Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Illinois House

Illinois House District 93

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Republican is running · Travis Weaver (R)

Illinois House District 93: Decided: only a Republican is runningIllinois House 71: chance of a Democratic win 4%; 2024 president R+8Illinois House 73: chance of a Democratic win 2%; 2024 president R+25Illinois House 87: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+38Illinois House 91: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+10Illinois House 92: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+27Illinois House 94: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+36Illinois House District 93: Decided: only a Republican is running92917187739493
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 93 is safe Republican. Of its 6 neighbouring districts, 2 favour Democrats, 4 favour Republicans.

StatusDecided: only a Republican is running
CandidatesTravis Weaver (R)
Candidate list fromaggregator (The Ballot Brief)
Current memberTravis Weaver

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022uncontested (R)
Governor 2022R+27
Legislature 2024uncontested (R)
President 2024R+26
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtIllinois
Median household income$68,954$81,702
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)24%37%
Median age4339
White (not Hispanic)90%59%
Black3%14%
Hispanic3%18%
Asian1%6%
Born abroad2%14%
Jobs in manufacturing16%12%
Jobs in farming or mining3%1%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.