Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Wyoming House

Wyoming House District 29

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Republican is running · Myca Sturtevant (R)

Wyoming House District 29: Decided: only a Republican is runningWyoming House 30: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+56Wyoming House 51: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+52Wyoming House District 29: Decided: only a Republican is running305129
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 29 is safe Republican. Of its 2 neighbouring districts, 2 favour Republicans.

StatusDecided: only a Republican is running
CandidatesMyca Sturtevant (R)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberKen Pendergraft

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022R+30
Legislature 2024R+39
President 2024R+42
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtWyoming
Median household income$57,618$74,815
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)34%30%
Median age3839
White (not Hispanic)84%82%
Black0%1%
Hispanic8%10%
Asian3%1%
Born abroad3%4%
Jobs in manufacturing5%4%
Jobs in farming or mining6%10%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.