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Florida election questions

Questions on races and election records in this state.

Election questions

How competitive are Florida’s congressional races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates seven House districts in Florida competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers twenty-eight House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero. FutureBallot also rates zero Senate races competitive among the Senate forecasts listed.

How competitive are Florida’s congressional races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
FL-9Dan Green: 54.0%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-22Pia Dandiya: 59.1%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-13Anna Paulina Luna: 71.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-7Bale Dalton: 71.4%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-16Sydney Gruters: 76.7%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-25Jared Moskowitz: 81.2%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-27María Elvira Salazar: 84.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-14Kathy Castor: 85.4%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-11Joe Strada: 92.5%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-2Austin Rogers: 93.5%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-4Aaron Bean: 95.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-8Mike Haridopolos: 96.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-12Gus Bilirakis: 97.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-18Scott Franklin: 97.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-5John Rutherford: 98.1%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-15Laurel Lee: 98.4%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-3Kat Cammack: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-21Brian Mast: 98.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-26Mario Díaz-Balart: 99.2%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-17Greg Steube: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-28Carlos Giménez: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-6Randy Fine: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-19Jim Schwartzel: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-23Lois Frankel: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-1Jimmy Patronis: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-24Oliver Gilbert: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-20Debbie Wasserman Schultz: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-10No candidate probabilityOne candidate on recordOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
U.S. SenateAshley Moody: 87.4%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 00:40 UTC

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

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How competitive are Florida’s U.S. House races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates seven House districts in Florida competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers twenty-eight House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.

How competitive are Florida’s U.S. House races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
FL-9Dan Green: 54.0%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-22Pia Dandiya: 59.1%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-13Anna Paulina Luna: 71.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-7Bale Dalton: 71.4%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-16Sydney Gruters: 76.7%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-25Jared Moskowitz: 81.2%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-27María Elvira Salazar: 84.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-14Kathy Castor: 85.4%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-11Joe Strada: 92.5%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-2Austin Rogers: 93.5%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-4Aaron Bean: 95.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-8Mike Haridopolos: 96.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-12Gus Bilirakis: 97.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-18Scott Franklin: 97.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-5John Rutherford: 98.1%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-15Laurel Lee: 98.4%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-3Kat Cammack: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-21Brian Mast: 98.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-26Mario Díaz-Balart: 99.2%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-17Greg Steube: 99.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-28Carlos Giménez: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-6Randy Fine: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-19Jim Schwartzel: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-23Lois Frankel: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-1Jimmy Patronis: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-24Oliver Gilbert: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-20Debbie Wasserman Schultz: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
FL-10No candidate probabilityOne candidate on recordOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

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Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in Florida?

FutureBallot’s state legislative forecast dated October 30, 2026, 12:45 UTC lists majority chances, marks a chamber nonpartisan, or reports unresolved probabilities for each chamber with seats up.

Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in Florida?
ChamberDemocratic majorityRepublican majoritySeats up
Florida House2.0%97.6%120
Florida Senateless than 0.1%99.9%20

Each chamber is a separate contest. These are not joint probabilities of controlling the legislature. A range assigns seats that cannot be forecast to each party in turn. When exact party probabilities sum to less than 100%, the remainder is the chance neither party has a majority. No party-majority probability is reported for a nonpartisan chamber.

Sources: State legislative forecasts and limitations · Florida House · Florida Senate

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Where can I find Florida election dates and voting information?

Use Florida’s election office for its election calendar, ballot information and links to local voting services. Check the year and whether the date concerns a primary, general, special or runoff election.

The office link was read from USAGov on 2026-10-30. FutureBallot does not maintain a separate calendar of voting deadlines.

Sources: Florida election office — USAGov directory · USAGov official-office directory

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