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States

Rhode Island elections

2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information

U.S. Senate

Rhode Island Senate

D >99%

Jack Reed · Raymond McKay

October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

Governor

Rhode Island Governor

D 99%

Helena Foulkes · Ken Block

October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

U.S. House districts

Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.

RI-1: D >99%RI-2: D >99%21
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: party counted directly, including same-party contests · Gray: forecast withheld
Every mapped district is also listed in the table below.
U.S. House districts
DistrictCandidates on recordForecast / statusRatingForecast date
RI-1Gabe Amo · Kellie KeenanD >99%Safe DOctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)
RI-2Seth Magaziner · Victor MellorD >99%Safe DOctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)

State legislature

Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.

These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.

State legislature
ChamberSeats upMajority thresholdDemocratic majorityRepublican majority
Rhode Island House7538>99%<1%
Rhode Island Senate3820>99%<1%

Explore the evidence

Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.

Official ballot and election rules

Rhode Island election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.

Find your ballot races by address, ZIP code or town.