Massachusetts elections
2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information
U.S. Senate
Massachusetts Senate
D >99%
Ed Markey · John Deaton
October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).
Governor
Massachusetts Governor
D >99%
Maura Healey · Michael Minogue
October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).
U.S. House districts
Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.
| District | Candidates on record | Forecast / status | Rating | Forecast date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA-1 | Richard Neal · Nadia Milleron | No opposing major-party candidate (D) | — | No candidate forecast |
| MA-2 | Jim McGovern | One candidate on record (D) | — | No candidate forecast |
| MA-3 | Lori Trahan · Gary Grossi | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MA-4 | Jake Auchincloss · Tom Stalcup | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MA-5 | Katherine Clark | One candidate on record (D) | — | No candidate forecast |
| MA-6 | Dan Koh · Micah Jones | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MA-7 | Ayanna Pressley | One candidate on record (D) | — | No candidate forecast |
| MA-8 | Stephen Lynch · Robert Burke | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| MA-9 | Bill Keating · Tyler MacAllister | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
State legislature
Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.
These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.
| Chamber | Seats up | Majority threshold | Democratic majority | Republican majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts House | 160 | 81 | >99% | <1% |
| Massachusetts Senate | 40 | 21 | >99% | <1% |
Explore the evidence
Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.
Official ballot and election rules
Massachusetts election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.