Illinois elections
2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information
U.S. Senate
Illinois Senate
D 98%
Don Tracy · Juliana Stratton
October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).
Governor
Illinois Governor
D 99%
Darren Bailey · JB Pritzker
October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).
U.S. House districts
Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.
| District | Candidates on record | Forecast / status | Rating | Forecast date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IL-1 | Jonathan Jackson · Christian Maxwell | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-2 | Donna Miller · Ashley Banks · Michael Noack | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-3 | Delia Ramirez · Angel Oakley | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-4 | Patty Garcia · Chris Getty · Ed Hershey · Lupe Castillo | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-5 | Mike Quigley · Tommy Hanson | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-6 | Sean Casten · Niki Conforti | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-7 | La Shawn Ford · Chad Koppie | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-8 | Melissa Bean · Jennifer Davis | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-9 | Daniel Biss · John Elleson | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-10 | Brad Schneider · Carl Lambrecht | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-11 | Bill Foster · Jeff Walter | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-12 | Julie Fortier · Mike Bost | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-13 | Nikki Budzinski · Jeff Wilson | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-14 | Lauren Underwood · James Marter | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-15 | Jennifer Todd · Mary Miller | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-16 | Paul Nolley · Darin LaHood | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| IL-17 | Eric Sorensen · Dillan Vancil | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
State legislature
Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.
These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.
| Chamber | Seats up | Majority threshold | Democratic majority | Republican majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois House | 118 | 60 | >99% | <1% |
| Illinois Senate | 39 | 30 | >99% | <1% |
Explore the evidence
Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.
Official ballot and election rules
Illinois election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.