Published forecasts: 2026-10-17

Last published snapshot for this Pacific day. These records were published at the time; no reconstructed forecasts are added.

Compared with the previous available closed day, 2026-10-16. Dates may be more than one day apart.

2026-10-16: race records · chamber records · file hashes
2026-10-17: race records · chamber records · file hashes

Chambers

Stored party-control bounds; unavailable values stay unavailable. The linked downloads retain model versions and run identifiers.

Chambers
Chamber / product	Earlier	Later
governors · election_day	D 69%–69%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	D 69%–69%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z
governors · nowcast	D 68%–68%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	D 68%–68%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z
house · election_day	D 80%–80%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	D 80%–80%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z
senate · election_day	D 53%–63%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T05:55:13Z	D 53%–63%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z
senate · nowcast	D 61%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T05:55:13Z	D 61%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z

Races

Changes refer to the displayed, rounded percentages. Exact probabilities are in the downloads. Candidate changes are separate rows. A poll appearing between runs is not proof it caused a move. Poll arrivals, money and candidate events are not captured by these forecast files; the model and correction record provides other context.

Races
Race and subject	Earlier chance / run time	Later chance / run time	Change	Context
US-LA-6 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	6% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-22 · house · election_day · Marquette Greene-Scott	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-4 · house · election_day · Valerie Foushee	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OR · senate · election_day · Jeff Merkley	98% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	98% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 804792a1-728d-4513-a38c-34b70f02edad → 1f8e354f-f7a8-4765-858c-4ca915e6ba94
US-VA · senate · election_day · Mark Warner	98% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	98% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 95a2c85a-1a62-48e3-9b98-b87f8e3726f7 → c5385201-8644-425a-8e94-9fa06024ef1f
US-VA · senate · nowcast · Mark Warner	98% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	98% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 961b41f5-255e-43dd-863e-058cb4bc8cfe → a748e307-b791-49e3-af16-59db5e2b7d87
US-OH-4 · house · election_day · Joshua Kolasinski	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WA-3 · house · election_day · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	35% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	35% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-14 · house · election_day · LaKesha Womack	8% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	8% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OK-5 · house · election_day · Jena Nelson	6% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MN-7 · house · election_day · Erik Osberg	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MT · senate · election_day · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers dabfe4c2-86e8-4ddb-81c5-c8fcc25f1e20 → 3d54757d-098c-4389-bb84-72ac8a2dc585
US-MT · senate · nowcast · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 31e609aa-ee95-4a16-9e1d-a43d178d7f11 → bbc9f527-6bbc-4a0c-aece-818aad26b182
US-CA-20 · house · election_day · Sandra Van Scotter	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AL-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Sneed	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-1 · house · election_day · Don Davis	82% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	82% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-7 · house · election_day · Brian Poindexter	70% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	70% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OK-2 · house · election_day · Brandon Wade	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-12 · house · election_day · Alma Adams	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TN · governor · election_day · Jerri Green	2% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	1% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6197b444-f813-4479-beaa-1669c2e64c14 → 98c3648e-c8e5-46e3-b544-8c7eb8211879
US-TN · governor · nowcast · Jerri Green	1% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	1% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers d623ac7b-e4e3-4a19-a6e0-8f689ed6c82d → a7b49d23-cfb0-4546-b0d9-071ccc904ce3
US-ID-2 · house · election_day · Ellie Gilbreath	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AZ-4 · house · election_day · Greg Stanton	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-9 · house · election_day · Richard Ojeda	14% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	14% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IA-2 · house · election_day · Lindsay James	48% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	48% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-38 · house · election_day · Melissa McDonough	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-5 · house · election_day · Gregory Meeks	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AR-4 · house · election_day · James Russell	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL · senate · election_day · Angie Nixon	12% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	12% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 981a15f1-61ab-479a-8af0-a6d8c77f7f06 → 995b24ff-c168-4458-ac92-8b7c0a395645
US-FL · senate · nowcast · Angie Nixon	9% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	9% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d7f41117-ad6b-4a14-9c69-9e28a9209318 → a9c58595-9f66-4b2f-9e35-152d6ff7795d
US-MN-5 · house · election_day · Ilhan Omar	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-28 · house · election_day · Henry Cuellar	73% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	73% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NV-2 · house · election_day · Teresa Benitez-Thompson	32% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	32% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-4 · house · election_day · Jason Pearce	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX · governor · election_day · Gina Hinojosa	29% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	25% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 29% → 25%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f7f02359-6751-4aaa-b780-ba792799d693 → 07146b52-17e0-42df-8e17-cd2ff1bef305
US-TX · governor · nowcast · Gina Hinojosa	34% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	23% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 34% → 23%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers d1a2aa17-4602-4384-9f6f-72869c015751 → 7d94d828-e105-4b0a-b805-9655ec5fe1f5
US-MA-8 · house · election_day · Stephen Lynch	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-13 · house · election_day · Paul Barringer	5% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-7 · house · election_day · Claire Valdez	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-ND-AL · house · election_day · Trygve Hammer	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-9 · house · election_day · Daniel Biss	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-2 · house · election_day · Benjamin Ambrose	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MD-6 · house · election_day · April McClain Delaney	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AL-7 · house · election_day · Terri Sewell	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-33 · house · election_day · Pete Aguilar	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-24 · house · election_day · Oliver Gilbert	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-2 · house · election_day · Elaine Luria	60% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	60% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-4 · house · election_day · LaShonda Holloway	9% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	8% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Displayed 9% → 8%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-10 · house · election_day · Christina Hines	49% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	49% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MN-2 · house · election_day · Matt Little	87% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	87% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-8 · house · election_day · Jennifer Jenkins	6% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-51 · house · election_day · Sara Jacobs	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-16 · house · election_day · Sam Liccardo	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OR-6 · house · election_day · Andrea Salinas	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-10 · house · election_day · Suhas Subramanyam	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-28 · house · election_day · Judy Chu	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-4 · house · election_day · Patty Garcia	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OR-3 · house · election_day · Maxine Dexter	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NM · governor · election_day · Deb Haaland	90% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	84% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 90% → 84%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 39552980-92c9-4064-b8b3-0932b3f2bf4e → 874ce148-d7e9-4c0b-b910-e51b1f5eb622
US-NM · governor · nowcast · Deb Haaland	92% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	87% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 92% → 87%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 4980417f-62b8-4d2e-b652-1566abbfa7e6 → d0780a05-5cea-4858-9cc2-4bcce7f244ab
US-TX-29 · house · election_day · Sylvia Garcia	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OR-5 · house · election_day · Janelle Bynum	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-3 · house · election_day · Maura Keller	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-5 · house · election_day · Michael Masuda	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-21 · house · election_day · Blake Gendebien	26% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	26% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-15 · house · election_day · Kevin Mullin	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-27 · house · election_day · Eliott Rodriguez	15% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	15% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MO-1 · house · election_day · Wesley Bell	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KY-1 · house · election_day · John "Drew" Williams	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SC-3 · house · election_day · Eunice Lehmacher	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-14 · house · election_day · Shawn Harris	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-ID · senate · election_day · Todd Achilles	12% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	12% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f040c032-b604-4336-8ad1-2ba0ef976880 → e8f83ef1-a640-4780-81ed-18ed8685e4be
US-ID · senate · nowcast · Todd Achilles	11% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	11% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 401e5966-8589-476c-8fe8-5d81cf8d90c9 → 85c455bd-02cc-4d44-8326-16f66b8f7867
US-TN-2 · house · election_day · Michaela Barnett	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CO-7 · house · election_day · Brittany Pettersen	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-8 · house · election_day · Paige Cognetti	45% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	45% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KS-2 · house · election_day · Don Coover	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-14 · house · election_day · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH · governor · election_day · Amy Acton	66% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	60% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 66% → 60%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b04961c5-f42a-4aef-be74-fedc38056a7d → 86e10353-bf46-4ee0-9de1-d9360fd5fc37
US-OH · governor · nowcast · Amy Acton	71% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	61% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 71% → 61%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7bd650ec-3b2b-4f13-8b3a-6f9a960702dc → 43acf3c5-7f59-4960-ba5b-46ba3af7b784
US-AR · governor · election_day · Fredrick Love	9% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	16% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 9% → 16%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 66c7329a-4fcf-4634-82ef-7228207adfe8 → 41da386c-f0a6-449e-9eb0-d9e1b328f9fa
US-AR · governor · nowcast · Fredrick Love	19% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	15% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 19% → 15%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 862ac316-f85e-4ac9-ab0b-31dc0f5982a1 → 4c7f9918-063a-43a1-b9a9-6a7c83555d45
US-MO-6 · house · election_day · Josh Smead	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KS · senate · election_day · Adam Hamilton	37% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	37% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 22ecf4eb-d306-4cff-b428-5101d2932f2a → 7c1b5f41-ce1c-40bd-8084-7162d9d488bb
US-KS · senate · nowcast · Adam Hamilton	54% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	54% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 73a6ce07-67bc-4b3f-ba0f-a7960f78fe3a → 7e4eb92d-e5df-4921-8576-64d03031f95f
US-ME · senate · election_day · Troy Jackson	40% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	40% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 09b22d7d-0f41-4052-9805-048ea28e0928 → cefe2545-8d91-498a-8ed7-41968ff67486
US-ME · senate · nowcast · Troy Jackson	67% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	67% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 19392ec4-a5c0-4dae-972e-e01c002c0eb2 → 28773830-19a7-4703-939d-f2b422d86f6e
US-CA-13 · house · election_day · Adam Gray	92% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	92% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-17 · house · election_day · Casey Shepard	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-11 · house · election_day · Bill Foster	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-28 · house · election_day · Phil Ehr	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MO-5 · house · election_day · Emanuel Cleaver	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-22 · house · election_day · John Mannion	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MD · governor · election_day · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3291e65d-3c25-4a21-bf9f-cb6a973765ea → 35b6b61b-9e08-4064-88ce-32afcbea9f40
US-MD · governor · nowcast · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 01a52c10-cbd7-49c8-937a-a674943e0717 → 6520b4b5-47cd-4cb1-8007-0f825a120814
US-CO-5 · house · election_day · Jessica Killin	39% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	39% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-2 · house · election_day · Amanda Green	6% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MA-3 · house · election_day · Lori Trahan	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-3 · house · election_day · Joyce Beatty	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NH · governor · election_day · Cinde Warmington	9% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	4% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 9% → 4%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 4f8a8ee4-9e33-47b9-b336-23f23bcf2c94 → d24cffce-2ec8-45b6-b873-3b671a66d89e
US-NH · governor · nowcast · Cinde Warmington	5% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	2% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 5% → 2%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 4418f214-dee0-43cd-a204-e9b5666d9c2b → 4daec154-e94c-4add-a372-93df62a43095
US-NC-7 · house · election_day · Kimberly Hardy	10% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	9% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Displayed 10% → 9%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WV · senate · election_day · Rachel Fetty Anderson	1% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5822e582-f972-4aab-8968-4d9104b83688 → 50a6bfe2-9326-4897-b5af-eb164eacbd87
US-OK · senate · election_day · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	1% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3591d5fe-076f-4599-ac48-849900ed1295 → 7b541d12-02f5-4ebb-be2c-becff4b1a651
US-OK · senate · nowcast · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	<1% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	<1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e12aed3d-998c-4b7a-90a4-02ac92978472 → 964c763f-afcd-45fb-b7f3-720884a83de8
US-CA-32 · house · election_day · Brad Sherman	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NE · senate · election_day · Dan Osborn	46% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	46% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5b9a4d4a-e31c-4416-9ba9-35a562a14fa2 → 27a234be-3c04-48a9-8e77-e53b66628c30
US-NE · senate · nowcast · Dan Osborn	46% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	46% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d37ac873-671f-4059-ba56-e206e0aa68d9 → 3be69dd1-f6ee-4b04-81f9-1ec0fb458171
US-TN-1 · house · election_day · Kristi Burke	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-12 · house · election_day · Angela Rodriguez Prilliman	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MS-4 · house · election_day · Jeffrey Hulum III	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OK-1 · house · election_day · John Croisant	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WA-2 · house · election_day · Rick Larsen	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SC-7 · house · election_day · John Vincent	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OK-3 · house · election_day · Suzie Byrd	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-ID · governor · election_day · Terri Pickens	1% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	2% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 1% → 2%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a4d4ee75-aa91-413a-a39e-8b8365964a74 → aac5f683-4493-4db4-81da-f1b3d50019e9
US-ID · governor · nowcast · Terri Pickens	2% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	2% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 7349ccb0-cc85-4e30-81ff-334a7ebc5292 → 2b0d90c2-56cb-4b7f-8013-49d13f289125
US-TX-8 · house · election_day · Laura Jones	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-1 · house · election_day · Amanda Hollowell	7% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	7% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-UT-1 · house · election_day · Ben McAdams	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL · senate · election_day · Juliana Stratton	95% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	95% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6c4e1727-8ea7-4ddb-9ee3-11cee22a9f0c → d25ebc7d-6918-4602-a055-a43fad8a7aad
US-IL · senate · nowcast · Juliana Stratton	93% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	93% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 258a6fff-f60d-4aa4-87ce-4c7417e6ce82 → a1ee22b2-8950-4c45-8819-5a75d4dc94b6
US-ME-1 · house · election_day · Chellie Pingree	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-2 · house · election_day · Brendan Boyle	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH · senate · election_day · Sherrod Brown	72% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	72% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4bb203c2-794a-4332-9def-7a93e69096e2 → 592b32b2-bb70-4c60-a6b5-d397131e206d
US-OH · senate · nowcast · Sherrod Brown	77% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	77% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d19c6541-6c1d-4fc5-b4c3-bc51d37ed003 → 80fe4bff-0d64-487c-b670-ff6f6f048164
US-CA-23 · house · election_day · Tessa Lynn Hodge	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WA-7 · house · election_day · Pramila Jayapal	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MN-6 · house · election_day · Doug Chapin	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-1 · house · election_day · Chris Gallant	17% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	17% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AZ-7 · house · election_day · Adelita Grijalva	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CT-3 · house · election_day · Rosa DeLauro	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-4 · house · election_day · Madeleine Dean	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-23 · house · election_day · Aaron Gies	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ-6 · house · election_day · Frank Pallone	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-2 · house · election_day · Shaun Finnie	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-UT-2 · house · election_day · Peter Crosby	5% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KY-5 · house · election_day · Ned Pillersdorf	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-16 · house · election_day · Kelly Kirschner	28% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	28% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-5 · house · election_day · Mike Quigley	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MS-3 · house · election_day · Michael Chiaradio	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-15 · house · election_day · Don Leonard	31% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	31% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MA-4 · house · election_day · Jake Auchincloss	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-11 · house · election_day · James Pericola	16% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	16% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-14 · house · election_day · Thurman Bartie	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-ME-2 · house · election_day · Matthew Dunlap	29% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	29% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IA · governor · election_day · Rob Sand	85% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	86% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 85% → 86%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 9da4c098-e315-485c-919c-2729474c76c7 → d193b35f-9dfb-44ff-80e5-7dcb3c8e9583
US-IA · governor · nowcast · Rob Sand	93% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	89% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 93% → 89%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 6601a19a-da2d-4871-a1dd-13a44cb049f0 → 9d82bdc9-8480-441f-9f47-d263b093f222
US-PA-10 · house · election_day · Janelle Stelson	65% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	65% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-RI · governor · election_day · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	98% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 99% → 98%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers afd49b07-48c5-4858-90d1-70bc33a5bc87 → ab74ffbe-9798-4f5f-8089-bf5b53a3bd6b
US-RI · governor · nowcast · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f53ceb03-0a25-4278-a1d2-ab787e1e8ff9 → dfadfe3d-821f-42b4-9a4c-23564d76bdd4
US-FL-6 · house · election_day · Eric Yonce	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CT · governor · election_day · Ned Lamont	99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	98% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 99% → 98%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 0fb66abf-53d6-46a9-94d0-c7c871f0a084 → fa317cf5-cc83-4113-8f9d-eb6cde97f7b7
US-CT · governor · nowcast · Ned Lamont	99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 8ab163d9-5c51-430d-96ae-addffa2950b9 → dbd8606e-41c8-4db2-ad2b-fe3924a4a2a5
US-AL · senate · election_day · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	2% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d6204ca0-2a4e-488e-8957-d1e671ef99d0 → 26e519ca-d68e-4d8b-a44a-e9f453c4e6d8
US-AL · senate · nowcast · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	2% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b4216679-d56f-4207-a619-7aa590342ff5 → 28512998-8f6d-4f45-9221-e39b3cb518af
US-FL-5 · house · election_day · Rachel Grage	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AL-4 · house · election_day · Amanda Pusczek	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MN · senate · election_day · Peggy Flanagan	86% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	86% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c5aa0a40-61f5-4e1e-94c5-5e1f488abc6b → f278f1c7-9be4-4d0b-a7dd-a1c821ff0aec
US-MN · senate · nowcast · Peggy Flanagan	78% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	78% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d4eee9f8-5bda-47a9-9496-0e250a35e547 → 1da12339-d607-4600-9ec2-4c98c026f953
US-TN-7 · house · election_day · Darden Copeland	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-15 · house · election_day · Robert People	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-43 · house · election_day · Maxine Waters	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CO · governor · election_day · Phil Weiser	95% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	95% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 574efce9-7395-43ff-a7c3-9750d2159ef7 → 6676c9fb-dd55-4e89-86ad-2dd09c64d016
US-WI-6 · house · election_day · Brad Smith	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MD-7 · house · election_day · Kweisi Mfume	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Morrison	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-32 · house · election_day · Dan Barrios	6% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TN-4 · house · election_day · Victoria Broderick	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MD-2 · house · election_day · Johnny Olszewski	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TN-8 · house · election_day · Heidi Kuhn	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NE-3 · house · election_day · Becky Stille	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MS · senate · election_day · Scott Colom	10% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	10% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9ddd369d-cff7-422c-9d24-4e4e9cb1cd49 → fa543d9e-e906-4603-a370-0f1e469cb23a
US-MS · senate · nowcast · Scott Colom	15% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	15% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 0b055f2d-14db-4080-b133-f8978b8879a7 → 5e364418-992b-4575-8ae8-14d9dfa2f22e
US-NM-3 · house · election_day · Teresa Leger Fernández	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ-2 · house · election_day · Zack Mullock	7% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	7% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KY-2 · house · election_day · Megan Wingfield	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-14 · house · election_day · Lauren Underwood	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-34 · house · election_day · Vicente Gonzalez	61% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	61% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX · senate · election_day · James Talarico	59% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	59% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 16635a7c-7dfa-4ac8-909d-ac8eeb7e45d9 → 0b14aba5-688e-43f2-a65d-83abcf198793
US-TX · senate · nowcast · James Talarico	71% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	71% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c81c96c8-8b51-440a-8216-50d941b455cd → e373f9cb-3adb-4dc1-ad79-6dd52af21f34
US-OH-13 · house · election_day · Emilia Sykes	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL · governor · election_day · David Jolly	20% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	13% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 20% → 13%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 445a3684-d21d-43dc-b5e4-744b5ce1e322 → 24767e60-94bb-40e8-90f5-b4a22dc23286
US-FL · governor · nowcast · David Jolly	18% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	10% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 18% → 10%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c08c61a7-5d08-47aa-8c98-6a8d7a638a31 → f55207df-bfd5-47dc-a1b0-6ed11e06f67d
US-MI-13 · house · election_day · Donavan McKinney	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ-12 · house · election_day · Adam Hamawy	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SC-6 · house · election_day · Jim Clyburn	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-9 · house · election_day · Marcy Kaptur	55% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	55% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WI-3 · house · election_day · Rebecca Cooke	52% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	52% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NE-2 · house · election_day · Denise Powell	90% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	90% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-3 · house · election_day · Bobby Scott	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-6 · house · election_day · Beth Macy	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-22 · house · election_day · Randy Villegas	50% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	50% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-8 · house · election_day · Vanessa Enoch	6% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AZ · governor · election_day · Katie Hobbs	93% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	84% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 93% → 84%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 112cd33c-1488-4a0e-a519-6e84ddd19941 → 20376723-4f87-4244-9f46-82b3003b3996
US-AZ · governor · nowcast · Katie Hobbs	92% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	87% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 92% → 87%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 2b1de767-f182-40e3-a1e3-0d4babd4e559 → 94d0753c-d2c6-4f58-89da-a4c0bab9a5dc
US-VT · governor · election_day · Amanda Janoo	9% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	10% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 9% → 10%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 331fc44d-c55f-4e00-bb18-46c9c4df563a → 7a3cd749-7ea4-4717-9964-476d82baa6ef
US-VT · governor · nowcast · Amanda Janoo	14% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	8% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 14% → 8%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers aaf355c1-85fb-436d-87a8-1844b813e357 → de6ddef7-b13d-43bc-b85e-8c9afb1f26bf
US-MI-6 · house · election_day · Debbie Dingell	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-7 · house · election_day · William Lawrence	49% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	49% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Thompson	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WA-5 · house · election_day · Carmela Conroy	6% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-LA · senate · election_day · Jamie Davis	5% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	5% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e414f83a-1449-450b-846d-895abf0d21e1 → e0edcd84-c62f-46c7-8551-6997c790e2d0
US-LA · senate · nowcast · Jamie Davis	9% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	9% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b2f17c22-f15e-4762-8c23-52d63eafe50b → 789869fb-e6c0-478a-b2a2-be2342a3c91d
US-NE · governor · election_day · Lynne Walz	15% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	14% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 15% → 14%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers eab1af48-2495-4520-98fc-4eae306b3863 → 03d9c94d-aa6d-4574-acf4-64f570a116b0
US-NE · governor · nowcast · Lynne Walz	17% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	12% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 17% → 12%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 96f5b1a7-b564-4208-b710-97ea0c76743c → fd4bd482-5f38-47d5-bd41-12797c60413a
US-TX-1 · house · election_day · Yolanda Prince	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-39 · house · election_day · Mark Takano	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-35 · house · election_day · Johnny Garcia	50% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	50% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-9 · house · election_day · Rachel Wallace	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-11 · house · election_day · Jamie Ager	73% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	73% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MT-2 · house · election_day · Brian Miller	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-5 · house · election_day · Chuck Hubbard	6% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-3 · house · election_day · Hillary Scholten	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-11 · house · election_day · Chris Harden	9% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	9% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-13 · house · election_day · Mark Nair	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KS · governor · election_day · Cindy Holscher	31% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	19% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 31% → 19%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 91d311d9-c114-4a17-ad5a-5b6f318264dd → 5fda78b9-090c-4ea5-abdd-e957022f95cd
US-KS · governor · nowcast · Cindy Holscher	25% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	16% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 25% → 16%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ba8695f7-b3f8-49db-884d-f6a319047f6e → b18e8e56-6eb9-455a-baf7-6ea817d84e4b
US-AL-6 · house · election_day · Maurice Mercer	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NE-1 · house · election_day · Chris Backemeyer	10% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	12% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Displayed 10% → 12%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WI-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Beck	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-HI · governor · election_day · Josh Green	99% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers df500ee1-bf13-4179-930d-0d776f759c19 → 9ad420ab-5b65-4f8d-871f-f8b6257b8456
US-FL-21 · house · election_day · James Martin	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-25 · house · election_day · Dione Sims	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WA-4 · house · election_day · John Duresky	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-48 · house · election_day · Marni von Wilpert	86% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	86% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-9 · house · election_day · Darren Soto	48% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	48% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-2 · house · election_day · Patrick Halpin	3% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-2 · house · election_day · Jared Huffman	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IN-8 · house · election_day · Mary Allen	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-RI-2 · house · election_day · Seth Magaziner	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-1 · house · election_day · Greg Landsman	89% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	89% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WY · senate · election_day · James W. Byrd	<1% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 80e6ea85-1a60-4744-a972-f38487606ba4 → 184fe659-8365-4007-9d0b-ce22f672dee0
US-CA-18 · house · election_day · Zoe Lofgren	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-47 · house · election_day · Dave Min	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-UT-4 · house · election_day · Jonny Larsen	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-13 · house · election_day · Nikki Budzinski	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC · senate · election_day · Roy Cooper	95% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	95% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1c00b6d3-0c4b-4b1e-b5a6-a4a4cc8ed673 → a7535cf3-6ac1-4bd2-8577-3069497673a5
US-NC · senate · nowcast · Roy Cooper	97% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	97% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 147f0160-6bf8-49db-a1ba-e74ab27a5f12 → edbff7d7-5bd0-4dd6-8892-c7b0f4d30bee
US-NV-1 · house · election_day · Dina Titus	98% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-4 · house · election_day · Laura Gillen	96% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	96% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ-4 · house · election_day · Rachel Peace	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OR · governor · election_day · Tina Kotek	77% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	44% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 77% → 44%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers e864d7a4-7fe7-4921-b2a4-bd8809da6ee7 → 9d28c443-776f-425b-b32a-ac9baf4330df
US-OR · governor · nowcast · Tina Kotek	57% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	43% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 57% → 43%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 74e6830d-3e6d-4bfb-a7a0-15e1943a9847 → 3aeeaad6-87dd-425b-8930-04fa5089f880
US-SC · governor · election_day · Jermaine Johnson	19% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	12% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 19% → 12%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a7e61e52-510f-4285-a04e-1a9e30910a3b → 78d1e4ba-fa04-4090-b764-058bb816e31d
US-SC · governor · nowcast · Jermaine Johnson	15% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	11% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 15% → 11%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 00f67079-52c8-4ce2-964d-ce86520e90ec → 62aeb504-d489-4321-a0cf-52178c9abe4e
US-AZ-3 · house · election_day · Yassamin Ansari	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MN-8 · house · election_day · Trina Swanson	5% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-6 · house · election_day · Lucy McBath	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SD · senate · election_day · Brian Bengs	24% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	24% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8173ed52-36ea-486b-9664-5afcab834900 → c8471ff4-c0f6-495a-97a5-628d0f232d06
US-SD · senate · nowcast · Brian Bengs	22% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	22% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers dfa7855e-19f3-4c4b-9257-b71d1f567aca → 2b647856-802d-46d7-bafe-ca1a4eca56a0
US-ID-1 · house · election_day · Kaylee Peterson	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-2 · house · election_day · Jennifer Mazzuckelli	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-1 · house · election_day · Gay Valimont	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-31 · house · election_day · Gil Cisneros	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-HI-2 · house · election_day · Jill Tokuda	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-8 · house · election_day · Don Beyer	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CO-1 · house · election_day · Melat Kiros	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-11 · house · election_day · Nancy Mannion	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AR · senate · election_day · Hallie Shoffner	3% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	3% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 88e323e0-2b8f-46c9-b5f1-2ac7d7d433ac → b54f702c-7f76-4048-b909-fb61be5b9ad7
US-AR · senate · nowcast · Hallie Shoffner	5% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	5% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 83f5ca29-ec31-43f0-af9a-1e223c817ae1 → 8d08388d-edfd-44c2-8158-32a3da0ff395
US-PA-15 · house · election_day · Ray Bilger	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AZ-5 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Lee	5% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-2 · house · election_day · Deborah Ross	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MN-4 · house · election_day · Betty McCollum	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-3 · house · election_day · Ami Bera	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-6 · house · election_day · Cyril Jefferson	5% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IA-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Trone Garriott	52% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	52% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-DE-AL · house · election_day · Sarah McBride	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OR-4 · house · election_day · Val Hoyle	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-17 · house · election_day · Chris Deluzio	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-5 · house · election_day · Nikema Williams	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NM-1 · house · election_day · Melanie Stansbury	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-41 · house · election_day · Linda Sánchez	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-38 · house · election_day · Hilda Solis	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-14 · house · election_day · Kathy Castor	90% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	90% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MD-8 · house · election_day · Jamie Raskin	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-14 · house · election_day · Maria Jukic	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-12 · house · election_day · Micah Lasher	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-21 · house · election_day · Jim Costa	97% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	97% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ-9 · house · election_day · Nellie Pou	98% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AL-1 · house · election_day · Clyde Jones	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-18 · house · election_day · Pat Ryan	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-1 · house · election_day · Bob Harvie	28% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	28% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-6 · house · election_day · Grace Meng	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA · governor · election_day · Xavier Becerra	99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 168580de-d5a1-4b5e-86ee-0fbc971c3f55 → 15e71dcf-9d57-4edb-8afb-5e179c969492
US-CA · governor · nowcast · Xavier Becerra	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers bc4946c3-464c-40dd-80ff-5ff2bb4459f9 → 7b7932a6-f9a3-49d2-bc4a-7fde40365822
US-WI-4 · house · election_day · Gwen Moore	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AL · governor · election_day · Doug Jones	4% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	3% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 4% → 3%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 75f78d5f-e912-44b1-8003-966ea9cf5731 → 7272fe6a-4e77-466f-abe6-5f82c3b7a7ff
US-AL · governor · nowcast · Doug Jones	4% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	3% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 4% → 3%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 798978db-e216-404a-9c0b-46452569e158 → b4a867cb-547c-4de8-86c9-f4f28ddb0254
US-FL-25 · house · election_day · Jared Moskowitz	89% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	90% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Displayed 89% → 90%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-24 · house · election_day · Kevin Burge	5% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-3 · house · election_day · Delia Ramirez	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-10 · house · election_day · Pamela DeLancy	3% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-26 · house · election_day · Nicole Locklin	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MO-4 · house · election_day · Jordan Herrera	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-7 · house · election_day · Bob Brooks	70% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	70% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-7 · house · election_day · Eugene Vindman	97% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	97% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-12 · house · election_day · Julie Fortier	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OK · governor · election_day · Cyndi Munson	11% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	11% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f48a7eda-6cf7-41ff-aa49-1fb6c97d4c05 → 85183f49-becc-4771-b36c-fd96cec16147
US-TN-3 · house · election_day · Anna Golladay	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI · governor · election_day · Jocelyn Benson	91% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	86% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 91% → 86%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 2129490a-b508-4772-8875-4eb821e35a7c → f754f7bf-c637-48cb-bb5c-b25d3eb17c5c
US-MI · governor · nowcast · Jocelyn Benson	93% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	89% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 93% → 89%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c1a2da5d-f4da-4ce3-a954-6409eaaa3331 → 02b1e500-6700-4085-a992-deacbc2ee38e
US-MA · senate · election_day · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	>99% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 21544d54-095f-4bab-9248-4944fd5db861 → eb917ea1-5c5b-4738-9398-49d7a9d69093
US-MA · senate · nowcast · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	>99% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 809cb587-669c-4537-bb8b-14586a35ee43 → 28167901-ea8d-41be-95ba-7de7990fe040
US-IL-7 · house · election_day · La Shawn Ford	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-11 · house · election_day · Shontel Brown	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-5 · house · election_day · Tom Perriello	22% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	22% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-1 · house · election_day · Jonathan Jackson	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Jones	35% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	35% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-23 · house · election_day · Lois Frankel	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AK · governor · election_day · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	88% 2026-10-17T05:39:33Z	88% 2026-10-18T05:31:28Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers fbb762f5-7cbe-4ea8-a3b7-fe5c21dff7e7 → a62d5a18-be56-46f8-adfc-cf39b2120bb5
US-AK · governor · nowcast · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	90% 2026-10-17T05:39:33Z	90% 2026-10-18T05:31:28Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8c2df144-2ccd-451c-a895-3f179bd81611 → 1a4cdd12-0769-4446-903a-3354b61b7057
US-MI-5 · house · election_day · Christian Vukasovich	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NH-1 · house · election_day · Stefany Shaheen	89% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	89% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-11 · house · election_day · James Walkinshaw	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-22 · house · election_day · Pia Dandiya	51% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	51% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-18 · house · election_day · Curtis Gibson	3% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AK-AL · house · election_day · Bill Hill	35% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	35% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-1 · house · election_day · Mike McGuire	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-RI-1 · house · election_day · Gabe Amo	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MO-8 · house · election_day · Christopher Riechard	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ · senate · election_day · Cory Booker	94% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	94% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e40b3f0e-45df-42a1-bd51-57647adf06a0 → 4fb4f108-c491-44e9-b298-e0966ef93386
US-PA-12 · house · election_day · Summer Lee	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KY-4 · house · election_day · Melissa Claire Strange	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-3 · house · election_day · Tom Suozzi	94% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	94% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IN-7 · house · election_day · André Carson	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IA · senate · election_day · Josh Turek	53% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	54% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Displayed 53% → 54%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a531d73a-e9d4-428f-819a-c9a2de7e36d0 → cd626752-5e83-497f-ac00-2afb2088ed8d
US-IA · senate · nowcast · Josh Turek	59% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	59% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8e930f41-b2f4-4962-a271-255136270ffe → 8bf2ac65-51cd-4340-bad4-0bf9203049d7
US-NY-13 · house · election_day · Darializa Avila Chevalier	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-36 · house · election_day · Rhonda Hart	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-23 · house · election_day · Katy Padilla Stout	18% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	18% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-7 · house · election_day · Lizzie Fletcher	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IA-4 · house · election_day · Dave Dawson	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CO · senate · election_day · John Hickenlooper	98% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	98% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 46f28a38-ef30-4394-97df-b34cdee27706 → 89e3d87a-2ea3-4fb6-a52b-18e37b026e0e
US-AL-3 · house · election_day · Lee McInnis	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-36 · house · election_day · Ted Lieu	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MT-1 · house · election_day · Sam Forstag	35% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	35% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MD-5 · house · election_day · Adrian Boafo	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-19 · house · election_day · Jimmy Panetta	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-33 · house · election_day · Colin Allred	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-20 · house · election_day · Paul Tonko	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-2 · house · election_day · Sanford Bishop	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-3 · house · election_day · Raymond Smith Jr.	22% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	22% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-52 · house · election_day · Juan Vargas	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Beck	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OR-1 · house · election_day · Suzanne Bonamici	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NM · senate · election_day · Ben Ray Luján	94% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	94% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3a8c5dc7-bfc8-470d-9ddc-f9705eede927 → 6cd5866b-36cc-462f-aa85-8bd722f2cdc0
US-NM · senate · nowcast · Ben Ray Luján	93% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	93% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e3dd3479-acf5-4c10-8eda-22a01502b4e1 → 3b5d5a12-05a1-48d7-bb9c-0991b3d77308
US-NC-10 · house · election_day · Ashley Bell	3% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-12 · house · election_day · Jerrad Christian	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MO-2 · house · election_day · Fred Wellman	32% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	32% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-16 · house · election_day · Justin Wagner	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-26 · house · election_day · Jacqui Irwin	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WA-10 · house · election_day · Marilyn Strickland	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KS-4 · house · election_day · Katy Tyndell	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CO-8 · house · election_day · Manny Rutinel	56% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	56% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-4 · house · election_day · Sean McCann	34% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	34% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-30 · house · election_day · Laura Friedman	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-5 · house · election_day · Chelsey Hockett	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MO-3 · house · election_day · Bethany Mann	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SD · governor · election_day · Dan Ahlers	4% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	8% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 4% → 8%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 624a724d-0126-454c-8837-af1a91e29776 → 6603cbef-e2b2-4b7f-87f2-29ddaec7b4a3
US-SD · governor · nowcast · Dan Ahlers	10% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	7% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 10% → 7%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers b28f6ce6-bc00-41ac-9827-2cc5eaa94e13 → 14deef24-7b35-49a4-a1e3-8fcb29a2577e
US-AR-3 · house · election_day · Robb Ryerse	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-17 · house · election_day · Ro Khanna	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-9 · house · election_day · Ray Pooley	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-11 · house · election_day · Claire Reynolds	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SC · senate · election_day · Annie Andrews	21% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	21% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f30d9db4-090d-47a5-9e72-dc5885a70d27 → 260d3411-42af-4476-82bc-0e5634f2742d
US-SC · senate · nowcast · Annie Andrews	28% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	28% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f6155396-99b6-4fcb-a828-a0bbe73f5d3d → 36c19224-67c6-46d2-a564-2cf7eeaccc38
US-IL-15 · house · election_day · Jennifer Todd	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-9 · house · election_day · Yvette Clarke	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA · senate · election_day · Jon Ossoff	93% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	93% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b2fdb252-e898-4669-9dce-36fd46271b98 → d4405211-609d-421a-99fb-3954f7abfd32
US-GA · senate · nowcast · Jon Ossoff	94% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	94% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers aacc5426-c076-4fc0-b842-853167927425 → 5b53e373-8b07-41a7-92db-a74f92cf85d1
US-NY-19 · house · election_day · Josh Riley	98% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-4 · house · election_day · Jennifer McClellan	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MS-1 · house · election_day · Cliff Johnson	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-DE · senate · election_day · Chris Coons	99% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8a2318a6-cbea-4eec-b661-16c1d62e78ce → 4f080d39-460e-45c5-ac70-53938a840643
US-IL · governor · election_day · JB Pritzker	97% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	96% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 97% → 96%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ddc1a5c3-001f-49d4-95e1-3e3569062686 → c15cef7c-6ff4-40be-8000-e785be5f0358
US-IL · governor · nowcast · JB Pritzker	98% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	96% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 98% → 96%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c60b7120-acfd-4b62-b42b-bdecad59dfcb → 3972186f-a3e8-467e-b30c-24d26de81fc2
US-WA-6 · house · election_day · Emily Randall	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-19 · house · election_day · Victor Arias	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SC-1 · house · election_day · Nancy Lacore	28% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	30% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Displayed 28% → 30%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-10 · house · election_day · Kristina Knickerbocker	10% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	10% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-3 · house · election_day · Seth Harp	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-RI · senate · election_day · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	>99% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f7de20a9-f8fc-4617-a0c1-a1c099b0efaf → 737b92f2-3540-409d-b25d-d6848728dc7a
US-RI · senate · nowcast · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	>99% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 19c1f82c-e742-4d6a-baca-904cf2166739 → f1d4e800-8104-42d2-b68a-5d828b26bee9
US-CA-44 · house · election_day · Nanette Barragán	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NH · senate · election_day · Chris Pappas	88% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	88% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 28947a35-28a4-443c-be9a-d4525fc3d033 → 542b13fb-f8e2-4b1b-ad70-c437b3eb39d8
US-NH · senate · nowcast · Chris Pappas	86% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	86% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 60490a99-bb6a-4768-8a2c-bfb6b60ac207 → e10b8885-e2c4-4fda-91e8-e8d6c55d3947
US-AZ-9 · house · election_day · Danielle Sterbinsky	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-17 · house · election_day · Cait Conley	48% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	48% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-21 · house · election_day · Kristin Hook	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MA-6 · house · election_day · Dan Koh	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-17 · house · election_day · Eric Sorensen	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NM-2 · house · election_day · Gabe Vasquez	77% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	79% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Displayed 77% → 79%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-9 · house · election_day · Joy Powers	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IN-1 · house · election_day · Frank Mrvan	98% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-8 · house · election_day · Hakeem Jeffries	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AR-1 · house · election_day · Terri Yarbrough	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KY-6 · house · election_day · Zach Dembo	46% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	52% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Displayed 46% → 52%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-12 · house · election_day · Rashida Tlaib	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TN-6 · house · election_day · Mike Croley	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-5 · house · election_day · Mary Gay Scanlon	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NV · governor · election_day · Aaron Ford	36% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	21% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 36% → 21%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers ff5fc79c-05b7-46c8-b3f9-6ca906275033 → 5270f304-fba7-4957-bbe7-9e74414078e2
US-NV · governor · nowcast · Aaron Ford	27% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	18% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 27% → 18%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 743f0d91-f6de-4a9b-9d27-c84238ae6ec2 → a96698ea-718b-46ee-8ea3-382e92b54c9b
US-SC-4 · house · election_day · Courtney McClain	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IN-5 · house · election_day · J.D. Ford	16% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	16% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-35 · house · election_day · Norma Torres	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-24 · house · election_day · Alissa Ellman	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AZ-1 · house · election_day · Amish Shah	72% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	72% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WV-1 · house · election_day · Vince George	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ-3 · house · election_day · Herb Conaway	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IN-2 · house · election_day · Jamee Decio	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-27 · house · election_day · George Whitesides	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-37 · house · election_day · Greg Casar	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-49 · house · election_day · Mike Levin	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TN-5 · house · election_day · Chaz Molder	15% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	15% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-12 · house · election_day · Ceretta Smith	4% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	4% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AZ-6 · house · election_day · JoAnna Mendoza	59% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	59% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SC-2 · house · election_day · Zyon Khalifa	7% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	7% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-20 · house · election_day · Joaquin Castro	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WA-1 · house · election_day · Suzan DelBene	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-13 · house · election_day · Beth Farnham	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AK · senate · election_day · Mary Peltola	46% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	46% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 85d97797-d0c4-4084-a4a9-3ba215052b0c → c919abe0-b6c3-4e02-ab64-19bd146379cf
US-AK · senate · nowcast · Mary Peltola	69% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	69% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 818b2b06-1504-420a-b22c-aebc919ca174 → 73754ea9-6e5c-4c22-89bc-82aa125ab9c4
US-NJ-7 · house · election_day · Rebecca Bennett	71% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	71% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TN · senate · election_day · Marquita Bradshaw	2% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	2% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 615bfcc0-38e9-4125-b6cc-145861fec49b → 67797c67-620a-489e-a6e1-47fece6e9577
US-TN · senate · nowcast · Marquita Bradshaw	1% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	1% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 317faf78-18e8-4560-8603-1830b065e2fe → 2d8ea295-2a98-4d24-873d-a0502e9d1f75
US-CA-9 · house · election_day · Josh Harder	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-LA-2 · house · election_day · Troy A. Carter Sr.	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NC-8 · house · election_day · Colby Watson	4% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	4% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-26 · house · election_day · Steven Shook	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-9 · house · election_day · Leticia Gutierrez	7% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	7% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SC-5 · house · election_day · Mallory Dittmer	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-SD-AL · house · election_day · Nicole Gronli	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-8 · house · election_day · Melissa Bean	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VA-1 · house · election_day · Shannon Taylor	44% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	44% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-15 · house · election_day · Bobby Pulido	44% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	44% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AL-2 · house · election_day · Shomari Figures	39% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	39% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MN-1 · house · election_day · Jake Johnson	23% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	23% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KS-3 · house · election_day · Sharice Davids	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CT-2 · house · election_day · Joe Courtney	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NV-4 · house · election_day · Steven Horsford	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-16 · house · election_day · George Latimer	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MD-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Elfreth	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-12 · house · election_day · Kimberly Overman	3% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IN-6 · house · election_day · Cynthia Wirth	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-6 · house · election_day · Chrissy Houlahan	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MO-7 · house · election_day · Missi Hesketh	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WI-7 · house · election_day · Fred Clark	3% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MA-9 · house · election_day · Bill Keating	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KY-3 · house · election_day · Morgan McGarvey	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-HI-1 · house · election_day · Ed Case	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-16 · house · election_day · Veronica Escobar	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MD-1 · house · election_day · Dan Schwartz	3% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-15 · house · election_day · Ritchie Torres	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ-5 · house · election_day · Josh Gottheimer	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-UT-3 · house · election_day · Kent Udell	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-20 · house · election_day · Debbie Wasserman Schultz	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-45 · house · election_day · Derek Tran	97% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	97% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-30 · house · election_day · Frederick Haynes III	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-25 · house · election_day · Joseph Morelle	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CT-5 · house · election_day · Jahana Hayes	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-8 · house · election_day · Kelly Esti	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-27 · house · election_day · Tanya Lloyd	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CO-3 · house · election_day · Dwayne Romero	27% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	27% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IA-1 · house · election_day · Christina Bohannan	68% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	68% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-10 · house · election_day · Caitlin Rourk	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-13 · house · election_day · Leela Gray	25% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	25% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-5 · house · election_day · Brian Shaver	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-VT-AL · house · election_day · Becca Balint	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MS-2 · house · election_day · Bennie Thompson	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KS-1 · house · election_day · Lauren Reinhold	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-25 · house · election_day · Raul Ruiz	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-16 · house · election_day · Paul Nolley	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-50 · house · election_day · Scott Peters	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-17 · house · election_day · Matthew Montavon	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI · senate · election_day · Abdul El-Sayed	67% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	67% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b6a6765b-20fb-497c-8540-a85e588a3a0f → bd1896ae-f062-4805-a0f8-c812d0195945
US-MI · senate · nowcast · Abdul El-Sayed	69% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	69% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4250e74d-856e-4616-8b4c-4b344ff8a4c4 → 7acd4ea3-f5b3-4904-9dd4-c4ecfa7ba87f
US-CA-46 · house · election_day · Lou Correa	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA · governor · election_day · Keisha Lance Bottoms	58% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	35% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 58% → 35%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 126ddc2f-a3ec-4a29-9f0d-4a4376632a6a → a86995bf-6d6f-4618-bb6d-bebed64aeddf
US-GA · governor · nowcast · Keisha Lance Bottoms	47% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	33% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 47% → 33%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers f964a259-ed8f-42cf-b305-92deef8ff4ba → 75911cb1-e4a5-4b24-944e-906f105d57b8
US-WY-AL · house · election_day · Lisa F. Kinney	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NH-2 · house · election_day · Maggie Goodlander	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-13 · house · election_day · Jasmine Clark	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CO-2 · house · election_day · Joe Neguse	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ-1 · house · election_day · Donald Norcross	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-6 · house · election_day · Sean Casten	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MA · governor · election_day · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers a63be677-02d2-459e-89cc-b1d907c87016 → eadfaf77-bac7-45c8-8e2f-85cdf03c49de
US-MA · governor · nowcast · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 46c90725-3677-4f22-9871-29c87477be1f → 7c67a5a0-7a00-4eca-bf26-b6362efc8637
US-NV-3 · house · election_day · Susie Lee	94% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	94% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WA-9 · house · election_day · Adam Smith	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-10 · house · election_day · Mark DeSaulnier	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-KY · senate · election_day · Charles Booker	7% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	7% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6b81cbca-3709-43da-9273-a487c62fe3b6 → 2cbde274-6c8f-4414-9dcb-ac7e6f0b7f4a
US-KY · senate · nowcast · Charles Booker	9% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	9% 2026-10-17T16:55:34Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 113d7f75-bf61-451a-a502-abc3fa563d1e → bac2f284-232a-49fe-b1f9-791bbf2df517
US-WI-8 · house · election_day · Rick Crosson	5% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	5% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WI · governor · election_day · David Crowley	72% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	64% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 72% → 64%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 12e126fc-22e3-4442-af67-45a6df31c0e7 → 996e9b0d-d8a8-4f49-a707-602e906e3f85
US-WI · governor · nowcast · David Crowley	76% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	66% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 76% → 66%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c28325fe-8f5b-4e88-8255-ceffd77e4ba0 → 3a6084c9-9e13-4705-a2f1-2396e050b968
US-GA-4 · house · election_day · Hank Johnson	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY · governor · election_day · Kathy Hochul	98% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	96% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 98% → 96%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers c26b845c-aa7d-426c-b40e-86bc6623996b → 04af8e8d-fa03-45c0-84fb-9ab392938290
US-NY · governor · nowcast · Kathy Hochul	98% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	97% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 98% → 97%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 4380bc9c-3aa7-4fd9-8097-557e017499bf → 7fef5aed-3f5f-4632-8c0e-94b4ac889a85
US-CO-6 · house · election_day · Jason Crow	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-1 · house · election_day · Callie Barr	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA-14 · house · election_day · Alan Bradstock	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-ME · governor · election_day · Hannah Pingree	96% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	95% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 96% → 95%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers e0631ffc-4227-424a-a525-b9746fb129c8 → 2c238c9f-4c05-4b80-a9a3-a415f36254ed
US-ME · governor · nowcast · Hannah Pingree	98% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	97% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 98% → 97%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers d6f36801-2e9f-4748-819c-d8beb183566e → 593f5141-601b-474c-b682-785876ece7ad
US-CT-1 · house · election_day · Luke Bronin	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-24 · house · election_day · Salud Carbajal	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-9 · house · election_day · Caitlyn Gegan	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OK-4 · house · election_day · Mitchell Jacob	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-OH-6 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Kirtley	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-31 · house · election_day · Justin Early	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WY · governor · election_day · Kenneth Casner	<1% 2026-10-17T05:39:31Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:04:25Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d2672f89-0fbb-4650-aabc-686ccd3d2993 → 1fa9a16e-9f81-4901-8a0d-1263faf97df3
US-TX-3 · house · election_day · Evan Hunt	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CO-4 · house · election_day · Eileen Laubacher	3% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	3% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IN-9 · house · election_day · Brad Meyer	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-6 · house · election_day · Danny Minton	2% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	2% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AZ-2 · house · election_day · Jonathan Nez	15% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	15% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-GA-7 · house · election_day · Anthony Kozycki	6% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	6% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-PA · governor · election_day · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 3bf365b6-53ef-4827-bed5-3957f460c911 → cb04fb3d-c696-47b5-9716-f7c2dcea8d14
US-PA · governor · nowcast · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	>99% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers 0ed60de2-1172-4de7-b393-0799bf55fc5f → 84ac04c4-847f-4db5-aec1-8d97bbb057c8
US-NJ-10 · house · election_day · LaMonica McIver	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MD-4 · house · election_day · Glenn Ivey	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NJ-11 · house · election_day · Analilia Mejia	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IL-10 · house · election_day · Brad Schneider	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-IN-4 · house · election_day · Drew Cox	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WI-1 · house · election_day · Mitchell Berman	23% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	23% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-10 · house · election_day · Brad Lander	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-6 · house · election_day · Richard Pan	50% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	50% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-19 · house · election_day · Kyle Rable	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WV-2 · house · election_day · Ace Parsi	<1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	<1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TN-9 · house · election_day · Justin J. Pearson	9% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	9% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-11 · house · election_day · Jeremy Moss	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-FL-7 · house · election_day · Bale Dalton	68% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	68% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MN · governor · election_day · Amy Klobuchar	95% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	90% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 95% → 90%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers cdb7e154-7a0d-4820-9d7b-e861e23ebad5 → 82431f50-6a9d-4c95-89ea-60a78076cf00
US-MN · governor · nowcast · Amy Klobuchar	95% 2026-10-17T05:09:56Z	92% 2026-10-18T05:12:00Z	Displayed 95% → 92%	Model version changed; causal attribution unavailable Run identifiers d8c2b1ed-128d-4cb3-bd4c-19dde3721755 → f8cdf32f-5ebf-4ea7-9c53-beff1b3b6c0e
US-IL-2 · house · election_day · Donna Miller	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-42 · house · election_day · Robert Garcia	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CA-8 · house · election_day · John Garamendi	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-TX-18 · house · election_day · Christian Menefee	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-MI-8 · house · election_day · Kristen McDonald Rivet	98% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	98% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-11 · house · election_day · Michael DeCillis	1% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	1% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-WA-8 · house · election_day · Kim Schrier	99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-AZ-8 · house · election_day · Bernadette Greene-Placentia	4% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	4% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-NY-26 · house · election_day · Tim Kennedy	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618
US-CT-4 · house · election_day · Jim Himes	>99% 2026-10-17T06:07:17Z	>99% 2026-10-17T17:41:03Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9a12049e-727f-4d84-b100-f6f65d6d8142 → 08b2f5d0-aaf4-48a2-a7a3-0cbd4d9d7618