Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Colorado House

Colorado House District 52

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

No Republican running: counted Democrat · Yara Zokaie (D), Steve Yurash (Center Party)

Colorado House District 52: No Republican running: counted DemocratColorado House 49: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+34Colorado House 51: chance of a Democratic win 46%; 2024 president D+1Colorado House 53: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+51Colorado House 65: chance of a Democratic win <1%; 2024 president R+18Colorado House District 52: No Republican running: counted Democrat51654952
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 52 is safe Democratic. Of its 4 neighbouring districts, 2 favour Democrats, 1 favours Republicans, 1 is competitive.

StatusNo Republican running: counted Democrat
CandidatesYara Zokaie (D), Steve Yurash (Center Party)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberYara Zokaie

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022D+30
Governor 2022D+37
Legislature 2024no two-party contest; won by Yara Zokaie (Democrat)
President 2024D+34
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtColorado
Median household income$101,677$92,470
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)58%45%
Median age3638
White (not Hispanic)77%66%
Black1%4%
Hispanic13%22%
Asian4%3%
Born abroad8%10%
Jobs in manufacturing9%7%
Jobs in farming or mining1%2%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.