Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Colorado House

Colorado House District 58

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

Decided: only a Republican is running · Larry Don Suckla (R)

Colorado House District 58: Decided: only a Republican is runningColorado House 13: chance of a Democratic win 93%; 2024 president D+12Colorado House 54: chance of a Democratic win 2%; 2024 president R+40Colorado House 57: chance of a Democratic win 97%; 2024 president D+16Colorado House 59: chance of a Democratic win 88%; 2024 president D+8Colorado House 62: chance of a Democratic win 95%; 2024 president evenUtah House 69: chance of a Democratic win 1%; 2024 president R+29Colorado House District 58: Decided: only a Republican is running5457591362UT 6958
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 58 is safe Republican. Of its 6 neighbouring districts, 4 favour Democrats, 2 favour Republicans. 1 of them is across the state line.

StatusDecided: only a Republican is running
CandidatesLarry Don Suckla (R)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberLarry Suckla

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022R+14
Governor 2022R+1
Legislature 2024R+9
President 2024R+9
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtColorado
Median household income$71,137$92,470
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)40%45%
Median age4538
White (not Hispanic)80%66%
Black0%4%
Hispanic15%22%
Asian0%3%
Born abroad5%10%
Jobs in manufacturing5%7%
Jobs in farming or mining5%2%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.