Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Wyoming House

Wyoming House District 61

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Republican is running · Andrew Server (R)

Wyoming House District 61: Decided: only a Republican is runningWyoming House 11: chance of a Democratic win 16%; 2024 president R+8Wyoming House 41: chance of a Democratic win 29%; 2024 president R+12Wyoming House 43: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+39Wyoming House 8: chance of a Democratic win 7%; 2024 president R+39Wyoming House 9: chance of a Democratic win 10%; 2024 president R+25Wyoming House District 61: Decided: only a Republican is running9114184361
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 61 is safe Republican. Of its 5 neighbouring districts, 5 favour Republicans.

StatusDecided: only a Republican is running
CandidatesAndrew Server (R)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberDaniel Singh

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022uncontested (R)
Legislature 2024uncontested (R)
President 2024R+28
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtWyoming
Median household income$67,009$74,815
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)19%30%
Median age4039
White (not Hispanic)80%82%
Black1%1%
Hispanic16%10%
Asian0%1%
Born abroad1%4%
Jobs in manufacturing6%4%
Jobs in farming or mining0%10%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.