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California election questions

Questions on races and election records in this state.

Election questions

How competitive are California’s congressional races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates one House district in California competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers fifty-two House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.

How competitive are California’s congressional races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
CA-22David Valadao: 54.3%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-48Marni von Wilpert: 85.4%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-6Richard Pan: 86.7%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-13Adam Gray: 97.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-45Derek Tran: 98.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-5Tom McClintock: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-23Jay Obernolte: 99.1%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-21Jim Costa: 99.4%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-25Raul Ruiz: 99.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-41Linda Sánchez: 99.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-35Norma Torres: 99.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-1Mike McGuire: 99.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-39Mark Takano: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-31Gil Cisneros: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-33Pete Aguilar: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-38Hilda Solis: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-9Josh Harder: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-27George Whitesides: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-42Robert Garcia: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-49Mike Levin: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-47Dave Min: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-20Vince Fong: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-3Ami Bera: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-46Lou Correa: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-52Juan Vargas: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-51Sara Jacobs: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-26Jacqui Irwin: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-50Scott Peters: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-2Jared Huffman: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-32Brad Sherman: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-18Zoe Lofgren: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-24Salud Carbajal: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-28Judy Chu: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-15Kevin Mullin: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-10Mark DeSaulnier: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-19Jimmy Panetta: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-30Laura Friedman: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-36Ted Lieu: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-8John Garamendi: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-44Nanette Barragán: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-16Sam Liccardo: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-17Ro Khanna: 100.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-43Maxine Waters: 100.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-4No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-7No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-11No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-12No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-14No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-29No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-34No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-37No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-40No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC

No U.S. Senate forecast is included for this state. This alone does not establish whether a Senate election is scheduled.

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

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How competitive are California’s U.S. House races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates one House district in California competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers fifty-two House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.

How competitive are California’s U.S. House races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
CA-22David Valadao: 54.3%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-48Marni von Wilpert: 85.4%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-6Richard Pan: 86.7%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-13Adam Gray: 97.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-45Derek Tran: 98.3%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-5Tom McClintock: 98.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-23Jay Obernolte: 99.1%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-21Jim Costa: 99.4%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-25Raul Ruiz: 99.5%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-41Linda Sánchez: 99.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-35Norma Torres: 99.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-1Mike McGuire: 99.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-39Mark Takano: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-31Gil Cisneros: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-33Pete Aguilar: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-38Hilda Solis: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-9Josh Harder: 99.7%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-27George Whitesides: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-42Robert Garcia: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-49Mike Levin: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-47Dave Min: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-20Vince Fong: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-3Ami Bera: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-46Lou Correa: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-52Juan Vargas: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-51Sara Jacobs: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-26Jacqui Irwin: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-50Scott Peters: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-2Jared Huffman: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-32Brad Sherman: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-18Zoe Lofgren: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-24Salud Carbajal: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-28Judy Chu: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-15Kevin Mullin: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-10Mark DeSaulnier: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-19Jimmy Panetta: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-30Laura Friedman: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-36Ted Lieu: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-8John Garamendi: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-44Nanette Barragán: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-16Sam Liccardo: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-17Ro Khanna: 100.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-43Maxine Waters: 100.0%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-4No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-7No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-11No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-12No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-14No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-29No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-34No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-37No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
CA-40No candidate probabilitySame-party contestOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

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Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in California?

FutureBallot’s state legislative forecast dated October 30, 2026, 12:45 UTC lists majority chances, marks a chamber nonpartisan, or reports unresolved probabilities for each chamber with seats up.

Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in California?
ChamberDemocratic majorityRepublican majoritySeats up
California Assembly100.0%0.0%80
California Senate100.0%0.0%20

Each chamber is a separate contest. These are not joint probabilities of controlling the legislature. A range assigns seats that cannot be forecast to each party in turn. When exact party probabilities sum to less than 100%, the remainder is the chance neither party has a majority. No party-majority probability is reported for a nonpartisan chamber.

Sources: State legislative forecasts and limitations · California Assembly · California Senate

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Where can I find California election dates and voting information?

Use California’s election office for its election calendar, ballot information and links to local voting services. Check the year and whether the date concerns a primary, general, special or runoff election.

The office link was read from USAGov on 2026-10-30. FutureBallot does not maintain a separate calendar of voting deadlines.

Sources: California election office — USAGov directory · USAGov official-office directory

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