Michigan election questions
Questions on races and election records in this state.
Election questions
How competitive are Michigan’s congressional races in 2026?
FutureBallot rates three House districts in Michigan competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers thirteen House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero. FutureBallot also rates one Senate race competitive among the Senate forecasts listed.
| Contest | Highest modeled chance | Status | Evidence date |
|---|---|---|---|
| MI-10 | Christina Hines: 50.0% | Toss-up | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-4 | Bill Huizenga: 57.2% | Toss-up | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-7 | William Lawrence: 61.9% | Lean | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-1 | Jack Bergman: 98.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-8 | Kristen McDonald Rivet: 99.5% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-5 | Tim Walberg: 99.8% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-3 | Hillary Scholten: 99.8% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-11 | Jeremy Moss: 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-2 | John Moolenaar: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-9 | Lisa McClain: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-6 | Debbie Dingell: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-13 | Donavan McKinney: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-12 | Rashida Tlaib: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| U.S. Senate | Abdul El-Sayed: 78.7% | Lean | October 30, 2026, 00:40 UTC |
Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.
House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.
A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.
Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions
How competitive are Michigan’s U.S. House races in 2026?
FutureBallot rates three House districts in Michigan competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers thirteen House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.
| Contest | Highest modeled chance | Status | Evidence date |
|---|---|---|---|
| MI-10 | Christina Hines: 50.0% | Toss-up | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-4 | Bill Huizenga: 57.2% | Toss-up | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-7 | William Lawrence: 61.9% | Lean | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-1 | Jack Bergman: 98.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-8 | Kristen McDonald Rivet: 99.5% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-5 | Tim Walberg: 99.8% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-3 | Hillary Scholten: 99.8% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-11 | Jeremy Moss: 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-2 | John Moolenaar: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-9 | Lisa McClain: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-6 | Debbie Dingell: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-13 | Donavan McKinney: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
| MI-12 | Rashida Tlaib: more than 99.9% | Safe | October 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC |
Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.
House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.
A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.
Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions
Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in Michigan?
FutureBallot’s state legislative forecast dated October 30, 2026, 12:45 UTC lists majority chances, marks a chamber nonpartisan, or reports unresolved probabilities for each chamber with seats up.
| Chamber | Democratic majority | Republican majority | Seats up |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan House | 39.1% | 52.9% | 110 |
| Michigan Senate | 61.7% | 24.5% | 38 |
Each chamber is a separate contest. These are not joint probabilities of controlling the legislature. A range assigns seats that cannot be forecast to each party in turn. When exact party probabilities sum to less than 100%, the remainder is the chance neither party has a majority. No party-majority probability is reported for a nonpartisan chamber.
Sources: State legislative forecasts and limitations · Michigan House · Michigan Senate
Where can I find Michigan election dates and voting information?
Use Michigan’s election office for its election calendar, ballot information and links to local voting services. Check the year and whether the date concerns a primary, general, special or runoff election.
The office link was read from USAGov on 2026-10-30. FutureBallot does not maintain a separate calendar of voting deadlines.
Sources: Michigan election office — USAGov directory · USAGov official-office directory