Published forecasts: 2026-10-14

Last published snapshot for this Pacific day. These records were published at the time; no reconstructed forecasts are added.

Compared with the previous available closed day, 2026-10-13. Dates may be more than one day apart.

2026-10-13: race records · chamber records · file hashes
2026-10-14: race records · chamber records · file hashes

Chambers

Stored party-control bounds; unavailable values stay unavailable. The linked downloads retain model versions and run identifiers.

Chambers
Chamber / product	Earlier	Later
governors · election_day	D 70%–70%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	D 69%–69%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z
governors · nowcast	D 67%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	D 68%–68%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z
house · election_day	D 83%–83%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	D 80%–80%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z
senate · election_day	D 54%–64%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	D 53%–63%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z
senate · nowcast	D 61%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	D 61%–67%; R Unavailable–Unavailable; neither Unavailable; 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z

Races

Changes refer to the displayed, rounded percentages. Exact probabilities are in the downloads. Candidate changes are separate rows. A poll appearing between runs is not proof it caused a move. Poll arrivals, money and candidate events are not captured by these forecast files; the model and correction record provides other context.

Races
Race and subject	Earlier chance / run time	Later chance / run time	Change	Context
US-LA-6 · house · election_day · Democratic Party	6% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-22 · house · election_day · Marquette Greene-Scott	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-4 · house · election_day · Valerie Foushee	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OR · senate · election_day · Jeff Merkley	98% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 18ae2eb6-ca3f-4929-8c51-bdfd88d8f9a1 → 182ac753-fc92-4d89-b8b6-bf59f27a0d34
US-VA · senate · election_day · Mark Warner	97% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	97% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 62341e8d-9eff-4840-901b-6f90f3d5c653 → 7d475928-c282-4854-8226-0e39c328e66f
US-VA · senate · nowcast · Mark Warner	98% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 44aa7962-0662-41c8-9c50-58c8a0972057 → 7619de33-493b-485e-a821-5f2cf215fa64
US-OH-4 · house · election_day · Joshua Kolasinski	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WA-3 · house · election_day · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	36% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	35% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 36% → 35%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-14 · house · election_day · LaKesha Womack	8% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	8% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OK-5 · house · election_day · Jena Nelson	6% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MN-7 · house · election_day · Erik Osberg	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MT · senate · election_day · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1b6b54f3-f540-4055-9a16-72dfb64c1053 → 4a81e39f-0569-4710-8d16-cb285945bc5a
US-MT · senate · nowcast · Seth Bodnar	1% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 0394c34c-499c-41fd-8757-cb6cd38f24a6 → 7611d4da-3e01-47cb-a5e1-2a9c59522689
US-CA-20 · house · election_day · Sandra Van Scotter	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AL-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Sneed	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-1 · house · election_day · Don Davis	82% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	82% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-7 · house · election_day · Brian Poindexter	72% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	70% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 72% → 70%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OK-2 · house · election_day · Brandon Wade	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-12 · house · election_day · Alma Adams	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TN · governor · election_day · Jerri Green	2% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1343d045-d130-4bf9-837b-fc77a3434d7c → 1eccc87c-5595-45fd-82b0-f823b9b723c5
US-TN · governor · nowcast · Jerri Green	1% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 601ecd25-fdcf-45f8-b9bb-7c513e3a7025 → d465cd19-99e7-4edb-b78f-af033f40c23d
US-ID-2 · house · election_day · Ellie Gilbreath	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AZ-4 · house · election_day · Greg Stanton	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-9 · house · election_day · Richard Ojeda	14% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	14% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IA-2 · house · election_day · Lindsay James	49% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	48% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 49% → 48%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-38 · house · election_day · Melissa McDonough	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-5 · house · election_day · Gregory Meeks	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AR-4 · house · election_day · James Russell	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL · senate · election_day · Angie Nixon	14% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	12% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 14% → 12%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5ac7fcf2-04f6-4685-bd91-e7dda06ab8e4 → 555ae067-629a-48c1-ba40-34d15e5922fd
US-FL · senate · nowcast · Angie Nixon	10% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 10% → 9%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 533dd81b-4822-453b-89dc-ef441695bc14 → 2c773f6d-2cc4-4f6e-b364-793ab2c6ff37
US-MN-5 · house · election_day · Ilhan Omar	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-28 · house · election_day · Henry Cuellar	74% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	73% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 74% → 73%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NV-2 · house · election_day · Teresa Benitez-Thompson	32% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	32% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-4 · house · election_day · Jason Pearce	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX · governor · election_day · Gina Hinojosa	25% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	27% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 25% → 27%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c056956b-aa30-41b0-b955-e9687582dd16 → 8082a43d-0ef8-4463-b3e7-97c1ab7215ac
US-TX · governor · nowcast · Gina Hinojosa	28% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	31% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 28% → 31%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f51532fc-a916-473c-818b-3bf7ddc0475d → c9104946-3005-4097-843b-a19a08111e85
US-MA-8 · house · election_day · Stephen Lynch	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-13 · house · election_day · Paul Barringer	5% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-7 · house · election_day · Claire Valdez	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-ND-AL · house · election_day · Trygve Hammer	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-9 · house · election_day · Daniel Biss	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-2 · house · election_day · Benjamin Ambrose	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MD-6 · house · election_day · April McClain Delaney	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AL-7 · house · election_day · Terri Sewell	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-33 · house · election_day · Pete Aguilar	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-24 · house · election_day · Oliver Gilbert	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-2 · house · election_day · Elaine Luria	62% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	60% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 62% → 60%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-4 · house · election_day · LaShonda Holloway	9% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	8% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 9% → 8%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-10 · house · election_day · Christina Hines	50% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	49% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 50% → 49%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MN-2 · house · election_day · Matt Little	88% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	88% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-8 · house · election_day · Jennifer Jenkins	6% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-51 · house · election_day · Sara Jacobs	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-16 · house · election_day · Sam Liccardo	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OR-6 · house · election_day · Andrea Salinas	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-10 · house · election_day · Suhas Subramanyam	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-28 · house · election_day · Judy Chu	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-4 · house · election_day · Patty Garcia	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OR-3 · house · election_day · Maxine Dexter	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NM · governor · election_day · Deb Haaland	91% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	91% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f0a521a0-e538-4ef6-b8b4-2fbf77b5eff1 → d1cd9d3e-47fa-429f-8b46-ba72ac96a977
US-NM · governor · nowcast · Deb Haaland	92% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	92% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 96e85d7b-0268-4a1e-bec7-a42c757c1c0e → 40481ce0-9017-45c6-86c1-c8b7ea0c6831
US-TX-29 · house · election_day · Sylvia Garcia	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OR-5 · house · election_day · Janelle Bynum	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-3 · house · election_day · Maura Keller	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-5 · house · election_day · Michael Masuda	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-21 · house · election_day · Blake Gendebien	26% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	26% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-15 · house · election_day · Kevin Mullin	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-27 · house · election_day · Eliott Rodriguez	15% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	15% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MO-1 · house · election_day · Wesley Bell	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KY-1 · house · election_day · John "Drew" Williams	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SC-3 · house · election_day · Eunice Lehmacher	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-14 · house · election_day · Shawn Harris	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-ID · senate · election_day · Todd Achilles	12% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	13% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 12% → 13%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 27ac57ea-3876-4e97-a328-717902a03d21 → 84251e32-1acc-4a3c-8842-b9a3300a1666
US-ID · senate · nowcast · Todd Achilles	11% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	11% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers f3c77020-a89b-4ec9-bf4d-9031d1c7b41c → 9b14bcae-5077-4a57-9eeb-106591238675
US-TN-2 · house · election_day · Michaela Barnett	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CO-7 · house · election_day · Brittany Pettersen	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-8 · house · election_day · Paige Cognetti	45% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	45% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KS-2 · house · election_day · Don Coover	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-14 · house · election_day · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH · governor · election_day · Amy Acton	67% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	66% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 67% → 66%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 056e01d9-adfa-4767-98af-43918f649002 → 4e56dd90-bf53-4ddb-bc4b-40ae5234d806
US-OH · governor · nowcast · Amy Acton	70% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	70% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 49dcbca9-b4d5-4341-b493-cd08519097d4 → fe0a2176-8e73-47f1-b07f-b9d5f485d203
US-AR · governor · election_day · Fredrick Love	9% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 787bf5d2-66a1-4291-a82c-0d94ef5902ad → 1229cd64-5be4-4a17-b15e-8b992ca61a12
US-AR · governor · nowcast · Fredrick Love	19% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	19% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 07b39a50-8400-4a13-93dc-e7368fda7f7c → 964f9e17-d0ba-46c5-b737-e2c5630c5aee
US-MO-6 · house · election_day · Josh Smead	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KS · senate · election_day · Adam Hamilton	41% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	38% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 41% → 38%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a491d665-4599-4c7e-bd47-81117f6961fd → c8f48b01-32a3-4ad1-8bf3-83aa9c52677c
US-KS · senate · nowcast · Adam Hamilton	57% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	56% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 57% → 56%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b1790784-11ef-47cc-a966-39247cc76720 → 8f390e6e-babe-4a26-9682-179f618dadfc
US-ME · senate · election_day · Troy Jackson	41% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	40% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 41% → 40%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d16c49d0-a77b-4342-b7a6-65d82cf58d54 → 7daf8683-fbeb-46f8-8b21-c5cf4da349c3
US-ME · senate · nowcast · Troy Jackson	67% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	67% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c3247f9a-a317-48ca-918b-cfe92caffc71 → 26fae4ea-7a60-4220-a84a-e3c440a967ed
US-CA-13 · house · election_day · Adam Gray	93% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	92% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 93% → 92%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-17 · house · election_day · Casey Shepard	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-11 · house · election_day · Bill Foster	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-28 · house · election_day · Phil Ehr	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MO-5 · house · election_day · Emanuel Cleaver	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-22 · house · election_day · John Mannion	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MD · governor · election_day · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers db03193a-5d12-4793-905a-10e6af249a26 → cac7918c-a80c-41ad-b0a1-5b96e8b95f4e
US-MD · governor · nowcast · Wes Moore	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 155c12bd-d22e-4e49-8a87-1ebb827f14c3 → 50498048-8e11-4213-b96c-70f0028effd8
US-CO-5 · house · election_day · Jessica Killin	40% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	39% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 40% → 39%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-2 · house · election_day · Amanda Green	6% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MA-3 · house · election_day · Lori Trahan	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-3 · house · election_day · Joyce Beatty	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NH · governor · election_day · Cinde Warmington	9% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9d1889da-0ce7-4bcb-94fc-f971e51962ce → 12ce2e33-2830-4de3-a9fe-fa56f2815036
US-NH · governor · nowcast · Cinde Warmington	5% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	5% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c8fb086c-fc64-471e-8309-6fb872f394aa → 67f4b91d-519f-4128-8605-df54db3b0752
US-NC-7 · house · election_day · Kimberly Hardy	10% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 10% → 9%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WV · senate · election_day · Rachel Fetty Anderson	1% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1ecef633-3cfc-4f52-b9a4-c63214bc888b → 7893a68a-0c99-44c7-a282-62c9556d0df9
US-OK · senate · election_day · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	1% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d2e7b5fb-d722-46b3-a120-90e68f2a12da → b0f9b08b-c12f-4dd9-822e-cacc423f399f
US-OK · senate · nowcast · N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas	<1% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 94742872-d8a3-4079-a5d2-3bdec13fd3fc → 659b36b8-5640-4fb1-ac55-7945df2e115c
US-CA-32 · house · election_day · Brad Sherman	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NE · senate · election_day · Dan Osborn	46% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	46% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9c9af590-ddc3-47c4-9b10-9e572e810d81 → 1c996199-9855-43bb-ba33-5c1e8a3c8c12
US-NE · senate · nowcast · Dan Osborn	46% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	45% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 46% → 45%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 562d527f-4954-40c7-935a-dee371bafd58 → 3029b569-b5b3-4da3-8a35-1fdb689f6799
US-TN-1 · house · election_day · Kristi Burke	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-12 · house · election_day · Angela Rodriguez Prilliman	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MS-4 · house · election_day · Jeffrey Hulum III	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OK-1 · house · election_day · John Croisant	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WA-2 · house · election_day · Rick Larsen	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SC-7 · house · election_day · John Vincent	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OK-3 · house · election_day · Suzie Byrd	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-ID · governor · election_day · Terri Pickens	1% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3eea584c-7dbb-41d0-a1aa-88aa9a013c3f → 13e69cd1-0c28-499d-a332-6583dbdd18bc
US-ID · governor · nowcast · Terri Pickens	2% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 638aa888-43d9-44d7-8b6c-b6b2a32923bd → 9e464340-2fbe-4d30-bb42-c3f03d45435e
US-TX-8 · house · election_day · Laura Jones	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-1 · house · election_day · Amanda Hollowell	7% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	7% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-UT-1 · house · election_day · Ben McAdams	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL · senate · election_day · Juliana Stratton	96% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	95% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 96% → 95%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c4bb1de0-515d-4606-b9a5-1c5067ad0564 → c7d573e5-ac4b-45d9-8cf5-f672c11ad177
US-IL · senate · nowcast · Juliana Stratton	93% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	93% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 036da865-ce17-45d9-8f7d-d16f20a92b13 → c50fe2c1-5737-4788-a8d2-8e4258274349
US-ME-1 · house · election_day · Chellie Pingree	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-2 · house · election_day · Brendan Boyle	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH · senate · election_day · Sherrod Brown	72% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	71% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 72% → 71%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6a4cd6cd-06fd-46cf-a8ac-3df53f88f276 → faa82d4d-9de0-4410-a158-fadfa8337129
US-OH · senate · nowcast · Sherrod Brown	76% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	76% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a3fd0fde-1af4-453a-982b-63bb8c207e07 → ce550dd9-420f-4b1b-b64c-4e347cc93976
US-CA-23 · house · election_day · Tessa Lynn Hodge	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WA-7 · house · election_day · Pramila Jayapal	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MN-6 · house · election_day · Doug Chapin	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-1 · house · election_day · Chris Gallant	18% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	17% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 18% → 17%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AZ-7 · house · election_day · Adelita Grijalva	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CT-3 · house · election_day · Rosa DeLauro	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-4 · house · election_day · Madeleine Dean	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-23 · house · election_day · Aaron Gies	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ-6 · house · election_day · Frank Pallone	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-2 · house · election_day · Shaun Finnie	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-UT-2 · house · election_day · Peter Crosby	5% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	5% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KY-5 · house · election_day · Ned Pillersdorf	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-16 · house · election_day · Kelly Kirschner	29% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	28% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 29% → 28%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-5 · house · election_day · Mike Quigley	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MS-3 · house · election_day · Michael Chiaradio	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-15 · house · election_day · Don Leonard	32% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	31% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 32% → 31%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MA-4 · house · election_day · Jake Auchincloss	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-11 · house · election_day · James Pericola	16% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	15% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 16% → 15%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-14 · house · election_day · Thurman Bartie	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-ME-2 · house · election_day · Matthew Dunlap	29% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	29% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IA · governor · election_day · Rob Sand	85% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	84% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 85% → 84%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a6a1cf03-ff42-4c7a-a348-44253b47d1bc → 20746c84-8c5a-4a77-b4be-722bb6872075
US-IA · governor · nowcast · Rob Sand	93% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	93% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9b397e3e-73e7-475b-a457-83a8cfbbefb9 → d8987a36-6a9c-4b80-bb11-ec5686041464
US-PA-10 · house · election_day · Janelle Stelson	66% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	65% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 66% → 65%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-RI · governor · election_day · Helena Foulkes	99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers fa08a070-177c-4cf6-956d-7bbb9605acd0 → ac6fed03-89a3-46da-afa2-4c46898d28d5
US-RI · governor · nowcast · Helena Foulkes	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 83116555-1fd3-473d-8ab2-241db88ac9b0 → e4883c89-1f11-4b48-8610-01e8a7f46f52
US-FL-6 · house · election_day · Eric Yonce	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CT · governor · election_day · Ned Lamont	99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1575051c-a8ee-437a-9774-cec37ba6b7d6 → 15961818-f157-449d-b15a-a502193ede65
US-CT · governor · nowcast · Ned Lamont	99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 65a507a9-21b9-4b85-bf33-e637848810cd → 28cfdcca-4f64-4bc8-8be6-debd5ccad67a
US-AL · senate · election_day · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ed054324-65a3-4ed7-8e70-4c9dcb60ae75 → 22dd33e5-03ab-4b28-a3dd-9f28ce9050aa
US-AL · senate · nowcast · Everett Wess	2% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 52b9f808-dcb4-4eb4-990c-d170d3546db9 → a5f50c3f-412a-4cc9-8e4f-5a3cf692604d
US-FL-5 · house · election_day · Rachel Grage	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AL-4 · house · election_day · Amanda Pusczek	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MN · senate · election_day · Peggy Flanagan	86% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	86% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 00f08f5c-0a0d-446b-a70d-e6c1c209f95d → 34a448a4-2e86-42a7-a2c2-20a470dcc873
US-MN · senate · nowcast · Peggy Flanagan	78% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	78% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 137367b3-cc8d-49a8-abc8-959dc3a22a60 → c5a68b2b-d2f4-4c9f-b696-cea212851855
US-TN-7 · house · election_day · Darden Copeland	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-15 · house · election_day · Robert People	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 3% → 2%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-43 · house · election_day · Maxine Waters	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CO · governor · election_day · Phil Weiser	95% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	95% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ade9c112-9a6d-441c-8e6c-3a93daf60709 → ece927a6-55af-4752-aa0e-ae2f74d33b5b
US-WI-6 · house · election_day · Brad Smith	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MD-7 · house · election_day · Kweisi Mfume	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Morrison	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-32 · house · election_day · Dan Barrios	7% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 7% → 6%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TN-4 · house · election_day · Victoria Broderick	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MD-2 · house · election_day · Johnny Olszewski	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TN-8 · house · election_day · Heidi Kuhn	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NE-3 · house · election_day · Becky Stille	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MS · senate · election_day · Scott Colom	12% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	12% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e405d2ed-92e3-4f46-9bdb-1e45453261a5 → dd2907c4-c830-4d52-b023-18dd0de195db
US-MS · senate · nowcast · Scott Colom	19% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	19% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 590313fe-41b8-4921-829e-3598c8469701 → c34aa724-01e0-4d88-bb1b-904a16d082aa
US-NM-3 · house · election_day · Teresa Leger Fernández	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ-2 · house · election_day · Zack Mullock	8% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	7% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 8% → 7%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KY-2 · house · election_day · Megan Wingfield	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-14 · house · election_day · Lauren Underwood	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-34 · house · election_day · Vicente Gonzalez	62% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	61% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 62% → 61%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX · senate · election_day · James Talarico	59% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	59% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 07241414-e565-4917-99c2-77c92f2dae47 → e8c1c2cf-d5ff-449e-a457-d09d3ee42fa0
US-TX · senate · nowcast · James Talarico	72% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	72% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2e91ee1f-d734-4cb1-88f2-7e12dc2d6a8b → aa633692-0f56-4816-b0a8-35efccec0c05
US-OH-13 · house · election_day · Emilia Sykes	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL · governor · election_day · David Jolly	21% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	20% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 21% → 20%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 18c803c3-ad43-466e-8a24-7ee8aaec28fe → 3eb96dcf-49da-45ab-9372-f2a6efaa7972
US-FL · governor · nowcast · David Jolly	19% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	18% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 19% → 18%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e21186fe-3d4a-4e5c-9e7c-f5dcc1bf4c04 → c17013dd-ba86-4b54-9e31-1c48e3d72108
US-MI-13 · house · election_day · Donavan McKinney	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ-12 · house · election_day · Adam Hamawy	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SC-6 · house · election_day · Jim Clyburn	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-9 · house · election_day · Marcy Kaptur	57% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	56% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 57% → 56%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WI-3 · house · election_day · Rebecca Cooke	53% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	52% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 53% → 52%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NE-2 · house · election_day · Denise Powell	89% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	90% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 89% → 90%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-3 · house · election_day · Bobby Scott	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-6 · house · election_day · Beth Macy	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-22 · house · election_day · Randy Villegas	51% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	50% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 51% → 50%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-8 · house · election_day · Vanessa Enoch	6% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AZ · governor · election_day · Katie Hobbs	92% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	92% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2009bfb4-9441-4b72-89fc-7a40b743a0a7 → 8a068616-8906-43c1-b4fc-bf24f51db9dc
US-AZ · governor · nowcast · Katie Hobbs	91% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	92% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 91% → 92%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1a6c93a5-15ce-4b2a-a258-c0288b01c01a → 0963dad1-f63e-4f2e-a861-2804956ddf1d
US-VT · governor · election_day · Amanda Janoo	8% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 8% → 9%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a2e3de1b-19d2-44b5-93e4-f7c11b6e618b → 8142e3ed-e0c7-42e8-b7ab-b4fbd94515b4
US-VT · governor · nowcast · Amanda Janoo	13% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	14% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 13% → 14%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e61be623-ab8e-438b-8e7f-c7e9ae909250 → 9becbe04-864e-42d2-b427-859b68962705
US-MI-6 · house · election_day · Debbie Dingell	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-7 · house · election_day · William Lawrence	50% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	49% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 50% → 49%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IN-3 · house · election_day · Kelly Thompson	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WA-5 · house · election_day · Carmela Conroy	6% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-LA · senate · election_day · Jamie Davis	6% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	5% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 6% → 5%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4a3b7fbc-3d3b-4855-901d-470289315b0f → 59d36a1b-c583-4209-83e0-d27de8c58d29
US-LA · senate · nowcast · Jamie Davis	9% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 74a1c360-19c9-470c-8477-161dd01a4364 → cb45018f-857c-4950-a323-361ee535ec62
US-NE · governor · election_day · Lynne Walz	17% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	16% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 17% → 16%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3f13f38b-b3dc-47a3-bec7-5f59f3da687d → a1a97b3d-4d05-4de4-b0b7-3826bf128e5c
US-NE · governor · nowcast · Lynne Walz	18% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	18% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 04817ecd-35eb-4815-a2d6-ebcaf85e0850 → a6e34fbf-cb3a-4266-968e-7529b01c0fa8
US-TX-1 · house · election_day · Yolanda Prince	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-39 · house · election_day · Mark Takano	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-35 · house · election_day · Johnny Garcia	52% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	50% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 52% → 50%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-9 · house · election_day · Rachel Wallace	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-11 · house · election_day · Jamie Ager	75% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	73% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 75% → 73%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MT-2 · house · election_day · Brian Miller	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-5 · house · election_day · Chuck Hubbard	7% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 7% → 6%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-3 · house · election_day · Hillary Scholten	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-11 · house · election_day · Chris Harden	9% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-13 · house · election_day · Mark Nair	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KS · governor · election_day · Cindy Holscher	32% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	31% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 32% → 31%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5fa47ca9-5018-469b-a215-1966284e5311 → c63e9104-5a86-4704-82d5-ff7a37d11248
US-KS · governor · nowcast · Cindy Holscher	25% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	25% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5faeba66-9779-4b10-ae0d-2502d65ff48b → 6123dee4-6568-48a5-a04e-0a7f44751e1d
US-AL-6 · house · election_day · Maurice Mercer	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NE-1 · house · election_day · Chris Backemeyer	10% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	10% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WI-5 · house · election_day · Andrew Beck	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-HI · governor · election_day · Josh Green	99% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a35e1b2c-9e46-4beb-8036-385d9d9e1f9c → 42e2aa1f-aa49-4660-9e83-eff0845dfab3
US-FL-21 · house · election_day · James Martin	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-25 · house · election_day · Dione Sims	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WA-4 · house · election_day · John Duresky	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-48 · house · election_day · Marni von Wilpert	87% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	86% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 87% → 86%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-9 · house · election_day · Darren Soto	50% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	48% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 50% → 48%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-2 · house · election_day · Patrick Halpin	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-2 · house · election_day · Jared Huffman	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IN-8 · house · election_day · Mary Allen	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-RI-2 · house · election_day · Seth Magaziner	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-1 · house · election_day · Greg Landsman	91% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	90% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 91% → 90%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WY · senate · election_day · James W. Byrd	<1% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7b5003ca-1d61-46fa-9de6-82810061fe61 → e1ede4b4-58ac-46ad-b563-0f3d83c72d1b
US-CA-18 · house · election_day · Zoe Lofgren	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-47 · house · election_day · Dave Min	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-UT-4 · house · election_day · Jonny Larsen	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-13 · house · election_day · Nikki Budzinski	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC · senate · election_day · Roy Cooper	95% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	95% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 107649ae-d745-4822-aa65-77a0c800dfc9 → b2538fdd-f75a-4527-ab45-421b5101913b
US-NC · senate · nowcast · Roy Cooper	96% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	97% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 96% → 97%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a5e012a2-5c94-449b-bfa7-8cd8d276f219 → 8dcea1e8-cd13-4c1c-a19e-51170799dde5
US-NV-1 · house · election_day · Dina Titus	98% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-4 · house · election_day · Laura Gillen	97% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	96% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 97% → 96%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ-4 · house · election_day · Rachel Peace	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OR · governor · election_day · Tina Kotek	78% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	77% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 78% → 77%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers cd7b42ed-1238-45ee-b5d0-97bcab1bc62f → 3631b6f4-ec24-447a-8479-3091eb37dbd1
US-OR · governor · nowcast · Tina Kotek	56% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	56% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers aea33b3d-3e60-4d8f-96ae-d8af1fb69e7a → baaf05cc-1db1-456f-9924-7a6ec419ffe1
US-SC · governor · election_day · Jermaine Johnson	18% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	19% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 18% → 19%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 41b67adf-5070-4266-9994-a103ca71dd5f → d06a1f72-944f-4ea1-a21f-606d54a63c6e
US-SC · governor · nowcast · Jermaine Johnson	15% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	15% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 621b6313-2408-4e66-909e-9e23c318981d → 64c55779-661b-4402-b9b1-445730b8875a
US-AZ-3 · house · election_day · Yassamin Ansari	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MN-8 · house · election_day · Trina Swanson	5% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-6 · house · election_day · Lucy McBath	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SD · senate · election_day · Brian Bengs	20% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	20% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2bb7f174-3240-4c0a-92e0-c1b1842b5f42 → f00f96d5-3876-4e39-9b26-5f752cd22cef
US-SD · senate · nowcast · Brian Bengs	17% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	18% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 17% → 18%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1760ded7-7421-45c9-8cd3-0ffe886c70ff → f57eb60d-0fea-4b9b-b80b-eac6238ca431
US-ID-1 · house · election_day · Kaylee Peterson	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-2 · house · election_day · Jennifer Mazzuckelli	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-1 · house · election_day · Gay Valimont	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-31 · house · election_day · Gil Cisneros	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-HI-2 · house · election_day · Jill Tokuda	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-8 · house · election_day · Don Beyer	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CO-1 · house · election_day · Melat Kiros	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-11 · house · election_day · Nancy Mannion	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AR · senate · election_day · Hallie Shoffner	4% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	4% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b9970393-2e35-4071-9d27-e7073dfea5d2 → 777b2e33-d5d2-4fe0-93c0-e7768e6255bc
US-AR · senate · nowcast · Hallie Shoffner	6% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 700a6e0b-ecb0-4008-9d8c-d7222f25930d → 88f22399-7d11-4924-8630-3d94fe70fe63
US-PA-15 · house · election_day · Ray Bilger	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AZ-5 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Lee	5% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	5% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-2 · house · election_day · Deborah Ross	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MN-4 · house · election_day · Betty McCollum	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-3 · house · election_day · Ami Bera	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-6 · house · election_day · Cyril Jefferson	5% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	5% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IA-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Trone Garriott	54% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	52% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 54% → 52%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-DE-AL · house · election_day · Sarah McBride	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OR-4 · house · election_day · Val Hoyle	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-17 · house · election_day · Chris Deluzio	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-5 · house · election_day · Nikema Williams	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NM-1 · house · election_day · Melanie Stansbury	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-41 · house · election_day · Linda Sánchez	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-38 · house · election_day · Hilda Solis	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-14 · house · election_day · Kathy Castor	92% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	91% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 92% → 91%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MD-8 · house · election_day · Jamie Raskin	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-14 · house · election_day · Maria Jukic	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-12 · house · election_day · Micah Lasher	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-21 · house · election_day · Jim Costa	98% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	97% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 98% → 97%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ-9 · house · election_day · Nellie Pou	98% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AL-1 · house · election_day · Clyde Jones	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-18 · house · election_day · Pat Ryan	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-1 · house · election_day · Bob Harvie	28% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	28% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-6 · house · election_day · Grace Meng	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA · governor · election_day · Xavier Becerra	99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 6fd948a5-9988-40ab-80f8-b2da98bac0f8 → daf9b277-e655-4d67-b56d-86d81cbf9fa7
US-CA · governor · nowcast · Xavier Becerra	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a97416af-bd8c-4f8a-aec2-bb522cebafb9 → d8986d5b-fb8d-4416-84a9-56922f4f7382
US-WI-4 · house · election_day · Gwen Moore	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AL · governor · election_day · Doug Jones	5% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	5% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d120e538-e687-408c-a93c-23c979bd2014 → f7f8b53e-5ab6-4c7e-9ac9-48038f5e9c0e
US-AL · governor · nowcast · Doug Jones	4% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	4% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a36a0c0b-216c-48c1-ae60-ca9ec04d231e → d93afeaf-6e9c-4617-bfed-dad7b265a823
US-FL-25 · house · election_day · Jared Moskowitz	90% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	89% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 90% → 89%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-24 · house · election_day · Kevin Burge	5% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-3 · house · election_day · Delia Ramirez	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-10 · house · election_day · Pamela DeLancy	4% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 4% → 3%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-26 · house · election_day · Nicole Locklin	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MO-4 · house · election_day · Jordan Herrera	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-7 · house · election_day · Bob Brooks	72% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	70% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 72% → 70%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-7 · house · election_day · Eugene Vindman	98% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	97% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 98% → 97%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-12 · house · election_day · Julie Fortier	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OK · governor · election_day · Cyndi Munson	11% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	11% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5bef07d2-c874-4391-ab42-3f3f126ce158 → 180f4240-87f5-4a66-9a69-8be7c764f8fc
US-TN-3 · house · election_day · Anna Golladay	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI · governor · election_day · Jocelyn Benson	91% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	91% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ea2c5d2f-c493-4171-9618-e76a61c33b82 → dac2f129-c17f-48dc-9323-e00dc1b11db4
US-MI · governor · nowcast · Jocelyn Benson	93% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	93% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 683d21e4-2421-43a1-8c70-e8bb60809e7a → b692b7dd-f424-489d-9862-a9b4ba1787bc
US-MA · senate · election_day · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1ee6505f-7101-41d1-94b9-4bba27c9c6fd → 93e972c9-b917-4966-8840-c0362698a081
US-MA · senate · nowcast · Ed Markey	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 94ca3d1a-227a-4f0d-b572-d3cf99b1e0ad → 35c65dd6-e6c8-49cf-b593-768e3a096922
US-IL-7 · house · election_day · La Shawn Ford	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-11 · house · election_day · Shontel Brown	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-5 · house · election_day · Tom Perriello	22% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	22% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-1 · house · election_day · Jonathan Jackson	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Jones	36% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	35% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 36% → 35%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-23 · house · election_day · Lois Frankel	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AK · governor · election_day · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	88% 2026-10-13T09:21:26Z	88% 2026-10-14T11:27:57Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 73a449d6-f484-405c-846c-1de1335788e5 → 647ba327-c5d4-4773-888f-09675fb38d0a
US-AK · governor · nowcast · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	90% 2026-10-13T09:21:26Z	90% 2026-10-14T11:27:57Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c91e1007-439e-46b1-b95c-9ff0b0cb2914 → 889fa4d3-b2aa-49db-b75b-4d8e15422b0e
US-MI-5 · house · election_day · Christian Vukasovich	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NH-1 · house · election_day · Stefany Shaheen	90% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	89% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 90% → 89%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-11 · house · election_day · James Walkinshaw	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-22 · house · election_day · Pia Dandiya	52% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	51% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 52% → 51%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-18 · house · election_day · Curtis Gibson	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AK-AL · house · election_day · Bill Hill	22% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	22% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-1 · house · election_day · Mike McGuire	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-RI-1 · house · election_day · Gabe Amo	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MO-8 · house · election_day · Christopher Riechard	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ · senate · election_day · Cory Booker	94% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	94% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2f1121ed-41a5-4e39-8fa2-b773c0c6bf36 → f9e80017-8f56-406d-9cc8-669972e11dda
US-PA-12 · house · election_day · Summer Lee	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KY-4 · house · election_day · Melissa Claire Strange	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-3 · house · election_day · Tom Suozzi	95% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	94% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 95% → 94%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IN-7 · house · election_day · André Carson	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IA · senate · election_day · Josh Turek	51% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	51% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1d5a1af9-04a8-4456-88c1-a6d03ea62a22 → 79bc50f4-7098-4afe-a75c-6c62640fc5aa
US-IA · senate · nowcast · Josh Turek	55% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	55% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3d8cb8f3-dd41-4381-883d-8c3d6e0c4617 → d7024324-fcbd-4885-ab79-1dd6b6c5b611
US-NY-13 · house · election_day · Darializa Avila Chevalier	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-36 · house · election_day · Rhonda Hart	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-23 · house · election_day · Katy Padilla Stout	18% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	18% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-7 · house · election_day · Lizzie Fletcher	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IA-4 · house · election_day · Dave Dawson	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CO · senate · election_day · John Hickenlooper	98% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers aad1a14b-0016-4cbb-98ee-310251d04918 → f8a1ab20-0876-4915-8ebf-c17fad25307e
US-AL-3 · house · election_day · Lee McInnis	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-36 · house · election_day · Ted Lieu	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MT-1 · house · election_day · Sam Forstag	36% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	35% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 36% → 35%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MD-5 · house · election_day · Adrian Boafo	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-19 · house · election_day · Jimmy Panetta	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-33 · house · election_day · Colin Allred	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-20 · house · election_day · Paul Tonko	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-2 · house · election_day · Sanford Bishop	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-3 · house · election_day · Raymond Smith Jr.	23% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	22% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 23% → 22%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-52 · house · election_day · Juan Vargas	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OR-2 · house · election_day · Chris Beck	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OR-1 · house · election_day · Suzanne Bonamici	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NM · senate · election_day · Ben Ray Luján	94% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	94% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c6b759a7-f420-486a-8b06-a1df4fb34a3f → 37617217-b25b-446f-b9ac-beed4abad9ab
US-NM · senate · nowcast · Ben Ray Luján	94% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	94% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7367c62b-ce16-4a31-8c94-13650f6bc44f → e331c397-2eb4-432e-8c07-323dfa405136
US-NC-10 · house · election_day · Ashley Bell	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-12 · house · election_day · Jerrad Christian	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MO-2 · house · election_day · Fred Wellman	33% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	32% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 33% → 32%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-16 · house · election_day · Justin Wagner	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-26 · house · election_day · Jacqui Irwin	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WA-10 · house · election_day · Marilyn Strickland	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KS-4 · house · election_day · Katy Tyndell	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CO-8 · house · election_day · Manny Rutinel	58% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	56% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 58% → 56%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-4 · house · election_day · Sean McCann	34% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	34% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-30 · house · election_day · Laura Friedman	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-5 · house · election_day · Chelsey Hockett	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MO-3 · house · election_day · Bethany Mann	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SD · governor · election_day · Dan Ahlers	2% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 3cb45162-78cb-446a-a214-21fbd29e0f77 → e10667ab-1941-42a5-a657-462a9d3ac7ac
US-AR-3 · house · election_day · Robb Ryerse	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-17 · house · election_day · Ro Khanna	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-9 · house · election_day · Ray Pooley	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-11 · house · election_day · Claire Reynolds	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SC · senate · election_day · Annie Andrews	21% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	20% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 21% → 20%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7ec95cf7-fd51-41d2-ab9e-b15844a25ae0 → 6edec172-1035-40bb-8f61-112ce149bc45
US-SC · senate · nowcast · Annie Andrews	28% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	28% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1f181f02-0845-408a-be07-7d403f73d94b → 070a8cf7-a7a3-4368-ac2c-ae3cd645e423
US-IL-15 · house · election_day · Jennifer Todd	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-9 · house · election_day · Yvette Clarke	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA · senate · election_day · Jon Ossoff	93% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	93% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e6f8a5ba-7425-4480-927a-c37eaca18a67 → b19580d3-0b8f-4099-b221-134aaee489f1
US-GA · senate · nowcast · Jon Ossoff	94% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	94% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers bd8ff840-ff75-4740-a40f-2814228b32b3 → 807098c0-80e7-48d8-aee5-2646cfe0962a
US-NY-19 · house · election_day · Josh Riley	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 99% → 98%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-4 · house · election_day · Jennifer McClellan	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MS-1 · house · election_day · Cliff Johnson	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-DE · senate · election_day · Chris Coons	99% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8e3abf93-d5fd-4a34-a8aa-422559874948 → b9e3f471-48e1-451e-87ca-9aaf5036ac0e
US-IL · governor · election_day · JB Pritzker	97% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	97% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 26905766-24b2-4933-a2e7-ebe40c2bf6e7 → 679d43a0-2ce7-47c1-90ee-9c8e1ad42f81
US-IL · governor · nowcast · JB Pritzker	98% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 257e4684-b9fb-4c5d-9d3d-de90b66a34b4 → c2c200de-5a36-44cb-ab5b-748a12099842
US-WA-6 · house · election_day · Emily Randall	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-19 · house · election_day · Victor Arias	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SC-1 · house · election_day · Nancy Lacore	29% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	28% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 29% → 28%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-10 · house · election_day · Kristina Knickerbocker	10% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 10% → 9%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-3 · house · election_day · Seth Harp	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-RI · senate · election_day · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers d7d84210-6dad-483f-82c0-17b28a11d3d0 → 817028fe-a4e4-4d86-abf9-69a104aa6c50
US-RI · senate · nowcast · Jack Reed	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers bac988fb-0ca2-4140-9665-12bc77ba6796 → 17054421-62fe-4c1e-af72-ef673aeae2dc
US-CA-44 · house · election_day · Nanette Barragán	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NH · senate · election_day · Chris Pappas	88% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	88% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a609e437-daf3-4f3d-86d4-c6d4a3f8b997 → 7ed6484e-750d-48d7-b2b2-d539e4371748
US-NH · senate · nowcast · Chris Pappas	86% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	86% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers fb391689-f406-48f1-ae51-433f2709519b → 04401f30-24a9-4765-93cd-b8d14b89fb38
US-AZ-9 · house · election_day · Danielle Sterbinsky	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-17 · house · election_day · Cait Conley	49% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	48% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 49% → 48%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-21 · house · election_day · Kristin Hook	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MA-6 · house · election_day · Dan Koh	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-17 · house · election_day · Eric Sorensen	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NM-2 · house · election_day · Gabe Vasquez	80% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	77% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 80% → 77%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-9 · house · election_day · Joy Powers	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IN-1 · house · election_day · Frank Mrvan	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 99% → 98%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-8 · house · election_day · Hakeem Jeffries	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AR-1 · house · election_day · Terri Yarbrough	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KY-6 · house · election_day · Zach Dembo	46% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	46% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-12 · house · election_day · Rashida Tlaib	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TN-6 · house · election_day · Mike Croley	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-5 · house · election_day · Mary Gay Scanlon	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NV · governor · election_day · Aaron Ford	36% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	36% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers ea67f4a4-cac6-4253-a54a-e0d5eddd984c → 2b06c18f-7278-4598-898c-c3efe7f1b194
US-NV · governor · nowcast · Aaron Ford	27% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	27% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 69ada728-b485-4365-ab5d-eaa67d2ee73c → 33038f6f-7001-4647-95ff-9d4a30e7d5ce
US-SC-4 · house · election_day · Courtney McClain	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IN-5 · house · election_day · J.D. Ford	12% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	11% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 12% → 11%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-35 · house · election_day · Norma Torres	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-24 · house · election_day · Alissa Ellman	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AZ-1 · house · election_day · Amish Shah	71% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	69% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 71% → 69%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WV-1 · house · election_day · Vince George	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ-3 · house · election_day · Herb Conaway	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IN-2 · house · election_day · Jamee Decio	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-27 · house · election_day · George Whitesides	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-37 · house · election_day · Greg Casar	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-49 · house · election_day · Mike Levin	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TN-5 · house · election_day · Chaz Molder	15% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	14% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 15% → 14%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-12 · house · election_day · Ceretta Smith	5% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 5% → 4%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AZ-6 · house · election_day · JoAnna Mendoza	60% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	59% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 60% → 59%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SC-2 · house · election_day · Zyon Khalifa	8% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	7% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 8% → 7%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-20 · house · election_day · Joaquin Castro	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WA-1 · house · election_day · Suzan DelBene	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-13 · house · election_day · Beth Farnham	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AK · senate · election_day · Mary Peltola	44% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	47% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 44% → 47%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8f6dad1e-7435-47cb-a5fd-3729a4df66ce → 9135f5cd-2a31-4f71-9808-1684c7effe7b
US-AK · senate · nowcast · Mary Peltola	69% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	69% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 9f1450fb-aa4e-408f-a2e9-8085051ea5bc → 0e212b84-da79-4182-acf2-ff5312f9b240
US-NJ-7 · house · election_day · Rebecca Bennett	72% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	71% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 72% → 71%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TN · senate · election_day · Marquita Bradshaw	2% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1cd306c4-9287-4aea-8477-d20f34b3b027 → ccce9105-4d60-4232-838f-72d4432aef68
US-TN · senate · nowcast · Marquita Bradshaw	1% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8b844c24-afd3-4986-b7b8-74b9b298280a → b54f66b2-10d7-4d04-bfe0-782e6c561c0b
US-CA-9 · house · election_day · Josh Harder	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-LA-2 · house · election_day · Troy A. Carter Sr.	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NC-8 · house · election_day · Colby Watson	4% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-26 · house · election_day · Steven Shook	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-9 · house · election_day · Leticia Gutierrez	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SC-5 · house · election_day · Mallory Dittmer	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-SD-AL · house · election_day · Nicole Gronli	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-8 · house · election_day · Melissa Bean	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VA-1 · house · election_day · Shannon Taylor	45% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	44% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 45% → 44%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-15 · house · election_day · Bobby Pulido	44% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	44% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AL-2 · house · election_day · Shomari Figures	38% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	38% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MN-1 · house · election_day · Jake Johnson	17% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	23% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 17% → 23%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KS-3 · house · election_day · Sharice Davids	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CT-2 · house · election_day · Joe Courtney	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NV-4 · house · election_day · Steven Horsford	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-16 · house · election_day · George Latimer	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MD-3 · house · election_day · Sarah Elfreth	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-12 · house · election_day · Kimberly Overman	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IN-6 · house · election_day · Cynthia Wirth	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-6 · house · election_day · Chrissy Houlahan	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MO-7 · house · election_day · Missi Hesketh	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WI-7 · house · election_day · Fred Clark	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MA-9 · house · election_day · Bill Keating	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KY-3 · house · election_day · Morgan McGarvey	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-HI-1 · house · election_day · Ed Case	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-16 · house · election_day · Veronica Escobar	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MD-1 · house · election_day · Dan Schwartz	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-15 · house · election_day · Ritchie Torres	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ-5 · house · election_day · Josh Gottheimer	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-UT-3 · house · election_day · Kent Udell	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-20 · house · election_day · Debbie Wasserman Schultz	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-45 · house · election_day · Derek Tran	97% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	97% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-30 · house · election_day · Frederick Haynes III	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-25 · house · election_day · Joseph Morelle	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CT-5 · house · election_day · Jahana Hayes	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-8 · house · election_day · Kelly Esti	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-27 · house · election_day · Tanya Lloyd	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CO-3 · house · election_day · Dwayne Romero	28% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	27% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 28% → 27%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IA-1 · house · election_day · Christina Bohannan	69% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	68% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 69% → 68%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-10 · house · election_day · Caitlin Rourk	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 2% → 1%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-13 · house · election_day · Leela Gray	24% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	25% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 24% → 25%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-5 · house · election_day · Brian Shaver	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-VT-AL · house · election_day · Becca Balint	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MS-2 · house · election_day · Bennie Thompson	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KS-1 · house · election_day · Lauren Reinhold	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-25 · house · election_day · Raul Ruiz	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed probability changed; exact values are in downloads	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-16 · house · election_day · Paul Nolley	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-50 · house · election_day · Scott Peters	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-17 · house · election_day · Matthew Montavon	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI · senate · election_day · Abdul El-Sayed	68% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	67% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 68% → 67%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 43481521-323e-4e14-b9e0-eb235e8e1cfc → 4d7977c8-51fc-4137-ac25-15ba32da6cb4
US-MI · senate · nowcast · Abdul El-Sayed	71% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	71% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers c71f6231-044f-4c44-a03f-1a28de06d18d → cb0699c6-c9f2-4224-ab65-b4fee034b0e5
US-CA-46 · house · election_day · Lou Correa	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA · governor · election_day · Keisha Lance Bottoms	60% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	60% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 7ea99788-6e03-4c5e-895c-8157c47b62b0 → 97791f0a-66f8-4110-a127-ffce7c471aeb
US-GA · governor · nowcast · Keisha Lance Bottoms	48% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	48% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 4c7821fa-3164-4e8c-b6f2-87947ca65e5e → 6c7c3633-51d3-4dad-a4fb-e73bcaf593c1
US-WY-AL · house · election_day · Lisa F. Kinney	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NH-2 · house · election_day · Maggie Goodlander	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-13 · house · election_day · Jasmine Clark	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CO-2 · house · election_day · Joe Neguse	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ-1 · house · election_day · Donald Norcross	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-6 · house · election_day · Sean Casten	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MA · governor · election_day · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 2779c80c-bc75-4d7e-8ff9-8b5301ace201 → ae1a1d83-f675-45da-8711-46300a8d606a
US-MA · governor · nowcast · Maura Healey	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 0342889f-f018-4802-b55c-f752d9d96b15 → 7ceee898-1587-4f24-9a6f-96b973e012ef
US-NV-3 · house · election_day · Susie Lee	95% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	94% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 95% → 94%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WA-9 · house · election_day · Adam Smith	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-10 · house · election_day · Mark DeSaulnier	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-KY · senate · election_day · Charles Booker	9% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	8% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 9% → 8%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 1a77af4e-d340-455e-8d07-7abbd37aff81 → 790355bf-7d32-4df1-b6f4-c0200510a0f9
US-KY · senate · nowcast · Charles Booker	9% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers b84f395f-dbb7-4d78-95d7-08b2a3c5ad61 → b58accb5-9b15-4f70-a06c-e281c7559a6d
US-WI-8 · house · election_day · Rick Crosson	6% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	5% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 6% → 5%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WI · governor · election_day · David Crowley	72% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	72% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 16e0730f-f275-4200-8ede-3094e4abf4d3 → 6d60eb17-fdfb-41d2-a81d-9e7a3598018f
US-WI · governor · nowcast · David Crowley	76% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	77% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 76% → 77%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a03bc6a7-04ea-4c48-ad37-fa29cae023b0 → fd795306-34a6-4243-891e-692bb1518b53
US-GA-4 · house · election_day · Hank Johnson	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY · governor · election_day · Kathy Hochul	98% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	97% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 98% → 97%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 477344cf-165a-4be5-a2f9-bc1b940c62eb → 6f26a3a5-5f50-47c7-828e-0df0fb348a55
US-NY · governor · nowcast · Kathy Hochul	98% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers da245e8b-0fc7-47a7-a5b7-72290a1a938d → 4f44d547-9d1b-45d8-be88-39dbadd8cb30
US-CO-6 · house · election_day · Jason Crow	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-1 · house · election_day · Callie Barr	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA-14 · house · election_day · Alan Bradstock	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-ME · governor · election_day · Hannah Pingree	96% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	96% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers a99b8f69-baf0-41eb-9bde-b91c92360b4a → c7304f9e-cbbb-419b-9be2-e4f7823df599
US-ME · governor · nowcast · Hannah Pingree	98% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 77d22fcb-7743-4565-8f4d-26ed81cf90e8 → 5cfb76df-072b-43f8-af73-a848d98269b3
US-CT-1 · house · election_day · Luke Bronin	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-24 · house · election_day · Salud Carbajal	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-9 · house · election_day · Caitlyn Gegan	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OK-4 · house · election_day · Mitchell Jacob	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-OH-6 · house · election_day · Elizabeth Kirtley	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-31 · house · election_day · Justin Early	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WY · governor · election_day · Kenneth Casner	<1% 2026-10-13T09:21:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:27:55Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5cdc360c-3303-40d1-b1e7-6ff119a2c61c → c48328ef-f729-45f5-bea1-f0f2dac00dc7
US-TX-3 · house · election_day · Evan Hunt	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CO-4 · house · election_day · Eileen Laubacher	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	3% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IN-9 · house · election_day · Brad Meyer	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-6 · house · election_day · Danny Minton	2% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	2% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AZ-2 · house · election_day · Jonathan Nez	15% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	15% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-GA-7 · house · election_day · Anthony Kozycki	3% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	6% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 3% → 6%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-PA · governor · election_day · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 8b9bd162-bd2e-4f94-b66b-381c8d95c494 → 12d62cd2-bbb0-448d-80c0-86b0510d2509
US-PA · governor · nowcast · Josh Shapiro	>99% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 95416a02-dcaa-4910-bc05-f6ff766ac9d9 → b46311d5-4588-4ec8-a4c8-675ddff6f9ba
US-NJ-10 · house · election_day · LaMonica McIver	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MD-4 · house · election_day · Glenn Ivey	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NJ-11 · house · election_day · Analilia Mejia	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IL-10 · house · election_day · Brad Schneider	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-IN-4 · house · election_day · Drew Cox	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WI-1 · house · election_day · Mitchell Berman	23% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	23% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-10 · house · election_day · Brad Lander	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-6 · house · election_day · Richard Pan	50% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	50% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-19 · house · election_day · Kyle Rable	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WV-2 · house · election_day · Ace Parsi	<1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	<1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TN-9 · house · election_day · Justin J. Pearson	9% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	9% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-11 · house · election_day · Jeremy Moss	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-FL-7 · house · election_day · Bale Dalton	71% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	68% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 71% → 68%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MN · governor · election_day · Amy Klobuchar	94% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	95% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 94% → 95%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 5309faed-6ffa-46d1-8a22-6fe9889e0cd8 → 6fa30589-a176-4726-a86e-1020b5f9306c
US-MN · governor · nowcast · Amy Klobuchar	95% 2026-10-13T09:09:10Z	96% 2026-10-14T11:08:06Z	Displayed 95% → 96%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers 80a57827-9544-49a2-af99-e9f976e5fba9 → aa985a72-b9b9-4d98-b464-880e1003c725
US-IL-2 · house · election_day · Donna Miller	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-42 · house · election_day · Robert Garcia	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CA-8 · house · election_day · John Garamendi	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-TX-18 · house · election_day · Christian Menefee	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-MI-8 · house · election_day · Kristen McDonald Rivet	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	98% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Displayed 99% → 98%	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-11 · house · election_day · Michael DeCillis	1% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	1% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-WA-8 · house · election_day · Kim Schrier	99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-AZ-8 · house · election_day · Bernadette Greene-Placentia	4% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	4% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-NY-26 · house · election_day · Tim Kennedy	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7
US-CT-4 · house · election_day · Jim Himes	>99% 2026-10-13T09:33:24Z	>99% 2026-10-14T11:39:59Z	Unchanged at displayed precision	Cause not established by these snapshots Run identifiers e77c474c-09d9-41aa-ae5c-e7a038509842 → 51fba7ed-e379-46ad-a00c-d1d047c3d3a7