National election questions
Questions about the country as a whole, with dated, sourced answers.
Election questions
Which states moved most toward the Democrats or the Republicans in the 2026 governor elections?
Among the five governor races with a comparable count so far, the largest move toward the Democrats compared with the most recent earlier general election for the same office in each state is in Iowa (about 29.5 percentage points more Democratic), and no state in this list moved toward the Republicans by 0.1 percentage points or more. The counts are unofficial.
| State | Earlier election | 2026 so far | Change | Reporting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 2022: R+18.5 | D+11.0 | 29.5 points more Democratic | 95% of precincts reporting |
| Hawaii | 2022: D+26.3 | D+45.3 | 19.0 points more Democratic | 50% of precincts reporting |
| Florida | 2022: R+19.4 | R+1.3 | 18.1 points more Democratic | all precincts reporting |
| Nebraska | 2022: R+23.4 | R+8.6 | 14.8 points more Democratic | all precincts reporting |
| California | 2022: D+18.4 | D+28.7 | 10.3 points more Democratic | all precincts reporting |
Each change is the 2026 margin so far minus the margin in the most recent earlier general election for the office in that state, so a positive change is more Democratic and a negative change is more Republican. States with a lower share of precincts reporting can change more as the count continues; for the Senate, the seat itself can differ between the two elections, and that difference is not adjusted for.
Only states where both elections have a Democratic and a Republican candidate with recorded votes appear, and an election is left out when more than 2% of its votes have no recorded party. States without a comparable count are not ranked.
FutureBallot does not call races. The counts are unofficial.
Sources: Live results and how counts are read
Which states moved most toward the Democrats or the Republicans in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?
Among the three U.S. Senate races with a comparable count so far, the largest move toward the Democrats compared with the most recent earlier general election for the same office in each state is in North Carolina (about 22.8 percentage points more Democratic), and no state in this list moved toward the Republicans by 0.1 percentage points or more. The counts are unofficial.
| State | Earlier election | 2026 so far | Change | Reporting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 2022: R+3.2 | D+19.6 | 22.8 points more Democratic | all precincts reporting |
| Iowa | 2022: R+12.2 | D+4.1 | 16.3 points more Democratic | 95% of precincts reporting |
| Florida | 2024: R+12.8 | R+2.9 | 9.9 points more Democratic | all precincts reporting |
Each change is the 2026 margin so far minus the margin in the most recent earlier general election for the office in that state, so a positive change is more Democratic and a negative change is more Republican. States with a lower share of precincts reporting can change more as the count continues; for the Senate, the seat itself can differ between the two elections, and that difference is not adjusted for.
Only states where both elections have a Democratic and a Republican candidate with recorded votes appear, and an election is left out when more than 2% of its votes have no recorded party. States without a comparable count are not ranked.
FutureBallot does not call races. The counts are unofficial.
Sources: Live results and how counts are read
Which 2026 statewide races for governor and U.S. Senate are closest in the vote so far?
Among the eight statewide races with a comparable count so far, the closest in the vote is the U.S. Senate race in Iowa, where the Democratic candidate leads by 55,871 votes (4.1% of all votes counted); the next closest is the governor race in Nebraska, by 63,609 votes. The counts are unofficial and still being reported, so the order can change.
| State | Office | Leading in the count | Gap in votes | Gap as a share of all votes | Reporting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | U.S. Senate | Democratic | 55,871 | 4.1% | 95% of precincts reporting |
| Nebraska | governor | Republican | 63,609 | 8.6% | all precincts reporting |
| Florida | governor | Republican | 107,695 | 1.3% | all precincts reporting |
| Iowa | governor | Democratic | 149,911 | 11.0% | 95% of precincts reporting |
| Hawaii | governor | Democratic | 173,726 | 45.3% | 50% of precincts reporting |
| Florida | U.S. Senate | Republican | 238,733 | 2.9% | all precincts reporting |
| North Carolina | U.S. Senate | Democratic | 824,875 | 19.6% | all precincts reporting |
| California | governor | Democratic | 2,353,663 | 28.7% | all precincts reporting |
Races are ranked by the gap in votes between the Democratic and Republican candidates in the count so far. A race with a lower share of precincts reporting can change more as the count continues, so the ranking describes the counts so far, not final results.
Only races where the stored count has both a Democratic and a Republican candidate with recorded votes appear, and a race is left out when more than 2% of its votes have no recorded party. FutureBallot does not call races. The counts are unofficial.
Sources: Live results and how counts are read