Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Wyoming House

Wyoming House District 62

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Republican is running · Kevin Campbell (R)

Wyoming House District 62: Decided: only a Republican is runningWyoming House 14: chance of a Democratic win 81%; 2024 president R+2Wyoming House 3: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+85Wyoming House 35: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+49Wyoming House 36: chance of a Democratic win 5%; 2024 president R+40Wyoming House 37: chance of a Democratic win 5%; 2024 president R+50Wyoming House 38: chance of a Democratic win 4%; 2024 president R+62Wyoming House 40: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+64Wyoming House 47: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+66Wyoming House 58: chance of a Democratic win 3%; 2024 president R+66Wyoming House 6: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+75Wyoming House District 62: Decided: only a Republican is running3758314638404762
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 62 is safe Republican. Of its 10 neighbouring districts, 1 favours Democrats, 9 favour Republicans.

StatusDecided: only a Republican is running
CandidatesKevin Campbell (R)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberKevin Campbell

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022no two-party contest; won by For (independent or nonpartisan)
Legislature 2024uncontested (R)
President 2024R+69
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtWyoming
Median household income$78,857$74,815
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)17%30%
Median age4139
White (not Hispanic)85%82%
Black1%1%
Hispanic9%10%
Asian1%1%
Born abroad3%4%
Jobs in manufacturing8%4%
Jobs in farming or mining9%10%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.