Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Illinois Senate

Illinois Senate District 13

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Not up in 2026 (held by Democrat)

Illinois Senate District 13: Not up in 2026 (held by Democrat)Illinois Senate 17: chance of a Democratic win 97%Illinois Senate 3: chance of a Democratic win >99%Illinois Senate 6: chance of a Democratic win >99%Indiana Senate 2: not up in 2026 (held by democrat); 2024 president D+2Indiana Senate 3: not up in 2026 (held by democrat); 2024 president D+9Illinois Senate District 13: Not up in 2026 (held by Democrat)6IN 31713
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 13 is not up in 2026 (held by a Democrat). Of its 5 neighbouring districts, 5 favour Democrats. 2 of them are across the state line.

StatusNot up in 2026 (held by Democrat)
Current memberRobert Peters

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022uncontested (D)
Governor 2022D+80
Legislature 2024uncontested (D)
President 2024D+57
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtIllinois
Median household income$65,826$81,702
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)51%37%
Median age3539
White (not Hispanic)23%59%
Black51%14%
Hispanic14%18%
Asian9%6%
Born abroad16%14%
Jobs in manufacturing6%12%
Jobs in farming or mining0%1%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.