Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Kansas House

Kansas House District 67

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

48% chance of a Democratic win · Brenda Bandy (D), Stacy Kohlmeier (R)

Kansas House District 67: ForecastKansas House 51: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+36Kansas House 64: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+53Kansas House 66: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+25Kansas House 68: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+35Kansas House District 67: Forecast51686467
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 67 is competitive. Of its 4 neighbouring districts, 1 favours Democrats, 3 favour Republicans.

StatusForecast
Chance of a Democratic win48%
Likely margin (80% range)R+12 to D+11, middle even
CandidatesBrenda Bandy (D), Stacy Kohlmeier (R)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberAngel Roeser

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024R+5
President 2024D+6
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtKansas
Median household income$83,620$72,639
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)60%35%
Median age3537
White (not Hispanic)75%73%
Black5%5%
Hispanic9%13%
Asian4%3%
Born abroad6%7%
Jobs in manufacturing6%12%
Jobs in farming or mining1%3%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.