Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › West Virginia House

West Virginia House District 60

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

4% chance of a Democratic win · Dana J. Ferrell (R), Lynette Shaw (D)

West Virginia House District 60: ForecastWest Virginia House 15: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+58West Virginia House 16: chance of a Democratic win 3%; 2024 president R+62West Virginia House 19: chance of a Democratic win 3%; 2024 president R+53West Virginia House 53: chance of a Democratic win 1%; 2024 president R+28West Virginia House 54: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+40West Virginia House 57: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+5West Virginia House 58: chance of a Democratic win 9%; 2024 president R+16West Virginia House 59: chance of a Democratic win 7%; 2024 president R+27West Virginia House 61: chance of a Democratic win 3%; 2024 president R+54West Virginia House District 60: Forecast5759195361161560
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 60 is safe Republican. Of its 9 neighbouring districts, 2 favour Democrats, 7 favour Republicans.

StatusForecast
Chance of a Democratic win4%
Likely margin (80% range)R+57 to R+11, middle R+34
CandidatesDana J. Ferrell (R), Lynette Shaw (D)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberDana Ferrell

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024uncontested (R)
President 2024R+46
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtWest Virginia
Median household income$61,291$57,917
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)21%23%
Median age4143
White (not Hispanic)93%90%
Black2%3%
Hispanic2%2%
Asian0%1%
Born abroad1%2%
Jobs in manufacturing6%8%
Jobs in farming or mining0%3%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.