d607-4600-9ec2-4c98c026f953 → 9586153c-ffdd-45d0-ab3c-58bd7e5748ed
US-TN-7 · house · election_day · Darden Copeland	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-15 · house · election_day · Robert People	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-43 · house · election_day · Maxine Waters	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CO · governor · election_day · Phil Weiser	95% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	95% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6676c9fb-dd55-4e89-86ad-2dd09c64d016 → d856b46a-61fd-4c83-8e27-d477872b81a2
US-WI-6 · house · election_day · Brad Smith	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MD-7 · house · election_day · Kweisi Mfume	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Morrison	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-32 · house · election_day · Dan Barrios	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	6% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TN-4 · house · election_day · Victoria Broderick	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MD-2 · house · election_day · Johnny Olszewski	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TN-8 · house · election_day · Heidi Kuhn	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NE-3 · house · election_day · Becky Stille	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MS · senate · election_day · Scott Colom	10% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	10% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers fa543d9e-e906-4603-a370-0f1e469cb23a → 061527b5-1215-40e2-b1ff-50a169a525b6
US-MS · senate · nowcast · Scott Colom	15% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	15% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5e364418-992b-4575-8ae8-14d9dfa2f22e → a1637660-4706-4c41-af76-e6893fccc264
US-NM-3 · house · election_day · Teresa Leger Fernández	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ-2 · house · election_day · Zack Mullock	7% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	7% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KY-2 · house · election_day · Megan Wingfield	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-14 · house · election_day · Lauren Underwood	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-34 · house · election_day · Vicente Gonzalez	61% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	61% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX · senate · election_day · James Talarico	59% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	59% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 0b14aba5-688e-43f2-a65d-83abcf198793 → 7900c0c2-32d7-461b-9436-17ef13cdfadd
US-TX · senate · nowcast · James Talarico	71% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	71% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e373f9cb-3adb-4dc1-ad79-6dd52af21f34 → 9785bc8b-5986-414c-a0e5-d5fec0d64d47
US-OH-13 · house · election_day · Emilia Sykes	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL · governor · election_day · David Jolly	13% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	20% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 13% → 20%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 24767e60-94bb-40e8-90f5-b4a22dc23286 → 8ff6f011-3270-4655-b2d5-15cefd0607dc
US-FL · governor · nowcast · David Jolly	10% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	18% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 10% → 18%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f55207df-bfd5-47dc-a1b0-6ed11e06f67d → f60d2e24-a0b0-45fc-9b97-fd2d51c23135
US-MI-13 · house · election_day · Donavan McKinney	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ-12 · house · election_day · Adam Hamawy	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SC-6 · house · election_day · Jim Clyburn	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-9 · house · election_day · Marcy Kaptur	55% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	55% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WI-3 · house · election_day · Rebecca Cooke	52% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	52% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NE-2 · house · election_day · Denise Powell	90% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	90% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-3 · house · election_day · Bobby Scott	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-6 · house · election_day · Beth Macy	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-22 · house · election_day · Randy Villegas	50% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	50% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-8 · house · election_day · Vanessa Enoch	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	6% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AZ · governor · election_day · Katie Hobbs	84% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	93% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 84% → 93%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 20376723-4f87-4244-9f46-82b3003b3996 → 2d2c1074-bdae-4f8c-a0f7-ae768d47d1bf
US-AZ · governor · nowcast · Katie Hobbs	87% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	92% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 87% → 92%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 94d0753c-d2c6-4f58-89da-a4c0bab9a5dc → faca7436-cbe7-497b-a760-616ca35970ee
US-VT · governor · election_day · Amanda Janoo	10% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	8% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 10% → 8%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7a3cd749-7ea4-4717-9964-476d82baa6ef → 6b9e421d-6a17-489f-b7b3-eb2270279596
US-VT · governor · nowcast · Amanda Janoo	8% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	13% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 8% → 13%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers de6ddef7-b13d-43bc-b85e-8c9afb1f26bf → 53edf225-fdbe-45f8-a0eb-1e2e66c1e3af
US-MI-6 · house · election_day · Debbie Dingell	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-7 · house · election_day · William Lawrence	49% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	49% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Thompson	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WA-5 · house · election_day · Carmela Conroy	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	6% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-LA · senate · election_day · Jamie Davis	5% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	5% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e0edcd84-c62f-46c7-8551-6997c790e2d0 → 82b391d8-f048-4a08-be93-8371a7d32e97
US-LA · senate · nowcast · Jamie Davis	9% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	9% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 789869fb-e6c0-478a-b2a2-be2342a3c91d → 9eeed7e7-4e0a-4aa2-9b18-cce535093093
US-NE · governor · election_day · Lynne Walz	14% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	16% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 14% → 16%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 03d9c94d-aa6d-4574-acf4-64f570a116b0 → edf00592-2eef-4579-bd75-f80fcf6073d4
US-NE · governor · nowcast · Lynne Walz	12% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	19% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 12% → 19%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers fd4bd482-5f38-47d5-bd41-12797c60413a → 5bcda896-368b-4937-b59f-85f32fff9bce
US-TX-1 · house · election_day · Yolanda Prince	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-39 · house · election_day · Mark Takano	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-35 · house · election_day · Johnny Garcia	50% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	50% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-9 · house · election_day · Rachel Wallace	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-11 · house · election_day · Jamie Ager	73% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	73% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MT-2 · house · election_day · Brian Miller	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-5 · house · election_day · Chuck Hubbard	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	6% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-3 · house · election_day · Hillary Scholten	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-11 · house · election_day · Chris Harden	9% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	9% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-13 · house · election_day · Mark Nair	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KS · governor · election_day · Cindy Holscher	19% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	31% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 19% → 31%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 5fda78b9-090c-4ea5-abdd-e957022f95cd → 53dc1fa0-843b-460c-b9b5-cf8edd4918ff
US-KS · governor · nowcast · Cindy Holscher	16% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	25% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 16% → 25%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b18e8e56-6eb9-455a-baf7-6ea817d84e4b → d8ef94f2-9ad2-4dfa-b601-d59b6fb4769d
US-AL-6 · house · election_day · Maurice Mercer	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NE-1 · house · election_day · Chris Backemeyer	12% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	12% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WI-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Beck	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-HI · governor · election_day · Josh Green	99% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	99% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9ad420ab-5b65-4f8d-871f-f8b6257b8456 → d0e3a4e7-1e44-4bd7-8848-d4a6a55223fe
US-FL-21 · house · election_day · James Martin	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-25 · house · election_day · Dione Sims	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WA-4 · house · election_day · John Duresky	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-48 · house · election_day · Marni von Wilpert	86% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	86% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-9 · house · election_day · Darren Soto	48% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	48% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-2 · house · election_day · Patrick Halpin	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	3% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-2 · house · election_day · Jared Huffman	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IN-8 · house · election_day · Mary Allen	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-RI-2 · house · election_day · Seth Magaziner	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-1 · house · election_day · Greg Landsman	89% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	89% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WY · senate · election_day · James W. Byrd	<1% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	<1% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 184fe659-8365-4007-9d0b-ce22f672dee0 → c3b35cc2-6db9-4922-b71f-9759676180bc
US-CA-18 · house · election_day · Zoe Lofgren	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-47 · house · election_day · Dave Min	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-UT-4 · house · election_day · Jonny Larsen	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-13 · house · election_day · Nikki Budzinski	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC · senate · election_day · Roy Cooper	95% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	95% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a7535cf3-6ac1-4bd2-8577-3069497673a5 → 940e6408-ba0a-4d48-8e3a-1ab8c0f61d87
US-NC · senate · nowcast · Roy Cooper	97% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	97% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers edbff7d7-5bd0-4dd6-8892-c7b0f4d30bee → f6439766-433c-4daf-b86e-dc8c1c4c865d
US-NV-1 · house · election_day · Dina Titus	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	98% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-4 · house · election_day · Laura Gillen	96% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	96% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ-4 · house · election_day · Rachel Peace	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OR · governor · election_day · Tina Kotek	44% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	77% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 44% → 77%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9d28c443-776f-425b-b32a-ac9baf4330df → 955fa9c6-4d2a-4364-b0d0-14e31be99cfa
US-OR · governor · nowcast · Tina Kotek	43% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	56% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 43% → 56%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3aeeaad6-87dd-425b-8930-04fa5089f880 → 3a04f864-c04c-4ebf-a551-e074cfca8879
US-SC · governor · election_day · Jermaine Johnson	12% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	19% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 12% → 19%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 78d1e4ba-fa04-4090-b764-058bb816e31d → 04c20555-6187-4cab-a98a-6a9e47ef7f7e
US-SC · governor · nowcast · Jermaine Johnson	11% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	15% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 11% → 15%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 62aeb504-d489-4321-a0cf-52178c9abe4e → 6f302184-5d79-438b-b3e6-251cb8aac00e
US-AZ-3 · house · election_day · Yassamin Ansari	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MN-8 · house · election_day · Trina Swanson	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	4% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-6 · house · election_day · Lucy McBath	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SD · senate · election_day · Brian Bengs	24% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	25% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 24% → 25%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c8471ff4-c0f6-495a-97a5-628d0f232d06 → 3f7dc7ed-18d4-4f6c-b47c-da1650df6a2c
US-SD · senate · nowcast · Brian Bengs	22% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	23% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 22% → 23%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2b647856-802d-46d7-bafe-ca1a4eca56a0 → 557ef800-4876-4fed-a04a-7a3851f39c4f
US-ID-1 · house · election_day · Kaylee Peterson	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-2 · house · election_day · Jennifer Mazzuckelli	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-1 · house · election_day · Gay Valimont	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-31 · house · election_day · Gil Cisneros	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-HI-2 · house · election_day · Jill Tokuda	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-8 · house · election_day · Don Beyer	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CO-1 · house · election_day · Melat Kiros	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-11 · house · election_day · Nancy Mannion	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AR · senate · election_day · Hallie Shoffner	3% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	4% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 3% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b54f702c-7f76-4048-b909-fb61be5b9ad7 → 560ca6e0-1193-4007-aa08-b886ca4f5b30
US-AR · senate · nowcast · Hallie Shoffner	5% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	6% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 5% → 6%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8d08388d-edfd-44c2-8158-32a3da0ff395 → 3005f63a-80ca-47a2-8517-c728e4367a80
US-PA-15 · house · election_day · Ray Bilger	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AZ-5 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Lee	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	5% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-2 · house · election_day · Deborah Ross	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MN-4 · house · election_day · Betty McCollum	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-3 · house · election_day · Ami Bera	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-6 · house · election_day · Cyril Jefferson	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	4% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IA-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Trone Garriott	52% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	52% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-DE-AL · house · election_day · Sarah McBride	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OR-4 · house · election_day · Val Hoyle	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-17 · house · election_day · Chris Deluzio	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-5 · house · election_day · Nikema Williams	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NM-1 · house · election_day · Melanie Stansbury	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-41 · house · election_day · Linda Sánchez	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-38 · house · election_day · Hilda Solis	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-14 · house · election_day · Kathy Castor	90% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	90% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MD-8 · house · election_day · Jamie Raskin	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-14 · house · election_day · Maria Jukic	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-12 · house · election_day · Micah Lasher	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-21 · house · election_day · Jim Costa	97% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	97% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ-9 · house · election_day · Nellie Pou	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	98% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AL-1 · house · election_day · Clyde Jones	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-18 · house · election_day · Pat Ryan	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-1 · house · election_day · Bob Harvie	28% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	28% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-6 · house · election_day · Grace Meng	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA · governor · election_day · Xavier Becerra	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 15e71dcf-9d57-4edb-8afb-5e179c969492 → 4b270512-9e11-4650-badc-fb5cf3104e56
US-CA · governor · nowcast · Xavier Becerra	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7b7932a6-f9a3-49d2-bc4a-7fde40365822 → 8a416fde-d857-47b2-af97-782f8a1af491
US-WI-4 · house · election_day · Gwen Moore	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AL · governor · election_day · Doug Jones	3% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	4% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 3% → 4%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7272fe6a-4e77-466f-abe6-5f82c3b7a7ff → 631fd889-c9e4-44be-a330-26587691dc4b
US-AL · governor · nowcast · Doug Jones	3% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	4% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 3% → 4%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b4a867cb-547c-4de8-86c9-f4f28ddb0254 → 8c762711-f2fe-47fa-a80a-098c1394b074
US-FL-25 · house · election_day · Jared Moskowitz	90% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	90% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-24 · house · election_day · Kevin Burge	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	4% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-3 · house · election_day · Delia Ramirez	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-10 · house · election_day · Pamela DeLancy	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	3% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-26 · house · election_day · Nicole Locklin	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MO-4 · house · election_day · Jordan Herrera	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-7 · house · election_day · Bob Brooks	70% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	70% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-7 · house · election_day · Eugene Vindman	97% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	97% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-12 · house · election_day · Julie Fortier	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OK · governor · election_day · Cyndi Munson	11% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	11% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 85183f49-becc-4771-b36c-fd96cec16147 → 7129f9bc-5ec5-461e-ae2f-dadb78273e49
US-TN-3 · house · election_day · Anna Golladay	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI · governor · election_day · Jocelyn Benson	86% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	91% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 86% → 91%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f754f7bf-c637-48cb-bb5c-b25d3eb17c5c → 6266c77d-92c3-407f-845d-433e0389586f
US-MI · governor · nowcast · Jocelyn Benson	89% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	93% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 89% → 93%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 02b1e500-6700-4085-a992-deacbc2ee38e → de5fb2f7-aeec-4aac-aca0-25cc6f4b1fdb
US-MA · senate · election_day · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers eb917ea1-5c5b-4738-9398-49d7a9d69093 → 6651c770-e16d-4849-994a-8a87e4ab270f
US-MA · senate · nowcast · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 28167901-ea8d-41be-95ba-7de7990fe040 → 5f03ff3d-ba70-497b-86b9-cb75c3eca8c5
US-IL-7 · house · election_day · La Shawn Ford	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-11 · house · election_day · Shontel Brown	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-5 · house · election_day · Tom Perriello	22% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	21% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 22% → 21%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-1 · house · election_day · Jonathan Jackson	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Jones	35% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	35% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-23 · house · election_day · Lois Frankel	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AK · governor · election_day · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	88% 2026-10-18T05:31:28Z	88% 2026-10-18T05:31:28Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a62d5a18-be56-46f8-adfc-cf39b2120bb5 → a62d5a18-be56-46f8-adfc-cf39b2120bb5
US-AK · governor · nowcast · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	90% 2026-10-18T05:31:28Z	90% 2026-10-18T05:31:28Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1a4cdd12-0769-4446-903a-3354b61b7057 → 1a4cdd12-0769-4446-903a-3354b61b7057
US-MI-5 · house · election_day · Christian Vukasovich	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NH-1 · house · election_day · Stefany Shaheen	89% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	89% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-11 · house · election_day · James Walkinshaw	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-22 · house · election_day · Pia Dandiya	51% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	50% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 51% → 50%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-18 · house · election_day · Curtis Gibson	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	3% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AK-AL · house · election_day · Bill Hill	35% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	35% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-1 · house · election_day · Mike McGuire	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-RI-1 · house · election_day · Gabe Amo	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MO-8 · house · election_day · Christopher Riechard	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ · senate · election_day · Cory Booker	94% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	94% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4fb4f108-c491-44e9-b298-e0966ef93386 → 86e7eb96-543e-41ac-b93c-84781fdacda7
US-PA-12 · house · election_day · Summer Lee	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KY-4 · house · election_day · Melissa Claire Strange	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-3 · house · election_day · Tom Suozzi	94% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	94% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IN-7 · house · election_day · André Carson	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IA · senate · election_day · Josh Turek	54% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	52% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 54% → 52%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers cd626752-5e83-497f-ac00-2afb2088ed8d → f8fc37e1-d207-47b6-ae51-4b2023d2cff2
US-IA · senate · nowcast · Josh Turek	59% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	57% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 59% → 57%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8bf2ac65-51cd-4340-bad4-0bf9203049d7 → 13d69528-667c-40aa-a1da-f1d10c38d8f1
US-NY-13 · house · election_day · Darializa Avila Chevalier	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-36 · house · election_day · Rhonda Hart	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-23 · house · election_day · Katy Padilla Stout	18% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	18% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-7 · house · election_day · Lizzie Fletcher	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IA-4 · house · election_day · Dave Dawson	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CO · senate · election_day · John Hickenlooper	98% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	98% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 89e3d87a-2ea3-4fb6-a52b-18e37b026e0e → f45f9ebe-113a-4640-906c-a63feb06e630
US-AL-3 · house · election_day · Lee McInnis	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-36 · house · election_day · Ted Lieu	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MT-1 · house · election_day · Sam Forstag	35% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	35% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MD-5 · house · election_day · Adrian Boafo	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-19 · house · election_day · Jimmy Panetta	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-33 · house · election_day · Colin Allred	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-20 · house · election_day · Paul Tonko	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-2 · house · election_day · Sanford Bishop	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-3 · house · election_day · Raymond Smith Jr.	22% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	22% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-52 · house · election_day · Juan Vargas	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Beck	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OR-1 · house · election_day · Suzanne Bonamici	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NM · senate · election_day · Ben Ray Luján	94% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	94% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6cd5866b-36cc-462f-aa85-8bd722f2cdc0 → be0e7526-9d06-460c-bd2a-7de92469858c
US-NM · senate · nowcast · Ben Ray Luján	93% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	93% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3b5d5a12-05a1-48d7-bb9c-0991b3d77308 → ae1f0718-dde0-440b-86a5-56dd0f984fc4
US-NC-10 · house · election_day · Ashley Bell	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	3% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-12 · house · election_day · Jerrad Christian	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MO-2 · house · election_day · Fred Wellman	32% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	32% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-16 · house · election_day · Justin Wagner	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-26 · house · election_day · Jacqui Irwin	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WA-10 · house · election_day · Marilyn Strickland	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KS-4 · house · election_day · Katy Tyndell	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CO-8 · house · election_day · Manny Rutinel	56% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	56% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-4 · house · election_day · Sean McCann	34% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	34% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-30 · house · election_day · Laura Friedman	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-5 · house · election_day · Chelsey Hockett	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MO-3 · house · election_day · Bethany Mann	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SD · governor · election_day · Dan Ahlers	8% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	4% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 8% → 4%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6603cbef-e2b2-4b7f-87f2-29ddaec7b4a3 → f14c91e1-13df-4656-8b06-7136fa6248be
US-SD · governor · nowcast · Dan Ahlers	7% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	10% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 7% → 10%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 14deef24-7b35-49a4-a1e3-8fcb29a2577e → 441b1ee1-ca67-4b1e-932b-99a213a4ee74
US-AR-3 · house · election_day · Robb Ryerse	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-17 · house · election_day · Ro Khanna	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-9 · house · election_day · Ray Pooley	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-11 · house · election_day · Claire Reynolds	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SC · senate · election_day · Annie Andrews	21% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	20% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 21% → 20%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 260d3411-42af-4476-82bc-0e5634f2742d → 52447d31-9b39-4cf2-8462-1a11840f9d49
US-SC · senate · nowcast · Annie Andrews	28% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	28% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 36c19224-67c6-46d2-a564-2cf7eeaccc38 → b4749f31-ea1a-476c-af78-7b96e5975582
US-IL-15 · house · election_day · Jennifer Todd	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-9 · house · election_day · Yvette Clarke	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA · senate · election_day · Jon Ossoff	93% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	93% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d4405211-609d-421a-99fb-3954f7abfd32 → a131fc5e-830d-44ce-acb9-4f889885c400
US-GA · senate · nowcast · Jon Ossoff	94% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	94% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5b53e373-8b07-41a7-92db-a74f92cf85d1 → 585d2be4-2dd4-445c-aa55-7a3fead9254b
US-NY-19 · house · election_day · Josh Riley	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	98% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-4 · house · election_day · Jennifer McClellan	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MS-1 · house · election_day · Cliff Johnson	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-DE · senate · election_day · Chris Coons	99% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	99% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4f080d39-460e-45c5-ac70-53938a840643 → 4968c9c9-2844-439e-896b-0f8c3afa315c
US-IL · governor · election_day · JB Pritzker	96% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	97% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 96% → 97%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c15cef7c-6ff4-40be-8000-e785be5f0358 → ff90b512-5904-4517-8f70-44995354d13e
US-IL · governor · nowcast · JB Pritzker	96% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	98% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 96% → 98%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3972186f-a3e8-467e-b30c-24d26de81fc2 → aa2edd1b-75be-4057-9f8e-a613fe3d4069
US-WA-6 · house · election_day · Emily Randall	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-19 · house · election_day · Victor Arias	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SC-1 · house · election_day · Nancy Lacore	30% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	30% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-10 · house · election_day · Kristina Knickerbocker	10% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	10% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-3 · house · election_day · Seth Harp	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-RI · senate · election_day · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 737b92f2-3540-409d-b25d-d6848728dc7a → 1a8f2c06-507c-47e6-a6ea-236f12d68c70
US-RI · senate · nowcast · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f1d4e800-8104-42d2-b68a-5d828b26bee9 → c17a8bb3-434a-4c78-a597-85e2f0a8adf5
US-CA-44 · house · election_day · Nanette Barragán	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NH · senate · election_day · Chris Pappas	88% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	88% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 542b13fb-f8e2-4b1b-ad70-c437b3eb39d8 → 3bcd50f5-c96b-495b-bf25-c9ac71e2b331
US-NH · senate · nowcast · Chris Pappas	86% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	86% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e10b8885-e2c4-4fda-91e8-e8d6c55d3947 → 9be690e7-a671-4d80-b171-e9f007907488
US-AZ-9 · house · election_day · Danielle Sterbinsky	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-17 · house · election_day · Cait Conley	48% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	48% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-21 · house · election_day · Kristin Hook	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MA-6 · house · election_day · Dan Koh	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-17 · house · election_day · Eric Sorensen	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NM-2 · house · election_day · Gabe Vasquez	79% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	78% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 79% → 78%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-9 · house · election_day · Joy Powers	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IN-1 · house · election_day · Frank Mrvan	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	98% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-8 · house · election_day · Hakeem Jeffries	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AR-1 · house · election_day · Terri Yarbrough	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KY-6 · house · election_day · Zach Dembo	52% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	52% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-12 · house · election_day · Rashida Tlaib	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TN-6 · house · election_day · Mike Croley	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-5 · house · election_day · Mary Gay Scanlon	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NV · governor · election_day · Aaron Ford	21% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	36% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 21% → 36%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 5270f304-fba7-4957-bbe7-9e74414078e2 → 66462bc0-656a-4e35-aaee-f90958d4bf60
US-NV · governor · nowcast · Aaron Ford	18% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	27% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 18% → 27%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a96698ea-718b-46ee-8ea3-382e92b54c9b → 7a523fbe-b89a-4be7-9e65-33fb1816e81e
US-SC-4 · house · election_day · Courtney McClain	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IN-5 · house · election_day · J.D. Ford	16% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	16% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-35 · house · election_day · Norma Torres	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-24 · house · election_day · Alissa Ellman	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AZ-1 · house · election_day · Amish Shah	72% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	72% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WV-1 · house · election_day · Vince George	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ-3 · house · election_day · Herb Conaway	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IN-2 · house · election_day · Jamee Decio	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-27 · house · election_day · George Whitesides	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-37 · house · election_day · Greg Casar	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-49 · house · election_day · Mike Levin	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TN-5 · house · election_day · Chaz Molder	15% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	14% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Displayed 15% → 14%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-12 · house · election_day · Ceretta Smith	4% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	4% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AZ-6 · house · election_day · JoAnna Mendoza	59% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	59% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SC-2 · house · election_day · Zyon Khalifa	7% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	7% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-20 · house · election_day · Joaquin Castro	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WA-1 · house · election_day · Suzan DelBene	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-13 · house · election_day · Beth Farnham	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AK · senate · election_day · Mary Peltola	46% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	47% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 46% → 47%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c919abe0-b6c3-4e02-ab64-19bd146379cf → 974450fb-7a42-4eaa-87e2-e12d2a13b479
US-AK · senate · nowcast · Mary Peltola	69% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	69% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 73754ea9-6e5c-4c22-89bc-82aa125ab9c4 → 33f714e3-7895-46c7-b357-456335d38f67
US-NJ-7 · house · election_day · Rebecca Bennett	71% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	71% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TN · senate · election_day · Marquita Bradshaw	2% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 67797c67-620a-489e-a6e1-47fece6e9577 → b61b6b3c-e2f5-4a6e-bdf4-661c67e146b8
US-TN · senate · nowcast · Marquita Bradshaw	1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2d8ea295-2a98-4d24-873d-a0502e9d1f75 → 21754f41-fe06-49e9-8f2b-8c57face1860
US-CA-9 · house · election_day · Josh Harder	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-LA-2 · house · election_day · Troy A. Carter Sr.	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NC-8 · house · election_day · Colby Watson	4% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	4% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-26 · house · election_day · Steven Shook	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-9 · house · election_day · Leticia Gutierrez	7% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	7% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SC-5 · house · election_day · Mallory Dittmer	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-SD-AL · house · election_day · Nicole Gronli	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-8 · house · election_day · Melissa Bean	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VA-1 · house · election_day · Shannon Taylor	44% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	44% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-15 · house · election_day · Bobby Pulido	44% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	44% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AL-2 · house · election_day · Shomari Figures	39% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	39% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MN-1 · house · election_day · Jake Johnson	23% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	23% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KS-3 · house · election_day · Sharice Davids	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CT-2 · house · election_day · Joe Courtney	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NV-4 · house · election_day · Steven Horsford	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-16 · house · election_day · George Latimer	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MD-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Elfreth	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-12 · house · election_day · Kimberly Overman	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	3% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IN-6 · house · election_day · Cynthia Wirth	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-6 · house · election_day · Chrissy Houlahan	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MO-7 · house · election_day · Missi Hesketh	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WI-7 · house · election_day · Fred Clark	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	3% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MA-9 · house · election_day · Bill Keating	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KY-3 · house · election_day · Morgan McGarvey	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-HI-1 · house · election_day · Ed Case	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-16 · house · election_day · Veronica Escobar	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MD-1 · house · election_day · Dan Schwartz	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	3% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-15 · house · election_day · Ritchie Torres	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ-5 · house · election_day · Josh Gottheimer	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-UT-3 · house · election_day · Kent Udell	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-20 · house · election_day · Debbie Wasserman Schultz	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-45 · house · election_day · Derek Tran	97% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	97% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-30 · house · election_day · Frederick Haynes III	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-25 · house · election_day · Joseph Morelle	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CT-5 · house · election_day · Jahana Hayes	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-8 · house · election_day · Kelly Esti	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-27 · house · election_day · Tanya Lloyd	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CO-3 · house · election_day · Dwayne Romero	27% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	27% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IA-1 · house · election_day · Christina Bohannan	68% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	68% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-10 · house · election_day · Caitlin Rourk	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-13 · house · election_day · Leela Gray	25% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	25% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-5 · house · election_day · Brian Shaver	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-VT-AL · house · election_day · Becca Balint	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MS-2 · house · election_day · Bennie Thompson	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KS-1 · house · election_day · Lauren Reinhold	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-25 · house · election_day · Raul Ruiz	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-16 · house · election_day · Paul Nolley	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-50 · house · election_day · Scott Peters	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-17 · house · election_day · Matthew Montavon	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI · senate · election_day · Abdul El-Sayed	67% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	66% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Displayed 67% → 66%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers bd1896ae-f062-4805-a0f8-c812d0195945 → bbb1e6dc-ce71-41f9-9813-5427a78c3938
US-MI · senate · nowcast · Abdul El-Sayed	69% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	69% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7acd4ea3-f5b3-4904-9dd4-c4ecfa7ba87f → bdf1c3a9-6be0-4997-b7b7-f5688c584dc0
US-CA-46 · house · election_day · Lou Correa	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA · governor · election_day · Keisha Lance Bottoms	35% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	58% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 35% → 58%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a86995bf-6d6f-4618-bb6d-bebed64aeddf → 18d8b37f-a910-4636-9146-7fb8c65daf74
US-GA · governor · nowcast · Keisha Lance Bottoms	33% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	47% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 33% → 47%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 75911cb1-e4a5-4b24-944e-906f105d57b8 → 4855b0bb-e11e-41ef-9e62-97d49f5d18a1
US-WY-AL · house · election_day · Lisa F. Kinney	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NH-2 · house · election_day · Maggie Goodlander	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-13 · house · election_day · Jasmine Clark	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CO-2 · house · election_day · Joe Neguse	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ-1 · house · election_day · Donald Norcross	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-6 · house · election_day · Sean Casten	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MA · governor · election_day · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers eadfaf77-bac7-45c8-8e2f-85cdf03c49de → bed77105-a9b1-4ad8-b86a-589993bcb1a7
US-MA · governor · nowcast · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7c67a5a0-7a00-4eca-bf26-b6362efc8637 → 3c0d4c61-8466-4332-9da0-d9c5e78349b0
US-NV-3 · house · election_day · Susie Lee	94% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	94% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WA-9 · house · election_day · Adam Smith	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-10 · house · election_day · Mark DeSaulnier	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-KY · senate · election_day · Charles Booker	7% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	7% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2cbde274-6c8f-4414-9dcb-ac7e6f0b7f4a → b28e8b74-433f-4cfc-9776-803b97ac2bcf
US-KY · senate · nowcast · Charles Booker	9% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	9% 2026-10-18T17:09:09Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers bac2f284-232a-49fe-b1f9-791bbf2df517 → b31ae215-6b28-47ff-bf5e-b4e3ad358cc1
US-WI-8 · house · election_day · Rick Crosson	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	5% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WI · governor · election_day · David Crowley	64% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	72% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 64% → 72%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 996e9b0d-d8a8-4f49-a707-602e906e3f85 → 5fa0d0fc-e8ba-49f3-87d3-af785c3cfca6
US-WI · governor · nowcast · David Crowley	66% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	77% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 66% → 77%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3a6084c9-9e13-4705-a2f1-2396e050b968 → 5caf6713-c37c-4e62-bae2-a489542dcc9b
US-GA-4 · house · election_day · Hank Johnson	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY · governor · election_day · Kathy Hochul	96% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	98% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 96% → 98%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 04af8e8d-fa03-45c0-84fb-9ab392938290 → 140b0b26-a4d1-4993-a081-c7bc9f64d5f1
US-NY · governor · nowcast · Kathy Hochul	97% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	98% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 97% → 98%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7fef5aed-3f5f-4632-8c0e-94b4ac889a85 → 0f09426e-2c25-46ae-8c8c-6e174b74d538
US-CO-6 · house · election_day · Jason Crow	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-1 · house · election_day · Callie Barr	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA-14 · house · election_day · Alan Bradstock	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-ME · governor · election_day · Hannah Pingree	95% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	97% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 95% → 97%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 2c238c9f-4c05-4b80-a9a3-a415f36254ed → b79c7bd7-ef20-4f76-84c5-155469fb321f
US-ME · governor · nowcast · Hannah Pingree	97% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	98% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 97% → 98%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 593f5141-601b-474c-b682-785876ece7ad → d4df6156-ba07-4fa4-854b-ac17334214f8
US-CT-1 · house · election_day · Luke Bronin	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-24 · house · election_day · Salud Carbajal	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-9 · house · election_day · Caitlyn Gegan	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OK-4 · house · election_day · Mitchell Jacob	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-OH-6 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Kirtley	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-31 · house · election_day · Justin Early	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WY · governor · election_day · Kenneth Casner	<1% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	<1% 2026-10-18T08:42:26Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1fa9a16e-9f81-4901-8a0d-1263faf97df3 → 15a1f5b6-4af5-4815-be0e-039331285733
US-TX-3 · house · election_day · Evan Hunt	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CO-4 · house · election_day · Eileen Laubacher	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	3% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IN-9 · house · election_day · Brad Meyer	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-6 · house · election_day · Danny Minton	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	2% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AZ-2 · house · election_day · Jonathan Nez	15% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	15% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-GA-7 · house · election_day · Anthony Kozycki	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	6% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-PA · governor · election_day · Josh Shapiro	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers cb04fb3d-c696-47b5-9716-f7c2dcea8d14 → e3757f08-23d9-45d6-9285-80c8a571e069
US-PA · governor · nowcast · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 84ac04c4-847f-4db5-aec1-8d97bbb057c8 → 201daec7-1791-46b3-bb75-1e0358cc2513
US-NJ-10 · house · election_day · LaMonica McIver	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MD-4 · house · election_day · Glenn Ivey	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NJ-11 · house · election_day · Analilia Mejia	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IL-10 · house · election_day · Brad Schneider	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-IN-4 · house · election_day · Drew Cox	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WI-1 · house · election_day · Mitchell Berman	23% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	23% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-10 · house · election_day · Brad Lander	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-6 · house · election_day · Richard Pan	50% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	50% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-19 · house · election_day · Kyle Rable	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WV-2 · house · election_day · Ace Parsi	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	<1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TN-9 · house · election_day · Justin J. Pearson	9% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	9% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-11 · house · election_day · Jeremy Moss	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-FL-7 · house · election_day · Bale Dalton	68% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	68% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MN · governor · election_day · Amy Klobuchar	90% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	95% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 90% → 95%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 82431f50-6a9d-4c95-89ea-60a78076cf00 → a617c1d5-647d-4e74-bbe2-d3e51c6a3484
US-MN · governor · nowcast · Amy Klobuchar	92% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	95% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 92% → 95%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f8cdf32f-5ebf-4ea7-9c53-beff1b3b6c0e → 585df7b1-215b-424c-a087-f371dae15286
US-IL-2 · house · election_day · Donna Miller	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-42 · house · election_day · Robert Garcia	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CA-8 · house · election_day · John Garamendi	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-TX-18 · house · election_day · Christian Menefee	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-MI-8 · house · election_day · Kristen McDonald Rivet	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	98% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-11 · house · election_day · Michael DeCillis	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	1% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-WA-8 · house · election_day · Kim Schrier	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-AZ-8 · house · election_day · Bernadette Greene-Placentia	4% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	4% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-NY-26 · house · election_day · Tim Kennedy	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95
US-CT-4 · house · election_day · Jim Himes	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	>99% 2026-10-18T17:32:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618 → 4b3b3bfb-a948-467e-b57f-ace677287b95