Published forecasts: 2026-10-15

Last published snapshot for this Pacific day. These records were published at the time; no reconstructed forecasts are added.

Compared with the previous available closed day, 2026-10-14. Dates may be more than one day apart.

2026-10-14: race records · chamber records · file hashes
2026-10-15: race records · chamber records · file hashes

Chambers

Stored party-control bounds; unavailable values stay unavailable. The linked downloads retain model versions and run identifiers.

Chambers
Chamber / product	Earlier	Later
governors · election_day	D 69%–69%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	D 69%–69%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z
governors · nowcast	D 68%–68%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	D 68%–68%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z
house · election_day	D 80%–80%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	D 80%–80%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z
senate · election_day	D 53%–63%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	D 54%–63%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z
senate · nowcast	D 61%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	D 61%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z

Races

Changes refer to the displayed, rounded percentages. Exact probabilities are in the downloads. Candidate changes are separate rows. A poll appearing between runs is not proof it caused a move. Poll arrivals, money and candidate events are not captured by these forecast files; the model and correction record provides other context.

Races
Race and subject	Earlier chance / run time	Later chance / run time	Change	Context
US-LA-6 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-22 · house · election_day · Marquette Greene-Scott	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-4 · house · election_day · Valerie Foushee	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OR · senate · election_day · Jeff Merkley	98% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	98% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 182ac753-fc92-4d89-b8b6-bf59f27a0d34 → 266a684c-5008-4f88-ae59-5eb0b7674220
US-VA · senate · election_day · Mark Warner	97% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	97% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7d475928-c282-4854-8226-0e39c328e66f → e254d513-404d-46fd-9f4b-6326bc48871f
US-VA · senate · nowcast · Mark Warner	98% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	98% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7619de33-493b-485e-a821-5f2cf215fa64 → 933c4964-bf7b-47d8-9326-f4cd6ecea4b7
US-OH-4 · house · election_day · Joshua Kolasinski	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WA-3 · house · election_day · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	35% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	35% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-14 · house · election_day · LaKesha Womack	8% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	8% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OK-5 · house · election_day · Jena Nelson	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	6% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MN-7 · house · election_day · Erik Osberg	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MT · senate · election_day · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	1% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4a81e39f-0569-4710-8d16-cb285945bc5a → ba071eba-a59b-44b3-9a5b-3aa76c8f7d3d
US-MT · senate · nowcast · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	1% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7611d4da-3e01-47cb-a5e1-2a9c59522689 → a7216e6a-c7cd-4453-a9ec-efd5889a8abc
US-CA-20 · house · election_day · Sandra Van Scotter	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AL-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Sneed	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-1 · house · election_day · Don Davis	82% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	82% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-7 · house · election_day · Brian Poindexter	70% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	70% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OK-2 · house · election_day · Brandon Wade	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-12 · house · election_day · Alma Adams	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TN · governor · election_day · Jerri Green	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	2% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1eccc87c-5595-45fd-82b0-f823b9b723c5 → 046c23d3-3433-4dda-a7ca-33c1d549373b
US-TN · governor · nowcast · Jerri Green	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	1% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d465cd19-99e7-4edb-b78f-af033f40c23d → 28a352f7-8592-4960-8902-e7af35610c13
US-ID-2 · house · election_day · Ellie Gilbreath	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AZ-4 · house · election_day · Greg Stanton	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-9 · house · election_day · Richard Ojeda	14% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	14% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IA-2 · house · election_day · Lindsay James	48% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	48% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-38 · house · election_day · Melissa McDonough	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-5 · house · election_day · Gregory Meeks	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AR-4 · house · election_day · James Russell	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL · senate · election_day · Angie Nixon	12% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	12% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 555ae067-629a-48c1-ba40-34d15e5922fd → b8af9f88-20fb-47cf-bafc-25da58f73d2d
US-FL · senate · nowcast · Angie Nixon	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	9% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2c773f6d-2cc4-4f6e-b364-793ab2c6ff37 → 51c481fb-9f5b-40d1-9bff-fee34e4bee2d
US-MN-5 · house · election_day · Ilhan Omar	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-28 · house · election_day · Henry Cuellar	73% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	73% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NV-2 · house · election_day · Teresa Benitez-Thompson	32% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	32% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-4 · house · election_day · Jason Pearce	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX · governor · election_day · Gina Hinojosa	27% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	29% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 27% → 29%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8082a43d-0ef8-4463-b3e7-97c1ab7215ac → d0e8fd45-8b4f-4e1f-8d8a-5341a3850e72
US-TX · governor · nowcast · Gina Hinojosa	31% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	34% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 31% → 34%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c9104946-3005-4097-843b-a19a08111e85 → 80d226e0-458e-4300-836d-745f9acef711
US-MA-8 · house · election_day · Stephen Lynch	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-13 · house · election_day · Paul Barringer	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	4% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-7 · house · election_day · Claire Valdez	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-ND-AL · house · election_day · Trygve Hammer	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-9 · house · election_day · Daniel Biss	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-2 · house · election_day · Benjamin Ambrose	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MD-6 · house · election_day · April McClain Delaney	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AL-7 · house · election_day · Terri Sewell	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-33 · house · election_day · Pete Aguilar	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-24 · house · election_day · Oliver Gilbert	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-2 · house · election_day · Elaine Luria	60% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	60% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-4 · house · election_day · LaShonda Holloway	8% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	8% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-10 · house · election_day · Christina Hines	49% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	49% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MN-2 · house · election_day · Matt Little	88% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	88% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-8 · house · election_day · Jennifer Jenkins	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	6% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-51 · house · election_day · Sara Jacobs	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-16 · house · election_day · Sam Liccardo	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OR-6 · house · election_day · Andrea Salinas	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-10 · house · election_day · Suhas Subramanyam	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-28 · house · election_day · Judy Chu	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-4 · house · election_day · Patty Garcia	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OR-3 · house · election_day · Maxine Dexter	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NM · governor · election_day · Deb Haaland	91% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	90% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 91% → 90%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d1cd9d3e-47fa-429f-8b46-ba72ac96a977 → d238ada4-6f05-47fd-b688-d51ab64e79c1
US-NM · governor · nowcast · Deb Haaland	92% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	92% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 40481ce0-9017-45c6-86c1-c8b7ea0c6831 → 8ea2dd34-cd9e-48ae-b747-01c01ad3c938
US-TX-29 · house · election_day · Sylvia Garcia	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OR-5 · house · election_day · Janelle Bynum	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-3 · house · election_day · Maura Keller	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-5 · house · election_day · Michael Masuda	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-21 · house · election_day · Blake Gendebien	26% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	26% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-15 · house · election_day · Kevin Mullin	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-27 · house · election_day · Eliott Rodriguez	15% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	15% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MO-1 · house · election_day · Wesley Bell	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KY-1 · house · election_day · John "Drew" Williams	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SC-3 · house · election_day · Eunice Lehmacher	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-14 · house · election_day · Shawn Harris	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-ID · senate · election_day · Todd Achilles	13% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	12% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 13% → 12%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 84251e32-1acc-4a3c-8842-b9a3300a1666 → e2620cc6-7c21-4249-a86d-41979d441aed
US-ID · senate · nowcast · Todd Achilles	11% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	11% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9b14bcae-5077-4a57-9eeb-106591238675 → aacab819-6a74-487a-a52d-342491f161db
US-TN-2 · house · election_day · Michaela Barnett	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CO-7 · house · election_day · Brittany Pettersen	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-8 · house · election_day · Paige Cognetti	45% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	45% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KS-2 · house · election_day · Don Coover	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-14 · house · election_day · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH · governor · election_day · Amy Acton	66% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	67% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 66% → 67%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4e56dd90-bf53-4ddb-bc4b-40ae5234d806 → 79980581-f210-4901-bed1-9f99a0cefee8
US-OH · governor · nowcast · Amy Acton	70% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	70% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers fe0a2176-8e73-47f1-b07f-b9d5f485d203 → add369e7-c3ef-479e-8a73-8457eceb6ca9
US-AR · governor · election_day · Fredrick Love	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	9% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1229cd64-5be4-4a17-b15e-8b992ca61a12 → 018e58fd-810f-4025-be9c-dfa1c602cfca
US-AR · governor · nowcast · Fredrick Love	19% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	19% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 964f9e17-d0ba-46c5-b737-e2c5630c5aee → 2ac27749-4cb4-43a9-aa98-48cc5076f7f2
US-MO-6 · house · election_day · Josh Smead	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KS · senate · election_day · Adam Hamilton	38% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	38% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c8f48b01-32a3-4ad1-8bf3-83aa9c52677c → 50fc0c8a-c320-4912-a18b-1a78bf4627c7
US-KS · senate · nowcast · Adam Hamilton	56% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	57% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 56% → 57%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8f390e6e-babe-4a26-9682-179f618dadfc → 5eb9dfa0-bec1-43f6-a3bf-0fc5c1254cef
US-ME · senate · election_day · Troy Jackson	40% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	40% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7daf8683-fbeb-46f8-8b21-c5cf4da349c3 → e6db9194-200c-4e19-bd5f-ec88120daf70
US-ME · senate · nowcast · Troy Jackson	67% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	67% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 26fae4ea-7a60-4220-a84a-e3c440a967ed → a7956c26-6570-4234-91c4-42e1eb61d8ad
US-CA-13 · house · election_day · Adam Gray	92% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	92% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-17 · house · election_day · Casey Shepard	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-11 · house · election_day · Bill Foster	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-28 · house · election_day · Phil Ehr	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MO-5 · house · election_day · Emanuel Cleaver	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-22 · house · election_day · John Mannion	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MD · governor · election_day · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers cac7918c-a80c-41ad-b0a1-5b96e8b95f4e → 213db615-dea0-4539-a977-0a97c00b583e
US-MD · governor · nowcast · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 50498048-8e11-4213-b96c-70f0028effd8 → 9dc7c5c4-e463-4d79-b453-9906b60e9e09
US-CO-5 · house · election_day · Jessica Killin	39% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	38% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Displayed 39% → 38%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-2 · house · election_day · Amanda Green	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	6% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MA-3 · house · election_day · Lori Trahan	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-3 · house · election_day · Joyce Beatty	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NH · governor · election_day · Cinde Warmington	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	9% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 12ce2e33-2830-4de3-a9fe-fa56f2815036 → 45216951-8551-4f3a-881d-c790c940ee3c
US-NH · governor · nowcast · Cinde Warmington	5% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	5% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 67f4b91d-519f-4128-8605-df54db3b0752 → 69f22c70-677d-404d-ac83-105c423136f2
US-NC-7 · house · election_day · Kimberly Hardy	9% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	9% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WV · senate · election_day · Rachel Fetty Anderson	1% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	1% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7893a68a-0c99-44c7-a282-62c9556d0df9 → 4551206b-754c-4f6f-8b3e-b72941c43c82
US-OK · senate · election_day · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	1% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b0f9b08b-c12f-4dd9-822e-cacc423f399f → 9204d09b-54f2-4c9b-a0fa-92ba562b65b5
US-OK · senate · nowcast · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	<1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	<1% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 659b36b8-5640-4fb1-ac55-7945df2e115c → 133f1792-2412-4c31-bf3c-65631992a3a9
US-CA-32 · house · election_day · Brad Sherman	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NE · senate · election_day · Dan Osborn	46% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	46% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1c996199-9855-43bb-ba33-5c1e8a3c8c12 → e4ec63fb-e0e4-4fdb-9710-1da9fcf40cd3
US-NE · senate · nowcast · Dan Osborn	45% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	46% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 45% → 46%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3029b569-b5b3-4da3-8a35-1fdb689f6799 → f57294ec-8335-430d-9701-f51303ab04fc
US-TN-1 · house · election_day · Kristi Burke	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-12 · house · election_day · Angela Rodriguez Prilliman	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MS-4 · house · election_day · Jeffrey Hulum III	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OK-1 · house · election_day · John Croisant	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WA-2 · house · election_day · Rick Larsen	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SC-7 · house · election_day · John Vincent	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OK-3 · house · election_day · Suzie Byrd	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-ID · governor · election_day · Terri Pickens	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	1% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 13e69cd1-0c28-499d-a332-6583dbdd18bc → 975c8628-f4ce-4cb6-843b-65c424838553
US-ID · governor · nowcast · Terri Pickens	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	2% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9e464340-2fbe-4d30-bb42-c3f03d45435e → f702a721-b7a5-4ee3-aec8-067848c7f475
US-TX-8 · house · election_day · Laura Jones	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-1 · house · election_day · Amanda Hollowell	7% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	7% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-UT-1 · house · election_day · Ben McAdams	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL · senate · election_day · Juliana Stratton	95% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	95% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c7d573e5-ac4b-45d9-8cf5-f672c11ad177 → 6d62294e-dde5-48d2-a89e-4bb6a8dcb695
US-IL · senate · nowcast · Juliana Stratton	93% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	93% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c50fe2c1-5737-4788-a8d2-8e4258274349 → 71de14f7-7875-44ba-9bae-6a66ca3a949a
US-ME-1 · house · election_day · Chellie Pingree	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-2 · house · election_day · Brendan Boyle	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH · senate · election_day · Sherrod Brown	71% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	70% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 71% → 70%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers faa82d4d-9de0-4410-a158-fadfa8337129 → ec177241-cacc-4b65-aeca-80707a66f4ef
US-OH · senate · nowcast · Sherrod Brown	76% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	75% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 76% → 75%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ce550dd9-420f-4b1b-b64c-4e347cc93976 → b8be9882-554c-4cd6-b899-8a00fe5cada6
US-CA-23 · house · election_day · Tessa Lynn Hodge	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WA-7 · house · election_day · Pramila Jayapal	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MN-6 · house · election_day · Doug Chapin	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-1 · house · election_day · Chris Gallant	17% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	17% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AZ-7 · house · election_day · Adelita Grijalva	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CT-3 · house · election_day · Rosa DeLauro	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-4 · house · election_day · Madeleine Dean	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-23 · house · election_day · Aaron Gies	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ-6 · house · election_day · Frank Pallone	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-2 · house · election_day · Shaun Finnie	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-UT-2 · house · election_day · Peter Crosby	5% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	5% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KY-5 · house · election_day · Ned Pillersdorf	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-16 · house · election_day · Kelly Kirschner	28% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	28% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-5 · house · election_day · Mike Quigley	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MS-3 · house · election_day · Michael Chiaradio	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-15 · house · election_day · Don Leonard	31% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	31% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MA-4 · house · election_day · Jake Auchincloss	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-11 · house · election_day · James Pericola	15% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	15% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-14 · house · election_day · Thurman Bartie	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-ME-2 · house · election_day · Matthew Dunlap	29% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	29% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IA · governor · election_day · Rob Sand	84% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	85% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 84% → 85%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 20746c84-8c5a-4a77-b4be-722bb6872075 → e898393b-2542-46c6-8801-09c882c271d2
US-IA · governor · nowcast · Rob Sand	93% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	93% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d8987a36-6a9c-4b80-bb11-ec5686041464 → b460f4d1-8bb2-49dc-ad59-37d1d3565037
US-PA-10 · house · election_day · Janelle Stelson	65% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	65% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-RI · governor · election_day · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ac6fed03-89a3-46da-afa2-4c46898d28d5 → 1d45de3d-52e7-47a1-ac24-b6d9b1b4e6fa
US-RI · governor · nowcast · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e4883c89-1f11-4b48-8610-01e8a7f46f52 → 491e9053-600b-4eab-9951-96dbc513f5b1
US-FL-6 · house · election_day · Eric Yonce	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CT · governor · election_day · Ned Lamont	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 15961818-f157-449d-b15a-a502193ede65 → a60c9e85-a83a-474e-9851-71b02e0d4827
US-CT · governor · nowcast · Ned Lamont	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 28cfdcca-4f64-4bc8-8be6-debd5ccad67a → 41ff7506-a79d-4bd1-a0c4-8b33023e1a84
US-AL · senate · election_day · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	2% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 22dd33e5-03ab-4b28-a3dd-9f28ce9050aa → b0ff9b68-e7a7-417b-b7ea-fd8bcbab77bd
US-AL · senate · nowcast · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	2% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a5f50c3f-412a-4cc9-8e4f-5a3cf692604d → ff0a7734-ae74-4071-aa1e-d06e236f39fb
US-FL-5 · house · election_day · Rachel Grage	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AL-4 · house · election_day · Amanda Pusczek	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MN · senate · election_day · Peggy Flanagan	86% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	86% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 34a448a4-2e86-42a7-a2c2-20a470dcc873 → acc3df53-b703-465d-b70a-4da12b08947f
US-MN · senate · nowcast · Peggy Flanagan	78% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	78% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c5a68b2b-d2f4-4c9f-b696-cea212851855 → a0f7ee36-777c-43f2-8d65-efb0da1d455f
US-TN-7 · house · election_day · Darden Copeland	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-15 · house · election_day · Robert People	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-43 · house · election_day · Maxine Waters	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CO · governor · election_day · Phil Weiser	95% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	95% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ece927a6-55af-4752-aa0e-ae2f74d33b5b → 85fc9d08-87f1-4ef6-8711-01ea70cca706
US-WI-6 · house · election_day · Brad Smith	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MD-7 · house · election_day · Kweisi Mfume	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Morrison	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-32 · house · election_day · Dan Barrios	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	6% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TN-4 · house · election_day · Victoria Broderick	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MD-2 · house · election_day · Johnny Olszewski	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TN-8 · house · election_day · Heidi Kuhn	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NE-3 · house · election_day · Becky Stille	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MS · senate · election_day · Scott Colom	12% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	10% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 12% → 10%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers dd2907c4-c830-4d52-b023-18dd0de195db → 1a2d2fff-e1d2-4e6d-8f55-cef4974a9699
US-MS · senate · nowcast · Scott Colom	19% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	16% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 19% → 16%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c34aa724-01e0-4d88-bb1b-904a16d082aa → ba15b230-9de9-4708-bbe2-2db4f0fde6f0
US-NM-3 · house · election_day · Teresa Leger Fernández	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ-2 · house · election_day · Zack Mullock	7% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	7% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KY-2 · house · election_day · Megan Wingfield	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-14 · house · election_day · Lauren Underwood	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-34 · house · election_day · Vicente Gonzalez	61% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	61% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX · senate · election_day · James Talarico	59% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	60% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 59% → 60%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e8c1c2cf-d5ff-449e-a457-d09d3ee42fa0 → 630431ab-afd5-421c-91f2-f79ea5c4c9b6
US-TX · senate · nowcast · James Talarico	72% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	73% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 72% → 73%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers aa633692-0f56-4816-b0a8-35efccec0c05 → e0e16dfc-2019-4b0f-ad00-e11ff15e1c62
US-OH-13 · house · election_day · Emilia Sykes	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL · governor · election_day · David Jolly	20% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	20% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3eb96dcf-49da-45ab-9372-f2a6efaa7972 → e3e04a62-9318-43b0-95b6-2e20fb33b455
US-FL · governor · nowcast · David Jolly	18% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	18% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c17013dd-ba86-4b54-9e31-1c48e3d72108 → e8febe12-4486-493a-b647-ca9c4f75497d
US-MI-13 · house · election_day · Donavan McKinney	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ-12 · house · election_day · Adam Hamawy	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SC-6 · house · election_day · Jim Clyburn	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-9 · house · election_day · Marcy Kaptur	56% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	55% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Displayed 56% → 55%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WI-3 · house · election_day · Rebecca Cooke	52% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	52% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NE-2 · house · election_day · Denise Powell	90% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	90% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-3 · house · election_day · Bobby Scott	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-6 · house · election_day · Beth Macy	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-22 · house · election_day · Randy Villegas	50% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	50% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-8 · house · election_day · Vanessa Enoch	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	6% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AZ · governor · election_day · Katie Hobbs	92% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	93% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 92% → 93%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8a068616-8906-43c1-b4fc-bf24f51db9dc → 4cad73f5-695c-499b-b36b-23b992160982
US-AZ · governor · nowcast · Katie Hobbs	92% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	92% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 0963dad1-f63e-4f2e-a861-2804956ddf1d → e229ad01-26b3-4030-bbe6-496df8a0a57a
US-VT · governor · election_day · Amanda Janoo	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	9% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8142e3ed-e0c7-42e8-b7ab-b4fbd94515b4 → b1a6cfbc-c8c2-43d2-b04e-8f5d8177f602
US-VT · governor · nowcast · Amanda Janoo	14% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	13% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 14% → 13%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9becbe04-864e-42d2-b427-859b68962705 → 6aff9544-3dcd-48e7-a1e3-49343428847b
US-MI-6 · house · election_day · Debbie Dingell	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-7 · house · election_day · William Lawrence	49% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	49% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Thompson	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WA-5 · house · election_day · Carmela Conroy	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	6% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-LA · senate · election_day · Jamie Davis	5% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	5% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 59d36a1b-c583-4209-83e0-d27de8c58d29 → 8927081a-65a2-43fb-82e1-daaefe385157
US-LA · senate · nowcast · Jamie Davis	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	9% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers cb45018f-857c-4950-a323-361ee535ec62 → 7cf523e5-9dc9-48f2-a32b-3e44d3ca416a
US-NE · governor · election_day · Lynne Walz	16% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	15% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 16% → 15%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a1a97b3d-4d05-4de4-b0b7-3826bf128e5c → 47c8ccb2-6375-4dc5-9ee4-48361b29a592
US-NE · governor · nowcast · Lynne Walz	18% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	18% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a6e34fbf-cb3a-4266-968e-7529b01c0fa8 → 1172d800-8ff2-4eeb-80e2-6456da904fb8
US-TX-1 · house · election_day · Yolanda Prince	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-39 · house · election_day · Mark Takano	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-35 · house · election_day · Johnny Garcia	50% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	50% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-9 · house · election_day · Rachel Wallace	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-11 · house · election_day · Jamie Ager	73% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	73% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MT-2 · house · election_day · Brian Miller	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-5 · house · election_day · Chuck Hubbard	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	6% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-3 · house · election_day · Hillary Scholten	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-11 · house · election_day · Chris Harden	9% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	9% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-13 · house · election_day · Mark Nair	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KS · governor · election_day · Cindy Holscher	31% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	31% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c63e9104-5a86-4704-82d5-ff7a37d11248 → a9bd2c87-d95d-4814-bd10-ddd90a9507a5
US-KS · governor · nowcast · Cindy Holscher	25% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	25% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6123dee4-6568-48a5-a04e-0a7f44751e1d → dc61feba-2f42-4660-bb29-9bce2a9f44c1
US-AL-6 · house · election_day · Maurice Mercer	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NE-1 · house · election_day · Chris Backemeyer	10% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	10% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WI-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Beck	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-HI · governor · election_day · Josh Green	99% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	99% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 42e2aa1f-aa49-4660-9e83-eff0845dfab3 → 45a78b65-d735-409c-8dca-bf0935f7c049
US-FL-21 · house · election_day · James Martin	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-25 · house · election_day · Dione Sims	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WA-4 · house · election_day · John Duresky	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-48 · house · election_day · Marni von Wilpert	86% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	86% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-9 · house · election_day · Darren Soto	48% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	48% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-2 · house · election_day · Patrick Halpin	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	3% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-2 · house · election_day · Jared Huffman	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IN-8 · house · election_day · Mary Allen	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-RI-2 · house · election_day · Seth Magaziner	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-1 · house · election_day · Greg Landsman	90% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	90% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WY · senate · election_day · James W. Byrd	<1% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	<1% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e1ede4b4-58ac-46ad-b563-0f3d83c72d1b → fa79724e-3b3e-49d2-a152-ef3c70f4b543
US-CA-18 · house · election_day · Zoe Lofgren	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-47 · house · election_day · Dave Min	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-UT-4 · house · election_day · Jonny Larsen	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-13 · house · election_day · Nikki Budzinski	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC · senate · election_day · Roy Cooper	95% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	95% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b2538fdd-f75a-4527-ab45-421b5101913b → 69274218-6e49-47b6-90e0-bfa85604cb5c
US-NC · senate · nowcast · Roy Cooper	97% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	97% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8dcea1e8-cd13-4c1c-a19e-51170799dde5 → d84a644c-3e00-4b14-80c7-cd36865bb2fc
US-NV-1 · house · election_day · Dina Titus	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	98% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-4 · house · election_day · Laura Gillen	96% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	96% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ-4 · house · election_day · Rachel Peace	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OR · governor · election_day · Tina Kotek	77% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	77% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3631b6f4-ec24-447a-8479-3091eb37dbd1 → 0ca5b1bc-8e48-484e-b6a6-9a79b80daae1
US-OR · governor · nowcast · Tina Kotek	56% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	57% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 56% → 57%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers baaf05cc-1db1-456f-9924-7a6ec419ffe1 → 9c05a0f3-0527-4f06-96da-7a865ec3900d
US-SC · governor · election_day · Jermaine Johnson	19% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	19% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d06a1f72-944f-4ea1-a21f-606d54a63c6e → 4171fd71-8f51-407b-bd5b-0ec4b5b19927
US-SC · governor · nowcast · Jermaine Johnson	15% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	15% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 64c55779-661b-4402-b9b1-445730b8875a → 9992b5f9-965e-4f4c-bb08-5ffd0ed72dd9
US-AZ-3 · house · election_day · Yassamin Ansari	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MN-8 · house · election_day · Trina Swanson	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	4% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-6 · house · election_day · Lucy McBath	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SD · senate · election_day · Brian Bengs	20% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	19% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 20% → 19%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f00f96d5-3876-4e39-9b26-5f752cd22cef → d09c4292-c449-4e97-92e8-6b5c2e4b7e58
US-SD · senate · nowcast · Brian Bengs	18% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	17% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 18% → 17%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f57eb60d-0fea-4b9b-b80b-eac6238ca431 → 14b84214-c20b-4a77-8528-c1c2989569d4
US-ID-1 · house · election_day · Kaylee Peterson	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-2 · house · election_day · Jennifer Mazzuckelli	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-1 · house · election_day · Gay Valimont	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-31 · house · election_day · Gil Cisneros	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-HI-2 · house · election_day · Jill Tokuda	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-8 · house · election_day · Don Beyer	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CO-1 · house · election_day · Melat Kiros	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-11 · house · election_day · Nancy Mannion	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AR · senate · election_day · Hallie Shoffner	4% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	4% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 777b2e33-d5d2-4fe0-93c0-e7768e6255bc → 4e6759eb-67ca-4eb8-8294-aea285ae630b
US-AR · senate · nowcast · Hallie Shoffner	6% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	7% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 6% → 7%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 88f22399-7d11-4924-8630-3d94fe70fe63 → 21184fbf-a94d-4e19-89c4-0ba1a900d646
US-PA-15 · house · election_day · Ray Bilger	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AZ-5 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Lee	5% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	5% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-2 · house · election_day · Deborah Ross	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MN-4 · house · election_day · Betty McCollum	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-3 · house · election_day · Ami Bera	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-6 · house · election_day · Cyril Jefferson	5% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	4% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IA-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Trone Garriott	52% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	52% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-DE-AL · house · election_day · Sarah McBride	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OR-4 · house · election_day · Val Hoyle	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-17 · house · election_day · Chris Deluzio	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-5 · house · election_day · Nikema Williams	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NM-1 · house · election_day · Melanie Stansbury	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-41 · house · election_day · Linda Sánchez	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-38 · house · election_day · Hilda Solis	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-14 · house · election_day · Kathy Castor	91% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	91% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MD-8 · house · election_day · Jamie Raskin	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-14 · house · election_day · Maria Jukic	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-12 · house · election_day · Micah Lasher	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-21 · house · election_day · Jim Costa	97% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	97% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ-9 · house · election_day · Nellie Pou	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	98% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AL-1 · house · election_day · Clyde Jones	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-18 · house · election_day · Pat Ryan	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-1 · house · election_day · Bob Harvie	28% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	28% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-6 · house · election_day · Grace Meng	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA · governor · election_day · Xavier Becerra	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers daf9b277-e655-4d67-b56d-86d81cbf9fa7 → 22669ca5-dc3e-452f-97bd-3f1d35765bda
US-CA · governor · nowcast · Xavier Becerra	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d8986d5b-fb8d-4416-84a9-56922f4f7382 → 51e419eb-f1da-4368-b306-07ab96e92d5f
US-WI-4 · house · election_day · Gwen Moore	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AL · governor · election_day · Doug Jones	5% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	4% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f7f8b53e-5ab6-4c7e-9ac9-48038f5e9c0e → a2c96716-8609-4d51-9fb1-3cd6aebda778
US-AL · governor · nowcast · Doug Jones	4% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	4% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d93afeaf-6e9c-4617-bfed-dad7b265a823 → c00ce240-6f52-4303-97af-49044893548c
US-FL-25 · house · election_day · Jared Moskowitz	89% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	89% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-24 · house · election_day · Kevin Burge	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	4% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-3 · house · election_day · Delia Ramirez	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-10 · house · election_day · Pamela DeLancy	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	3% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-26 · house · election_day · Nicole Locklin	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MO-4 · house · election_day · Jordan Herrera	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-7 · house · election_day · Bob Brooks	70% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	70% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-7 · house · election_day · Eugene Vindman	97% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	97% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-12 · house · election_day · Julie Fortier	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OK · governor · election_day · Cyndi Munson	11% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	11% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 180f4240-87f5-4a66-9a69-8be7c764f8fc → 0164f1da-60c7-43a7-bed7-46c97549f6a3
US-TN-3 · house · election_day · Anna Golladay	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI · governor · election_day · Jocelyn Benson	91% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	91% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers dac2f129-c17f-48dc-9323-e00dc1b11db4 → 6ee39ef1-4fcf-441d-bc95-a1cf6434950c
US-MI · governor · nowcast · Jocelyn Benson	93% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	93% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b692b7dd-f424-489d-9862-a9b4ba1787bc → b45850b4-bbd1-4ad4-b0e2-fa2f83b3c227
US-MA · senate · election_day · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 93e972c9-b917-4966-8840-c0362698a081 → 235a1179-4855-4b64-b1bf-241348c2659c
US-MA · senate · nowcast · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 35c65dd6-e6c8-49cf-b593-768e3a096922 → 9ed51b55-82ad-4808-ac74-c038ef09859d
US-IL-7 · house · election_day · La Shawn Ford	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-11 · house · election_day · Shontel Brown	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-5 · house · election_day · Tom Perriello	22% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	22% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-1 · house · election_day · Jonathan Jackson	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Jones	35% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	35% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-23 · house · election_day · Lois Frankel	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AK · governor · election_day · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	88% 2026-10-14T11:27:57Z	88% 2026-10-16T04:06:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 647ba327-c5d4-4773-888f-09675fb38d0a → 8896f0e6-9b22-4997-a0ac-614b90119e07
US-AK · governor · nowcast · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	90% 2026-10-14T11:27:57Z	90% 2026-10-16T04:06:04Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 889fa4d3-b2aa-49db-b75b-4d8e15422b0e → 8f387d91-5cf2-4936-b579-b10a6ff02b5d
US-MI-5 · house · election_day · Christian Vukasovich	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NH-1 · house · election_day · Stefany Shaheen	89% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	89% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-11 · house · election_day · James Walkinshaw	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-22 · house · election_day · Pia Dandiya	51% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	51% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-18 · house · election_day · Curtis Gibson	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	3% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AK-AL · house · election_day · Bill Hill	22% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	22% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-1 · house · election_day · Mike McGuire	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-RI-1 · house · election_day · Gabe Amo	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MO-8 · house · election_day · Christopher Riechard	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ · senate · election_day · Cory Booker	94% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	94% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f9e80017-8f56-406d-9cc8-669972e11dda → 3c30723a-6d2a-4308-908d-f2e3f4138088
US-PA-12 · house · election_day · Summer Lee	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KY-4 · house · election_day · Melissa Claire Strange	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-3 · house · election_day · Tom Suozzi	94% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	94% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IN-7 · house · election_day · André Carson	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IA · senate · election_day · Josh Turek	51% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	53% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 51% → 53%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 79bc50f4-7098-4afe-a75c-6c62640fc5aa → e880b2be-5312-4fd0-adbb-344e64844492
US-IA · senate · nowcast · Josh Turek	55% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	59% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 55% → 59%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d7024324-fcbd-4885-ab79-1dd6b6c5b611 → 2b0984f7-a256-47fc-bd15-0e8d8f67d8e3
US-NY-13 · house · election_day · Darializa Avila Chevalier	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-36 · house · election_day · Rhonda Hart	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-23 · house · election_day · Katy Padilla Stout	18% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	18% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-7 · house · election_day · Lizzie Fletcher	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IA-4 · house · election_day · Dave Dawson	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CO · senate · election_day · John Hickenlooper	98% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	98% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f8a1ab20-0876-4915-8ebf-c17fad25307e → a9ffc56b-bf71-4672-9d77-b11ffae4982c
US-AL-3 · house · election_day · Lee McInnis	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-36 · house · election_day · Ted Lieu	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MT-1 · house · election_day · Sam Forstag	35% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	35% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MD-5 · house · election_day · Adrian Boafo	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-19 · house · election_day · Jimmy Panetta	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-33 · house · election_day · Colin Allred	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-20 · house · election_day · Paul Tonko	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-2 · house · election_day · Sanford Bishop	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-3 · house · election_day · Raymond Smith Jr.	22% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	22% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-52 · house · election_day · Juan Vargas	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Beck	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OR-1 · house · election_day · Suzanne Bonamici	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NM · senate · election_day · Ben Ray Luján	94% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	94% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 37617217-b25b-446f-b9ac-beed4abad9ab → 78a7c785-77f9-4e86-9610-9f7196538325
US-NM · senate · nowcast · Ben Ray Luján	94% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	93% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 94% → 93%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e331c397-2eb4-432e-8c07-323dfa405136 → 2c452f32-1866-4f3c-a6cb-c14df2b97a1c
US-NC-10 · house · election_day · Ashley Bell	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	3% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-12 · house · election_day · Jerrad Christian	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MO-2 · house · election_day · Fred Wellman	32% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	32% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-16 · house · election_day · Justin Wagner	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-26 · house · election_day · Jacqui Irwin	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WA-10 · house · election_day · Marilyn Strickland	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KS-4 · house · election_day · Katy Tyndell	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CO-8 · house · election_day · Manny Rutinel	56% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	56% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-4 · house · election_day · Sean McCann	34% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	34% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-30 · house · election_day · Laura Friedman	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-5 · house · election_day · Chelsey Hockett	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MO-3 · house · election_day · Bethany Mann	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SD · governor · election_day · Dan Ahlers	2% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	2% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e10667ab-1941-42a5-a657-462a9d3ac7ac → 4afa55d0-1846-4537-acef-355d33c8137b
US-AR-3 · house · election_day · Robb Ryerse	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-17 · house · election_day · Ro Khanna	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-9 · house · election_day · Ray Pooley	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-11 · house · election_day · Claire Reynolds	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SC · senate · election_day · Annie Andrews	20% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	21% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 20% → 21%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6edec172-1035-40bb-8f61-112ce149bc45 → 6a20f5b9-6cfa-4ac7-9952-4be01cb255aa
US-SC · senate · nowcast · Annie Andrews	28% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	28% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 070a8cf7-a7a3-4368-ac2c-ae3cd645e423 → 4c57bab9-fc19-4134-9372-5c8bad918204
US-IL-15 · house · election_day · Jennifer Todd	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-9 · house · election_day · Yvette Clarke	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA · senate · election_day · Jon Ossoff	93% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	93% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b19580d3-0b8f-4099-b221-134aaee489f1 → b5faf7ab-b858-4df5-860e-c41dc832d4c6
US-GA · senate · nowcast · Jon Ossoff	94% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	94% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 807098c0-80e7-48d8-aee5-2646cfe0962a → 7ca05d0a-995e-45b6-88b0-b8328db380a5
US-NY-19 · house · election_day · Josh Riley	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	98% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-4 · house · election_day · Jennifer McClellan	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MS-1 · house · election_day · Cliff Johnson	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-DE · senate · election_day · Chris Coons	99% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	99% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b9e3f471-48e1-451e-87ca-9aaf5036ac0e → cd35602c-bf40-412c-a6f5-18a8fa543ea3
US-IL · governor · election_day · JB Pritzker	97% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	97% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 679d43a0-2ce7-47c1-90ee-9c8e1ad42f81 → fb6eda74-e83a-4b99-b554-2a2f0096aca3
US-IL · governor · nowcast · JB Pritzker	98% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	98% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c2c200de-5a36-44cb-ab5b-748a12099842 → 2c1d121a-70f7-432b-9724-73577a88afd2
US-WA-6 · house · election_day · Emily Randall	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-19 · house · election_day · Victor Arias	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SC-1 · house · election_day · Nancy Lacore	28% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	28% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-10 · house · election_day · Kristina Knickerbocker	9% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	9% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-3 · house · election_day · Seth Harp	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-RI · senate · election_day · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 817028fe-a4e4-4d86-abf9-69a104aa6c50 → 607d1ce3-cb48-4bd3-8476-ec2c5a72650e
US-RI · senate · nowcast · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 17054421-62fe-4c1e-af72-ef673aeae2dc → f2fdfd0c-ae1d-4a39-adf5-3b451424ea7e
US-CA-44 · house · election_day · Nanette Barragán	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NH · senate · election_day · Chris Pappas	88% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	88% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7ed6484e-750d-48d7-b2b2-d539e4371748 → d303893f-b007-4f8c-97c8-2318d365a1b5
US-NH · senate · nowcast · Chris Pappas	86% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	86% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 04401f30-24a9-4765-93cd-b8d14b89fb38 → 21eb462c-0d39-4ae9-a4cb-4556b2763504
US-AZ-9 · house · election_day · Danielle Sterbinsky	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-17 · house · election_day · Cait Conley	48% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	48% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-21 · house · election_day · Kristin Hook	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MA-6 · house · election_day · Dan Koh	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-17 · house · election_day · Eric Sorensen	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NM-2 · house · election_day · Gabe Vasquez	77% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	77% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-9 · house · election_day · Joy Powers	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IN-1 · house · election_day · Frank Mrvan	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	98% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-8 · house · election_day · Hakeem Jeffries	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AR-1 · house · election_day · Terri Yarbrough	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KY-6 · house · election_day · Zach Dembo	46% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	45% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Displayed 46% → 45%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-12 · house · election_day · Rashida Tlaib	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TN-6 · house · election_day · Mike Croley	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-5 · house · election_day · Mary Gay Scanlon	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NV · governor · election_day · Aaron Ford	36% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	36% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2b06c18f-7278-4598-898c-c3efe7f1b194 → b961df9e-906c-49ec-9ae4-2ab37c19d401
US-NV · governor · nowcast · Aaron Ford	27% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	27% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 33038f6f-7001-4647-95ff-9d4a30e7d5ce → 1748a44e-3ac5-4118-b1bd-27742a325adf
US-SC-4 · house · election_day · Courtney McClain	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IN-5 · house · election_day · J.D. Ford	11% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	11% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-35 · house · election_day · Norma Torres	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-24 · house · election_day · Alissa Ellman	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AZ-1 · house · election_day · Amish Shah	69% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	69% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WV-1 · house · election_day · Vince George	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ-3 · house · election_day · Herb Conaway	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IN-2 · house · election_day · Jamee Decio	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-27 · house · election_day · George Whitesides	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-37 · house · election_day · Greg Casar	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-49 · house · election_day · Mike Levin	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TN-5 · house · election_day · Chaz Molder	14% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	14% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-12 · house · election_day · Ceretta Smith	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	4% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AZ-6 · house · election_day · JoAnna Mendoza	59% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	59% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SC-2 · house · election_day · Zyon Khalifa	7% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	7% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-20 · house · election_day · Joaquin Castro	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WA-1 · house · election_day · Suzan DelBene	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-13 · house · election_day · Beth Farnham	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AK · senate · election_day · Mary Peltola	47% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	47% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9135f5cd-2a31-4f71-9808-1684c7effe7b → 7eb16683-92e7-4e05-b6eb-1d2e024f96dd
US-AK · senate · nowcast · Mary Peltola	69% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	70% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 69% → 70%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 0e212b84-da79-4182-acf2-ff5312f9b240 → ca97b9d2-25a4-4d3e-925b-b4e7f696c7ec
US-NJ-7 · house · election_day · Rebecca Bennett	71% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	71% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TN · senate · election_day · Marquita Bradshaw	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	2% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ccce9105-4d60-4232-838f-72d4432aef68 → 5006035c-0eef-4ccd-bc55-8401afacb391
US-TN · senate · nowcast · Marquita Bradshaw	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	1% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b54f66b2-10d7-4d04-bfe0-782e6c561c0b → 723511b0-5285-45cd-8e12-a9080bb473b2
US-CA-9 · house · election_day · Josh Harder	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-LA-2 · house · election_day · Troy A. Carter Sr.	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NC-8 · house · election_day · Colby Watson	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	4% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-26 · house · election_day · Steven Shook	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-9 · house · election_day · Leticia Gutierrez	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	7% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Displayed 3% → 7%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SC-5 · house · election_day · Mallory Dittmer	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-SD-AL · house · election_day · Nicole Gronli	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-8 · house · election_day · Melissa Bean	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VA-1 · house · election_day · Shannon Taylor	44% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	44% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-15 · house · election_day · Bobby Pulido	44% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	44% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AL-2 · house · election_day · Shomari Figures	38% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	38% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MN-1 · house · election_day · Jake Johnson	23% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	23% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KS-3 · house · election_day · Sharice Davids	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CT-2 · house · election_day · Joe Courtney	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NV-4 · house · election_day · Steven Horsford	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-16 · house · election_day · George Latimer	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MD-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Elfreth	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-12 · house · election_day · Kimberly Overman	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	3% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IN-6 · house · election_day · Cynthia Wirth	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-6 · house · election_day · Chrissy Houlahan	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MO-7 · house · election_day · Missi Hesketh	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WI-7 · house · election_day · Fred Clark	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	3% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MA-9 · house · election_day · Bill Keating	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KY-3 · house · election_day · Morgan McGarvey	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-HI-1 · house · election_day · Ed Case	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-16 · house · election_day · Veronica Escobar	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MD-1 · house · election_day · Dan Schwartz	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	3% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-15 · house · election_day · Ritchie Torres	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ-5 · house · election_day · Josh Gottheimer	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-UT-3 · house · election_day · Kent Udell	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-20 · house · election_day · Debbie Wasserman Schultz	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-45 · house · election_day · Derek Tran	97% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	97% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-30 · house · election_day · Frederick Haynes III	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-25 · house · election_day · Joseph Morelle	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CT-5 · house · election_day · Jahana Hayes	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-8 · house · election_day · Kelly Esti	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-27 · house · election_day · Tanya Lloyd	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CO-3 · house · election_day · Dwayne Romero	27% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	27% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IA-1 · house · election_day · Christina Bohannan	68% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	68% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-10 · house · election_day · Caitlin Rourk	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-13 · house · election_day · Leela Gray	25% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	24% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Displayed 25% → 24%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-5 · house · election_day · Brian Shaver	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-VT-AL · house · election_day · Becca Balint	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MS-2 · house · election_day · Bennie Thompson	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KS-1 · house · election_day · Lauren Reinhold	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-25 · house · election_day · Raul Ruiz	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-16 · house · election_day · Paul Nolley	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-50 · house · election_day · Scott Peters	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-17 · house · election_day · Matthew Montavon	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI · senate · election_day · Abdul El-Sayed	67% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	68% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 67% → 68%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4d7977c8-51fc-4137-ac25-15ba32da6cb4 → aa2f907e-396a-4492-ac89-36b6c237e882
US-MI · senate · nowcast · Abdul El-Sayed	71% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	71% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers cb0699c6-c9f2-4224-ab65-b4fee034b0e5 → 36c2a4b5-c187-4bc3-aacd-7c9de37f1a02
US-CA-46 · house · election_day · Lou Correa	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA · governor · election_day · Keisha Lance Bottoms	60% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	58% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 60% → 58%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 97791f0a-66f8-4110-a127-ffce7c471aeb → 55c821d4-192b-4be7-8371-dec7328844c6
US-GA · governor · nowcast · Keisha Lance Bottoms	48% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	46% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 48% → 46%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6c7c3633-51d3-4dad-a4fb-e73bcaf593c1 → 11d4e476-0379-4eae-a569-6e643bffb47c
US-WY-AL · house · election_day · Lisa F. Kinney	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NH-2 · house · election_day · Maggie Goodlander	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-13 · house · election_day · Jasmine Clark	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CO-2 · house · election_day · Joe Neguse	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ-1 · house · election_day · Donald Norcross	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-6 · house · election_day · Sean Casten	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MA · governor · election_day · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ae1a1d83-f675-45da-8711-46300a8d606a → 518b75d5-3769-4810-a223-44a597256253
US-MA · governor · nowcast · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7ceee898-1587-4f24-9a6f-96b973e012ef → cd1f58ba-7251-4994-9004-8cf925298385
US-NV-3 · house · election_day · Susie Lee	94% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	94% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WA-9 · house · election_day · Adam Smith	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-10 · house · election_day · Mark DeSaulnier	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-KY · senate · election_day · Charles Booker	8% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	7% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 8% → 7%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 790355bf-7d32-4df1-b6f4-c0200510a0f9 → 23771a10-7c1b-4d75-806b-e1a409eb1d03
US-KY · senate · nowcast · Charles Booker	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	9% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b58accb5-9b15-4f70-a06c-e281c7559a6d → c9434aaf-1a24-4bf8-bcec-840895d166bc
US-WI-8 · house · election_day · Rick Crosson	5% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	5% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WI · governor · election_day · David Crowley	72% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	72% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6d60eb17-fdfb-41d2-a81d-9e7a3598018f → 5de78c98-4fe5-4159-a06d-869c9cbfa6dd
US-WI · governor · nowcast · David Crowley	77% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	76% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 77% → 76%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers fd795306-34a6-4243-891e-692bb1518b53 → 21fbd6d2-e6d5-4dd3-83c1-dc2321b283b2
US-GA-4 · house · election_day · Hank Johnson	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY · governor · election_day · Kathy Hochul	97% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	98% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 97% → 98%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6f26a3a5-5f50-47c7-828e-0df0fb348a55 → ad7a1be6-921e-40ea-985e-d9bdbfba37d0
US-NY · governor · nowcast · Kathy Hochul	98% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	98% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4f44d547-9d1b-45d8-be88-39dbadd8cb30 → 227ce4be-3c44-457b-905d-dd57abb968a7
US-CO-6 · house · election_day · Jason Crow	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-1 · house · election_day · Callie Barr	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA-14 · house · election_day · Alan Bradstock	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-ME · governor · election_day · Hannah Pingree	96% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	97% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 96% → 97%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c7304f9e-cbbb-419b-9be2-e4f7823df599 → 1ff9a571-688e-47b8-a3b9-baa3424318fc
US-ME · governor · nowcast · Hannah Pingree	98% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	98% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5cfb76df-072b-43f8-af73-a848d98269b3 → 1d9f81cd-d49e-4260-8156-bb62b3ecda5b
US-CT-1 · house · election_day · Luke Bronin	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-24 · house · election_day · Salud Carbajal	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-9 · house · election_day · Caitlyn Gegan	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OK-4 · house · election_day · Mitchell Jacob	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-OH-6 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Kirtley	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-31 · house · election_day · Justin Early	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WY · governor · election_day · Kenneth Casner	<1% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	<1% 2026-10-16T04:06:02Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c48328ef-f729-45f5-bea1-f0f2dac00dc7 → 059a88da-bd5b-4fdf-a87f-9bc3604e8adf
US-TX-3 · house · election_day · Evan Hunt	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CO-4 · house · election_day · Eileen Laubacher	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	3% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IN-9 · house · election_day · Brad Meyer	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-6 · house · election_day · Danny Minton	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	2% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AZ-2 · house · election_day · Jonathan Nez	15% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	15% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-GA-7 · house · election_day · Anthony Kozycki	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	6% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-PA · governor · election_day · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 12d62cd2-bbb0-448d-80c0-86b0510d2509 → cbe74c40-ed3d-424f-9d97-e7ee772056a2
US-PA · governor · nowcast · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	>99% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b46311d5-4588-4ec8-a4c8-675ddff6f9ba → 382a07d8-97b2-4674-9a05-e800228b0bd7
US-NJ-10 · house · election_day · LaMonica McIver	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MD-4 · house · election_day · Glenn Ivey	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NJ-11 · house · election_day · Analilia Mejia	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IL-10 · house · election_day · Brad Schneider	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-IN-4 · house · election_day · Drew Cox	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WI-1 · house · election_day · Mitchell Berman	23% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	22% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Displayed 23% → 22%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-10 · house · election_day · Brad Lander	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-6 · house · election_day · Richard Pan	50% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	50% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-19 · house · election_day · Kyle Rable	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WV-2 · house · election_day · Ace Parsi	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	<1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TN-9 · house · election_day · Justin J. Pearson	9% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	9% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-11 · house · election_day · Jeremy Moss	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-FL-7 · house · election_day · Bale Dalton	68% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	68% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MN · governor · election_day · Amy Klobuchar	95% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	94% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 95% → 94%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6fa30589-a176-4726-a86e-1020b5f9306c → cf294541-200d-4b7d-9e7a-0a6718b778c2
US-MN · governor · nowcast · Amy Klobuchar	96% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	95% 2026-10-16T03:36:54Z	Displayed 96% → 95%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers aa985a72-b9b9-4d98-b464-880e1003c725 → c02f8ebb-d0fc-45a4-a5fd-00c300464ce4
US-IL-2 · house · election_day · Donna Miller	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-42 · house · election_day · Robert Garcia	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CA-8 · house · election_day · John Garamendi	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-TX-18 · house · election_day · Christian Menefee	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-MI-8 · house · election_day · Kristen McDonald Rivet	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	98% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-11 · house · election_day · Michael DeCillis	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	1% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-WA-8 · house · election_day · Kim Schrier	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-AZ-8 · house · election_day · Bernadette Greene-Placentia	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	4% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-NY-26 · house · election_day · Tim Kennedy	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721
US-CT-4 · house · election_day · Jim Himes	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	>99% 2026-10-15T13:46:23Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7 → 7f6a7ad3-2d12-4bf6-bd5c-afe29579f721