Ohio elections
2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information
U.S. Senate
Ohio Senate
D 74%
Jon Husted · Sherrod Brown
October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).
Governor
Ohio Governor
D 74%
Amy Acton · Vivek Ramaswamy
October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).
U.S. House districts
Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.
| District | Candidates on record | Forecast / status | Rating | Forecast date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH-1 | Greg Landsman · Nathan Weise · Eric Conroy | D 95% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-2 | Jennifer Mazzuckelli · David Taylor | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-3 | Joyce Beatty · Cleophus Dulaney | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-4 | Joshua Kolasinski · Tracey Tackett · Jim Jordan | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-5 | Brian Shaver · Michael Veloff · Bob Latta | R 99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-6 | Elizabeth Kirtley · Michael Rulli | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-7 | Brian Poindexter · Max Miller | D 85% | Likely D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-8 | Vanessa Enoch · Warren Davidson | R 95% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-9 | Marcy Kaptur · Matthew Althaus · Derek Merrin | D 84% | Lean D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-10 | Kristina Knickerbocker · Thomas McMasters · Mike Turner | R 91% | Likely R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-11 | Shontel Brown · Mike Kirchner | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-12 | Jerrad Christian · Troy Balderson | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-13 | Emilia Sykes · Sandeep Dixit · Carey Coleman | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-14 | Maria Jukic · David Joyce | R 99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| OH-15 | Don Leonard · Brennan Barrington · Mike Carey | R 60% | Lean R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
State legislature
Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.
These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.
| Chamber | Seats up | Majority threshold | Democratic majority | Republican majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio House | 99 | 50 | 1% | 99% |
| Ohio Senate | 17 | 17 | <1% | >99% |
Explore the evidence
Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.
Official ballot and election rules
Ohio election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.