Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › West Virginia House

West Virginia House District 62

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Republican is running · Roger Hanshaw (R)

West Virginia House District 62: Decided: only a Republican is runningWest Virginia House 15: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+58West Virginia House 49: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+63West Virginia House 53: chance of a Democratic win 1%; 2024 president R+28West Virginia House 61: chance of a Democratic win 3%; 2024 president R+54West Virginia House 63: chance of a Democratic win 4%; 2024 president R+53West Virginia House 64: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+61West Virginia House 69: chance of a Democratic win 5%; 2024 president R+56West Virginia House 8: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+69West Virginia House 9: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+68West Virginia House District 62: Decided: only a Republican is running536169644986315962
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 62 is safe Republican. Of its 9 neighbouring districts, 9 favour Republicans.

StatusDecided: only a Republican is running
CandidatesRoger Hanshaw (R)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberRoger Hanshaw

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024uncontested (R)
President 2024R+65
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtWest Virginia
Median household income$43,161$57,917
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)13%23%
Median age4643
White (not Hispanic)96%90%
Black0%3%
Hispanic0%2%
Asian0%1%
Born abroad0%2%
Jobs in manufacturing5%8%
Jobs in farming or mining10%3%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.