Latest polls
Every eligible poll in every race covered, newest first. Excluded firms are listed separately with reasons. Polls on record as of October 31, 2026, 6:06 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (13:06 UTC).
Newest polls
All eligible polls in one complete HTML table, available without scripts. Filters require JavaScript; use the complete table if they cannot load.
Polls by 55 firms are not used and not listed here: firms that fabricated data, campaigns' own polling operations, and firms with no published poll of an election already decided, so no record to judge them by yet. The firms and why.
| Race | Dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | Margin | Checked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VA-1 | Oct 21–22, 2026 | Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC partisan sponsor | 570 LV | Taylor 47 (D) · Wittman 46 (R) | D+1 | Not checked yet release |
| VA-2 | Oct 1–10, 2026 | Christopher Newport University | 702 LV | Luria 46 (D) · Kiggans 43 (R) | D+3 | Checked release |
| VA-6 | Sep 28–30, 2026 | co/efficient | 791 LV | Cline 59 (R) · Macy 29 (D) | R+30 | Checked release |
| VA-1 | Sep 23–28, 2026 | The Washington Post/SSPG | 609 LV | Taylor 50 (D) · Wittman 46 (R) | D+4 | Checked release |
| VA-5 | Sep 23–28, 2026 | The Washington Post/SSPG | 600 LV | McGuire 51 (R) · Perriello 45 (D) | R+6 | No citation |
| VA-5 | Sep 21–24, 2026 | Expedition Strategies for Perriello's campaign partisan sponsor | 400 LV | McGuire 46 (R) · Perriello 45 (D) | R+1 | Not checked yet release |
| VA-5 | Jul 29–Aug 1, 2026 | Expedition Strategies for Perriello's campaign partisan sponsor | 602 LV | McGuire 47 (R) · Perriello 44 (D) | R+3 | Citation unreadable release |
| VA-2 | Jul 9–13, 2026 | Tulchin Researchpartisan sponsor | 700 LV | Kiggans 47 (R) · Luria 47 (D) | Even | Not checked yet release |
| VA-1 | Aug 8–9, 2025 | Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC partisan sponsor | 541 RV | Wittman 41 (R) · Taylor 40 (D) | R+1 | Checked release |
Polling averages by race
Simple average: the plain mean margin of the race's polls in the 30 days before its newest one, between the two candidates the forecast is between (the Democrat and the Republican in most races; where an independent is the main challenger, the independent). Adjusted average: the nowcast's estimate of the race today -- polls weighted by recency and size, corrected for each pollster's measured lean. Where they differ, the difference is the adjustment. House district polls listed here are inputs to the House model's election-day forecast (each district's estimate is moved toward its own polls, corrected for the sponsor's measured lean); there is no House nowcast. A race the model withholds shows its polls and no adjusted average.
| Race | Polls | Latest | Simple average 30 days to the newest poll (n) | Adjusted average our nowcast | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VA-1 | 3 | Oct 22, 2026 | D+2 (2) | — | VA-1 forecast |
| VA-2 | 2 | Oct 10, 2026 | D+3 (1) | — | VA-2 forecast |
| VA-5 | 3 | Sep 28, 2026 | R+4 (2) | — | VA-5 forecast |
| VA-6 | 1 | Sep 30, 2026 | R+30 (1) | — | VA-6 forecast |