Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Georgia House

Georgia House District 160

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Republican is running · Lehman Franklin (R)

Georgia House District 160: Decided: only a Republican is runningGeorgia House 157: chance of a Democratic win 2%; 2024 president R+55Georgia House 158: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+35Georgia House 159: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+44Georgia House 164: chance of a Democratic win 5%; 2024 president R+10Georgia House District 160: Decided: only a Republican is running164159157158160
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 160 is safe Republican. Of its 4 neighbouring districts, 4 favour Republicans.

StatusDecided: only a Republican is running
CandidatesLehman Franklin (R)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberLehman Franklin

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024uncontested (R)
President 2024R+40
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtGeorgia
Median household income$58,442$74,664
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)26%34%
Median age2837
White (not Hispanic)66%50%
Black23%31%
Hispanic5%11%
Asian2%4%
Born abroad4%11%
Jobs in manufacturing9%10%
Jobs in farming or mining2%1%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.