Virginia elections
2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information
U.S. Senate
Virginia Senate
D 97%
Bert Mizusawa · Mark Warner
October 30, 2026, 6:13 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (01:13 UTC).
Governor
No 2026 governor race is listed in FutureBallot’s current coverage. Check the official election office below.
U.S. House districts
Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.
| District | Candidates on record | Forecast / status | Rating | Forecast date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VA-1 | Shannon Taylor · Rob Wittman | D 56% | Toss-up | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-2 | Elaine Luria · Bishop Staten · Matt Baker · Jen Kiggans | D 63% | Lean D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-3 | Bobby Scott · Makiba Gaines · Steve Woll · Edwin Rivera | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-4 | Jennifer McClellan · Joan Andrews Bell · Robert Murray | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-5 | Tom Perriello · Cooke Harvey · John McGuire | R 82% | Lean R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-6 | Beth Macy · Ben Cline | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-7 | Eugene Vindman · Alaha Ahrar · Joshua Ertle · Randall Terry · Taner Lopez · Doug Ollivant | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-8 | Don Beyer · Shelly Arnoldi · Tim Sharman · Tony Sabio | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-9 | Joy Powers · Morgan Griffith | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-10 | Suhas Subramanyam · Ahsen Malik · Dave Beckwith | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| VA-11 | James Walkinshaw · Dianne Blais · Arthur Purves | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
State legislature
Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.
These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.
| Chamber | Seats up | Majority threshold | Democratic majority | Republican majority |
|---|
No state legislative forecast is published for this state in this snapshot.
Explore the evidence
Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.
Official ballot and election rules
Virginia election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.