Election forecasts you can inspect.Tested models, shown with their sources and their uncertainty.

Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

State legislatures › Colorado Senate

Colorado Senate District 32

2026 forecast · Updated October 22, 2026, 09:28 UTC

>99% chance of a Democratic win · Emily Sirota (D), Sydnnia Wulff (R)

Colorado Senate District 32: ForecastColorado Senate 20: chance of a Democratic win 94%Colorado Senate 22: chance of a Democratic win >99%Colorado Senate 26: not up in 2026 (held by democrat); 2024 president D+33Colorado Senate 28: not up in 2026 (held by democrat); 2024 president D+21Colorado Senate 29: chance of a Democratic win 98%; 2024 president D+24Colorado Senate 31: chance of a Democratic win >99%; 2024 president D+61Colorado Senate 34: chance of a Democratic win 95%Colorado Senate District 32: Forecast3129342622282032
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: not up in 2026 (shaded by holder) · dashed: other state

District 32 is safe Democratic. Of its 7 neighbouring districts, 7 favour Democrats.

StatusForecast
Chance of a Democratic win>99%
Likely margin (80% range)D+40 to D+62, middle D+51
CandidatesEmily Sirota (D), Sydnnia Wulff (R)
Candidate list fromofficial
Current memberRobert Rodriguez

How it has voted

On its current lines. Legislative contests and the top-of-ticket vote inside the district.

Legislature 2022D+52
Governor 2022D+62
← RepublicanDemocratic →

Who lives here

Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2019-2023.

This districtColorado
Median household income$79,659$92,470
Bachelor's degree or more (25+)50%45%
Median age3638
White (not Hispanic)55%66%
Black6%4%
Hispanic29%22%
Asian4%3%
Born abroad14%10%
Jobs in manufacturing6%7%
Jobs in farming or mining1%2%

Initial version. This model was tested on every state legislative election from 1994 to 2024 before publication, forecasting each as if it had not happened. It beat the simple rule “the party that holds the seat keeps it”, and its chamber seat counts were off by 2.9 seats on average (target: under 3). Districts with no two-party race last time are read from their own presidential vote, a change tested in advance that cut their average error from 17 to 13 points. It missed one of its five accuracy targets: in 2024, the calmest year on record, its ranges were wider than they needed to be (92% of results fell inside its 80% ranges; target: at most 88%). Treat the ranges as cautious. The full test record and code.