Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Wyoming House

Wyoming House District 50

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

No Democrat running: counted Republican · David Hill (R), Carrie Satterwhite (Libertarian)

Wyoming House District 50: No Democrat running: counted RepublicanMontana House 55: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+33Montana House 57: chance of a Democratic win 68%; 2024 president D+1Wyoming House 24: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+52Wyoming House 25: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+61Wyoming House 26: chance of a Democratic win 2%; 2024 president R+72Wyoming House 28: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+68Wyoming House District 50: No Democrat running: counted Republican2526MT 55MT 57242850
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 50 is safe Republican. Of its 6 neighbouring districts, 1 favours Democrats, 5 favour Republicans. 2 of them are across the state line.

StatusNo Democrat running: counted Republican
CandidatesDavid Hill (R), Carrie Satterwhite (Libertarian)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberRachel Rodriguez-Williams

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022no two-party contest; won by Rachel Rodriguez-Williams (Republican)
Legislature 2024uncontested (R)
President 2024R+65
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtWyoming
Median household income$75,357$74,815
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)36%30%
Median age4439
White (not Hispanic)91%82%
Black0%1%
Hispanic3%10%
Asian0%1%
Born abroad2%4%
Jobs in manufacturing4%4%
Jobs in farming or mining9%10%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.