Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › New York Assembly

New York Assembly District 66

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Democrat is running · David Siffert (D)

New York Assembly District 66: Decided: only a Democrat is runningNew Jersey lower 32: no election in 2026New York Assembly 61: chance of a Democratic win 98%; 2024 president D+30New York Assembly 65: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+52New York Assembly 74: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+65New York Assembly 75: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+67New York Assembly District 66: Decided: only a Democrat is running657475NJ 326166
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 66 is safe Democratic. Of its 5 neighbouring districts, 4 favour Democrats, 1 has no 2026 forecast. 1 of them is across the state line.

StatusDecided: only a Democrat is running
CandidatesDavid Siffert (D)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberDeborah Glick

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022uncontested (D)
Governor 2022D+68
Legislature 2024uncontested (D)
President 2024D+72
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtNew York
Median household income$166,250$84,578
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)84%40%
Median age3640
White (not Hispanic)68%53%
Black4%14%
Hispanic10%20%
Asian14%9%
Born abroad21%23%
Jobs in manufacturing2%6%
Jobs in farming or mining0%1%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.