South Carolina elections
2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information
U.S. Senate
South Carolina Senate
R 73%
Annie Andrews · Darline Graham
October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).
Governor
South Carolina Governor
R 96%
Alan Wilson · Jermaine Johnson
October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).
U.S. House districts
Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.
| District | Candidates on record | Forecast / status | Rating | Forecast date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC-1 | Nancy Lacore · Bill Reeside Jr. · Jenny Costa Honeycutt | R 64% | Lean R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| SC-2 | Zyon Khalifa · Dayna Alane Smith · Joe Wilson | R 95% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| SC-3 | Eunice Lehmacher · Brian Corriea · Sheri Biggs | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| SC-4 | Courtney McClain · Jessica Ethridge · William Timmons | R 99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| SC-5 | Mallory Dittmer · Wes Climer | R 99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| SC-6 | Jim Clyburn · John Peterson | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| SC-7 | John Vincent · Russell Fry | R 99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
State legislature
Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.
These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.
| Chamber | Seats up | Majority threshold | Democratic majority | Republican majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina House | 124 | 63 | <1% | >99% |
| South Carolina Senate | 0 | 24 | No seats up in this snapshot | |
Explore the evidence
Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.
Official ballot and election rules
South Carolina election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.