Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Florida House

Florida House District 62

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Democrat is running · Kyandra Darling (D)

Florida House District 62: Decided: only a Democrat is runningFlorida House 60: chance of a Democratic win 91%; 2024 president D+7Florida House 61: chance of a Democratic win 12%; 2024 president R+9Florida House 63: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+42Florida House 65: chance of a Democratic win 8%; 2024 president R+6Florida House 67: chance of a Democratic win 94%; 2024 president D+11Florida House 69: chance of a Democratic win 6%; 2024 president R+9Florida House 70: chance of a Democratic win 5%; 2024 president R+14Florida House District 62: Decided: only a Democrat is running6360656770696162
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 62 is safe Democratic. Of its 7 neighbouring districts, 3 favour Democrats, 4 favour Republicans.

StatusDecided: only a Democrat is running
CandidatesKyandra Darling (D)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberMichele Rayner

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022D+39
Governor 2022D+28
Legislature 2024D+37
President 2024D+34
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtFlorida
Median household income$67,757$71,711
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)30%33%
Median age3643
White (not Hispanic)34%51%
Black37%15%
Hispanic21%27%
Asian2%3%
Born abroad14%21%
Jobs in manufacturing6%5%
Jobs in farming or mining0%1%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.