Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Missouri House

Missouri House District 93

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Democrat is running · Bridget Walsh Moore (D)

Missouri House District 93: Decided: only a Democrat is runningIllinois House 114: chance of a Democratic win 37%; 2024 president D+1Illinois House 115: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+44Missouri House 81: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+45Missouri House 92: chance of a Democratic win 93%; 2024 president D+6Missouri House 94: chance of a Democratic win 12%; 2024 president R+7Missouri House District 93: Decided: only a Democrat is runningIL 114IL 11593
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 93 is safe Democratic. Of its 5 neighbouring districts, 2 favour Democrats, 2 favour Republicans, 1 is competitive. 2 of them are across the state line.

StatusDecided: only a Democrat is running
CandidatesBridget Walsh Moore (D)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberBridget Moore

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022D+9
Legislature 2024no two-party contest; won by Bridget Walsh Moore (Democrat)
President 2024D+6
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtMissouri
Median household income$61,929$68,920
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)24%32%
Median age3839
White (not Hispanic)83%77%
Black4%11%
Hispanic4%5%
Asian4%2%
Born abroad17%4%
Jobs in manufacturing11%11%
Jobs in farming or mining1%2%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.