Georgia House
2026 forecast. Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC
3%chance of a Democratic majority
96%chance of a Republican majority
1%chance neither party has a majority
91seats for a majority, of 180
180 of 180 seats are up in 2026. Democrats are forecast to hold 82 seats after November (80% range 78–86) and Republicans 98 (94–102). Neither party wins a majority in 1% of the simulations: the parties can tie at 90 seats each. Who then runs the chamber depends on the state: a coalition, a power-sharing agreement, or, in some Senates, the lieutenant governor's tie-breaking vote.
Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.
Go to a district
Shaded by the chance of a Democratic win; pale dashed chips are not up in 2026.
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Districts
Chance: of a Democratic win (in a district electing several members, of Democrats winning at least half its seats). Source: where the candidate list came from.
| District | Status | Candidates | Democratic chance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forecast | Mike Cameron (R), Steven "Diz" Disbrow (D) | <1% | official |
| 2 | Forecast | Steve Tarvin (R), Whitney Echenique (D) | 1% | official |
| 3 | Forecast | Mitchell Horner (R), Margaret Spear (D) | 1% | official |
| 4 | Forecast | Kasey Carpenter (R), Quentin Postell (D) | 3% | official |
| 5 | Forecast | Matt Barton (R), Rasmus Jensen (D) | 1% | official |
| 6 | Forecast | Jason T. Ridley (R), Cathy Kott (D) | <1% | official |
| 7 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Johnny Chastain (R) | official | |
| 8 | Forecast | Stan Gunter (R), Nick Mitchell (D) | <1% | official |
| 9 | Forecast | Chris Dockery (R), Roger L. Smith (D) | 2% | official |
| 10 | Forecast | Victor Anderson (R), John Brown (D) | <1% | official |
| 11 | Forecast | Rick Jasperse (R), Ryan Fountain (D) | <1% | official |
| 12 | Forecast | Eddie Lumsden (R), Holly Chaney (D) | <1% | official |
| 13 | Forecast | Katie Dempsey (R), Vincent Mendes (D) | <1% | official |
| 14 | Forecast | Mitchell Scoggins (R), Bella Bautista (D) | 1% | official |
| 15 | Forecast | Matthew Gambill (R), Lauren Jones (D) | 2% | official |
| 16 | Forecast | Trey Kelley (R), Diana Spangler (D) | 2% | official |
| 17 | Forecast | Martin Momtahan (R), Tamyko Green (D) | 3% | official |
| 18 | Forecast | Tyler Paul Smith (R), Pat Rhudy (D) | 1% | official |
| 19 | Forecast | Joseph Gullett (R), Cynthia Starke-Jones (D) | 7% | official |
| 20 | Forecast | Charlice Byrd (R), Jason D. Tanner (D) | 3% | official |
| 21 | Forecast | Brad Thomas (R), Anthony Aragues (D) | <1% | official |
| 22 | Forecast | Jordan Ridley (R), James Shade (D) | 2% | official |
| 23 | Forecast | Bill Fincher (R), Rob Epstein (D) | 2% | official |
| 24 | Forecast | Carter Barrett (R), Maureen Gault (D) | <1% | official |
| 25 | Forecast | Todd Jones (R), Elaine Padgett (D) | 2% | official |
| 26 | Forecast | Lauren W. McDonald III (R), Meredith Greene (D) | <1% | official |
| 27 | Forecast | Lee Hawkins (R), Jay Kirkland (D) | 1% | official |
| 28 | Forecast | Brent Cox (R), Mateo Sanabria (D) | <1% | official |
| 29 | Forecast | Matt Dubnik (R), Scott Soracco (D) | 4% | official |
| 30 | Forecast | Derrick McCollum (R), Braden Michael Doxey (D) | <1% | official |
| 31 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Chad Bingham (R) | official | |
| 32 | Forecast | Chris Erwin (R), Rebecca Sims (D) | 1% | official |
| 33 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Alan Powell (R) | official | |
| 34 | Forecast | Devan Seabaugh (R), Titus Nichols (D) | 6% | official |
| 35 | Forecast | Elvis Casely (R), Lisa Gayle Campbell (D) | 99% | official |
| 36 | Forecast | Ginny Ehrhart (R), Luc "Luke" Noiset (D) | 4% | official |
| 37 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Mary Frances Williams (D) | official | |
| 38 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | David Wilkerson (D) | official | |
| 39 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Terry Cummings (D) | official | |
| 40 | Forecast | Kimberly R. New (R), Elisa Lassiter (D) | 3% | official |
| 41 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Michael Smith (D) | official | |
| 42 | Forecast | André Stafford (R), Gabriel Sanchez (D) | >99% | official |
| 43 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Solomon Adesanya (D) | official | |
| 44 | Forecast | Don L. Parsons (R), Danielle Bell (D) | 8% | official |
| 45 | Forecast | Sharon Cooper (R), Michelle Schreiner (D) | 6% | official |
| 46 | Forecast | John Carson (R), Dumont J. Walker (D) | 4% | official |
| 47 | Forecast | Jack Miller (R), Lindsay Defranco (D) | 3% | official |
| 48 | Forecast | Scott Hilton (R), Adam Cleveland (D) | 15% | official |
| 49 | Forecast | Charles E. "Chuck" Martin (R), Teresa Lin (D) | 3% | official |
| 50 | Forecast | Azure Duan (R), Michelle Au (D) | 97% | official |
| 51 | Forecast | Keith Gettmann (R), Esther Panitch (D) | 99% | official |
| 52 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Shea Roberts (D) | official | |
| 53 | Forecast | Deborah Silcox (R), Beth Fuller (D) | 34% | official |
| 54 | Forecast | Greg Miller (R), Betsy Holland (D) | 99% | official |
| 55 | Forecast | Samuel S. Lenaeus (R), Inga S. Willis (D) | >99% | official |
| 56 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Bryce Berry (D) | official | |
| 57 | Forecast | Helmut Lucero Love (R), Stacey Evans (D) | >99% | official |
| 58 | Forecast | Torrey Balam (R), Mathewos Samson (D) | 99% | official |
| 59 | Forecast | Devanta "Sully" Sullivan (R), Phil A. Olaleye (D) | >99% | official |
| 60 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Sheila Jones (D) | official | |
| 61 | Forecast | Damita Bishop (R), Mekyah McQueen (D) | 99% | official |
| 62 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Kenn Collier (D) | official | |
| 63 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Kim Schofield (D) | official | |
| 64 | Forecast | Lydia Parchue (R), Sylvia Wayfer Baker (D) | >99% | official |
| 65 | Forecast | Gordon W. Rolle, Jr. (R), Robert Dawson (D) | 99% | official |
| 66 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Kimberly Alexander (D) | official | |
| 67 | Forecast | Daniel Cook (R), Lydia Glaize (D) | >99% | official |
| 68 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Timoria McQueen Saba (D) | official | |
| 69 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Debra Bazemore (D) | official | |
| 70 | Forecast | Melissa Stuckey (R), Diane Boulai (D) | 2% | official |
| 71 | Forecast | Justin "Jutt" Howard (R), Anna Higgins (D) | <1% | official |
| 72 | Decided: only a Republican is running | David Huddleston (R) | official | |
| 73 | Forecast | Josh Bonner (R), Tim Wilkinson (D) | <1% | official |
| 74 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Robert Flournoy, Jr. (D) | official | |
| 75 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Eric W. Bell II (D) | official | |
| 76 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Sandra G. Scott (D) | official | |
| 77 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Rhonda Burnough (D) | official | |
| 78 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Demetrius Douglas (D) | official | |
| 79 | Forecast | David Hamrick (R), Yasmin Neal (D) | 99% | official |
| 80 | Forecast | Brian Anderson (R), Long Tran (D) | 99% | official |
| 81 | Forecast | Noelle Kahaian (R), Mishael White (D) | 7% | official |
| 82 | Forecast | Karen I. Mathiak (R), Anthony Dickson (D) | 1% | official |
| 83 | Forecast | James "Trip" Smith (R), Karen Lupton (D) | >99% | official |
| 84 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Mary Margaret Oliver (D) | official | |
| 85 | Forecast | Tyion Fields (R), Karla L. Drenner (D) | 99% | official |
| 86 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Imani Barnes (D) | official | |
| 87 | Forecast | Timothy J. Burson (R), Viola Davis (D) | 99% | official |
| 88 | Forecast | William Park Freeman (R), Billy Mitchell (D) | >99% | official |
| 89 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Omari Crawford (D) | official | |
| 90 | Forecast | Samantha Boston (R), Bentley Hudgins (D) | 99% | official |
| 91 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Angela Moore (D) | official | |
| 92 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Rhonda Taylor (D) | official | |
| 93 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Doreen Carter (D) | official | |
| 94 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Venola Mason (D) | official | |
| 95 | Forecast | Reggie Hall (R), Darshun Nicole Kendrick (D) | 99% | official |
| 96 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Arlene Beckles (D) | official | |
| 97 | Forecast | Yassin Moghazy (R), Jyot Singh (D) | 98% | official |
| 98 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Marvin Lim (D) | official | |
| 99 | Forecast | Matt Reeves (R), Michelle Kang (D) | 40% | official |
| 100 | Forecast | Josh Clark (R), Jennifer Ambler (D) | 2% | official |
| 101 | Forecast | Jennifer Hutchison (R), Scott Holcomb (D) | >99% | official |
| 102 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Gabe Okoye (D) | official | |
| 103 | Forecast | Soo Hong (R), Chris Luchey (D) | 2% | official |
| 104 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Chuck Efstration (R) | official | |
| 105 | Forecast | Sandy Donatucci (R), Farooq Mughal (D) | 49% | official |
| 106 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Akbar Ali (D) | official | |
| 107 | Forecast | Murray R. Berkowitz (R), Sam Park (D) | >99% | official |
| 108 | Forecast | Elvia Davila (R), Rahim Asani (D) | 89% | official |
| 109 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Juan Estrada (D) | official | |
| 110 | Forecast | Charles Lollar (R), Segun Adeyina (D) | >99% | official |
| 111 | Forecast | Reynaldo "Rey" Martinez (R), Scott T. Jackson (D) | 1% | official |
| 112 | Forecast | Bruce Williamson (R), Lisa Maria (D) | 2% | official |
| 113 | Forecast | Don Scarbrough (R), Karla Daniels Hooper (D) | 99% | official |
| 114 | Forecast | Brett Mauldin (R), Michael Caw (D) | 3% | official |
| 115 | Forecast | Darius L. Francis (R), Regina Lewis-Ward (D) | 99% | official |
| 116 | Forecast | Samie Lee Conyers (R), El-Mahdi Holly (D) | >99% | official |
| 117 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Kim Thomas Smith (D) | official | |
| 118 | Forecast | Clint Crowe (R), Sharonda Bell (D) | <1% | official |
| 119 | Forecast | Holt Persinger (R), Catherine Morris (D) | 2% | official |
| 120 | Forecast | Gary "Ward" Black, Jr. (R), Suzanna Karatassos (D) | 3% | official |
| 121 | Forecast | Mack "Dutch" Guest IV (R), Eric Gisler (D) | 8% | official |
| 122 | Forecast | Carol Hubbard (R), Spencer Frye (D) | 99% | official |
| 123 | Forecast | Rob Leverett (R), Hope S. Beard (D) | <1% | official |
| 124 | Forecast | Trey Rhodes (R), Melanie Michele Miller (D) | <1% | official |
| 125 | Forecast | Gary Richardson (R), Leonard Hennessy (D) | 1% | official |
| 126 | Forecast | William C. Harris (R), L.c. Myles Jr. (D) | 99% | official |
| 127 | Forecast | Mark Newton (R), Channing Von-T Taylor (D) | 3% | official |
| 128 | Forecast | Trey Sheppard (R), Tyrone A. Evans (D) | 68% | official |
| 129 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Karlton L. Howard (D) | official | |
| 130 | Forecast | David Carson (R), Sheila Clark Nelson (D) | 99% | official |
| 131 | Forecast | Rob Clifton (R), Jenny E. Eppard (D) | <1% | official |
| 132 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Brian L. Prince (D) | official | |
| 133 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Danny Mathis (R) | official | |
| 134 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Robert Dickey (R) | official | |
| 135 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Beth Camp (R) | official | |
| 136 | Decided: only a Republican is running | David Jenkins (R) | official | |
| 137 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Debbie G. Buckner (D) | official | |
| 138 | Forecast | Vance Smith (R), Cyndie Hutchings (D) | 2% | official |
| 139 | Forecast | Carmen Rice (R), Elliot Valdez (D) | 1% | official |
| 140 | Forecast | Edward Kvietkus (R), Marquese "Skinny" Averett (D) | 99% | official |
| 141 | Forecast | Reggie Liparoto (R), Carolyn F. Hugley (D) | 99% | official |
| 142 | Forecast | Calvin Palmer (R), Miriam Paris (D) | 99% | official |
| 143 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Anissa M. Jones (D) | official | |
| 144 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Dale Washburn (R) | official | |
| 145 | Forecast | Eric S. Wilson (R), Tangie Herring (D) | 84% | official |
| 146 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Shaw Blackmon (R) | official | |
| 147 | Forecast | Bethany Ballard (R), Renita A. Duncan (D) | 8% | official |
| 148 | Forecast | Noel W. Williams, Jr. (R), Cynthia Johnson (D) | 2% | official |
| 149 | Forecast | Randy Peters (R), Floyd Griffin (D) | 95% | official |
| 150 | Forecast | Cary Moore (R), Patty Bentley Stinson (D) | 94% | official |
| 151 | Forecast | Mike Cheokas (R), Ethan Wolfe (D) | 5% | official |
| 152 | Forecast | William J. "Bill" Yearta (R), Mitchell Rosa (D) | 2% | official |
| 153 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | David Lee Sampson (D) | official | |
| 154 | Forecast | Gerald E. Greene (R), Harry James (D) | 7% | official |
| 155 | Forecast | Matt Hatchett (R), Joe Powers (D) | 2% | official |
| 156 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Leesa Hagan (R) | official | |
| 157 | Forecast | Bradley B. Anderson (R), Micah King (D) | 2% | official |
| 158 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Butch Parrish (R) | official | |
| 159 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Jon G. Burns (R) | official | |
| 160 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Lehman Franklin (R) | official | |
| 161 | Forecast | Bill Hitchens (R), David Dillie (D) | 4% | official |
| 162 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Orlando Scott (D) | official | |
| 163 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Anne Allen Westbrook (D) | official | |
| 164 | Forecast | Ron Stephens (R), Stephanie O Burgess (D) | 5% | official |
| 165 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | MiQuan Green (D) | official | |
| 166 | Forecast | Jesse Petrea (R), Pat Daley (D) | <1% | official |
| 167 | Forecast | Buddy DeLoach (R), Nathaniel Hicks, Jr. (D) | <1% | official |
| 168 | Forecast | Kevin Remillard (R), Al Williams (D) | 98% | official |
| 169 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Angie O'Steen (R) | official | |
| 170 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Jaclyn Dixon Ford (R) | official | |
| 171 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Joseph M. Campbell (R) | official | |
| 172 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Charles "Chas" Cannon (R) | official | |
| 173 | Forecast | Darlene Taylor (R), Adam Chitwood (D) | <1% | official |
| 174 | Forecast | John L. Corbett (R), David Hall (D) | 2% | official |
| 175 | Forecast | John LaHood (R), Anissa Knight Wiseman (D) | <1% | official |
| 176 | Forecast | James Burchett (R), Marcus T. Ryan (D) | 2% | official |
| 177 | Decided: only a Democrat is running | Elsie Cason Napier (D) | official | |
| 178 | Forecast | Steven Meeks (R), Barry Dunham (D) | 1% | official |
| 179 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Rick Townsend (R) | official | |
| 180 | Decided: only a Republican is running | Steven Sainz (R) | official |