Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Massachusetts House

Massachusetts House District 2nd Franklin

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: no Democrat or Republican is running · Susannah Whipps (independent)

Massachusetts House District 2nd Franklin: Decided: no Democrat or Republican is runningMassachusetts House 1st Franklin: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+46Massachusetts House 2nd Worcester: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president R+2Massachusetts House 5th Worcester: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+10Massachusetts House 7th Hampden: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+13New Hampshire House Cheshire 10: chance of a Democratic win 56%; 2024 president R+5New Hampshire House Cheshire 11: chance of a Democratic win 11%; 2024 president R+11New Hampshire House Cheshire 12: chance of a Democratic win 27%; 2024 president R+14New Hampshire House Cheshire 14: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+26New Hampshire House Cheshire 15: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+25New Hampshire House Cheshire 17: chance of a Democratic win 7%; 2024 president R+9New Hampshire House Cheshire 18: chance of a Democratic win 29%; 2024 president R+10New Hampshire House Cheshire 6: chance of a Democratic win 96%; 2024 president D+9Vermont House Windham-1: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+35Massachusetts House District 2nd Franklin: Decided: no Democrat or Republican is runningNH Cheshire 14NH Cheshire 15NH Cheshire 177th Hampden2nd Franklin
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 2nd Franklin has no 2026 forecast. Of its 13 neighbouring districts, 6 favour Democrats, 6 favour Republicans, 1 is competitive. 9 of them are across the state line.

StatusDecided: no Democrat or Republican is running
CandidatesSusannah Whipps (independent)
Candidate list fromwikipedia
Current memberSusannah Whipps

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024no two-party contest; won by Susannah M Whipps (independent or nonpartisan)
President 2024D+10
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtMassachusetts
Median household income$70,978$101,341
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)27%47%
Median age4440
White (not Hispanic)89%68%
Black2%7%
Hispanic5%13%
Asian1%7%
Born abroad4%18%
Jobs in manufacturing14%9%
Jobs in farming or mining1%0%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.