New York election questions
Questions on races and election records in this state.
Election questions
How competitive are New York’s congressional races in 2026?
FutureBallot rates two House districts in New York competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers twenty-six House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.
| Contest | Highest modeled chance | Status | Evidence date |
|---|---|---|---|
| NY-17 | Mike Lawler: 51.4% | Toss-up | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-21 | Anthony Constantino: 73.9% | Lean | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-1 | Nick LaLota: 86.3% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-3 | Tom Suozzi: 96.6% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-4 | Laura Gillen: 98.3% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-2 | Andrew Garbarino: 98.7% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-18 | Pat Ryan: 99.2% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-19 | Josh Riley: 99.4% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-11 | Nicole Malliotakis: 99.6% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-23 | Nick Langworthy: 99.7% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-24 | Claudia Tenney: 99.8% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-6 | Grace Meng: 99.8% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-22 | John Mannion: 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-20 | Paul Tonko: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-25 | Joseph Morelle: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-14 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-26 | Tim Kennedy: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-5 | Gregory Meeks: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-7 | Claire Valdez: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-13 | Darializa Avila Chevalier: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-15 | Ritchie Torres: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-8 | Hakeem Jeffries: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-9 | Yvette Clarke: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-10 | Brad Lander: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-12 | Micah Lasher: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-16 | George Latimer: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
No U.S. Senate forecast is included for this state. This alone does not establish whether a Senate election is scheduled.
Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.
House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.
A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.
Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions
How competitive are New York’s U.S. House races in 2026?
FutureBallot rates two House districts in New York competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers twenty-six House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.
| Contest | Highest modeled chance | Status | Evidence date |
|---|---|---|---|
| NY-17 | Mike Lawler: 51.4% | Toss-up | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-21 | Anthony Constantino: 73.9% | Lean | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-1 | Nick LaLota: 86.3% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-3 | Tom Suozzi: 96.6% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-4 | Laura Gillen: 98.3% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-2 | Andrew Garbarino: 98.7% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-18 | Pat Ryan: 99.2% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-19 | Josh Riley: 99.4% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-11 | Nicole Malliotakis: 99.6% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-23 | Nick Langworthy: 99.7% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-24 | Claudia Tenney: 99.8% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-6 | Grace Meng: 99.8% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-22 | John Mannion: 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-20 | Paul Tonko: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-25 | Joseph Morelle: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-14 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-26 | Tim Kennedy: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-5 | Gregory Meeks: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-7 | Claire Valdez: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-13 | Darializa Avila Chevalier: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-15 | Ritchie Torres: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-8 | Hakeem Jeffries: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-9 | Yvette Clarke: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-10 | Brad Lander: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-12 | Micah Lasher: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NY-16 | George Latimer: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.
House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.
A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.
Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions
Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in New York?
FutureBallot’s state legislative forecast dated October 30, 2026, 12:45 UTC lists majority chances, marks a chamber nonpartisan, or reports unresolved probabilities for each chamber with seats up.
| Chamber | Democratic majority | Republican majority | Seats up |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Assembly | 100.0% | 0.0% | 150 |
| New York Senate | 100.0% | 0.0% | 63 |
Each chamber is a separate contest. These are not joint probabilities of controlling the legislature. A range assigns seats that cannot be forecast to each party in turn. When exact party probabilities sum to less than 100%, the remainder is the chance neither party has a majority. No party-majority probability is reported for a nonpartisan chamber.
Sources: State legislative forecasts and limitations · New York Assembly · New York Senate
Where can I find New York election dates and voting information?
Use New York’s election office for its election calendar, ballot information and links to local voting services. Check the year and whether the date concerns a primary, general, special or runoff election.
The office link was read from USAGov on 2026-10-30. FutureBallot does not maintain a separate calendar of voting deadlines.
Sources: New York election office — USAGov directory · USAGov official-office directory