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Latest polls

Every eligible poll in every race covered, newest first. Excluded firms are listed separately with reasons. Polls on record as of October 31, 2026, 6:06 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (13:06 UTC); adjusted averages from the nowcasts as of October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

Newest polls

All eligible polls in one complete HTML table, available without scripts. Filters require JavaScript; use the complete table if they cannot load.

Polls by 55 firms are not used and not listed here: firms that fabricated data, campaigns' own polling operations, and firms with no published poll of an election already decided, so no record to judge them by yet. The firms and why.

Newest polls
RaceDatesPollsterSampleResultMarginChecked
South Carolina SenateOct 27–29, 2026Patinkin Research Strategies500 LVAndrews 48 (D) · Graham 43 (R)D+5Checked release
South Carolina SenateOct 19–26, 2026New York Times/Siena College707 LVGraham 48 (R) · Andrews 48 (D)EvenNot checked yet release
South Carolina GovernorOct 19–26, 2026New York Times/Siena College707 LVWilson 51 (R) · Johnson 44 (D)R+7Not checked yet release
South Carolina SenateOct 14–25, 2026The Citadel890 LVGraham 43 (R) · Andrews 39 (D)R+4Release found release
South Carolina SenateOct 16–25, 2026Targoz Media Research
for South Carolina Policy Council
895 LVGraham 47 (R) · Andrews 46 (D)R+1Checked release
South Carolina GovernorOct 14–25, 2026The Citadel890 LVWilson 42 (R) · Johnson 31 (D)R+11Release found release
South Carolina GovernorOct 16–25, 2026Targoz Media Research
for South Carolina Policy Council
895 LVWilson 51 (R) · Johnson 41 (D)R+10Checked release
South Carolina SenateOct 19–24, 2026East Carolina University955 LVGraham 51 (R) · Andrews 47 (D)R+4Checked release
SC-1Oct 21–22, 2026Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC
partisan sponsor
770 LVLacore 47 (D) · Honeycutt 45 (R)D+2Not checked yet release
South Carolina SenateOct 15–21, 2026Impact Research
for Fresh Start SC
partisan sponsor
800 LVAndrews 45 (D) · Graham 44 (R)D+1Not checked yet release
South Carolina SenateOct 16–18, 2026Trafalgar Group1095 LVGraham 49 (R) · Andrews 46 (D)R+3Checked release
South Carolina GovernorOct 16–18, 2026Trafalgar Group1095 LVWilson 53 (R) · Johnson 37 (D)R+16Checked release
South Carolina GovernorOct 13–16, 2026National Public Affairs604 LVWilson 51 (R) · Johnson 41 (D)R+10Not checked yet release
South Carolina SenateOct 5–8, 2026Rasmussen Reports837 LVGraham 49 (R) · Andrews 45 (D)R+4Checked release
SC-1Sep 30–Oct 4, 2026GQR Research400 LVLacore 48 (D) · Honeycutt 45 (R)D+3Not checked yet release
SC-1Sep 30–Oct 1, 2026co/efficient
for Thank You For Your Attention To This Matter PAC
partisan sponsor
837 LVHoneycutt 46 (R) · Lacore 40 (D) · Reeside 4 (L)R+6Checked release
South Carolina SenateSep 28–29, 2026InsiderAdvantage1200 LVGraham 46 (R) · Andrews 45 (D)R+1Checked release
South Carolina SenateSep 23–25, 2026Trafalgar Group1087 LVGraham 43 (R) · Andrews 42 (D)R+1Checked release
South Carolina SenateSep 14, 2026Rasmussen Reports1006 LVGraham 48 (R) · Andrews 43 (D)R+5Checked release
SC-1Sep 9–10, 2026Public Policy Pollingpartisan sponsor536 RVHoneycutt 41 (R) · Lacore 40 (D)R+1No citation
South Carolina SenateSep 8–9, 2026InsiderAdvantage1200 LVGraham 45 (R) · Andrews 43 (D)R+2Checked release
South Carolina SenateAug 26–28, 2026Abacus Data306 LVGraham 55 (R) · Andrews 42 (D)R+13Checked release
South Carolina SenateAug 18–24, 2026Impact Research
for Annie Andrews for Senate
campaign internal
700 LVGraham 41 (R) · Andrews 41 (D) · Whitener 5 (L)EvenChecked release
South Carolina SenateAug 14–22, 2026Impact Research
for Annie Andrews for Senate
campaign internal
900 LVAndrews 42 (D) · Graham 39 (R) · Whitener 6 (L)D+3Release found release
South Carolina GovernorAug 12–15, 2026Hart Research
for Jermaine Johnson campaign
campaign internal
600 LVWilson 50 (R) · Johnson 42 (D)R+8Release found release
SC-7Jul 27–28, 2026Blueprint Polling
for John Vincent for Congress
campaign internal
557 LVFry 41 (R) · Vincent 37 (D)R+4Checked release
SC-1Jul 15–22, 2026GQR Research
for House Majority PAC
partisan sponsor
400 LVHoneycutt 50 (R) · Lacore 48 (D)R+2Checked release
South Carolina GovernorJul 16–17, 2026Public Policy Polling
for Annie Andrews for Senate
campaign internal
577 VWilson 45 (R) · Johnson 37 (D)R+8Release found release

Polling averages by race

Simple average: the plain mean margin of the race's polls in the 30 days before its newest one, between the two candidates the forecast is between (the Democrat and the Republican in most races; where an independent is the main challenger, the independent). Adjusted average: the nowcast's estimate of the race today -- polls weighted by recency and size, corrected for each pollster's measured lean. Where they differ, the difference is the adjustment. House district polls listed here are inputs to the House model's election-day forecast (each district's estimate is moved toward its own polls, corrected for the sponsor's measured lean); there is no House nowcast. A race the model withholds shows its polls and no adjusted average.

Polling averages by race
RacePollsLatestSimple average
30 days to the newest poll (n)
Adjusted average
our nowcast
Forecast
South Carolina Senate15Oct 29, 2026R+1 (9)R+2South Carolina Senate forecast
South Carolina Governor7Oct 26, 2026R+11 (5)R+11South Carolina Governor forecast
SC-15Oct 22, 2026Even (3)—SC-1 forecast
SC-71Jul 28, 2026R+4 (1)—SC-7 forecast