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Texas election questions

Questions on races and election records in this state.

Election questions

How competitive are Texas’s congressional races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates five House districts in Texas competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers thirty-eight House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero. FutureBallot also rates one Senate race competitive among the Senate forecasts listed.

How competitive are Texas’s congressional races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
TX-35Carlos De La Cruz: 52.2%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-15Bobby Pulido: 64.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-34Vicente Gonzalez: 75.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-23Brandon Herrera: 76.1%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-28Henry Cuellar: 77.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-32Jace Yarbrough: 93.8%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-9Alex Mealer: 94.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-24Beth Van Duyne: 96.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-31John Carter: 98.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-38Jon Bonck: 98.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-21Mark Teixeira: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-5Lance Gooden: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-17Pete Sessions: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-22Trever Nehls: 98.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-2Steve Toth: 98.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-27Michael Cloud: 99.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-10Chris Gober: 99.1%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-6Jake Ellzey: 99.2%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-14Randy Weber: 99.2%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-25Roger Williams: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-4Pat Fallon: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-3Keith Self: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-8Jessica Steinmann: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-12Craig Goldman: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-26Brandon Gill: 99.4%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-36Brian Babin: 99.4%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-11August Pfluger: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-16Veronica Escobar: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-29Sylvia Garcia: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-20Joaquin Castro: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-1Nathaniel Moran: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-13Ronny Jackson: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-19Tom Sell: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-7Lizzie Fletcher: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-18Christian Menefee: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-30Frederick Haynes III: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-33Colin Allred: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-37Greg Casar: 100.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
U.S. SenateJames Talarico: 67.6%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 00:40 UTC

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

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How competitive are Texas’s U.S. House races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates five House districts in Texas competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers thirty-eight House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.

How competitive are Texas’s U.S. House races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
TX-35Carlos De La Cruz: 52.2%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-15Bobby Pulido: 64.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-34Vicente Gonzalez: 75.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-23Brandon Herrera: 76.1%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-28Henry Cuellar: 77.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-32Jace Yarbrough: 93.8%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-9Alex Mealer: 94.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-24Beth Van Duyne: 96.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-31John Carter: 98.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-38Jon Bonck: 98.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-21Mark Teixeira: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-5Lance Gooden: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-17Pete Sessions: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-22Trever Nehls: 98.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-2Steve Toth: 98.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-27Michael Cloud: 99.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-10Chris Gober: 99.1%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-6Jake Ellzey: 99.2%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-14Randy Weber: 99.2%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-25Roger Williams: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-4Pat Fallon: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-3Keith Self: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-8Jessica Steinmann: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-12Craig Goldman: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-26Brandon Gill: 99.4%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-36Brian Babin: 99.4%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-11August Pfluger: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-16Veronica Escobar: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-29Sylvia Garcia: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-20Joaquin Castro: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-1Nathaniel Moran: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-13Ronny Jackson: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-19Tom Sell: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-7Lizzie Fletcher: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-18Christian Menefee: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-30Frederick Haynes III: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-33Colin Allred: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
TX-37Greg Casar: 100.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

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Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in Texas?

FutureBallot’s state legislative forecast dated October 30, 2026, 12:45 UTC lists majority chances, marks a chamber nonpartisan, or reports unresolved probabilities for each chamber with seats up.

Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in Texas?
ChamberDemocratic majorityRepublican majoritySeats up
Texas House2.1%97.2%150
Texas Senateless than 0.1%more than 99.9%16

Each chamber is a separate contest. These are not joint probabilities of controlling the legislature. A range assigns seats that cannot be forecast to each party in turn. When exact party probabilities sum to less than 100%, the remainder is the chance neither party has a majority. No party-majority probability is reported for a nonpartisan chamber.

Sources: State legislative forecasts and limitations · Texas House · Texas Senate

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Where can I find Texas election dates and voting information?

Use Texas’s election office for its election calendar, ballot information and links to local voting services. Check the year and whether the date concerns a primary, general, special or runoff election.

The office link was read from USAGov on 2026-10-30. FutureBallot does not maintain a separate calendar of voting deadlines.

Sources: Texas election office — USAGov directory · USAGov official-office directory

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