Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Indiana House

Indiana House District 92

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Democrat is running · Reneé Pack (D)

Indiana House District 92: Decided: only a Democrat is runningIndiana House 25: chance of a Democratic win 43%; 2024 president R+8Indiana House 40: chance of a Democratic win 4%; 2024 president R+18Indiana House 86: chance of a Democratic win 99%; 2024 president D+47Indiana House 91: chance of a Democratic win 2%; 2024 president R+21Indiana House 94: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+67Indiana House 97: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+14Indiana House 99: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+61Indiana House District 92: Decided: only a Democrat is running94978640912592
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 92 is safe Democratic. Of its 7 neighbouring districts, 4 favour Democrats, 2 favour Republicans, 1 is competitive.

StatusDecided: only a Democrat is running
CandidatesReneé Pack (D)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberReneé Pack

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2024D+18
President 2024D+16
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtIndiana
Median household income$65,149$70,051
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)30%29%
Median age3738
White (not Hispanic)47%76%
Black31%9%
Hispanic17%8%
Asian1%3%
Born abroad19%6%
Jobs in manufacturing12%18%
Jobs in farming or mining0%1%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.