Missouri elections
2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information
U.S. Senate
No 2026 U.S. Senate race is listed in FutureBallot’s current coverage. Check the official election office below.
Governor
No 2026 governor race is listed in FutureBallot’s current coverage. Check the official election office below.
U.S. House districts
Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.
| District | Candidates on record | Forecast / status | Rating | Forecast date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MO-1 | Wesley Bell · Tom Schmitz · Paul Berry | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MO-2 | Fred Wellman · Brandon Coulter Daugherty · Ann Wagner | R 55% | Toss-up | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MO-3 | Bethany Mann · Jim Higgins · Bob Onder | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MO-4 | Jordan Herrera · Thomas Holbrook · Mark Alford | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MO-5 | Emanuel Cleaver · Randall (Randy) Langkraehr · Rick Brattin | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MO-6 | Josh Smead · Andy Maidment · Chris Stigall | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MO-7 | Missi Hesketh · Kevin Craig · Eric Burlison | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MO-8 | Christopher Reichard · Rebecca Sharpe Lombard · Jason Smith | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
State legislature
Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.
These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.
| Chamber | Seats up | Majority threshold | Democratic majority | Republican majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri House | 163 | 82 | <1% | >99% |
| Missouri Senate | 17 | 18 | <1% | >99% |
Explore the evidence
Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.
Official ballot and election rules
Missouri election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.