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Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Massachusetts Senate

Massachusetts Senate District Middlesex and Suffolk

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Democrat is running · Sal N. DiDomenico (D)

Massachusetts Senate District Middlesex and Suffolk: Decided: only a Democrat is runningMassachusetts Senate Fifth Middlesex: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+34Massachusetts Senate Second Middlesex: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+64Massachusetts Senate Suffolk and Middlesex: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+64Massachusetts Senate Third Suffolk: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+35Massachusetts Senate District Middlesex and Suffolk: Decided: only a Democrat is runningSuffolk and MiddlesexSecond MiddlesexFifth MiddlesexMiddlesex and Suffolk
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District Middlesex and Suffolk is safe Democratic. Of its 4 neighbouring districts, 4 favour Democrats.

StatusDecided: only a Democrat is running
CandidatesSal N. DiDomenico (D)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberSal DiDomenico

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024uncontested (D)
President 2024D+58
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtMassachusetts
Median household income$99,105$101,341
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)51%47%
Median age3240
White (not Hispanic)44%68%
Black9%7%
Hispanic27%13%
Asian13%7%
Born abroad36%18%
Jobs in manufacturing6%9%
Jobs in farming or mining0%0%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.