Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Georgia House

Georgia House District 106

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Democrat is running · Akbar Ali (D)

Georgia House District 106: Decided: only a Democrat is runningGeorgia House 102: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+31Georgia House 107: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+18Georgia House 108: chance of a Democratic win 89%; 2024 president D+9Georgia House 109: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+36Georgia House 110: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+31Georgia House 94: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+51Georgia House 95: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+60Georgia House District 106: Decided: only a Democrat is running1091071021089495110106
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 106 is safe Democratic. Of its 7 neighbouring districts, 7 favour Democrats.

StatusDecided: only a Democrat is running
CandidatesAkbar Ali (D)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberAkbar Ali

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024uncontested (D)
President 2024D+20
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtGeorgia
Median household income$98,266$74,664
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)41%34%
Median age3737
White (not Hispanic)37%50%
Black35%31%
Hispanic15%11%
Asian9%4%
Born abroad23%11%
Jobs in manufacturing8%10%
Jobs in farming or mining1%1%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.