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National election questions

Questions about the country as a whole, with dated, sourced answers.

Election questions

Which states moved most toward the Democrats or the Republicans in the 2026 governor elections?

Among the five governor races with a comparable count so far, the largest move toward the Democrats compared with the most recent earlier general election for the same office in each state is in Iowa (about 29.5 percentage points more Democratic), and no state in this list moved toward the Republicans by 0.1 percentage points or more. The counts are unofficial.

Which states moved most toward the Democrats or the Republicans in the 2026 governor elections?
StateEarlier election2026 so farChangeReporting
Iowa2022: R+18.5D+11.029.5 points more Democratic95% of precincts reporting
Hawaii2022: D+26.3D+45.319.0 points more Democratic50% of precincts reporting
Florida2022: R+19.4R+1.318.1 points more Democraticall precincts reporting
Nebraska2022: R+23.4R+8.614.8 points more Democraticall precincts reporting
California2022: D+18.4D+28.710.3 points more Democraticall precincts reporting

Each change is the 2026 margin so far minus the margin in the most recent earlier general election for the office in that state, so a positive change is more Democratic and a negative change is more Republican. States with a lower share of precincts reporting can change more as the count continues; for the Senate, the seat itself can differ between the two elections, and that difference is not adjusted for.

Only states where both elections have a Democratic and a Republican candidate with recorded votes appear, and an election is left out when more than 2% of its votes have no recorded party. States without a comparable count are not ranked.

FutureBallot does not call races. The counts are unofficial.

Sources: Live results and how counts are read

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Which states moved most toward the Democrats or the Republicans in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

Among the three U.S. Senate races with a comparable count so far, the largest move toward the Democrats compared with the most recent earlier general election for the same office in each state is in North Carolina (about 22.8 percentage points more Democratic), and no state in this list moved toward the Republicans by 0.1 percentage points or more. The counts are unofficial.

Which states moved most toward the Democrats or the Republicans in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?
StateEarlier election2026 so farChangeReporting
North Carolina2022: R+3.2D+19.622.8 points more Democraticall precincts reporting
Iowa2022: R+12.2D+4.116.3 points more Democratic95% of precincts reporting
Florida2024: R+12.8R+2.99.9 points more Democraticall precincts reporting

Each change is the 2026 margin so far minus the margin in the most recent earlier general election for the office in that state, so a positive change is more Democratic and a negative change is more Republican. States with a lower share of precincts reporting can change more as the count continues; for the Senate, the seat itself can differ between the two elections, and that difference is not adjusted for.

Only states where both elections have a Democratic and a Republican candidate with recorded votes appear, and an election is left out when more than 2% of its votes have no recorded party. States without a comparable count are not ranked.

FutureBallot does not call races. The counts are unofficial.

Sources: Live results and how counts are read

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Which 2026 statewide races for governor and U.S. Senate are closest in the vote so far?

Among the eight statewide races with a comparable count so far, the closest in the vote is the U.S. Senate race in Iowa, where the Democratic candidate leads by 55,871 votes (4.1% of all votes counted); the next closest is the governor race in Nebraska, by 63,609 votes. The counts are unofficial and still being reported, so the order can change.

Which 2026 statewide races for governor and U.S. Senate are closest in the vote so far?
StateOfficeLeading in the countGap in votesGap as a share of all votesReporting
IowaU.S. SenateDemocratic55,8714.1%95% of precincts reporting
NebraskagovernorRepublican63,6098.6%all precincts reporting
FloridagovernorRepublican107,6951.3%all precincts reporting
IowagovernorDemocratic149,91111.0%95% of precincts reporting
HawaiigovernorDemocratic173,72645.3%50% of precincts reporting
FloridaU.S. SenateRepublican238,7332.9%all precincts reporting
North CarolinaU.S. SenateDemocratic824,87519.6%all precincts reporting
CaliforniagovernorDemocratic2,353,66328.7%all precincts reporting

Races are ranked by the gap in votes between the Democratic and Republican candidates in the count so far. A race with a lower share of precincts reporting can change more as the count continues, so the ranking describes the counts so far, not final results.

Only races where the stored count has both a Democratic and a Republican candidate with recorded votes appear, and a race is left out when more than 2% of its votes have no recorded party. FutureBallot does not call races. The counts are unofficial.

Sources: Live results and how counts are read

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