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Latest polls

Every eligible poll in every race covered, newest first. Excluded firms are listed separately with reasons. Polls on record as of October 31, 2026, 6:06 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (13:06 UTC); adjusted averages from the nowcasts as of October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

Newest polls

All eligible polls in one complete HTML table, available without scripts. Filters require JavaScript; use the complete table if they cannot load.

Polls by 55 firms are not used and not listed here: firms that fabricated data, campaigns' own polling operations, and firms with no published poll of an election already decided, so no record to judge them by yet. The firms and why.

Newest polls
RaceDatesPollsterSampleResultMarginChecked
NM-3Oct 1–9, 2026Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal
362 LVLeger Fernández 53 (D) · Zamora 39 (R)D+14No citation
New Mexico GovernorOct 1–9, 2026Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal
1125 LVHaaland 49 (D) · Hull 42 (R)D+7Checked release
NM-2Oct 1–9, 2026Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal
383 LVVasquez 48 (D) · Cunningham 44 (R)D+4Checked release
New Mexico SenateOct 1–9, 2026Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal
1125 LVLuján 53 (D) · Marker 37 (R)D+16Checked release
NM-1Oct 1–9, 2026Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal
380 LVStansbury 53 (D) · Okpareke 35 (R)D+18Disputed release
New Mexico GovernorSep 25–30, 2026SurveyUSA
for KOB
567 RVHaaland 47 (D) · Hull 41 (R)D+6Checked release
New Mexico SenateSep 25–30, 2026SurveyUSA
for KOB-TV
567 LVLuján 54 (D) · Marker 36 (R)D+18Citation unreadable release
NM-2Aug 28–Sep 2, 2026SurveyUSA554 LVVasquez 46 (D) · Cunningham 43 (R)D+3Checked release
New Mexico GovernorAug 21–28, 2026Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal
516 LVHaaland 49 (D) · Hull 43 (R)D+6Checked release
New Mexico SenateAug 21–28, 2026Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal
516 LVLuján 53 (D) · Marker 38 (R)D+15Checked release
New Mexico GovernorJul 22–Aug 7, 2026BSP Research800 RVHaaland 41 (D) · Hull 24 (R)D+17Checked release
New Mexico GovernorJul 13–15, 2026McLaughlin & Associates
for Gregg Hull campaign
campaign internal
400 LVHaaland 46 (D) · Hull 45 (R)D+1Release found release
NM-2Apr 26–28, 2026co/efficient
for National Republican Congressional Committee
partisan sponsor
879 LVVasquez 43 (D) · Cunningham 41 (R)D+2Checked release

Polling averages by race

Simple average: the plain mean margin of the race's polls in the 30 days before its newest one, between the two candidates the forecast is between (the Democrat and the Republican in most races; where an independent is the main challenger, the independent). Adjusted average: the nowcast's estimate of the race today -- polls weighted by recency and size, corrected for each pollster's measured lean. Where they differ, the difference is the adjustment. House district polls listed here are inputs to the House model's election-day forecast (each district's estimate is moved toward its own polls, corrected for the sponsor's measured lean); there is no House nowcast. A race the model withholds shows its polls and no adjusted average.

Polling averages by race
RacePollsLatestSimple average
30 days to the newest poll (n)
Adjusted average
our nowcast
Forecast
New Mexico Governor5Oct 9, 2026D+6 (2)D+8New Mexico Governor forecast
New Mexico Senate3Oct 9, 2026D+17 (2)D+16New Mexico Senate forecast
NM-23Oct 9, 2026D+4 (1)—NM-2 forecast
NM-31Oct 9, 2026D+14 (1)—NM-3 forecast
NM-11Oct 9, 2026D+18 (1)—NM-1 forecast