Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Georgia House

Georgia House District 97

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

98% chance of a Democratic win · Yassin Moghazy (R), Jyot Singh (D)

Georgia House District 97: ForecastGeorgia House 48: chance of a Democratic win 15%; 2024 president D+1Georgia House 50: chance of a Democratic win 97%; 2024 president D+13Georgia House 51: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+19Georgia House 80: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+22Georgia House 96: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+27Georgia House 99: chance of a Democratic win 40%; 2024 president D+6Georgia House District 97: Forecast80505196489997
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 97 is safe Democratic. Of its 6 neighbouring districts, 4 favour Democrats, 1 favours Republicans, 1 is competitive.

StatusForecast
Chance of a Democratic win98%
Likely margin (80% range)D+9 to D+31, middle D+20
CandidatesYassin Moghazy (R), Jyot Singh (D)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberRuwa Romman

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024D+18
President 2024D+23
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtGeorgia
Median household income$79,930$74,664
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)47%34%
Median age3637
White (not Hispanic)32%50%
Black27%31%
Hispanic22%11%
Asian14%4%
Born abroad25%11%
Jobs in manufacturing7%10%
Jobs in farming or mining0%1%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.