Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Connecticut House

Connecticut House District 108

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

9% chance of a Democratic win · Anne Weisberg (D), Patrick Callahan (R)

Connecticut House District 108: ForecastConnecticut House 107: chance of a Democratic win 36%; 2024 president R+2Connecticut House 109: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+5Connecticut House 138: chance of a Democratic win 89%; 2024 president D+5Connecticut House 64: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+29Connecticut House 67: chance of a Democratic win 1%; 2024 president R+5New York Assembly 105: chance of a Democratic win 4%; 2024 president R+10New York Assembly 94: chance of a Democratic win 1%; 2024 president R+13Connecticut House District 108: Forecast138107NY 94NY 10564108
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 108 is likely Republican. Of its 7 neighbouring districts, 3 favour Democrats, 3 favour Republicans, 1 is competitive. 2 of them are across the state line.

StatusForecast
Chance of a Democratic win9%
Likely margin (80% range)R+23 to even, middle R+12
CandidatesAnne Weisberg (D), Patrick Callahan (R)
Candidate list fromaggregator (The Ballot Brief)
Current memberPat Callahan

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022R+16
Governor 2022R+5
Legislature 2024R+14
President 2024R+4
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtConnecticut
Median household income$115,201$93,760
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)43%42%
Median age4641
White (not Hispanic)72%63%
Black5%10%
Hispanic15%18%
Asian2%5%
Born abroad14%15%
Jobs in manufacturing10%11%
Jobs in farming or mining0%0%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.