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Latest polls

Every eligible poll in every race covered, newest first. Excluded firms are listed separately with reasons. Polls on record as of October 31, 2026, 6:06 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (13:06 UTC); adjusted average from the nowcast as of October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

Newest polls

All eligible polls in one complete HTML table, available without scripts. Filters require JavaScript; use the complete table if they cannot load.

Polls by 55 firms are not used and not listed here: firms that fabricated data, campaigns' own polling operations, and firms with no published poll of an election already decided, so no record to judge them by yet. The firms and why.

Newest polls
RaceDatesPollsterSampleResultMarginChecked
North Carolina SenateOct 24–25, 2026Quantus Insights722 LVCooper 51 (D) · Whatley 43 (R)D+8Citation unreadable release
North Carolina SenateOct 1–20, 2026High Point University/YouGov620 LVCooper 54 (D) · Whatley 40 (R)D+14Checked release
North Carolina SenateOct 18–20, 2026Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
600 LVCooper 49 (D) · Whatley 39 (R)D+10Not checked yet release
North Carolina SenateOct 8–20, 2026ActiVote400 LVCooper 57 (D) · Whatley 43 (R)D+14Checked release
NC-9Oct 19–20, 2026Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC
partisan sponsor
526 LVHudson 46 (R) · Ojeda 42 (D)R+4Not checked yet release
NC-11Oct 12–14, 2026Emerson College
for Poll Vault
388 LVAger 56 (D) · Balkcom 43 (R)D+13Not checked yet release
North Carolina SenateOct 7–11, 2026SurveyUSA
for WRAL-TV & WSOC-TV
643 LVCooper 54 (D) · Whatley 40 (R)D+14Citation unreadable release
North Carolina SenateOct 8–10, 2026Trafalgar Group1091 LVCooper 49 (D) · Whatley 41 (R)D+8Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 29–Oct 8, 2026Elon University/YouGov561 LVCooper 52 (D) · Whatley 39 (R)D+13Checked release
NC-1Oct 6–8, 2026co/efficient
for Buckout's campaign
partisan sponsor
623 LVBuckhout 43 (R) · Davis 42 (D) · Bailey 2 (L)R+1Not checked yet release
North Carolina SenateOct 1–7, 2026Change Research
for Carolina Forward
829 LVCooper 50 (D) · Whatley 40 (R)D+10Citation unreadable release
NC-1Oct 1–6, 2026Neighborhood Research
for Rick Shaftan
partisan sponsor
303 LVDavis 51 (D) · Buckhout 41 (R)D+10No citation
NC-1Sep 29–Oct 4, 2026GQR Research
for Davis' campaign
partisan sponsor
500 LVDavis 47 (D) · Buckhout 39 (R) · Bailey 8 (L)D+8Citation unreadable release
North Carolina SenateSep 30–Oct 3, 2026East Carolina University810 LVCooper 50 (D) · Whatley 43 (R)D+7Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 21–22, 2026Quantus Insights686 LVCooper 48 (D) · Whatley 43 (R)D+5Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 17–20, 2026Opinion Diagnostics
for Common Cause North Carolina
857 LVCooper 51 (D) · Whatley 41 (R)D+10Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 18–20, 2026Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
608 LVCooper 49 (D) · Whatley 39 (R)D+10Not checked yet release
North Carolina SenateSep 17–20, 2026Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research
for AARP
1115 LVCooper 53 (D) · Whatley 42 (R)D+11Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 15–18, 2026YouGov3864 RVCooper 52 (D) · Whatley 41 (R)D+11Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 16–17, 2026InsiderAdvantage1200 LVCooper 48 (D) · Whatley 43 (R)D+5Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 9–16, 2026High Point University813 RVCooper 49 (D) · Whatley 39 (R)D+10Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 4–15, 2026Catawba College/YouGov
for Catawba College Center for North Carolina Politics & Public Service
885 LVCooper 47 (D) · Whatley 35 (R)D+12Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 13–15, 2026Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
608 LVCooper 49 (D) · Whatley 34 (R)D+15Checked release
NC-11Sep 10–11, 2026Public Policy Pollingpartisan sponsor531 RVAger 47 (D) · Balkcom 44 (R)D+3No citation
NC-1Sep 8–11, 2026GBAOpartisan sponsor500 LVDavis 50 (D) · Buckhout 43 (R)D+7No citation
North Carolina SenateSep 8–10, 2026Trafalgar Group1084 LVCooper 48 (D) · Whatley 42 (R)D+6Checked release
North Carolina SenateAug 31–Sep 3, 2026East Carolina University675 LVCooper 46 (D) · Whatley 39 (R)D+7Checked release
NC-9Aug 31–Sep 3, 2026Lake Research Partnerspartisan sponsor400 LVHudson 46 (R) · Ojeda 42 (D)R+4Citation unreadable release
North Carolina SenateAug 21–31, 2026Elon University/YouGov565 LVCooper 49 (D) · Whatley 38 (R)D+11Checked release
NC-7Aug 19–20, 2026Public Policy Pollingpartisan sponsor517 LVRouzer 45 (R) · Hardy 39 (D) · Abu-Ghazalah 3 (L)R+6Citation unreadable release
North Carolina SenateAug 3–12, 2026High Point University/YouGov800 RVCooper 48 (D) · Whatley 41 (R)D+7Checked release
North Carolina SenateAug 9–10, 2026Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
600 LVCooper 52 (D) · Whatley 39 (R)D+13Checked release
North Carolina SenateAug 3–6, 2026Change Research
for Carolina Forward
partisan sponsor
915 LVCooper 50 (D) · Whatley 43 (R)D+7Checked release
NC-3Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026Tulchin Research
for House Majority PAC
partisan sponsor
600 LVMurphy 44 (R) · Smith 41 (D)R+3Checked release
North Carolina SenateJul 29–Aug 1, 2026Change Research
for Gary Pearce and Sam Hunt
967 RVCooper 50 (D) · Whatley 41 (R)D+9Checked release
North Carolina SenateJul 23–31, 2026Elon University/YouGov466 LVCooper 53 (D) · Whatley 42 (R)D+11Checked release
North Carolina SenateJul 23–27, 2026Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research
for Fox News
1005 RVCooper 53 (D) · Whatley 44 (R)D+9Release found release
North Carolina SenateJul 10–11, 2026Public Policy Polling759 VCooper 48 (D) · Whatley 44 (R)D+4Checked release
NC-1Jun 22–28, 2026GQR Researchpartisan sponsor500 LVDavis 45 (D) · Buckhout 41 (R) · Bailey 8 (L)D+4Citation unreadable release
North Carolina SenateJun 15–27, 2026New York Times/Siena College601 LVCooper 50 (D) · Whatley 43 (R)D+7Checked release
North Carolina SenateJun 1–10, 2026Catawba College/YouGov905 LVCooper 48 (D) · Whatley 34 (R) · Bray 3 (L)D+14Checked release
North Carolina SenateMay 10–11, 2026Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
600 LVCooper 50 (D) · Whatley 39 (R)D+11Checked release
North Carolina SenateMay 4–8, 2026Change Research
for Carolina Forward
partisan sponsor
957 LVCooper 49 (D) · Whatley 42 (R)D+7Checked release
NC-1Apr 25–29, 2026co/efficient
for National Republican Congressional Committee
partisan sponsor
842 LVDavis 41 (D) · Buckhout 41 (R)EvenChecked release
North Carolina SenateApr 21–24, 2026Opinion Diagnostics
for RightCount
830 VCooper 50 (D) · Whatley 41 (R)D+9Checked release
North Carolina SenateMar 26–Apr 6, 2026High Point University/YouGov703 LVCooper 50 (D) · Whatley 42 (R)D+8Checked release
North Carolina SenateMar 31–Apr 1, 2026Quantus Insights987 LVCooper 49 (D) · Whatley 44 (R)D+5Checked release
North Carolina SenateMar 22–23, 2026Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
600 LVCooper 49 (D) · Whatley 41 (R)D+8Checked release
North Carolina SenateMar 9–18, 2026Catawba College/YouGov871 LVCooper 48 (D) · Whatley 34 (R)D+14Checked release
North Carolina SenateMar 13–14, 2026Public Policy Polling556 VCooper 47 (D) · Whatley 44 (R)D+3Checked release
NC-10Mar 10–12, 2026Ragnar Research Partnerspartisan sponsor400 LVHarrigan 52 (R) · Bell 37 (D)R+15Checked release
NC-14Mar 10–12, 2026Ragnar Research Partners
for Conservatives For America
partisan sponsor
400 LVMoore 48 (R) · Womack 40 (D)R+8Checked release
North Carolina SenateJan 31–Feb 4, 2026Change Research
for Sam Hunt
1069 RVCooper 50 (D) · Whatley 40 (R)D+10Checked release
NC-1Jan 29–Feb 2, 2026GQR Researchpartisan sponsor500 LVDavis 42 (D) · Buckhout 39 (R) · Bailey 9 (L)D+3Citation unreadable release
North Carolina SenateJan 12–15, 2026TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers
1512 RVCooper 48 (D) · Whatley 24 (R)D+24Checked release
North Carolina SenateJan 5–7, 2026Change Research
for Carolina Forward
partisan sponsor
1105 LVCooper 47 (D) · Whatley 42 (R)D+5Checked release
North Carolina SenateNov 9–10, 2025Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
600 LVCooper 47 (D) · Whatley 39 (R)D+8Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 14–15, 2025Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
600 LVCooper 46 (D) · Whatley 42 (R)D+4Checked release
North Carolina SenateSep 2–8, 2025Change Research
for Carolina Forward
partisan sponsor
855 LVCooper 48 (D) · Whatley 41 (R)D+7Checked release
North Carolina SenateAug 11–12, 2025Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
600 LVCooper 47 (D) · Whatley 39 (R)D+8Checked release

Polling averages by race

Simple average: the plain mean margin of the race's polls in the 30 days before its newest one, between the two candidates the forecast is between (the Democrat and the Republican in most races; where an independent is the main challenger, the independent). Adjusted average: the nowcast's estimate of the race today -- polls weighted by recency and size, corrected for each pollster's measured lean. Where they differ, the difference is the adjustment. House district polls listed here are inputs to the House model's election-day forecast (each district's estimate is moved toward its own polls, corrected for the sponsor's measured lean); there is no House nowcast. A race the model withholds shows its polls and no adjusted average.

Polling averages by race
RacePollsLatestSimple average
30 days to the newest poll (n)
Adjusted average
our nowcast
Forecast
North Carolina Senate47Oct 25, 2026D+11 (9)D+10North Carolina Senate forecast
NC-31Aug 2, 2026R+3 (1)—NC-3 forecast
NC-92Oct 20, 2026R+4 (1)—NC-9 forecast
NC-17Oct 8, 2026D+6 (4)—NC-1 forecast
NC-71Aug 20, 2026R+6 (1)—NC-7 forecast
NC-141Mar 12, 2026R+8 (1)—NC-14 forecast
NC-112Oct 14, 2026D+13 (1)—NC-11 forecast
NC-101Mar 12, 2026R+15 (1)—NC-10 forecast