Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Georgia House

Georgia House District 69

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Democrat is running · Debra Bazemore (D)

Georgia House District 69: Decided: only a Democrat is runningGeorgia House 63: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+80Georgia House 68: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+32Georgia House 73: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+28Georgia House 74: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+55Georgia House 75: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+71Georgia House 77: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+75Georgia House 82: chance of a Democratic win 1%; 2024 president R+21Georgia House District 69: Decided: only a Democrat is running7563776873748269
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 69 is safe Democratic. Of its 7 neighbouring districts, 5 favour Democrats, 2 favour Republicans.

StatusDecided: only a Democrat is running
CandidatesDebra Bazemore (D)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberDebra Bazemore

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024uncontested (D)
President 2024D+50
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtGeorgia
Median household income$86,460$74,664
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)35%34%
Median age4037
White (not Hispanic)23%50%
Black64%31%
Hispanic6%11%
Asian3%4%
Born abroad9%11%
Jobs in manufacturing6%10%
Jobs in farming or mining0%1%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.