North Carolina election questions
Questions on races and election records in this state.
Election questions
How competitive are North Carolina’s congressional races in 2026?
FutureBallot rates one House district in North Carolina competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers fourteen House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero. FutureBallot also rates zero Senate races competitive among the Senate forecasts listed.
| Contest | Highest modeled chance | Status | Evidence date |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC-3 | Greg Murphy: 78.5% | Lean | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-1 | Don Davis: 86.5% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-11 | Jamie Ager: 88.3% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-9 | Richard Hudson: 89.3% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-5 | Virginia Foxx: 93.0% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-13 | Brad Knott: 93.2% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-7 | David Rouzer: 93.6% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-14 | Tim Moore: 93.9% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-6 | Addison McDowell: 95.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-10 | Pat Harrigan: 97.1% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-8 | Mark Harris: 97.7% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-2 | Deborah Ross: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-4 | Valerie Foushee: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-12 | Alma Adams: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| U.S. Senate | Roy Cooper: 96.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 00:40 UTC |
Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.
House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.
A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.
Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions
How competitive are North Carolina’s U.S. House races in 2026?
FutureBallot rates one House district in North Carolina competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers fourteen House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.
| Contest | Highest modeled chance | Status | Evidence date |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC-3 | Greg Murphy: 78.5% | Lean | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-1 | Don Davis: 86.5% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-11 | Jamie Ager: 88.3% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-9 | Richard Hudson: 89.3% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-5 | Virginia Foxx: 93.0% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-13 | Brad Knott: 93.2% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-7 | David Rouzer: 93.6% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-14 | Tim Moore: 93.9% | Likely | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-6 | Addison McDowell: 95.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-10 | Pat Harrigan: 97.1% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-8 | Mark Harris: 97.7% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-2 | Deborah Ross: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-4 | Valerie Foushee: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| NC-12 | Alma Adams: 100.0% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.
House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.
A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.
Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions
Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in North Carolina?
FutureBallot’s state legislative forecast dated October 30, 2026, 12:45 UTC lists majority chances, marks a chamber nonpartisan, or reports unresolved probabilities for each chamber with seats up.
| Chamber | Democratic majority | Republican majority | Seats up |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina House | 11.8% | 85.7% | 120 |
| North Carolina Senate | 4.8% | 91.4% | 50 |
Each chamber is a separate contest. These are not joint probabilities of controlling the legislature. A range assigns seats that cannot be forecast to each party in turn. When exact party probabilities sum to less than 100%, the remainder is the chance neither party has a majority. No party-majority probability is reported for a nonpartisan chamber.
Sources: State legislative forecasts and limitations · North Carolina House · North Carolina Senate
Where can I find North Carolina election dates and voting information?
Use North Carolina’s election office for its election calendar, ballot information and links to local voting services. Check the year and whether the date concerns a primary, general, special or runoff election.
The office link was read from USAGov on 2026-10-30. FutureBallot does not maintain a separate calendar of voting deadlines.
Sources: North Carolina election office — USAGov directory · USAGov official-office directory